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53762990 No.53762990 [Reply] [Original]

is it possible that there wont be a big crash and that we're already in a recession?

>> No.53763139

>>53762990
>is it possible that there wont be a big crash and that we're already in a recession?
What, you think people on TV would just lie to us? Just like that? Whatever OP.

>> No.53763183

Big crash? No. Slow bleed? Yes.

>> No.53763254

>>53762990
We're in the opposite of a recession. The economy is overheated. That's why the Fed is still raising rates.

>> No.53763272
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53763272

>>53763254
Only reason the fed is raising rates is because of low unemployment numbers.

>> No.53763311

>>53763272
Low unemployment numbers are a lie.

>> No.53763316

>>53763272
Consumer demand is off the charts and driving inflation too high. That's why rates need to be raised.

>> No.53763329

>>53762990

I hope there is a 30% dump in the S&P 500.

>> No.53763338

>>53762990
It's absolutely possible. 2022 was a recession. It was a horrible year for the economy, and we were gaslit into believing that it was fine. I wouldn't be surprised if the government lied about 2022 not being a recession and predicted a recession after that just so they could take credit for there being no recession that they predicted (even though there was obviously a recession).

>> No.53763356
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53763356

>>53763338
>if a tree falls in the woods, does it make a sound?
>if there is a recession, but it was the goal all along, was it really a recession?

>> No.53763469

>>53763338
Here is what you need to know:

Everything you read/see/hear in the mainstream media about the economy is designed to create liquidity for institutional investors so that they can buy/sell from retail investors.

Remember that every trade requires a buyer and a seller. If you want to buy something at a given price then someone else has to want to sell it at that price. And vice versa.

The same Middle Eastern tribe that dominates the media dominates big finance. You should know this.

If mainstream sources forecast a recession, then that gets retail investors who listen to mainstream sources to sell. Who is buying if they are selling? Institutional investors.

You have to think very carefully about the interests of people who make predictions, because more often than not they are trying to get you to do something for their benefit.

Speculative markets like the stock market, crypto market, etc. reflect what people think will happen in the future. They aren't generally reactionary unless the news in unexpected. If large investors predict something expected, i.e. a recession, that prediction would already be priced into the market and they would be selling to get ahead of the curve. The market would reflect that, and the sentiment would create a self-fulfillinf prophecy of sorts.

If it looks like these people are blowing smoke and making big predictions about a recession but the market doesn't reflect that, then they are most likely blowing smoke and you should treat their predictions with great skepticism.

>> No.53763484

>>53763469
What other wisdoms do you have?

>> No.53763546

>>53763272
The Fed is raising rates because they are trying to control price inflation caused by COVID faggotry and Ukraine faggotry. Unfortunately it won't work because the price inflation is being caused by supply shocks that make everything unavoidably more expensive. Making debt more expensive isn't going to bring prices down. It's just going to make everyone miserable.

Maybe it's by design. Probably not. These people come across as too stupid and inbred to mastermind something like that. I think they are just so full of themselves that they don't recognize that everything is being caused by the heavy hand of their retarded government so they continue to use that heavy hand and make everything worse. This is always how governments operate.

>> No.53763567

>>53763469
>>53763546

So we have already bottomed?

>> No.53763610
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53763610

if you look at SP500 and most stocks then they bottomed in June 2022
that means bullmarket has been on for 8 months.

>> No.53763669

>>53763567
I personally think so. I am not selling either way.

>> No.53763705

>>53763567
How so, if rates continue to rise? And the hikes are only beginning to eat their way through the economy.

>> No.53764434

>>53763469
But mainstream media is like 50/50. You have people calling for recession and others are bullish. What gives