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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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19358187 No.19358187 [Reply] [Original]

>Analysts are expecting quarterly earnings growth of -40.6% in Q2, -23.0% in Q3, and -11.4% in Q4.
>For reference, Q1 earnings growth was -13.6%.
>Many companies chose to drop earnings guidance due to the uncertainty of Covid-19. This may place future quarterly estimates too high, meaning that a slow drip of bad news and a period of revisions to earnings forecasts lie ahead.

>The S&P 500's forward P/E is 20.4, above the 5-year average (16.7) and the 10-year average (15.1). This indicates an overvaluation.
>Since March 23rd, the price of the S&P 500 has increased by 28.8%, while the EPS (ftm) estimate has decreased by 16.2%.

>The trillions of dollars in liquidity being injected into the market by the Fed is artificially stabilizing the market and exacerbating asset prices.
>This over-reliance on central bank intervention, coupled with grim Q2 projections, means a major correction is in store.
>This will likely occur once the Fed decreases their buying in coming weeks from $2.4 billion to $608 million in financial assets per hour, a 75% reduction.

>> No.19358313

>2.4 billion per hour

Wtf lol

>> No.19358361

>>19358313
for the past 8 weeks

>> No.19358383

>>19358187
this was all said in 2010 too

>> No.19358423
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19358423

>>19358187
The only thing that's overvalued are e-commerce and tech stocks which dominate the indices.

>> No.19358516
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19358516

>>19358423
Half the sectors have fwd P/E ratios greater than their 5-yr and 10-yr averages.
That's not to say that e-commerce and tech stocks aren't disproportionately overvalued.

>> No.19358605

>>19358516
Your chart is telling you to long financials.