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/lit/ - Literature

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15304453 No.15304453 [Reply] [Original]

Refute him.

>> No.15304478

Why? He's Taleb approved.

>> No.15304495

>>15304453
Jordan Peterson likes him

>> No.15304496

>refute a completely uncontroversial pop science book
Literally why?

>> No.15305060

>>15304453
Replication Crisis invalidates many of the books claims


also SAGE

>> No.15305229

>>15305060
Really?

>> No.15305237

but I'd have to read him to do that. might as well ask me to refute Malcolm Gladwell

>> No.15305258
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15305258

>>15304496
Muh brain has to read content that proves what I already believe just to assert my intellectual dominance

>> No.15305261

(((Kahneman)))

>> No.15305501
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15305501

>>15304478

>Less than 20 pages into most renowned work
>9/11 unpredictable Black Swan event
>Entire intelligence community saw it coming.
>Somehow gets taken seriously to this day

>> No.15305506

>>15305229
Yes. I was being an edge lord before, iirc the crisis doesn't refute the central point of the book (slow process vs quick) but it does make a lot of its specific references and dictum inaccurate and suspect. A big one that priming is something that can't be replicated, which I think was a major part of the book.

https://youtu.be/v778svukrtU

this interview is a nice and quick overview of the issue and what develops will come of it. I wish I remembered more but it's been a long time since I read Thinking fast and slow. If you're interested I'd research a little while reading it to see what studies are bunk.

I did a quick search just now. I don't think Kahneman has written anything on what turned out to be wrong/unproven in the book beyond what the wiki states. I think is a sign of embarrassment.

>> No.15305563

Prospect theory (and most of the other stuff) is useless unless you're trying to predict the behavior of dumb people in very specific situations. His criticism of Expected Utility is idiotic - all models are wrong, some are useful. Simplicity is part of the usefulness.