Napkin maths

[Anonymous No.56650072]

$51,000 staked in December are currently worth $110,000 ($91,000 a week ago). This is amidst a recession, and before GMX fees, BUILD rewards and CCIP general access.

A claimable reward stack (~310) alone is currently worth $4,680. While modest, you have to remember the average market participant is priced out of such a stack and the average normie doesn't even have this much on his bank account. If LINK continues to run (it is likely that it will), then returns on staking are exponential.

As staking expands with each subsequent year, then more of the supply will get locked. This should coincide with CCIP revenue growing, creating more demand for the token. Less supply, more demand, what happens next?

Let's discuss inflation, currently fixed at 7% annually (total supply), meaning ~14% in real terms for the current year (against the circ. supply). What this means is that with each subsequent passing year until 2030, inflation in real terms will linearly get reduced from 14% to real 7%.

By 2030, 7,000 staked at 5% will have accrued +2,100 free linkies. That's without accounting for extra APY for restaked linkies and BUILD airdrops, GMX fees, etc. By 2030, there will be no more inflation of the supply and one single link could be worth +500 dollars in a bullrun (fairly conservative estimate for 2030). Such accumulated staking income could be worth +1 million US dollars. That is without accounting for the principal stack.

Post-2030, LINK will no longer be an inflationary asset and the Chainlink networks are expected to operate in a sustainable economy with direct self-service payment for users and therefore direct revenue capture built-in for service providers (including stakers), although one can surmise that if lacking sufficient maturity, ecosystem growth could continue to be bootstrapped by the CLL entity contingent on their accumulated runway in USD, meaning post-2030 could actively be *purchasing* LINK tokens with their billions instead of dumping.

Patience.

[Anonymous No.56650122]

Just 7 more years, marines!

[Anonymous No.56650145]

>>56650072
>By 2030
>Post-2030
yeah i remember those napkin maths of icp retards who locked their coins for 8 years

[Anonymous No.56650151]

>>56650072
If you don't have off grid property by 2030, you'll never make it.

[Anonymous No.56650172]

>>56650151
You can't go offgrid when satellites can zoom in on your face anywhere in the world

[Anonymous No.56650175]

>56650122
You say that as if that's too long to wait for generational wealth. But of course, it is too long if you're a high-time-preference negroid

>>56650072
Comfy af

[Anonymous No.56650203]

>>56650175
>Can't even reply properly.
Lurk more.

[Anonymous No.56650256]

>>56650072
here's some more math:

-Your $51,000 was worth ~$200,000 2 years ago.

-You are now euphoric over 4% and change annual return even though basically every single bank in America offers 5% on savings accounts

[Anonymous No.56650276]

>>56650122
>>56650145
yeah don't worry about link, you'll make it off a $100 dollar investment in dog coins in just two short weeks from now

[Anonymous No.56650278]

>>56650072
also not to nitpick too much, but you should stop using the term "free". Nothing in life is free. You are allowing your tokens to be borrowed in exchange for a measly reduction of coin inflation. This and the opportunity cost are your payments, so it most certainly not "free".

[Anonymous No.56650296]

>>56650122
7 years. That's right, it's not a glamorous pitch because everyone here has fried dopamine receptors and is only interested in 'get rich quick schemes' which might as well just be a gambling addiction and more often than not just ends with pajeet rugs. Remember the tortoise and hare parable. Chasing pnd shitcoins is just playing Russian roulette. Chainlink is a marathon, not a sprint, and will still be here a few cycles from now. You could have invested in FTX or Luna last cycle, but where are they now? What happens to most dapps, memecoins and L1s? Chainlink is here to stay, the one true crypto blue chip, the ultimate hedge on the entire space, the unrivaled picks and shovels play and it will remain so for the long term with impenetrable moat and monopoly, growing with each passing year because it'll keep offering more services and servicing more verticals. Chainlink is peace of mind. I sleep comfy at night and feel no stress even when price dumps because I know it'll recover and continue trucking along at its own pace. 7 years. Is that such a rotten deal? Most people work themselves to death for +40 years just for a minimal retirement. 7 years for generational wealth while sitting on your ass. Just waiting and not selling. That's literally all you have to do but it's already too difficult to grasp for 99.9% of people. Low time preference and delayed gratification are correlated to high IQ so it's no wonder that a brown shitter fuddie would fail to understand.

>>56650145
You can unlock your tokens at any time with the next update. It's also not a VC compromised scam without users so there's also that, nigger.

[Anonymous No.56650321]

>56650203
lol, have a (you). wait, nevermind

>56650256
>56650278
i can't wait for you to keep saying this as LINK continues to swallow the whole industry. i wonder what the cope will be once we're in new ATH territory?

[Anonymous No.56650424]

>>56650256
I outlined how the LINK token will become less inflationary over time (fixed, finite supply, reduced circ. supply, demand baked into usage, potential for extra rewards alongside the 5%) while the price will very likely keeps appreciating, and you're comparing yield on such an asset to yield on USD which will only get more inflationary and worthless over time, the ultimate shitcoin. Why did you even bother typing the captcha to validate such an inane post, retard? Tongue my anus.

[Anonymous No.56650463]

>>56650072
How do stinkies generate capital? From other bag holders? Seems like a ponzi to me.

[Anonymous No.56650484]

>>56650296
Is this your main tactic to get new bag holders?

[Anonymous No.56650485]

>>56650072
>if [x] continues then returns on [x] are exponential
how to prove that [x] won't continue

[Anonymous No.56650573]

>>56650484
Nah, this is mainly just to gloat with in a few years. I'll just be spamming caps of fuddie predictions not coming true (since 2017, and counting), and predictions like OP coming true or even being surpassed. I'll make sure the board is unusable for anons like (You), but for real this time.

[Anonymous No.56650615]

>>56650172
>mfw I have no face

[Anonymous No.56650691]

i sold my make it stack (100k) when it pumped from $0.2 to $0.5 in 2018 because i wanted to swing it. this is the most regrettable sell i've ever had, even though i sold 45 million dogecoin a year before it pumped to $0.7 but idc about that because i didn't believe in it. link i wanted to increase to hold long term and now i'm priced out forever

[Anonymous No.56650721]

>>56650615
>mfw when i wear my covid mask all alone in the middle of nowhere in my vegetable patch outside my tin shack

[Anonymous No.56650789]

>>56650296
entire first paragraph is a strawman

> It's also not a VC compromised scam without users

from an investment standpoint, it's basically the same. Instead of early VC investors dumping on you, the team does it. Same end result. And for users? There are currently none of substantive value. CCIP does under $1k of revenue per day after 7 years of "testing" and multibillion dollar fundraising.

[Anonymous No.56650828]

>>56650424
>while the price will very likely keeps appreciating
says you

> and you're comparing yield on such an asset to yield on USD which will only get more inflationary and worthless over time

Laughable. Chainlink lost 75% of its value in the last 2 years. In before

>muhhh all time gain

Cool but that's irrelevant now. See the chart.

[Anonymous No.56650843]

>>56650463
correct. The best way to make money in crypto is to get in early on altcoins, sell once they have their one big moon (Chainlink in 2020), and then move back into stocks and/or BTC to preserve gains.

Where people mess up is they marry their altcoin and end up rountripping all the gains (Chainlink)

[Anonymous No.56650854]

>>56650691
what did you sell into? You could have replicated Link's gains with hundreds of other altcoins. And even if you moved into BTC you've done pretty well

[Anonymous No.56650874]

>just ten more years stinkmarines
>trust the plan

[Anonymous No.56650892]

>quadruple posts
kek

[Anonymous No.56650957]

>>56650789
>>56650828
>>56650843
>>56650854
didn't read your drivel but if you just want me to post more rare steves just say so bro I'm happy to

[Anonymous No.56650985]

>>56650843
Just know that when it inevitably passes ATH like ETH came back from “the dead” last bull run, that I was here telling you chainlink is another exception and that you could’ve bought it at the modest price of $15 per token, you retarded inbred faggot. You either hold LINK or are sub 115 IQ, as I can tell from your inability to understand exceptions, especially to rules as arbitrary as this one. Either way, not selling my tokens, and you will not be buying single digits ever again because you had 6 years.

[Anonymous No.56651042]

anon, if the original token sale idea is kept to then link will stop being released at the end of q1 2025.

the remaining 35% supply won't be released in the '7% way' .

Chainlink said q2 2023 through to the end of q1 2024 7% will be released. That's almost done. It's currently at 55.6% and by the end of q1 2024 the circulating supply will be 58%.
That leaves the 7% for the same period next year and that would take the circulating supply to 65% with the remaining 35% being the tokens which go to the node operators to incentivise the system.

Might be wrong here guys so not saying this is the way it is, and it really is quick back of a napkin maths while at work, but how i figure it is that by April 2025 there will be no more link to release as they have been doing until now.

If it is otherwise then i will stand corrected.

[Anonymous No.56651091]

>>56650072
ok but what happens when your link gets slashed, bitch
yeah, thats what i thought
you make 2k link in 6 years and then you get slashed, losing 5k link

[Anonymous No.56651907]

>>56650145
>ICP geniuses. Why do 3 digit portfolio investors throw shade at ICP?
WASM is 2030 proof, while ETH uses EVM for contract execution. ICP made it possible to run ETH with WASM.
ETH on ICP can run more than 20B instructions per second, this absolutely blows everything out of the water. That is ETH's daily instructions in 6 second.
The beauty is that ICP will not only run ETH or Bitcoin, but every L1 can be directly integrated.

But seriously stay poor, keep circle jerking yourself to generational poverty, imagining that middleware (link) can compete with an infrastructure at a web protocol level.

[Anonymous No.56651958]

>>56650424
>nd you're comparing yield on such an asset to yield on USD which will only get more inflationary
i cant buy food or pay bills with crypto. This means nothing to me because i will allways have to cash out into usd

[Anonymous No.56651972]

yes, OP is right! don't sell please, buy more!

[Anonymous No.56651988]

>>56651958
Crypto credit cards exist. It's bearish that there's so many newfagas coming here talking about points from 8 years ago.

[Anonymous No.56652014]

>>56651988
>crypto credit cards
>trusting CEX
you are the nufag

[Anonymous No.56652064]

I staked 7k and i will make it. Also im on the left side of thr bell curve

[Anonymous No.56652102]

By 2030, Chainlink (Ticker: LINK) will be the most liquid asset on the planet.

[Anonymous No.56653235]

>>56650484
Why are you so concerned?

[Anonymous No.56653294]

does anyone have the rory discord screenshot where he details the token inflation/releases?

[Anonymous No.56653410]

Universal Gas

[Anonymous No.56653421]

>>56650072
>By 2030
Yeah I'm not waiting for 7 years. Going all in on shitcoins see ya.

[Anonymous No.56653442]

>>56650172
What? Lol just live in the forest under some trees

[Anonymous No.56653461]

>>56650072
This is the most creative FUD I've seen in a long time, congrats! Link will be 200+ this run. I don't need to wait for your fictional 2030 500+ price. Link will be well beyond $500 by 2030.

[Anonymous No.56653486]

>>56650072
Sure thing, chuddy boy

[Anonymous No.56653487]

>>56650256
>-You are now euphoric over 4% and change annual return even though basically every single bank in America offers 5% on savings accounts

We’re earning 4% in link. Not 4% in usd. Big difference kiddo

Your bank account earning 5% has a 0% chance of mooning suddenly

[Anonymous No.56653501]

>>56650072
>As staking expands with each subsequent year, then more of the supply will get locked
The final pool size will be 75 million right?

[Anonymous No.56654734]

>>56653487
You need a 4x just to recover where you already were lol.

[Anonymous No.56654917]

>>56650072
Based. The level of making it that we are in for is unprecedented.
>>56650122
Turbo ADHD zoomers literally can't imagine that far into the future.

[Anonymous No.56654944]

>>56651042

so hours pass, anons talk, and nobody talks about the token sale terms

[Anonymous No.56654973]

>>56653487
>We’re earning 4% in link. Not 4% in usd. Big difference kiddo
That only matters if an ATH is breached

[Anonymous No.56655094]

>>56653487
But fiat did effectively moon hard against crypto for the past 2 years

[Anonymous No.56655110]

>>56654973
>>56654734
I genuinely just want to leave this here and let any retards who fall for it to themselves.
But come on now. If you buy when its 90% down and it goes to 1/2 ath, you make a profit.

The whole alts will never hit their ath again don't buy is the most sutble fud that has plagued crypto for years and it unironically just stays debunked. Theres gotta be some Jew magic lying around in the internet to keep it alive for so long.
Literally don't even need basic math to shot that its a retarded ass argument kek. But people unironically fall for it and refrain from buying during bear accumulation channels.

[Anonymous No.56655123]

>>56655110
Long story short, you don't need anything to go to ath. You literally just need it to multiply upwards. Holy fuck. People are retarded. Fucking fuck

[Anonymous No.56655174]

>>56650122
>2010
>bitcoin will x1000 at least by 2017
>hurhur 7 more years

[Anonymous No.56655432]

>>56655174
this incel actually believes LINK will go on a BTC run, holy fuck you are stupid. Get lost

[Anonymous No.56655450]

>>56655432
What if i told you link will flip btc in 2030.

[Anonymous No.56655454]

>>56650072
>By 2030, 7,000 staked at 5% will have accrued +2,100 free linkies. That's without accounting for extra APY for restaked linkies and BUILD airdrops, GMX fees, etc.

I fully expect the 5% from treasury emissions to stop once v1.0 releases.

[Anonymous No.56655567]

>>56655110
You can obviously profit without ath...

But 1 btc = 1 btc meme only works if ATHs are continiously broken, forever. Which only happens if it replaces fiat entirely

[Anonymous No.56656147]

>>56650874
In 10 years LINK will be wothless while my staked stables on spool will make me rich. Better safe than sorry. I prefer to take it slower.

And if this plays out, the SPOOL token will also boom probs and I don't even talk about that part

[Anonymous No.56656794]

>>56650122
Kek’d and checked.

[Anonymous No.56657279]

there's about a 5% chance this shitcoin has any value in 2030. Dump your bags at the right time.

[Anonymous No.56657626]

>itt, people that actually believe link could ever hit $50 again

kek this board is full of retards