Odds for the Hololive Mario Kart Tournament

[Anonymous No.]

SS: Championship contenders
S: Likely Tsuyo
A: Tsuyo if lucky
B: Middle tier
C: Zako if unlucky
D: Likely Zako (or unknown quantities)
E: Zako Queen contenders

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
The meta has changed a lot since last year's tournament right? I wonder how big the impact will be

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837263
No more fucking Waluigi meta

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
not autistic enough op, not autistic enough. Let me show you how it is done:

[tldr: lui 1 up, ina and irys up 1, bae down 1, peko and koyo on the limit between S and A]


MARIO KART RANKINGS

Team A:
1. Suisei rank 1/35 ish [top dog 2-times champion, tryhard has been training]
gap
2. Mio rank 3/35 ish [has gotten really good, at okayus level now]
gap
3. Lui rank 5/35 ish [been practising a bunch, a bit below okayu]
3. Miko rank 7/35 ish [can do pretty good, havent seen her practise though]
gap
5. Ayame rank 13/35 ish [does ok could get a little lucky, likes marika so could train offstream]
5. Roboco rank 14/35 ish [can do well with some luck, havnt seen any practice]
5. Bijou rank 16/35 ish [not too bad, can do well with some luck]
gap
8. Baelz rank 19/35 ish [has been practising a lot but still not so good]
8. Mococo rank 20/35 ish [regular skills, around baelz`s, could do well]
gap
10. Noel rank 26/35 ish [dont expect much, doesnt play much]
11. Ao rank 29/35 ish [dont expect much, doesnt seem to play much]
gap
12. Haachama rank 35/35 ish (very low skills) [contender for dead last on zako]
*suisei is the only one really granted to pass on this group; then mio with strong chances due to recent skills. Then from lui up to baelz all have some chances to pass. Zako cup winner will probably come from here since it is so strong.
Team B:
1. Towa rank 4/35 ish [good skills, but likes to choke on the big races]
2. Subaru rank 6/35 ish [good skills, usually trains with okayu]
gap
3. Pekora rank 11/35 ish [good skills, but easy fuck up]
3. Ina rank 12/35 ish [good skills, probably the second best racer of en, been training]
gap
5. Koyori rank 21/35 ish [hard worker, ok to good driver, could get a little lucky]
gap
6. Kaela rank 22/35 ish [gamer autist but doesnt seem to be practising much, ok skills last time i checked]
6. Ririka rank 24/35 ish [doesnt seem too good, but is training a lot apparently, could get higher]
6. Mel rank 27/35 ish [dont expect much, doesnt play much]
gap
9. Mumei rank 28/35 ish [dont expect much, doesnt play much, not time to train probably]
10. Kobo rank 31/35 ish (very low skills) [contender for dead last on zako]
10. Sora rank 32/35 ish (very low skills) [contender for dead last on zako]
12. Fuwawa rank 33/35 ish (very low skills) [contender for dead last on zako]
*first 4 ranks have some strong chances to pass due to skill gap; koyo has some chance here, or maybe ririka if she trains well
Team C:
1. Okayu rank 2/35 ish [1-time champion, always does pretty well]
gap
2. Matsuri rank 8/35ish [can do really good, but also varies a lot, might choke]
2. Irys rank 9/35 ish (pretty good driver and dependable, training, can do quite good, best en racer and best en chances)
2. Chloe rank 10/35 ish (pretty good driver but also a choker, havent seen her practise either)
gap
5. Ollie rank 15/35 ish [decent to good racer, can vary a lot]
5. Hajime rank 17/35 ish [regular to good skills, can vary, has been training so can do higher]
7. Kronii rank 18/35 ish [regular to good skills, but doesnt seem to be practising much]
gap
8. Akirose 23/35 ish [does ok some times, can go autist on things]
9. Mori rank 25/35 ish [not very good skills, but is trying to train more]
10. Anya rank 30/35 ish (kinda low skills) [dont expect much]
gap
11. Kanade rank 34/35 ish (very low skills) [contender for dead last on zako]
*okayu most likely to pass; then the next 3 ranks. ollie to kronii with some chances as well, hajime may be a dark horse

people might bitch about the raffle, but the top 12 ranks are well distributed among the 3 groups for a good final tsuyo cup; but group A has 3 other racers pretty close to the top 12 cutting point, so it is still the most unpredictable.
some good missing racers that wont participate this year with aprox ranks: aqua (~3); marine (~5); iroha(~9); fubuki (~11); gura(~13); watame (~15); Kanata (~15)


>>39257147 2023 last year predictions

>>15949736 2022 predictions

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
Miosha is legit terrifying and nobody seems to notice. Last year she landed more first places than anyone during the tsuyo cup, she only didn't win because she screwed up in a couple races.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
To encourage the sort of autism I like to see, you can check out Ririka's last Mario Kart stream 18 hours ago. I don't really know shit about Mario Kart, but even to me it's obvious she got a ton better since her last stream, and she was even watching ghosts for potential shortcuts and then workshopping them in time attack to see which were practical for her to try and which weren't. I don't know if Mario Kart is the sort of game where that actually helps, but she's certainly putting in work. Even has partial live translation.
https://holodex.net/watch/I1cMlxu0O4I

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
Ollie won't win if she refuses to invoke Olivia. Knock her down a couple tiers.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
>Tryhard [Suisei] has been training
She's training the minimum amount, not too concerned with this year's results since she already won twice. Though she might be practicing as we speak since she's back in her hometown.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65841080
and yet she joined an okasuba training stream unprompted and mogged them hard
sui is the 164, okayu 139, suba 120

[Anonymous No.]

>>65841080
She actually wants to win again since she said she'd retire and become a coach if she wins twice in a row.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
Fuwamoco...

[Anonymous No.]

>>65841903
And she also joined Pekora when she was streaming apex randomly. She joins other holomems when they're playing splatoon, even before any hint of a splatoon tourney. She just randomly just joins other members when she actually has free time and sees they're playing a game she likes.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
you're overrating ina hard

[Anonymous No.]

Nenechi doko

[Anonymous No.]

>>65845272
im assuming she can get back to her old form, yes

[Anonymous No.]

>>65845235
i know that anon, try focusing on the conversation held, other anon had said suisei was lazy and we had no proof of her training, to which was my response in question

[Anonymous No.]

If only Goop-Goop were here her and Biboo could represent cunny....I MEAN EN

[Anonymous No.]

>>65841080
>back in hometown
Yeah pink hometown

[Anonymous No.]

For something that looks like a dumb game, it's always pretty exciting.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
>Mio
>recent skills
>recent
Stop right there, assclown. Mio tied for 2nd last cup which was a year ago, and the year before that she would've made finals if she had not DC'd and lost her points. She's been a top player for a long time now, and is one of the few holos who is absurdly consistent in her level of play.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65850209
fair enough, i was thinking several years prior were she was a granted zako

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
this is the best type of autism

[Anonymous No.]

>>65850527
That zako was when she DC'd, it was near the end of the qualifier races so she finished with a very low total and proceeded to steamroll the legit zakos. That same year Watame tilted hard in Music Park and missed the tsuyo cup because of it, but at least she got in last year. Watame is top 10 and I'm sad she's not participating this time around.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810 (me)
hm koyo should probably be around rank 17 not 21, actually

[Anonymous No.]

CAN'T STOP THE ROCK CAN'T STOP THE ROCK

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
>suisei

[Anonymous No.]

>>65857971
sui is the bale of marika, you can train all you want, she'll just show up and do this >>65841903 to your oshi

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
How good is mariokart netcode or bijou & the en girls gonna get fucked by 400 ping

[Anonymous No.]

>>65859973
Mario Kart is one of the smoothest Nintendo Online experiences since for the most part you don't really need to care about the exact position of the other players so at worst you'll see your shell hit someone and look like it stuns them but nothing really happens.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
meru..

[Anonymous No.]

Morio

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
Nintendo shit tournament who cares

[Anonymous No.]

I believe in Sui

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
forgetting someone?

[Anonymous No.]

>>65859192
Bane*

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
NOW HERE'S A HOLOLIVE MEMBER WHO REALLY KNOWS HOW TO DRIVE IN MARIO KART

[Anonymous No.]

>>65838810
>Kaela
>ok skills
Kaela is pretty bad at anything that doesn't requires grind and her driving skills in MK are below average.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65869359
Watame's not joining this year's tournament though? Unless there have been last minute announcements I haven't seen yet.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65860530
>>65859973
wrong, lag messes up better players more because it screws with a lot of shortcuts

[Anonymous No.]

>>Goddess Mumei will descend
>>She fucking destroys everybody
>>Autism kicks in
>>She fucking comes dead last
>>Time to punish her

[Anonymous No.]

dark horse ina just came into irys and calli practise streams finished at the top or near top in a few races and peaced out.

[Anonymous No.]

>>65837046
>straight shota
based