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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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49538140 No.49538140 [Reply] [Original]

Oops dropped my portfolio Edition

>Brokers
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq
https://brokerchooser.com/

>Stock market words:
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Risk management:
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Financials podcasts/channels
https://www.youtube.com/c/CameronStewartCFA - Fundamendals analysis
https://www.youtube.com/user/BenzingaTV - Various themed livestreams
https://www.youtube.com/user/KitcoNews - Mainly PMs and crypto

>Live Streams:
http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
https://www.thebalance.com/

>Free charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com/
https://www.koyfin.com/

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Pre-Market Data and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Bio-pharma Catalyst Calendar:
https://biopharmcatalyst.com

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP) calculator:
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator/

>List of hedge fund holdings:
https://fintel.io/

>Misc:
https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor
https://market24hclock.com/
https://tradingeconomics.com
https://wallmine.com/
https://tikr.com/

Previous: >>49530721

>> No.49538154

>>49538140
Sexo

>> No.49538187
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49538187

>>49538140
What is Monday going to be like?

>> No.49538196
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49538196

nth for poopoo the pig

>> No.49538217

ketchup
or olive oil on pizza?

>> No.49538225

>>49538217
mayonaise

>> No.49538274

>>49538187
Retarded pump Monday and Tuesday to set us up for max pain Wednesday

>> No.49538278
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49538278

>>49538140
fuck i hate when that happens

>> No.49538281

>>49538225
is brazil white and therefore worth investing in?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwqiTsMHNU8

>> No.49538297
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49538297

alright /smg/ bros. I'm ordering some monster on amazon, which flavor should I get? debating on peachy keen, or maybe getting a case of ultra red or ultra blue since stores in my area stopped carrying them

>> No.49538305
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49538305

i hate cryptosharts but i came here just to say that i made a whole 3000 satoshi on this BTC crash so far :)

>> No.49538309

>>49538297
sunrise or paradise

>> No.49538344

>>49538187
Circuit breakers go off

>> No.49538356

>>49538305
whats a satoshi

>> No.49538359
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49538359

>>49538344

>> No.49538378
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49538378

>>49538187
Retarded pump. Gotta fleece retail before the market dumps after the GDPNow data and fed meeting on weds.

>> No.49538381

>>49538356
a little bit of bitcoin. i dont like bitcoin though, was just experimenting

>> No.49538418

>>49538217
Ketchup.

>> No.49538420

>Only thing I have in the green is KO

Fuck it, I'll just hold everything and from now on invest the minimum needed every month to max out my government bonus next April.

>>49538217
Make something healthy. It's salad season.

>> No.49538423
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49538423

Repoastin
>>49537962 #
>>49538007 #
They were useful when they were 100% in our pocket and we traded dead yemenis for oil. Now, because of moralfags back at home, they own us because if we ditch them theyll just sell oil to china in remnibi or whatever the fuck their chink coin is which is bad for the dollar.
Basically the solution can no longer be just exit that part of the world because our real enemies can just swoop in and they arent even pretending to be shackled by ethics
What we SHOUDLVE done is go full throttle imperialist and just fucking conquer them. That ship has long, long sailed though
By the way, same exact thing applies to Israel

>> No.49538436

>>49538281
Retarded American tourists goes to visit the rich areas of an industrialized city and is surprised that it isn't just mud huts and orange filter like their retarded movies make it out to be.
Go to the poorer areas of the city and you will see how fucked the country is.

>> No.49538458
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49538458

>>49538305
get a job poorfag

>> No.49538483

I'm going to buy bunch of European airline stocks that are worth shit and wait 20 years to sell them. Sounds like a good plan?

>> No.49538488

Sunning my ballsack right now. What are the financial implications of such an action?

>> No.49538507

>>49538458
youre this mad because i have 3000 more satoshis (and you dont)

>> No.49538508

>>49538436
He normally does considering he went around Africa fucking black women and smoking weed in Somalia. He's a savant for languages.

>> No.49538519
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49538519

ATM DBC Jan 20 2023 calls are only $265 a piece
>DBC up 44% YTD
>only need 10% to break even
>even if DBC goes up 30% by expiration you've made over 150% gain
I loaded up on some more of these at close yesterday
Why the fuck aren't you buying commodity ETF calls during peak inflation? Even when hikes are announced it takes months for them to actually kick in

Don't tell me your still bag holding soxl...

>> No.49538528

>>49538483
Yes, but while you are at it, pump my RYCEY bags. Thanks.

>> No.49538534
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49538534

How did you do this week? Are you in the red or in the green?

>> No.49538556

>>49538534
This week was pretty good, until OXY decided to poop its pants.

>> No.49538563
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49538563

>>49538534
Green but just barely

>> No.49538584

>>49538508
Lol just another ameritard that goes flying around the world to poor countries to LARP as upper class while thinking he's the main character.
Of course there are rich parts and people in Brazil and of course the rich areas in the biggest city in Brazil is stacked with cash, what is the video supposed to show?
Are obese Americans from Minnesota that are psychotic from a Corn Syrup overdose surprised or impressed by these videos? It's boring as fuck.

>> No.49538603

How's this make you feel; Snoop Dog's blunt roller makes 40 -50k a year..https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/11/business/snoop-dogg-blunt-roller-raise-inflation/index.html

>> No.49538616
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49538616

>>49538534
Green. Up 3.4%

>> No.49538656
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49538656

>>49538534

>> No.49538703

>>49538140
Is it possible to make money speculating off natural disasters?

>> No.49538719

>>49538703
Buy Siga

>> No.49538739
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49538739

>>49538703
Yes
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/weather/

>> No.49538770

I’m feeling a nice gentle 8% down week next week happy Juneteenth lads!

>> No.49538783
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49538783

TA fags can't refute

>> No.49538788

Too late to buy oil companies? I'm eyeballing Suncor. Not a big position, but it might compliment my portfolio.

>> No.49538798

>>49538739
thank you sir

>> No.49538804

>>49538788
Cramer says no.

>> No.49538812

>>49538804
I'm out.

>> No.49538822

>>49538217
I love ketchup on pizza. Its really good.

>> No.49538852
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49538852

>>49538812
c'mon bro

>> No.49538856
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49538856

>>49538783
TA is just astrology for men

>> No.49538868

>>49538719
:Looks like it already peaked.

>> No.49538895

>>49538856
>marenaltman.jpg
And?

>> No.49538934

>>49538196
i love this pig. Too bad there is only 1 meme

>> No.49538955

>>49538488
I hope some guy give you a surprise blowjob against your will

>> No.49539014

why shouldn't I buy SWBI, seems like there is a lot of cash to be made there as they have a low pe, decent growth and buyback a lot of shares. What's the catch

>> No.49539027

>>49538483
bad time for euro airlines because they're getting squeezed by energy inflation, and then by the recession whenever it happens.
there was a bull thesis for them during the war bottom but it didn't really flourish because the airlines took ages to redistribute inflation costs to customers.
i'd stay away for now.

>> No.49539043
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49539043

>> No.49539063

>>49538534
What’s all that shit on her face?

>> No.49539072
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49539072

>>49539043

>> No.49539096

>>49539014
Congress is deadlocked, so your worry isn't legislation - it's black swan executive branch actions. The FBI raiding their factories or some shit.

>> No.49539099

>>49538488
What position? Dog or missionary?

>> No.49539102
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49539102

I know now isn't the best time to start investing but whats a good safe strategy? Should I diversify three ways between QQQ (QQQM?), VOO and DIA? Should I bother with QQQJ?

>> No.49539119

>>49539102
Safe? Given the times we live in? A simple, conservative, bond-focused portfolio of 100% TYO.

>> No.49539129
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49539129

What’s up with defense these days? Lockheed is still selling f16s to poors yet they’re trading near an all time high. I guess that’s locked in profit

Idk, pill me on defense

>> No.49539158
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49539158

>buy 1500 of a stock at 1.82 on schwab
>go to my positions page
>end up with a 1.845 average
so schwab just takes a 1.5% cut off every trade? how is this legal?

>> No.49539183

>>49538868
It’s just getting started.

>> No.49539207

>>49539129
>What’s up with defense these days?
the ukraine war created a huge demand for arms

>> No.49539227

>>49539158
Check and make sure there aren't special fees for over the counter or foreign stocks. Does your currency need to be changed into Canadian dollars?

>> No.49539243

>>49539096
really I can't see anything being done, by the gov or the feds. Instituional investors won't buy because ESG scam nonsense but the end of the day its a high fcf business generating big profits at decent margins with good growth and low debt. So long as things keep going and they keep buying 2m shares back a quarter it really seems like an easy winner for someone with patience

>> No.49539264

>>49538656
are people really this poor posting here, lol?

>> No.49539288

Long term investment wise, is 4% of paycheck + 2.5% cash match going to be safe going into retirement? Don't feed me pure doomer shit. I am down 70% YTD currently on my personal investment from the drawdown that I held through. I kinda want to travel this summer, but I went too hard trying to buy the dip and I am still getting fucked on.

>> No.49539318
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49539318

>> No.49539319

>>49539288
>I am down 70% YTD currently on my personal investment from the drawdown that I held through.
jesus fucking christ man

>> No.49539332

>>49539319
I got fucked on MU and SOxL.

>> No.49539347
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49539347

>when you wake up

>> No.49539354

>>49539332
you're getting fucked on MU and SOXL. this ride is far from over.

>> No.49539355

>>49539347
The simulation is eternal, there is no waking up

>> No.49539359
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49539359

>>49539264
I also have
>$6 in crypto
>$0 in 401k
>$0 in stocks/bonds
>no cash
>no house
>no wife/kids
>no job
>no car
>no apartment
I have 0 debt, and nothing else. I am almost 30 years old

>> No.49539368
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49539368

>>49539158
Commission?
Your limit was 1.82 and it was filled at 1.82 as expected. There is a whole bunch of shit listed on the web page as costs, how your $37.06 extra is calc, fuck knows

>> No.49539373

>>49539354
my SOXL, kweb, and xme already lost me 6g. My MU is down something like 8g, and SOXL itself holding long is down 23g.

>> No.49539374

>>49539347
https://youtu.be/3q8WdhQO9bU?t=64

>> No.49539375

just a warning to the wise:

capitulation begins aug 29

>> No.49539393

>>49539158
bring that up to them and tell them you are exploring which authority figure would also need to know about this. they will fix it for you and most likely will mark your account as "dont fuck with"

>> No.49539420
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49539420

>>49539332
Buy puts on Tuesday, you should be able to recover a decent amount. The sell off is going to continue until at least September so if you are looking for safe longs looks at consumer staples, oil, and PDBC - if you want more risk then go short on tech and real estate. Just don't keep bagholding SOXL through this next coming drawdown you'll get fucked.

>> No.49539447

>>49539420
I have $350 cash in my account, I didn't sell off any SOXL when it tipped over at $25 even though I said I would. RIP. I didn't short real estate either even though I know its bad.

>> No.49539449
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49539449

Having a good weekend mumu?
https://youtu.be/EaNgb5NZ3z8

>> No.49539491

>>49539447
i hope you didn't need that cash, soxl is gonna fall far further

>> No.49539494

>>49539368
Guess I should call them. I think I've lost hundreds of dollars this way, I only just noticed.

>> No.49539510

>>49539491
I didn't think MU could head to being lower PE than I got digits on my hand but by golly ge willickers its trying

>> No.49539521
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49539521

>>49539447
I've been making decent money with puts on BYND, they are relatively cheap and it was up on Friday. If its up Monday/Tuesday 23.50 or higher its a good pick for a weekly.
Coinbase is volatile pick with higher returns but its a more expensive point of entry.
You could always build up a bit more slowly with less risk using 3x bear ETFs instead of puts SPXS, SOXS (probably not this so you don't wash sale), SQQQ, SARK (not leveraged but acts like it is), DRV, TECS, WEBS

>> No.49539616

Nice squeeze baggies

>> No.49539638

Anyone in the telegram room with ILAL? That shit is going to be big.

>> No.49539645
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49539645

SHIT PIT LICKERS GAYSEX BROS

>> No.49539651

oilchads what the fuck was the problem on thuesday and friday?

>> No.49539670

>>49539651
thursday fuck

>> No.49539680
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49539680

GAYSEX BROS, 10 ROCK HARD COCKS IN 1 SITTING. MY ASSHOLE IS DUG OUT LIKE A WW1 TRENCH

>> No.49539685

>>49538788
Buy HEU on tsx. It's literally free money. SU is one of the 3 largest holdings

>> No.49539689

>>49539651
broad market selloff, with it just so happening to also affect us, is what I am telling myself.

>> No.49539705

>>49539651
>why can’t it go up everyday?

Stfu newfag

>> No.49539709

>>49539680
which ram ranch was this one?

>> No.49539719

>>49539359
switch the crypto to cash please

>> No.49539755
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49539755

>>49539709
THE ONLY RANCH I LIKE IS MAN RANCH. DRINKING PISS AND TONGUING SHITBOXES TO PUMP SIGA BAGS

>> No.49539757

>>49539102
bump

>> No.49539759

>>49539102
Buy a total stock market index like VTI. Don't go for spy and qqq and qqqm they have large correlations/overlap and the average long term diy investor doesn't need it. If you want diversification consider smaller allocations to developed ex US and emerging markets. And if you want a slightly more advanced portfolio look into small cap value etfs like AVUV

>> No.49539774
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49539774

>>49538140
disgusting consoomers

>> No.49539786
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49539786

>>49539774
problem?

>> No.49539813
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49539813

>>49539651
It had to correct back into the channel - also dems are spouting bullshit about taxing oil windfalls because they are retarded so there was some algo selling, but it will never pass midday friday was the time to get back in for the pump monday/tuesday, It'll probably get dragged down with the rest of the S&P end of the week though.

>> No.49539819
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49539819

Reminder that these faggots are giving a virus with an RO:.06-1 a RO:10

>> No.49539842
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49539842

>>49539651
Exxon is still correlated to the broad market nigga. But oil is too powerful, it goes down less, and goes up faster

Nothing can stop NRGU

>> No.49539889
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49539889

>>49538140
Do you guys think the dogecoin millionaire is jewish? I always thought that he was just some faggot from california who was so retarded that he put everything he had and more into dogecoin and then didn't sell but the more I think about it, the more I believe it. He was born as Glauber Contessoto in Brazil asthe child of a poor opera singer. They then moved to the US in his early life and he developed an obsession with black culture and moved to California where he apparently had a shit ton of money after a couple of years to yolo into meme stocks and dogecoin.
The first thing that makes you think is his name. While the first name doesn't necessarily tell you anything about the background, Glauber is such an obscure ashkenazi name that you wonder how anyone who isn't jewish would ever get the idea to name their child this way.
The second thing is his face. Just look at him. I know there are lots of brazilian monkey jokes but come on. This guy looks like a neanderthal with curly hair. You could put a hobo beard on Ron Perlman and they'd look almost the same.
The third and last thing is his connection the finance youtube. This fucking faggot has shilled multiple crypto scams to his audience and yet he still seems to be best buddies with people like Graham Stephan who do interview after interview with him without ever mentioning him basically being a scammer.
But what would be the reason? Did he really sell his dogecoin at the peak and has now a fake set up to pretend that he held it through?

>> No.49539900
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49539900

Rite Aid is so fucking undervalued that it is insane.

>> No.49539928

>>49539359
so your wife took the everything but the crypto? or are you a hobo at a library?

>> No.49539941
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49539941

>>49539359
Buy SIGA with that 6k Monday morning you retard

>> No.49539962

Monday's "the world hasn't ended" gap up and relief rally will be astronomical.
Verification not required.

>> No.49539981

>>49539889
>poor opera singer.

>> No.49540048

>>49539981
Yeah that's what they say here at ~40 secs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sd4pixNKaAs

>> No.49540109
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49540109

Damn who's that goth guy, and why does me smell so good?
>It's tacticool soap
Also, should I buy some BTC miners or nah?

>> No.49540123
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49540123

>>49539651
Oil is overbought and It's about to dump simple as.

>> No.49540142

Long puts on Lennar. Roughly 20–25% OTM. Before I purchase, please tell me how I’m smooth-brained.

>> No.49540143

BRK.B calls

>> No.49540167

Can somebody please explain to me how $HYG (high yield corporate bonds ETF) can still trade at ~$75 while distributing a pittance of about $0.30 each month, which results in a hypothetical 4,76% annualized yield at current prices?
Shouldn't either be distributions much higher or price of the ETF trading significantly lower?

>> No.49540178
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49540178

Cash gang why do they keep trying? When will these mumu fools learn? Jerome doesn't care about their precious gains. I'm thinking pre 2008 levels will be bottom.

>> No.49540198

>>49540178
what factors of risk or panic should introduce such selling pressure?
the default mindset is "number go up"

>> No.49540209

>>49538187
Part SPY retracement of 1.5% or so before dumping later in the day

>> No.49540219

>>49540178
Bottom will be a 95% dump. Zombie companies are all about to fucking die out it will be glorious to slurp the giga dip.

>> No.49540231 [DELETED] 
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49540231

>>49540123
Oil dumped on Monday. When everyone realizes inflation is still here and the world still depends on oil it will pump.

Screencap this

>> No.49540240
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49540240

>>49540178
>fed comes out yesterday a says inflation is 8.6%
hurr durr CASH GANG! we no lose money
mean while commodities up 42% all ready

>> No.49540243
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49540243

>>49539962
>the world hasn't ended
That's where you're wrong.

>> No.49540256
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49540256

>>49539651
Oil is oversold and it's about to pump simple as.

>> No.49540273

>>49540219
>dow jones goes to late 80s levels
Shiet. That is some bobo heaven right there. SMG would be devastated in pink.

>> No.49540280

>>49540273
It unironically will, adjusted to inflation of course.

>> No.49540295

how much can real estate fall?

>> No.49540302

>>49539102
Don't know shit about boomer investing but if you want to make money day trading just stick to the ES. Incredible liquidity and tiny commissions.

>> No.49540310
File: 1010 KB, 1539x1208, 1654920530529.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540310

>>49540273
smg is like 50% bears, 30% oil barons (some cross over where bears are also bullish on oil) and 20% people that still haven't accepted that we're crashing. It'll be a lot fewer pink wojacks here then the rest of biz when all the coins rug at the same time.

>> No.49540319

>>49540123
Oil and energy are extremely undervalued adjusted for any inflationary metric, even now.
However, a Oil dump to ~$85 would not be surprising.
Would help with the "inflation is transitory" meme.

>> No.49540323

>>49538274
>>49538378
please please please

>> No.49540354

>>49540231
>Oil is two standard deviations above mean.
>Distribution volume is evident in oil stocks.
>Oil stocks are making bearish divergences.
It'll be a violent dump.

>> No.49540410
File: 1.24 MB, 640x1136, black jesus.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540410

>>49539962
>Monday
Anon, I...

>> No.49540425

>>49540123
oil's actually bottlenecked by refineries being bottlenecked right now and will move into the next leg up whenever they need to buy more oil.

>> No.49540437

>>49540319
>Oil and energy are extremely undervalued adjusted for any inflationary metric, even now.
Yes they are but they've gone vertical. Weak hands need to capitulate simple as.
>However, a Oil dump to ~$85 would not be surprising.
Yes the whole energy sector needs to correct.
>Would help with the "inflation is transitory" meme.
Yes.

>> No.49540493

>>49538274
I hope so. I closed out my puts on Friday.

>> No.49540514
File: 8 KB, 199x253, images.jpeg.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540514

>>49540123
Thanks for reminding me I'm underweight on OIL

>> No.49540542

>>49540354
>last two points
How did you come to that conclusion?

>> No.49540650
File: 69 KB, 1403x790, 5235236436436.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540650

>>49540514
Enjoy the bags.
>>49540542
Pic related.

>> No.49540687
File: 71 KB, 1403x797, 3454364675465464.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540687

>>49540542

>> No.49540712

>>49538140
I would be able to sniff all three on my way up and none would be the wiser

>> No.49540744
File: 179 KB, 720x1000, 1600713398157 (1).webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540744

>>49540650
>>49540687
TA vs People need oil but there's not enough supply

>> No.49540745

>>49540687
>he doesn't see the shooting star

>> No.49540777
File: 5 KB, 194x93, amazonjew.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540777

I went to buy some shit on amazon and was wondering why it was considerably more expensive than it said it was, turns out amazon now defaults you to non-free shipping for some fucking (((reason))) and you have to actually manually set it to the free one. given how the page is layed out I think a lot of people probably got giped and paid for shipping when they didn't need too. what a scummy design

>> No.49540778
File: 135 KB, 535x806, 503368-rhonin.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540778

Citizens of Dalaran! Raise your eyes to the skies and observe! Today our world's destruction has been averted in defiance of our very makers! Algalon the Observer, herald of the titans, has been defeated by our brave comrades in the depths of the titan city of Ulduar. Algalon was sent here to judge the fate of our world. He found a planet whose races had deviated from the titans' blueprints. A planet where not everything had gone according to plan. Cold logic deemed our world not worth saving. Cold logic, however, does not account for the power of free will. It's up to each of us to prove this is a world worth saving. That our lives... our lives are worth living.

>> No.49540787

What movie is tonight for /smg/ movie nite?

>> No.49540807

>>49540787
What is a Woman (2022)

>> No.49540814
File: 34 KB, 849x765, 36465475475687.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540814

>>49540542
>>49540744
>Muh it can only go up
Massive cope oil is overbought market makers sold.
>>49540745
I see it.

>> No.49540831

>>49538140
ffs WHYYYY did we bail the banks and hedge funds out back in 2008
fuk

>> No.49540853

>>49538278
>why_was_he_filming.jpg
I haven't been to a mall since like 2002.

>> No.49540855

>>49540831
nothin personnel millennials

>> No.49540868

>>49539288
>down 70% YTD
You went all-in on soxl Jan 1st?

>> No.49540883
File: 154 KB, 1161x1075, e1f4d5638e62cee6e49c6d40e5d91fbe (1).jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540883

>>49540814
I wipe my ass with TA, even the top analyst's see it reaching over $150

>> No.49540888
File: 242 KB, 767x1414, 1BEF559A-25C7-475B-BB0F-89311759D5D2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540888

>>49538534
> when SPY is the worst performer in your roth
not great, not terrible either

>> No.49540893

>>49540831
just wait. still a lot of boomers that need to unload their cardboard on their children. the 2023 bailout is going to be a clown world spectacle.

>> No.49540899
File: 42 KB, 720x530, 1654976095678.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540899

>>49539332
>>49539319
I'm so glad I sold my soxl when I broke even in march and rebought later. can only image how heemed I would be right now if I didn't sell back then. I know one anon here has like a 60 average still

>> No.49540912
File: 140 KB, 1293x991, spyfib.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540912

notable levels for SPY

>> No.49540917

next week theme
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlArxtuQEMc

>> No.49540932

>>49540868
November actually, and averaged down and now I got no $

>> No.49540942
File: 32 KB, 500x667, FMPaa-EWQAAKeAu.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49540942

>>49540912
what does this mean

>> No.49540953

>>49540942
spy to $75 my guy

>> No.49540978

best healthcare etfs (preferably health insurance skew, or explicitly insurers)

thx

oh, and how retarded is this idea?

>> No.49540984

>>49538140
i would love to be laying on the ground while they took turns sitting on my face and putting their feet in my mouth and pissing on me

>> No.49540991

>>49540932
>went all in at the absolute top
Start a blog so we can inverse you

>> No.49540989

>>49540883
The whole energy sector is screaming massive dump ahead you have been warned.

>> No.49541003

>>49540978
I don't get it, what's the play?

>> No.49541005

>>49540650
The volume spike is Buffet buying massively into oil and Chevron..

>> No.49541011

>>49540991
I am thinking of buying back my short leg of my calls monday because they are almost at 0$

>> No.49541022

>>49540989
Refineries are at 98% capacity and inventories are continuing to be withdrawn while we're entering summer. Where is the macro to support your thesis?

>> No.49541025
File: 2.59 MB, 800x450, 1622325105677.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541025

>>49540989
That's great anon now show your puts

>> No.49541029
File: 344 KB, 1079x889, 1654903782440.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541029

>>49541005
Sus.

>> No.49541040

>>49540942
look at the .5 and .618 (golden ratio) levels mah dude

>> No.49541064
File: 210 KB, 220x219, 1649700166326.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541064

https://youtu.be/286jXjwdst0
<3

>> No.49541088

>>49541022
>Where is the macro to support your thesis?
Demand curve.
Negative growth.
"Tightening" monetary policies.

>> No.49541093

>>49541003
don't really have a solid thesis, kinda a gut thing

basically, they've got monopolies on the pricing of american well-beings. and thanks to inflation + covid health scares, they will continue to cement their grasp on this and just upcharge everyone cause there is no other alternative (think at a business level, not your random joe blow).

largely prefer the insurers specific route since they are not really responsible for actually innovating/creating new drugs, but are the financial plumbing behind the scenes. so imo, less risk as it doesn't matter whether the drug companies fail/succeed - they're getting paid either way.

>> No.49541126

>>49540787
Brawl in cellblock 99

>> No.49541174
File: 640 KB, 1080x1080, 1654925208529.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541174

>>49540978
Isn't insurance taking a big hit right now due to vax shit, covid coverage, mental health problems from lockdowns and now monkeypozz?
Seems like a sector to stay out of for a few years. Also the more the american population gains in illegal immigrants the lower the portion of people who actually pay for health insurance. And poor people tend to skip health insurance or swap to cheaper plans if they can't afford food.
Also americans keep getting fatter so even with rising insurance premiums is it enough to offset the increased costs?

>> No.49541210

ccxi

>> No.49541227

>>49540912
why do TA fags always apply linear TA to long term charts that are very clearly not linear in nature?
at least draw a log log regression to make your point.

>> No.49541264

>>49540883
Analysts are just horoscope readers. They always just project a continuation of the trend.

>> No.49541266
File: 42 KB, 410x604, girls.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541266

>>49538140
SOXL to 100.
Don't let me down.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0YGwUhg2XNk

>> No.49541277
File: 1.24 MB, 861x885, 1653004322860.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541277

>>49540984
You're a sick man!!

Cough sneeze cough

>> No.49541288

>>49541022
Refineries are only at capacity for light & sweet, sour production is ramping up and will meet current demand in a matter of months But demand should fall pretty soon as everyone is maxed out on credit cards to maintain their spending.

>> No.49541293

>>49541227
If you’re smart you do TA on a log scale…

>> No.49541294

>>49541088
To crash oil this early at the 120 levels would require massive layoffs, talking depression levels here. I just don't see it happening this season, probably later this year though.

>> No.49541319
File: 47 KB, 594x480, 1618684017097.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541319

>>49541266
maybe one day, not this year though for sure. soxl is going to hit $15 or $10 this year most likely

>> No.49541325

My friend said there's a rumor going around that Biden is going to reduce the amount of nicotine in cigarettes. Ostensibly it'll be for "health reasons", but the "secret" reason would be that it's to reduce import costs. Everyone ITT knows that it'll really be about rationing and supply control.

>> No.49541326
File: 1.96 MB, 423x264, 1654022311836.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541326

>>49541288
Based
Energy will dump meaning inflation "transitory". Market will bottom.
Bears will get fucked.
Simple as.

>> No.49541334
File: 18 KB, 532x170, file.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541334

are cryptos a good indicator for mondays open

>> No.49541345
File: 355 KB, 1391x1405, DF31ABA1-7926-413F-BC19-F2290D9946A1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541345

Honestly I’ve called you guys faggots before ironically, but I think most of you are latent homosexuals

>> No.49541371

>>49541294
>I just don't see it happening this season,
You're about to see it.
Not just oil uranium coal natural gas the whole energy sector will correct.

>> No.49541407
File: 123 KB, 1285x987, is this better logfag.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541407

>>49541227
ARE YOU HAPPY NOW?!?!

>> No.49541416
File: 112 KB, 225x225, 1654025014637.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541416

>>49541345
Takes one to know one.

>> No.49541417

>>49539759
why would I buy VTI over VOO

>> No.49541428
File: 27 KB, 474x392, downloadfile-1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541428

ITT: Seething no-OIL cucks

>> No.49541434

>>49541371
there's no demand destruction at these levels, oil isn't even above 150, lights are going out in europe lately so they're going to buy up all the natty gas they can, and Brandon is going to make sure the DoE pumps uranium. Just because your shit is correcting and will continue to correct, doesn't mean energy commodities will.

>> No.49541448

>>49539359
>literally the worst bank in the USA

>> No.49541471

Think I found the one I was looking for, IHF - MER ~40 bps.

>>49541174
I don't really know - was just curious to see if something existed (which I now know that it does).

This is all my gut speaking, so you can fact check me if you want later - the way that I understand healthcare (at least from an insurance standpoint):
- Individuals really aren't buying unless they're independently wealthy, or between jobs through COBRA. If you're poor and can't afford it, you go through Medicaid or another program that the government largely pays for and eventually gets bundled to one of the major insurers (pretty sure these are profit restricted through loss ratios caps (net claims/premium). So what is more important is really, as you said, net buyers of insurance through all venues. One would assume that more people = more buyers, right? And, from the "inflation" perspective, if there are less net buyers (employer pay) - then they have a monopoly and can arbitrarily raise prices.
- Now, with respect to "new" diseases/illnesses - this is another great reason why they can just raise prices, no? "sorry guys, there's more risk. hope you understand". employers can't just go across the street and shop for a better deal since other insurers are also going to face the same problems.

essentially, most insurance runs through hard and soft cycles - and my gut is saying that we're moving into a hard one (if we aren't there already)

biggest risk imo is a situation where there are mass mass mass layoffs (we might be getting started) and therefore biden will want to socialize healthcare through the government - but who knows, we like to gambol a little don't we. and even then, the insurers have so much data that they'll probably just be nationalized in some way, so it's not gonna go straight to 0

>> No.49541504

>>49541417
It has the Russell 2000 inside of it, so it has less "dispersion", meaning it's return can be quite similar to VOO but with less volatility(big cap stocks are less of a percentage of holdings slightly)

>> No.49541507

>>49541417
>why would I buy VT over VTI?

Just a matter of 1) whether you have a thesis or not based on the underlying index and 2) whether or not you can handle the regret of picking the "wrong" one in 40 years.

ultimately - it's not gonna make a material difference

>> No.49541515

>>49541434
>there's no demand destruction at these levels, oil isn't even above 150, lights are going out in europe lately so they're going to buy up all the natty gas they can, and Brandon is going to make sure the DoE pumps uranium.
Massive cope.
>Just because your shit is correcting and will continue to correct,
I'm holding cash gonna buy your bags at a 20-40% discount.
>doesn't mean energy commodities will.
They will.

>> No.49541523

>>49541334
crypto follows our lead, not the other way around

>> No.49541531

>>49541325
>putin took half your nicotine from you

>> No.49541541

>>49541371
Give me a time frame and some levels

>> No.49541550

>>49541407
anon, the very nature of horizontal support and resistance levels is linear. it assumes that conditions are similar down the line as they were in the past, which is especially not the case for long term charts (e.g. inflation alone fucks that assumption, all other things being equal).
changing the scale doesn't fix that.

>> No.49541582

>>49541334
>>49541523
for what it's worth - would agree that crypto follows the FED, but bitcoin topped two full months before the SPX did...

>> No.49541601

>>49541550
fib numbers are based on two things: agents attempting to maximize their returns while attempting to minimize their risk. and this isn't just financial risk, even leaves follow this pattern in their growth

>> No.49541625

>>49538140
source of this pic?

>> No.49541649

>>49541515
There's no cope, you're just fucking stupid. This are realities, gold pumped on friday and miners outpreformed the indices on a red day for once because inflation is out of control, Fed hikes can't fix it, and there is just too little supply for demand destruction to be a worry. Enjoy holding paper waiting for energy to crash lmao.

>> No.49541652
File: 155 KB, 1295x993, braaple.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541652

>>49541550

>> No.49541653

>>49540650
>>49540687
So in other words, despite what oil and companies have done for gains, MACD and RSI indicates there's a downtrend coming?

>> No.49541654

Everyone going "ah fuck we're doomed" is missing the big picture. Unless your retiring soon (next year or 5) all this current shat now is nothing but opportunity for dca. DCA over time and reap rewards later. Pick a fund, VTI,VOO or whatever, and roll on. Everyone complained about missing out on 2020 lows. Well guess what your getting another shot at it right now. Maybe not quite a big drop but still better than starting at 4800 ain't it?

>> No.49541655

>>49541541
Oil anything between 85$ and the 200W SMA.
Natural gas anything from 5$ to 200W SMA.
No price levels on coal and uranium.
Time frame towards end of June middle of July.

>> No.49541658

>>49538187
I don't think anything matters next week except for weird OPEX moves and fed. We celebrate Juneteenth as traders for the first time.

>> No.49541678
File: 86 KB, 859x1024, photo_2022-05-24_22-43-29.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541678

Are miners the move now with the inflation narrative?

>> No.49541682

>>49541654
largely agree with you, but this is more of a post for /bogle/ than /essemgee/ my brother in christ

people's real objective should be to find the next amazon and BID it up

>> No.49541693

>>49541655
Why a correction? Oil is expensive per barrel, but that doesn't necessarily mean demand destruction. Many Americans apparently still want to drive and travel this summer, and besides that my intuition is that prices might dip but will still remain high until seasonality kicks in or production ramps up again.

>Coal
Is that energy coal, or stuff for steel production?

>> No.49541715

Having the annual juneteenth meat pie that I've always celebrated the holiday with. Was always my favorite holiday growing up, weird how bigots never celebrated it. I'm glad it isn't a made up small regional holiday and we have all celebrated it for a century.

>> No.49541736

>>49541654
>>49541682
I've been learning to make plays based on smart money, eg looking at unusual option flow. For example, I believe that RDBX will drop to below $4/share by Friday. I might toss $50-$100 at it on Monday or Tuesday depending on what the price of a put ends up being.

Otherwise I'm accumulating more UUUU and selling CCs against it on the peaks. Learning to use STC/MACD/MA crossover to time things as well. I feel a lot more comfortable and disciplined now than I was even a month ago (2 years trade experience, 25% total losses)

>> No.49541742

>>49541345
>thinking 24/7 about the sexuality of other men
>in a group of stock market, not even in a group of anything related to sexuality

Guess who is the closeted faggot?

>> No.49541743

god I looked so much better before covid
im so fucking fat and I cant help it.

>> No.49541756
File: 65 KB, 618x597, 1631610615257.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541756

>>49541715

>> No.49541759
File: 25 KB, 324x324, 1654377567722.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541759

GAYSEX BROS
Based on normal evolutionary timelines, scientists would expect a virus like moOnkAypox to pick up that many mutations over perhaps 50 years, not four, Neher said.
“That is somewhat remarkable,” he said.

>> No.49541768

>>49541742
>>in a group of stock market, not even in a group of anything related to sexuality
Bumfuckers are spreading monkpox.
Bullish on AIDS medication producers

>> No.49541793

>>49541736
son you are degen GAMBLING, get a real job and stop wondering about where to yolo your last $100 ffs.

also
>using crayon lines

>> No.49541796
File: 2.41 MB, 720x419, door_stuck.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541796

>>49541601
>>49541652
your reasoning degrades you from a tafag to a literal astrologyfag. i can show you long term linear regressions where spy also somehow reverses right at the edge of the 2σ channel, and yet long-term linear regressions are consistently wrong because long-term price trends are not linear, regardless of whether people believe in their viability or not. macro dictates long term trends, not short-term investor psychology.
here's a good litmus test for you to put your money where your mouth is in regards to TA: turn it into an algorithmic strategy and run it with your cash. you will almost certainly get fucked.

>> No.49541800

>>49541768
That's all lies. People are getting the coof injections side effects, and are too clueless to realize what is going on. Viruses are a hoax

>> No.49541802

The Blackout – A Juneteenth Function: 11 a.m. to 6 p.m. June 11, Esther’s Park, 3408 Third Ave., Sacramento. Honor Black culture and Black-owned businesses with a Juneteenth celebration including live entertainment, art, food trucks and vendors.

Anyone going to the blackout in SF? I wonder if they have the "mexisplash" on cinco de mayo in SF.

>> No.49541811
File: 220 KB, 1780x1308, reTArds.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541811

Leveraged ETF TA faggots are very proud idiots.

>> No.49541824

>>49541319
I'm pretty sure it will hit 50 this year.

>> No.49541825

>>49541796
stay no cap on god fr fr

>> No.49541830

What policies can I point to that Biden has actually fucked up the economy with? I was trying to argue politics with some Reddit nerd and I realized the only thing I actually know is that the fed let inflation run hot last year because Biden wanted minority employment higher
It’s not like politics matters, the fed is way more important, but I also want to dab on lefties

>> No.49541834

>>49541653
Yes.
>>49541649
You will soon realize your stupidity. PMs still in a downtrend.
>>49541693
>Why a correction?
Why?
Oil is: 2 standard deviations from It's mean, demand curve, negative growth, "tightening" by the FED.Indicators are bearish market makers sold ipso facto the high trading volume in oil shares. People made insane money everyone that bought energy Is printing money and they think they're geniuses soon they'll start questioning their genius.

>> No.49541841

>>49541174
also, want to add to this >>49541471 real quick.

think about how many old people are gonna get older in the coming years... remember reading something ages ago about how inheritances are basically getting drained because of healthcare costs. now, i don't know if this is getting explicitly paid to the insurers - but it probably can't hurt. and when your own health is on the line, you probably want to spare no expense.

>> No.49541852
File: 134 KB, 1411x957, 1654823820024.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541852

Gay sex bros, where is Rocker? Did he kill himself over his 238 gamble?

>> No.49541870

>>49541830
i don't really dislike biden too much, think he's largely a based old guy who has no idea what's going on and reads the script like a good fellow.

but probably ukraine somehow.

>> No.49541875

Is AST Spacemobile (ASTS) the next 100-bagger?

>> No.49541877

do people really believe they can beat AI smarter than alphaGo with TA? imagine the hubris

>> No.49541884

>>49541834
>demand curve, negative growth
Where are you seeing that data? Not that I doubt it, but so I can observe and hopefully learn to see it for myself next time

>> No.49541888
File: 14 KB, 369x308, 1646672457614.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49541888

>>49541852
He is out spreading his asshole to pump our bags. He did mention that his mouth rash is getting worse

>> No.49541897

>>49541852
he got banned because people got annoyed with his avatarfagging

>> No.49541905

>>49541830
"Windfall" oil and gas taxes. They have never worked and always exacerbate the problem which is typically structural underinvestment in the energy chain.
The problem is going to be that the causes are mostly Boomer related and have little to do with Red or Blue. Creating "wealth effect" policies after 2008 to save Boomer retirements which lead to the longest period of malinvestment in human history. Where an environment was created to dump endless easy money into shit "tech" cos and money was actively pulled out of energy, resource, and industrials.
Maybe just bring up how ESG is a Gigagrift engine to siphon wealth from the public to dipshits like Elon Musk.

>> No.49541909

>>49541830
>career politician
>doing anything to help the middle class
the uniparty does not work for the public

>> No.49541910

>>49541877
short black businesses to beat AI.

>> No.49541928

>>49541800
I've considered that angle too.

>>49541793
Actually I have a $20k portfolio that is mostly in energy and boomer stocks, in addition to a DPSP from work. The $100 is a limit I set on myself to not get too involved in any particular trade while I learn the mechanics of a new technique.

>> No.49541950

>>49541830
Mostly his slashing of oil and natural gas production, pursing stimulus in an already inflationary environment (Trump's stimulus occurred when we were still at risk of deflation), Venezuela-tier blaming of inflation on """""""greed""""""", as well as working to levy new taxes on industries being hit the most by inflation thus making it worse.

>> No.49541957

>>49541870
True, I forgot to bring up how that faggot fucked the dollar up by cutting off Russia from global trade, the Ukraine policies have been bad since the beginning

>> No.49541959

>>49541834
>s-still in a downtrend
things change, they'll pump with inflation and powell can't rate hike above 3 percent because it'll mean the united states government cant service its debt along with a recession, energy and commodities are going to pump for at least the next 2-3 years until a republican president is elected and we throw ukraine under the bus for trade with Russia.

>> No.49541964

Covered calls or naked puts

>> No.49541975

>>49541964
Naked puts have better margin requirements

>> No.49541984
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49541984

Explain why you are not in BOIL right fucking now

>> No.49541985

Jesus, crypto just keeps dropping. Next week will be bloody.

>> No.49541992

>>49541830
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/27/biden-suspends-oil-and-gas-drilling-in-series-of.html

cancelled the permit for the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline.

Biden is also establishing climate change as a national security priority and maintaining a focus on green job creation and environmental justice for those most vulnerable to climate change.

Biden is expected to sign additional executive orders to dismantle the Trump administration’s climate policy reversals.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/01/20/executive-order-protecting-public-health-and-environment-and-restoring-science-to-tackle-climate-crisis/

"I would transition from the oil industry, yes," responded Mr Biden, adding, "because the oil industry pollutes significantly".


A2: Federal land accounts for about 24 percent of oil and gas production in the United States, mainly in the offshore Gulf of Mexico.

Industry associations object to Biden’s executive orders, arguing that they will deter investment, kill jobs, reduce state revenues, and shift oil and gas production to other countries.


“Number one, no more subsidies for fossil fuel industry,” Biden said at the debate. “No more drilling on federal lands. No more drilling, including offshore. No ability for the oil industry to continue to drill, period, ends, number one.”

WASHINGTON, Jan 20 (Reuters) - Incoming U.S. president Joe Biden will announce America’s return to the international Paris Agreement to fight climate change on Wednesday, the centerpiece of a raft of day-one executive orders aimed at restoring U.S. leadership in combating global warming.

, the revocation of a vital permit for the Keystone XL oil pipeline project from Canada, and a moratorium on oil and gas leasing activities in the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge that Trump's administration had recently opened to development, Biden aides said.

>> No.49542008

>>49541830
Biden signs $1.9 trillion Covid relief bill, clearing way for stimulus checks, vaccine aid

The plan, his top priority as president, sends direct payments of up to $1,400, extends a $300 per week unemployment insurance supplement, expands the child tax credit and puts funds into vaccine distribution.

>> No.49542011
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49542011

>>49541507
>>49541417
Just buy both.

>> No.49542013

OMG, you're stupid af! Try Streeth. It's simple even for you.
>Street Art NFTs by world remarkable street artists.
>Spray-To-Earn VR Videogame
>Audit by CoinScope
>Doxxed KYC Team

>> No.49542017

>>49541957
what the other two guys said too:
>>49541905
>>49541950

essentially hindering domestic energy independence and gaslighting people about how inflation isn't real/a good thing. and the fact they bungled it by waiting so long to reverse the trend.

>> No.49542038

>>49542011
will be sure to also pick up some spy, itot, vtsax and iwv for a truly diversified portfolio

>> No.49542048

>>49541992
basically he deterred any investment or exploration for oil in USA. Why would you expand spend or invest into a sector the government can regulate away. Makes more sense to just disburse profits.

>> No.49542085

>>49541655
That is WAY too soon. You’re thinking 10 steps ahead. Think 3+ months is more realistic if your thesis holds true. Companies need time to digest the prospects of layoffs, consumers have yet to curb spending on gasoline, so many factors are just not there yet to say 3-8 weeks is gonna do it

>> No.49542089

another thing with biden admin is 0 administration members who understand oil. Head of energy is not someone with any knowledge of oil industry at all. Even obama had people who understood energy demand and oil industry, but biden is 100% green activists in those roles with no understanding of oil or energy needs in america

Also on logistics, they are allowing unions in California docks to run over everyone on supply chain issues. Theres a lot of things going on but biden admin have exacerbated every inflation issue in America

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/biden-energy-granholm-us-oil-barrell-50-million

A reporter who was present for her remarks asked the energy secretary, "How many barrels of oil does the U.S. consume per day?"

"I don't have that number in front of me. Sorry," Granholm replied.

>> No.49542116

>>49542085
Yeah it's gonna be a slow grind lower for markets and recession. Keep in mind Europe/Asia are all going to have recessions. Lower and lower is the long-term trend for at least a year

>> No.49542129

>>49538278
damn. feel bad for this sperg

>> No.49542135

>>49541870
Biden is both as stupid and corrupt as any western politician in history. Don’t foolishly give him a pass.

>> No.49542159
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49542159

>>49541884
Demand curve is an economic representation between price,quantity and demand.
Negative GDP growth in Q1 in USA almost all countries in the world have negative GDP growth inflation adjusted.
sauce pic related or FRED or literally any economy related media.
>>49541959
>things change, they'll pump with inflation.
Double top on gold still in a downtrend no bullish indications as of yet. I'm bullish PMs long term.
>powell can't rate hike above 3 percent because it'll mean the united states government cant service its debt along with a recession,
He can but will he? My guess is he will back of at some point but until he does It's bearishng for energy and PMs.
>energy and commodities are going to pump for at least the next 2-3 years.
If the FED decides to stop tightening yes.
>until a republican president is elected
TOP KEK Drumpf 2024. No high position bureaucrat will ever do anything good for you. Your vote doesn't matter grow up.
>and we throw ukraine under the bus for trade with Russia.
USA is financing the war.

>> No.49542164

>>49532677
>>49538739
kek

I need to find a female to sit on my face then bottom for me

>> No.49542177

>>49539842
Buying NRGU right now would be retarded, right?

>> No.49542180
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49542180

>>49542038
VOO has 508 companies and VTI has 4115 companies. How much more diversity do you need?

>> No.49542182

>>49541759
so was it engineered or is this a consequence of vaxAids?

>> No.49542201

>>49542085
When energy corrects it's usually violent i was thinking next CPI/GDP growth results, but sure i admit It's hard to tell an exact date, but I'm positive energy is going to shit the bed soon.

>> No.49542209

FUCK I missed out on a fun festival today

>> No.49542215

>Biden responds to $5 gas: 'Outrageous what the war in Ukraine is causing'
Its sad because his voters are so stupid they'd believe this .

>> No.49542236

>>49541658
When is this nigger holiday?

>> No.49542241

>>49542182
HIV/weak immune systems lead to more mutations. Considering this spread at international gay orgy events its probably why. Omicron strain of coronavirus was pretty much determined to be incubated as a long-covid case in someone with HIV or a similar weak immune system in Africa

>> No.49542251
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49542251

>>49541830
There's also his funding for ethanol production (lmao) instead of gas driving up food costs. Green regulations around ports in California is a large part of why we had port issues causing a supply chain crunch (his party, but not him directly). Subsidizing chinese companies (8 of the 10 largest solar companies are chinese) to produce solar panels, the 2nd covid relief bill which was mostly funding for dem states and pet projects. Closing down the Abbott facility and not getting a plan in place to replace the baby formula when he knew it would cause a shortage months in advance. Constantly giving funding to Ukraine, Israel and just about any country other than the US.

>> No.49542255

>>49542215
They don’t. They know the truth and blond themselves to it.

>> No.49542271

>>49542201
I think you’re right, but it’ll just take more time imo then you believe. So if you’re buying puts on USO or something make it longer than your first gut feeling

>> No.49542274

>>49542215
I don't know what to believe. The Eurodollar University guy is saying that it isn't just the fed, that production issues play a role. Prof of energy talks about refining capacity. Something about crack spreads.

But then there's the "inflation is always a monetary phenomenon" crowd.

>>49542209
which festival? is it annual?
plan ahead for next year?

>> No.49542277

>>49542159
>muh TA says that all evidence to the contrary is wrong!
>p-powell can and will destroy everything to save the dollar, no that won't make it worthless if there's no american economy or government
>e-energy and commodities are entirely depending on what the fed is doing!
>i-i dont understand politics and geopolitics everything must stay the same forever because I have autism
kys retard.

>> No.49542287

>>49541975

Should I take out the largest loan I can and sell naked puts for the payments?

>> No.49542290

>>49542135
i don't disagree with you.
>>49542180
there's already like an 80% overlap of VTI in VOO so with a 50:50 split, you're actually 90% S&P and 10% ex-S&P. which is just retarded hence why i joked by saying i would own 101 flavors of the US market...
>>49542255
wonder at what point people will stop caring about the ukraine war, maybe when they lose their job and can't put food on the table? even then, probably not - we live in a sick society.

>> No.49542296

>>49541796
>draws a penis before going in
the absolute legends

>> No.49542306

>>49542271
Thinking about it you're probably right might take a few months.
>>49542277
Sure buddy Drumpf 2024.

>> No.49542336

>>49542182
Engineered. There was a lab leak in Nigeria we aren't supposed to know about

>> No.49542343
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49542343

When I sniff, my head shakes back and forth uncontrollably

>> No.49542350

>>49542180
>>49542011
mr vfag avatarfag boomerfag tell me the truth i'm thinking of doing VOO + QQQ what do you think?

>> No.49542372

>>49542274
It always happens the weekend before I finish my work for summer. Its a harbour festival downtown with a great fireworks display.

>> No.49542389

>>49542350
buy VTSAX, Hedge with SARK, and wait for the energy dip with cash

>>49542336
>>49542241
the duality of man
I doubt this is going to be a big thing

>> No.49542420
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49542420

>>49542290
>which is just retarded hence why i joked by saying i would own 101 flavors of the US market...
Who cares about other markets?

>>49542350
Sounds good I am planning to start loading on QQQ but am sure it has more to go down. Even if it doesn't still a strong buy.

>> No.49542440
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49542440

>>49541830
In reality, any fiscal policy takes years to be reflected in the larger economy, it's not like there's a big ol "FUCK ECONOMY" switch on the president's desk. What we're seeing right now is a culmination of the policies based at the end of the Bush administration and the start of the Obama administration, in response to the 2008 financial crisis. Weak ass regulation, bailing out the banks that fucked everyone over, a failure to bring fed rates up to a responsible level over time (cheap money fueling speculative bullshit), QE, and my fucking your mother's tight asshole on the daily all lead to this moment.

Fucking the economy was a bipartisan effort lead by powers interested in maintaining the status quo that killed the middle class in the first place, and any bad policy passed today will only hurt things years down the line

>> No.49542444

>>49542420
my brother in christ, why would i buy the US market through 100 different ETFs - if I can do it with just 1

please read:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fund_overlap.asp

>> No.49542458
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49542458

>>49541759
Stop nooticing things.

>> No.49542469

>>49541950
What stimulus has he done? I genuinely don’t know. Second Covid bill? Thought it was signed by trump.

>>49542440
Yes, I ultimately believe this which is why I said politics doesn’t matter. Sometimes I want to larp as a 2smart4u pol-tard though, so I’m looking for talking points

>> No.49542480

>>49542287
Sure, but only after you learn how to hedge properly.

Half of your portfolio should be in index call credit spreads (ATM, as far out as possible), and naked puts on UVXY, VIX, and SARK.

Close your positions at 50% max profit. This allows you to lock in profits when most of the juice has already been squeezed.

My portfolio is half as volatile as SPX, despite being 5x leveraged

>> No.49542489
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49542489

>>49542444
No. Diversification is a meme.

>> No.49542617

>>49541830
Oil policy is the single biggest thing that democrats unilaterally own and its become only more of a problem since 2020

>> No.49542624

>>49542480
>>49542480
Which part of this is the play and which is the hedge? SARK seems rather specific for example, but I agree with VIX. Why not do the inverse position with the same sentiment, but then take advantage of a letf?

>> No.49542708

>>49541959
>a republican president is elected and we throw ukraine under the bus for trade with Russia
Cant believe putin shills are still in this general. America does almost no trade with russia and the support for ukraine has been overwhelmingly bipartisan. Invade a sovereign nation without our say so and youre going to eat shit, simple as. Dont forget it vlad you impotent manlet

>> No.49542742

>>49542624
The main play is naked puts on value stocks and etfs. Basically companies with an ev/ebitda of 10 or less and ROIC of over 15%. A quick ratio of at least 1, and debt/equity of less than 1 are good filters too.

These puts should be about 1 SD otm, and about 30-60 DTE.

Take assignment on stocks if the expire below the strike price

>> No.49542793

>>49542708
>bipartisan
>there is more than one political party
there's one club
they use the two flavors to pit us against eachother

>> No.49542794
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49542794

>>49541841
Rising healthcare costs and an aging population is bearish for insurers because it increases their overhead. Without an increase in young people paying for insurance they don't have anything to offset the rising costs other than raising rates on a fixed income group.
>>49541471
Rising prices on plans will force individuals to swap to cheaper plans or go without coverage. Most Americans do not receiving insurance through their work and for companies that do have corporate coverage - when they need to trim overhead you think its more likely they bust the salary workers down from a platinum health plan to a gold plan or give everyone a 5% pay cut?
It does seem to be out performing the broader market right now, but I just see too many risk factors in the industry right now.
At least for insurers having transgender removed from the DSM means that they no longer have to cover HRT or gender re-affirmation surgery, causing trannies to have to pay out of pocket and saving insurance companies billions.

>> No.49542838

>>49542793
Regardless of what you think (and i dont disagree with you) that makes my point only more valid. They all support this war in ukraine

>> No.49542864

NEW
>>49542837
NEW
>>49542837
NEW
>>49542837

>> No.49542874
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49542874

>>49542458
I'm not prone to schizophrenia, I just talk to myself constantly and work out scenarios that never will happen

>> No.49543133

I experienced depersonlization last week.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Depersonalization
I think it was caused by drinking too much and not getting enough REM sleep for a week because drunk sleep it not real sleep; so I was effectively sleep deprived for a week.

>> No.49543155

>>49543133
>>49542874
That was meant for (You) schizo bro.

>> No.49543249

>>49542794
replied in new thread