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20021212 No.20021212 [Reply] [Original]

Will you bet for or against trump?
How much?
And where?

>> No.20021227

>>20021212
who is this?

>> No.20021236

The Democrats are fixing to impeach him again for treason. Do you people even watch the news?

>> No.20021250
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20021250

>>20021236
>The Democrats are fixing to impeach him again for treason. Do you people even watch the news?

>> No.20021274

I’m just saying this is a stupid way to lose money.

>> No.20021275

>>20021212
He's got no chance at this point, mainly because he keeps tweeting out stupid shit that gets him in trouble.

>> No.20021284

>>20021274
You are lost. Trump is going to win a landslide. And I'm not even voting.

>> No.20021315

He's done. Market will respond aggressively. Up?Down?

>> No.20021324
File: 39 KB, 677x677, 1566611677413.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
20021324

I'm disappointed, but i'll probably vote for him again just for the humor value

>> No.20021330

>>20021284
If he does, that would be amazing. I’m not even mad.

>> No.20021357

>>20021284
He’s showing his brain damage too often...even the billionaires in NYC won’t even pretend to like him anymore because he’s so toxic. He’s too much of a liability for them....I’ve seen rioters in NYC try to break into doorman buildings that the staff had to fight off...trump is adding fuel to the fire and it’s coming to close to where they live...saving a few hundred thousand on taxes is not worth what might happen if he gets another four years.

>> No.20021378

>>20021357
None of this matters. He is going to win.

>> No.20021385

>>20021378
He needs their money...no donors no win.

>> No.20021392

>>20021324
This

>> No.20021409

>>20021357
>even the billionaires in NYC won’t even pretend to like him anymore
they all support biden, just like they did hillary

>> No.20021450

>>20021284
If Biden picks a black VP then it's over. We would see black voter turn out on roids + pick one from a latino state and its double gg

>> No.20021455

Would have easily won if not for COVID-19. Now very much up in the air, have to see what happens over next few months with situation in US + vaccine. BLM is helping him though for sure.

>> No.20021475

>>20021450
To add on this, if it's a black women then its mega good game. You will not only bring near record number of black voters but female voters too.

All Biden has to do is pick a female vp

>> No.20021480

Election2020.bid
Vote with your wallet Faggot

>> No.20021486
File: 1.49 MB, 1440x960, trump jews.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
20021486

>>20021324
The economy was doing fucking amazing before the plague nuked the planet's economies. Stands to reason he will do a good job putting shit back together.

>> No.20021487

>>20021450
At the risk of sounding unpopular not all black people are retards and a surprising number support Donnie T.

>> No.20021522
File: 2.31 MB, 1728x767, A1800B64-F62F-4602-87FF-E298E783AFB6.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
20021522

1) Primaries
2) Pendulum
3) Publicity

Trump has already won. Screenshot this.

>> No.20021527

>>20021475
yeah because the last female presidential candidate worked out so well

>> No.20021560
File: 226 KB, 1440x2960, rqzzS2Q.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
20021560

Just bet on a Trump re-election indirectly by buying 2022 calls on oil companies
>invest in undervalued assets
>everyone and their grandma not going balls deep on oil companies when the price went negative
"Ah gee I wonder if negative $ per barrel makes this one an undervalued asset"

>> No.20021572

Trump's current price is likely to be EV+. He's 2.96 on Betfair, thats an implied probability of ~34%. Thats a serious underestimation, even if he's no longer the favourite. Very likely to shorten between now and November as the campaigns ramp up.

>> No.20021595

>>20021385
No he doesn't. That's how he won last time. Normal everyday Americans funded his campaign. Megadonor ultra-rich oligarchs funded Shillary.

>> No.20021631

>>20021595
Maybe he can ask Xi Jinping for donations.

>> No.20021638

>>20021212
Like most businesses I bet both for and against him. It's almost like you guys can only plan for one outcome at a time.

>> No.20021646

>>20021572
How does betting work?
Betting odds are dynamic so if you buy in at 1.3x does it stay that way or does it change when you want to "cash out"?

>> No.20021660

>>20021409
Most of the ones I had met seemed to be for trump in 2016.

>> No.20021664

>>20021212
that's a woman

>> No.20021673

He's going to win. The effect of people secretly supporting him has grown extremely strong the last month. BLM is out terrorizing cities, and the choice is either Trump or total collapse.

t. Berniebro

>> No.20021684

>>20021646
You get the odds as they were when you made the bet, the odds changing just affects any new bets. On a betting exchange you can back (bet on an outcome happening) or lay (bet on it not happening), so for example if you were to back Trump now at 2.96, and his price shortened to 2.50, you could then lay Trump at 2.50 and guarantee a profit.

>> No.20021749

>>20021673
Also Seattle might actually turn red because of all the CHOP violence, which would be totally unprecedented.

>> No.20021846

>>20021684
Thanks, appreciate your explanation.

>> No.20021874

>>20021673
so transparent, MIGA faggot

>> No.20022024

>>20021749
What violence? Dude the MSM has you brainwashed bad

>> No.20022047

>>20021284
You had better vote. I was going to vote Bernie, but we need to avoid a total BLM-induced collapse.

>> No.20022054
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20022054

>>20021212

Trump at +150 is getting interesting. Got 1/10th of my position wagered, will DCA in the next few weeks since I don't see anything that might help his election chances and I might get to buy some +200 Trump.

>> No.20022074

>>20022024
2 dead, five wounded

>> No.20022094

>>20021212
Trump for the max bet allowed, will wait a few more months for best odds and post my betslip here.

>>20021236
Desperation and it comes across as such

>> No.20022130

>>20021409
>>20021595
People must have short memory's

>> No.20022144

>>20021357
Are you seriously saying Trump's brain damage is worse than Bidens?

They're both way too old but at least Trump doesn't forget what he's saying every third sentence

>> No.20022174

>>20021212
I wouldn't bet against Trump as long as he runs against joe "sniffing grandpa" biden, but I don't have enough confidence in him to bet in his favor, godspeed at the anons who do, hopefully they will make a killing just like last time
>>20021236
Isn't this the third or the forth time they try that?

>> No.20022188

Once the polls start coming in which will show Biden as the favourite the odds should go up to about 4-4.50 for Trump so i'll put $1000 on him then, if I see anything go above 6.00 and its without any real reason i'll go another $500. I put $1500 on him last time and won close to $7000.

>> No.20022200

>>20022144
Nope, Biden’s is way worse....but trump’s is in display and can actively cause a problem. Biden’s brain will just run out of gas like an old car....trump’s is a time bomb that will either blow up someone else or us.>>20022144

>> No.20022245

>>20022024
CHOP has been an embarrassing failure pretty much since inception. This whole latest fiasco of mistaking a white Jeep for a white van and shooting two black teenagers is pretty much the nail in the coffin for them. Whatever they were trying to prove, they failed.

>> No.20022271
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20022271

>>20021749
Scary dumb bullshit doesn't sway people's minds nearly as much as you'd think. Case in point: Chicago's votes during the 2016 election

>> No.20022281

>>20022245
Wtf is chop?

>> No.20022293

>>20021212
For. He can't lose. and the payout on my sportsbet app is 2.85 : 1 right now.
>Only president recently not to start or aggravate a war
>Will pump the stock market higher come election time
>Blacks dont give a fuck about Biden

>> No.20022305

>>20022281
CHOPCHAZ

>> No.20022308

>>20021749
>12 votes
Who cares

>> No.20022329

I won 20k last election and intent to bet again, but I'm less sure and don't like current odds. So I'm also going to wait more

>> No.20022352

>>20022281
CHOP/CHAZ is the autonomous zone antifa/blm set up across six blocks of downtown Seattle. Police weren't allowed inside and food and supplies were set outside for free, attracting waves of homeless. It's pretty much been a shit show from start to finish, between the shootings, assault, armed militia security with little to no training, chokeholds, embarrassingly botched garden, sexual assault, theft, bad actors, kickass-era irl larp superheroes coming out of retirement to protect it, and so on.

It's basically been my prinary source of entertainment these last few weeks. The zones unfortunately shrunk quite a bit, with most people calling it quits, probably won't survive the next week or two.

>> No.20022354

>>20021212
Going to end up doing what I did in 2016, vote R and bet 1k on D. Fuck politics btw, it's a joke.

>> No.20022359
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20022359

Bet on Democratic Party, not Biden. Trump has zero chance with Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan all flipping blue

>> No.20022373

>>20022352
Wtf was their goal in attracting homeless, blacks and silver spoon thugs?

>> No.20022417

>>20022373
Doubt it was their goal as they just shot from the hip and thought it would be cool to be edgy and rebel cause fuck dad and fuck da police. As the poster you're replying said, it's been quite funny none the less.

>> No.20022433

>>20021595
Billionaire donors swooped in as soon as it was game time

>> No.20022436

>>20021212
I'm big into sports betting, and one of the big ways to win is to find an exciting team that's overvalued against a boring team with strong fundamentals that's undervalued. In May that was Biden, and I put money down. The market has corrected itself for the most part, but Trump should likely be lower DESU.

At this point in the game though, it's stupid to bet on either one. Some would argue that COVID adds volatility that could favor Trump, but it could just as well favor Biden, especially with mail in voting efforts being increased, so it's a moot point. Betting on Biden doesn't have a good enough payout, and though the potential payout on a Trump win is possible, the chances of that actually happening aren't worth putting more than $20 on.


>>20022144
People who run against Biden make this mistake over and over again.
>Biden speeches are 95% solid, 5% dumb shit.
>People play the dumb shit on TV over and over, and compilations of dumb shit go viral
>Everyone expects he'll be a total moron when he comes to the debates
>Expectations are set extremely low
>Biden does ok to good in the debate, saying very little, if no, dumb shit
>Expectations are set so low that Biden looks like he did a fantastic job, and his opponent is criticized for underestimating him

Rinse and repeat. This is the Joe Biden debate tactic, and it continues to work because people keep falling for it and saying he sounds brain damaged. As soon as they sit and watch him talk, especially if they're boomers, they quickly realize that he's not brain damaged, and can ignore the stupid shit he said.

In a way, Trump's team should understand this better than anyone, because this is similar to how Trump's low expectations made Clinton's so-so performances look much worse. But of course, that's not going to happen because the people who masterminded Trump's 2016 victory aren't working for him this time around. Seriously, whoever they got right now is a fucking joke.

>> No.20022438

For
100K
FTX

>> No.20022444

>>20021212
Hillary Clinton will be elected this year
Screen cap this

>> No.20022446

>>20022373
Well, the blacks are there because they've basically been coopting the BLM movement, they probably didn't have the foresight to predict the homeless or power going to the armed militia's head. The whole thing was designed to show that they don't need police, but they really, really fucked it up.

Which is a shame, because the police could use a bit of a reality check, but whatever, they're not even close to the most fucked up thing in America.

>> No.20022468

>>20022359
I wouldn't say that Florida is flipping blue this far out, but Michigan is a done deal due to a change in voting laws in the state, as is Arizona for a myriad of reasons. Pennsylvania is extremely likely too, but I think Trump still has as good a chance there as Biden has in Ohio or Texas, which is to say not as unlikely as you'd think, but still is an underdog.

>> No.20022521
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20022521

>>20022444
she'll be the nominee before or after the convention? that would be quite the ugly suckout if she replaces biden once he's nominated.

>> No.20022615
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20022615

Trump in a landslide. I'm flying to Vegas in September to see what the odds are on various events, but I expect him to win the popular vote. California is in play.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/06/winning-trump-approval-rate-41-among-likely-black-voters/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/06/20/calif_begins_removing_5_million_inactive_voters_on_its_rolls__140602.html#!
https://www.judicialwatch.org/tom-fittons-weekly-update/judicial-watch-uncovers-millions-on-dirty-voter-rolls/
https://www.judicialwatch.org/press-releases/judicial-watch-sues-to-force-north-carolina-to-clean-its-voter-rolls/
https://www.judicialwatch.org/press-releases/california-begins-massive-voter-roll-clean-up-notifies-up-to-1-5-million-inactive-voters-as-part-of-judicial-watch-lawsuit-settlement/

>Every Trump voter is voting Trump again
>Increasing minority support
>Biden is DOA
>Collapsing and apathetic D party
>There is no backup dem candidate
>No strong 3rd party

As Novermber draws closer, expect:

>Surging stock market
>Rebounding Economy
>Surge of anti-China nationalism
>Huge campaign promises that are bipartisan (I expect removal of money from politics, term limits, 1st & 2nd Amendment absolutism etc)

>> No.20022623

>>20022615
These are the max bets on Betway btw.

>> No.20022719

>>20022615
>bipartisan
>1st & 2nd Amendment absolutism
You don't watch much news do ya son

>> No.20022752

>>20022719
Perhaps you watch it too much. The events of 2020 starting to shake the normies' world view. Gun sales are at all time highs, and people are pushing back against cancel culture and political correctness. What % of voters identify with the far left?

>> No.20022773

>>20021357
>even the billionaires in NYC won’t even pretend to like him anymore

His campaign was predicated on "draining the swamp". Nice FUD. Are you still with her?

>> No.20022786

>>20022188
In what sites did you made the bet?

>> No.20022832

>>20022752
No I agree that most people (that is to say maybe 55-60%) would agree with that but that doesn't make them bipartisan issues. A large amount of people will still blindly vote D and R no matter what.

>> No.20022844

>>20022786
I made the bets at my local sports betting agency

>> No.20022950

>>20021212
Wait for a few months
Yes of course
Ftx or degens
Max

>> No.20023528

>>20022200
.... .... ....

>> No.20023600
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20023600

>>20021212
I think he wins by less than he did last time but at this point I don't give a fuck anymore, we need to balkanize and let each region of this land do their own shit politically. America was a beautiful expirement I suppose but it was too good for it's own people.

>> No.20023628

>>20021212
For Trump
Couple thousand $
Predictit.com

>> No.20023734

Gonna put 1k on trump. His base wont switch to biden. Moderate centrists are appaled by the protests and care mostly about economi. When shit gets bad they want a strong leader.

Beyond that, trump won last time on lesser budget than hillary. Now he has an enormous warchest filled with dollars, easily outraising that demented child sniffing biden.

>> No.20023744

>>20023600

No, certain regions just need to be genetically purged, and why, yes, this does include traiterous l*berals.

>> No.20024084
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20024084

American expat here.

I haven't lived in the states for 5 years, but I'm struggling to comprehend how the average person could look at what's happening with BLM being shoved down everyone's throats and the blatant lies and hypocrisy not even being hidden and think that what's going on with the left is at all sane or rational. I can't help but feel that Trump is going to win in a landslide because people are fucking afraid to speak out against the insanity going on and just pretend to toe the line and go with it because they don't want joggers to run through their home or an angry mob to get them fired for wrong think. I can't fathom that tearing down statues and the overt hypocrisy when it comes to black and white crime statistics sits well with even the average normie.

Or is all of this crazy indoctrination cult shit actually being supported by the average person even in private? I've been on 4chan too long so maybe I'm just biased and give normies way too much credit.

>> No.20024473

Europoor but made good money on Trump last time. I'm even more certain now he will again. All tactics the Dems try to use actually backfire and strengthen Trump's support. Gonna drop a 1000GBP on him.

>> No.20024477

>>20021212
I might bet against him, that way I win no matter what happens.

>> No.20024524

>>20024477
Let's be honest though. The US NEEDS Trump right now and anything else will lead to further destruction. Even though my US brothers are weird as fuck with no sense of humour they are still our brothers and I hate watching what's happening right now with the extreme left running free.

>> No.20024584

>>20024084
Americans are negrofied and Judaic. They exist to stuff their mouths with unhealthy food from fast food "restaurants" with which they have an emotional attachment and to serve the interests of international finance re-branded under pseudonyms such as “freedom and democracy.” Due to their propensity to be literate, without the slightest inclination to reading anything beyond fiction or the lives of deified sports figures, they are easily propagandized into the ideas of Americanism - nominalism, materialism, relativism - political messianism and exceptionalism.

They do not question their presuppositions and live meager lives dedicated to the worship of bread and circus, investment markets and rootless cosmopolitanism. Social engineering is a powerful weapon against those without a history and tradition. Americans are the epitome of this phenomena.

>> No.20025168

>>20021749
>Seattle might actually turn red
this is why you should never take any financial advice from anyone on /biz/
there are motherfuckers on here stupid enough to think that a majority of people in SEATTLE might vote for trump.

>> No.20025177

>>20021212
Betting for Trump is equally to betting against USA.
Therefore, I bet for Trump

>> No.20025265
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20025265

Way ahead of you

>> No.20026639

>>20022074
They dindu nuffin

>> No.20026823

>>20022024
>CHAZ/CHOP
>What violence?

Are you actually living under a rock?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capitol_Hill_Autonomous_Zone#Shootings

>> No.20026848

>>20021450
absolutely retarded. no one gives a shit about the vp, especially blacks

>> No.20026934

>>20021227
That's trump

>> No.20026956

>>20021315
I think it's down either way

>> No.20026983

>>20024084
does it even matter?
trump has been prez for 4 years and hasnt done shit to stop any of this. I dont see how biden would be worse

>> No.20026989

>>20021236
>CNN TOLD ME THIS TIME IT’S OVER FOR TRUMP

>> No.20027002

>>20021212
You can bet on 1xBet it's odd 5 right now.

>> No.20027105

>>20023628
how? that site only allows a small bet

>> No.20027252

>>20022144
Lmao you guys honestly brainwashed yourselves into thinking Trump isn’t severely demented. He is literally losing motor control. Have you ever watched him speak he literally can’t finish a sentence. What the fuck is wrong with you people