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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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>> No.19137879

What in absolute TArdation?

>> No.19137910

>>19137879
fibb retracement setting up supports and resistances out to the 70's

>> No.19137918

Argentina & Buenos Aires Province may default on a combined total of ~ $72 billion in government bonds later this month. Buenos Aires has already been downgraded into 'selective default' by S&P Global.

>> No.19137922

>>19137879
fibb retracement of the great depression setting up supports and resistances out to the 70's

>> No.19137935
File: 119 KB, 1276x714, 2020-05-16_13-26-34.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19137935

Great new series with Sven Henrich, Dan Nathan, and Guy Adami. Guy/Dan are some of the very few people on CNBC that ever dare to criticize the Fed's actions, and I think you all know Sven's standpoint (@NorthmanTrader). Anyway this is outside the restrictions and pressures of a cable network so there's actually some really good back and forth discussion here
https://youtu.be/cLqCLBD_7Ds

Last week: https://youtu.be/hRAk__R30Kg

>> No.19137971
File: 46 KB, 288x358, question.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19137971

Boeing, Apple, Qualcomm and TSM are essentially fucked, no?

>> No.19138008
File: 26 KB, 357x275, hh-debt2.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138008

There is no debt issue.

>> No.19138009
File: 68 KB, 350x350, 1536089132754.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138009

>there are people on here right now with both KO and PEP

>> No.19138035

>>19138009
>there are people with either KO or PEP

>> No.19138034
File: 465 KB, 476x813, merchant (the other merchant).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138034

>>19138009
That's so devious it would make jews jealous

>> No.19138060

Why haven't you got into gold/silver miners yet, lads?

>> No.19138111

>>19137935
I hope your mother dies a painful and slow death

>> No.19138121
File: 11 KB, 196x200, 1468954281984.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138121

Any realistic possibility of VNQ going below 65?
I want cheap real estate before banks buy it all and keep it empty

>> No.19138128
File: 11 KB, 236x317, drinkbird.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138128

>>19138009
>he bought KO and PEP

>> No.19138144

I think Amazon will be toast in a few months

7 dead of China Shivers and counting, if they keep going which they will, theyll be either ordered to stop or the employees'll fuck off

>> No.19138156

BP a good buy on Thursday? Or wait to see if they cut the dividends?

>> No.19138173
File: 962 KB, 1500x981, 1578396594542.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138173

Amazon, Tesla, Boeing, RCL
USO, PG&E, LibertyTripAvisor.B, SQQQ Calls

>> No.19138203
File: 951 KB, 960x960, 1580960180980.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138203

Quick reminder that you're all major gay and I have biggest bepis
Brb, gonna drink a shitload of bleach

>> No.19138206

Where can i get info on how to make more money as a broker from traders?

>> No.19138207

>>19138173
>SQQQ calls

literally throwing away money

>> No.19138218
File: 17 KB, 428x555, Screenshot_2020-05-16 VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate ETF Vanguard.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138218

>>19138121
>40% specialized REITS
>golf courses, movie theatres, race tracks...
I bet it gets lower, with everything else.

>> No.19138226
File: 280 KB, 907x1431, amazon is finished.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138226

>>19138144
They are also refusing to say how many employees are infected/sick, staff are already refusing to return to work just like the meatpacking plants
https://www.theverge.com/2020/5/14/21259474/amazon-warehouse-worker-death-indiana

>> No.19138243
File: 5 KB, 876x37, file.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138243

>>19138207
*ahem*

>> No.19138260

>>19138121
I bought it at 70 because I'm a retard, I think it can go down lower, will probably hold it for a while for the divvy

>> No.19138261
File: 451 KB, 629x489, 1588022596086.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138261

>>19138060
I have Barrick, Newmont, Kinross. Will add yamana and wheaton metals. I should of bought Guyana gold fields before the merger.

>> No.19138281

>>19138121
You're waiting for a 5% drop? That's a difference in yield of approximately nothing

>> No.19138288

Anyone knows if the JCP ticker is gonna exist on Monday, and what direction it will go?

Shorted 1000 stocks at 024 because they were shilled to go up to 1$ in reddit and here.

>> No.19138294

>>19138261
Correction, Guyana gold fields is considering a meter with gran Colombia. Guyana gold fields is 94 cents a share right now.

>> No.19138318

>>19138294
merger*

>> No.19138325

>>19138281
thing is you can never wait for an ideal entry point with that Jerome fuck buying every rotten shit in sight

>> No.19138340

>>19138060
I have Barrick and a junior miner ETF. Both undervalued IMO - production is declining and Barrick has some cheap mines producing mountains of cash. Can buy up all the good shit.

Impossible to pick juniors without deep knowledge of mining and geology so just buying the index in this case.

>> No.19138349
File: 150 KB, 328x241, wait what.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138349

>>19138288
>Anyone knows if the JCP ticker is gonna exist on Monday, and what direction it will go?
If its delisted you will still be able to "buy" the stock to cover your shorts.
The price will be around 0.00 of course so a full profit. Thats how it works with options at least.

Thats said
>Gambling with pennies

>> No.19138357

>>19138325
I bought xom, jpm, wfc, cnk and dal on Friday 1 minute before close. I don't know anything about smart decisions.

>> No.19138394

>>19138349
Its not dumb if I make money weeb.

>> No.19138418
File: 611 KB, 780x720, smug 23.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138418

>>19138357
>JPM
Ouch. Hope you at least start hating Buffett.
>>19138394
It can be profitable AND retarded desu.
But whatever works for you.

>> No.19138435

Is there any way to tell if a company is going to cut a dividend despite claiming that they won't biz? Specifically I am talking about certain aspects of the balance sheet such as current holdings to expense ratio or cash on hand etc.?

>> No.19138446

>>19138325
that's what dca is for

>> No.19138451

>>19138418
>Buffett
>Old man who refuses to use computers and who's claim to fame is buying coke stock 50 years ago and sitting on it
What about him?

>> No.19138505
File: 5 KB, 187x170, Screenshot 2020-05-16 at 5.39.37 PM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138505

What the fuck is this pattern? Going downstairs?

>> No.19138539

>>19138505
Hold, it will bounce back!
C'mon, hold!
Hold!!!
I give up, sell

Repeat

>> No.19138550

>>19138435
As a general rule, dividends come from net profits. If the company has no net profit, there is no dividend.

Some companies have a big enough profit margin that they can continue to pay dividends even when revenue drops - it just means they do so as an alternative to investing that money in growth or maintaining an cash operating buffer.

>> No.19138567
File: 462 KB, 1294x640, index.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138567

>>19138451
What do you mean?
>Buffett slashes Goldman Sachs stake, trims JPMorgan
>The company cut its investment in JPMorgan Chase & Co. by 3% in the first quarter. Buffett’s company has been a big investor in banks in the past, normally trying to keep many of those stakes below a 10% level often scrutinized by regulators.

Buffett has an army of boomer fucks following his "advice". JPM will definitely dump monday.

>> No.19138617

Buffett trims stocks down below 10% stake to avoid liability. The real news isn't JPM it's the bank he took a bite of and dumping goldman

>> No.19138634
File: 21 KB, 433x222, JCP.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138634

So how many of you morons bought JCP because it was a cheapie?

>> No.19138639

>>19138567
It's a bee's dick away from its March low, it can certainly drop more. But that's why I put in $1k and not $10k

>> No.19138663

>>19138226
It’s an employers market, especially so for amazon. They can either hire other unemployed ppl desperate enough for a pay check to risk infection or they’ll increase investment into automation and simply remove those jobs permanently.

>> No.19138666

>>19138634
Jeff Bezos came here and said he was going to buy it.

>> No.19138677

>>19138663
Wrong. They don't pay more than unemployment does.

>> No.19138680
File: 571 KB, 800x640, shrug 8.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138680

>>19138617
Buffett holds way less than 10% in JPM as far as Im aware. And he dumped like 2 million of this stack, which is basically nothing.
It will still trigger some boomer cunts.

GS is obviously way more fucked.
>>19138639
Makes sense. Good luck

>> No.19138688

Can anyone explain what the macroeconomics of the next few years are going to look like? I've heard some pretty frightening stuff.

>> No.19138697

>>19138567
Just like when he said the entire market was going down and announced he dumped all airlines (at the bottom) am I right? Oh... wait.

>> No.19138729

>>19138677
And then what happens when the boosted unemployment stops and returns to normal levels? Those ppl who walked off will need to find new jobs. Employers may not look kindly on ppl who refused the order from their employer regardless of the situation. Companies want dependable and reliable workers.

>> No.19138733

>>19138697
I think every sane person had already dumped their airlines though.
We will see on monday. I think GS will get -6% easily. Maybe some other banks down a bit too.

Im happy to be wrong, because that means less and less people listen to the guy.

>> No.19138738

>>19138688
World is a fuck
28765860 dead boomers
I am corona man

>> No.19138759
File: 174 KB, 640x948, 768A5A29-A4D0-4311-A809-C7C2C5FA1192.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138759

>>19138688
IF we stay shut down, UBI will be implemented, which will put a floor on demand. Rich people will keep buying assets and consolidate wealth. Pic related. CBs will brrrr to maintain liquidity.

The realistic scenario is that countries re-open, a lot of people will die. GDP will hit a road bump and keep trucking on.

>> No.19138764
File: 430 KB, 1200x1767, Amanita_muscaria_(fly_agaric).jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138764

SHRM is love

SHRM is life

>> No.19138766

>>19138688
People are going to go fucking mental spending big in casinos, hotels, road trips, and now that they're all working from home they can work during the day and gamble at night and then drive to the next adventure to wash away any memory of the oppression they lived through

>> No.19138791
File: 75 KB, 1494x572, Screen Shot 2020-05-16 at 2.49.15 PM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138791

>All this hate against Based Buffett's Basket of Berkshire Bucks

SEETHING RETARDS BUYING FINANCIALS AND AIRLINES AT THE BEGINNING OF A GLOBAL DEPRESSION

If you listened to Munger and Buffett months ago, you'd understand that they want to have cash on hand to keep their businesses afloat. Geico, Dairy Queen, See's Candy, Net Jets, Duracell, Fruit of the Loom, Nebraska Furniture Mart, etc. aren't going to get bailouts.

>>19138128
>>19138009
>>19138035
Imagine not owning two of the greatest American companies... and two of the few multinationals who will thrive during the backlash against globalism

Two of my largest RH positions, as well as IRA positions.

>>19138764
you ever try muscaria?
I posted about those canadian publicly traded psychedelic companies a while back, surprised anyone actually tried putting money in them...

>> No.19138794

>>19138729
>And then what happens when the boosted unemployment stops and returns to normal levels?
Then yes, it will BECOME an employers' market for the low-wagers. But that also assumes several things, like that the people who are profiting off unemployment now didn't have better work conditions in their previous job and aren't easily employable in the same generic area. Which is, to be fair, very likely.
But it is absolutely not CURRENTLY an employers' market.

>> No.19138814

Kek, if your planning to hold a company's stock for "life" then what does it matter to you about this short term shit other than it being a damn good time to buy more of it. The company will rebound. The stock price will go up, meanwhile you'll be sitting back relaxing while your wealth goes up. Sounds like a damn good plan to me, but hey what do I know.. other than I've got 63 years to go till I hit 100. Think about all those gains I'm gonna make during those 63 years.. Buying during this epic dip is like a gift from god.

>> No.19138844
File: 173 KB, 693x608, 2020-05-14 (2).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138844

>>19138729
>And then what happens when the boosted unemployment stops and returns to normal levels?
Anon, what do you mean? It wont return to normal levels in year. Nobody is getting re-hired. Hiring stops on large scaled and job openings are falling down a cliff right now. Everyone is cutting workers. Large corps are working fine with distance working and small business are going bankrupt at the fastest speed right now.

Pic unrelated, but for the TA /smg/ thread.

>> No.19138845
File: 208 KB, 456x428, db2c7e007f70e7068e964e16f02f0681.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138845

>>19138759
>The realistic scenario is that countries re-open, a lot of people will die. GDP will hit a road bump and keep trucking on.
I think it'll be a mix. If you were a governor, and you knew the money store was open 24/7, would you want to let your voters die knowing you could be blamed if it gets out of hand?

>>19137971
>hating buffett
>thinking Apple, QCOM, and TSM are fucked
is your brain broken?

>> No.19138863

>>19138766
This doesn't sound right. In the US alone millions have lost their jobs, huge drops in retail sales, even if the lockdown is lifted soon the economy seems pretty fucked.

>> No.19138869
File: 167 KB, 1920x1080, 1489615705363.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138869

>24 hours until futures open

>> No.19138894

>>19138845
>is your brain broken?
Yes.
Doesnt mean I cant hate the old tard for saying stuff though. Too many people follow his orders and he makes a profit off of them.
>thinking Apple, QCOM, and TSM are fucked
Short term? Probably. With the news on China coming out I doubt they have much upside potential for now.

I also memed myself into buying KO shares and they dropped off a cliff just after that so Im a bit buttbothered by that.
>>19138869
Weekends are so boring.

>> No.19138916

>>19138863
Look at the world news. Every country that ends lockdown turns into a super bowl party. People who lost their job are not people who spend big in Vegas or hotels or road trips anyway so their money won't even be missed

>> No.19138918

>>19138688
>Contraction in consumer demand
>This causes falling prices and production cuts
>This causes unemployment
>This causes government to print money to support unemployed
>Money goes into cost of living staples and infrastructure programs
>Increased spending bids up commodity prices
>This causes inflation
>This causes a policy response (either higher interest rates or letting inflation take place)

So good investment strategy is contrarian
>Contraction in consumer demand
>This causes falling prices and production cuts
>This causes unemployment
>This causes government to print money to support unemployed
You are here
>Money goes into cost of living staples and infrastructure programs
Sell staples, buy industrials
>Increased spending bids up commodity prices
Sell industrials, buy gold
>This causes inflation
>This causes a policy response
>A. High interest rates
Sell gold and buy high interest treasuries and real estate
>Letting inflation take place
Sell gold, move to a different country

>> No.19138938
File: 413 KB, 650x1200, 1501989688824.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138938

you can't say "cunning" without "cunny"

>> No.19138942

>>19138916
>People who lost their job are not people who spend big in Vegas or hotels or road trips anyway so their money won't even be missed

I don't think this kind of spending makes up that much of the real economy.

>> No.19138952

>>19138791
>I posted about those canadian publicly traded psychedelic companies a while back, surprised anyone actually tried putting money in them...
SHRM has an actual cash on cash revenue growth strategy, the others are shitcoins

>> No.19138961

>>19138942
But if all you hold is aple, mgm and xom it's all that matters <3

>> No.19138973

The economy is toasted and with the pandemic still face-fucking itll stay that way

We have 50 individual states that will take turns lifting restrictions and then closing again when everything gets all fucked up as well as an uncoordinated pandemic response team thats bleeding experts because Trump likes putting his fingers in everyones fucking pie. And itll stay that way until faith in th Federal government is erroded completely, and the value of the dollar has been absolutely decimated in an ironic twist.

>> No.19138977
File: 11 KB, 454x520, 1565007946642.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138977

>why yes I post anime pictures on /smg/ how could you tell?

>> No.19138983

>>19138916
No they're the motherfuckers who are overleveraged on auto loans and cellphone loans contracts. The 40m people that commute to work every day, that need oil, the oil that drums up 8% of US GDP. The oil industry that employs a substantial portion of the populace.

>thinking vegas is going to pop
You're a fucking idiot.

>> No.19138996
File: 1.18 MB, 1772x1393, slave chart.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138996

>>19138977
Pick one senpai

>> No.19138997
File: 390 KB, 640x480, Screen Shot 2020-05-16 at 2.22.45 PM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19138997

>>19138918
Interesting playbook... did you come up with this yourself?

>>19138894
>Too many people follow his orders and he makes a profit off of them.
He's been getting so much hate lately. Looks unwarranted to me. He had to give a speech, and he said don't bet against the US, but was pretty straightforward about how difficult things are going to be short term. People were frothing at the mouth. What was he supposed to do?

>>19138938
I'm getting real fucking annoyed with cunny right now, pic related

>> No.19138998

>>19138973
Sweden stayed open, had no waves, the lockdowns were to flatten the curve and give hospitals time to prepare, the curve has been flattened and hospitals are prepared, there is no further reason to keep lockdowns.

>> No.19139004

>>19138973
I can guarantee you one thing, another lockdown will never happen, even if cases somehow skyrocket and deaths are going for a 2017/2018 buttcoin moon mission. This would result in an economical breakdown and US is already fucked.

>> No.19139011

>>19138973
Wrong. It will reopen, 10% of all boomers will die ushering in a new golden age, and America will be remembered once more as the Greatest Country on Earth and the Land of Opportunities. The American Dream will be back and for once, our generation will be able to work for a reason, not merely to prop up our masters as the slaves we are.

>> No.19139021

im getting some qcom calls if it dips dips to 70-73

>> No.19139022

>>19138035
KO is 100% of my Roth IRA

>> No.19139035
File: 51 KB, 305x303, happy heart eyes.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139035

>>19138997
>What was he supposed to do?
I dont blame him for saying these things or doing what he does. I hate him for being able to manipulate boomers into doing stuff. He could fart and some people would do TA on that.

Its a dislike based on the effects, not the causes.

>> No.19139044
File: 56 KB, 1251x1203, up and down.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139044

reposting my favorite screenshot i've taken through all this.
2% candle on the 1min chart of the fucking S&P

>> No.19139045
File: 25 KB, 306x410, 12851416-0-image-a-1_1556528947590.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139045

I did a preliminary screening of some great covered call opportunities for next weeks earnings.
FL - Foot Locker, Inc.
WB - Weibo Corp
KSS - Kohl's Corporation
GPS - Gap Inc
VIPS - Vipshop Holdings
HRL - Hormel Foods Corp
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co

These companies have earnings reports coming out next week. The premiums on near the money options are at 2% or greater. WB and FL have the highest premiums percentage at 5% and 8%. This is a good opportunity to make a low risk play with decent upside. The strategy I am executing is to purchase shares in lots of 100 and sell covered calls to collect the premiums at the start of the week (or the Friday before the weekend).

An example:
Buy 200 shares of FL at $23.50 for a total of $4700
Sell weekly calls at $24 for about $1.50 each, net credit of $300.
Possible results:
Week ends at $26 (+10.6%) = $5100 ($24*200 + $300 from calls) (+8.5%) : Delta: -2.1%
Week ends at $25 (+6.4%) = $5100 ($24*200 + $300 from calls) (+8.5%) : Delta: +2.1%
Week ends at $24 (+2.1%) = $5100 ($24*200 + $300 from calls) (+8.5%) : Delta: +6.4%
Week ends at $23 (-2.1%) = $4900 ($23*200 + $300 from calls) (+4.2%) : Delta: +6.4%
Week ends at $22 (-6.4%) = $4700 ($22*200 + $300 from calls) (+0%) : Delta: +6.4%
Week ends at $21 (-10.6%) = $4500 ($21*200 + $300 from calls) (-4.3%) : Delta: +6.3%

Note: When the Call is not executed, you may choose to continue to hold the stock and wait for it to rise again.

As you can see, with such a high premium, the upside for covered calls is quite high and the downside is partially mitigated. If you are expecting a drop you can sell deeper in the money calls, and if you think it will pop, you can sell higher out of the money calls.

Previous weeks covered call results:
200 DKNG selling May 15 25C / Cost Basis: $4847 (-$258) / Outcome: $5258 (+8.5%)

>> No.19139048

>>19138008
I am starting to think the post-2008 recovery was bullshit

>> No.19139051

>>19138203
What a big rod

>> No.19139058

>>19138998
Swedish people are the most cucked ones of all. Sweden had a partial lockdown, gatherings up to 50 ppl were forbidden. People voluntary stayed at home - obviously, if you follow MSM once, nobody wants to be part of an experiment. But i agree with you, lockdowns will never happen again.

>> No.19139080

>>19139048
It was, it was entirely propped up by even more debt and the one time someone tried to do something about it, the minicrash of 2019 happened.

>> No.19139099

>>19139080
Keep propping it up further, boomers have max 10-20years to go, then the don't need to care anymore.

>> No.19139118

>>19139045
I'd rather do a straddle desu senpai.

>> No.19139132

>>19138983
>You're a fucking idiot.
Casinos are like 65% of Nevada tax revenue. Nevada won't let them suffer for long.

>> No.19139152

>>19139080
The djia struggled with 27000 for a long time before it finally broke through and then this happened. I don’t think we get back there for a bunch of years.

>> No.19139162

>>19139045
>Doing CC on stocks based on premiums not your will to actually hold the stock long term
Just buy options then.

>BABA
>PYPL
>FB
>AMD
Or NVDA with lmao 60 IV

>> No.19139168
File: 133 KB, 969x905, stock-buybacks-aggregate-net-total-by-year-chart-from-1990-to-2019.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139168

>>19139048
>>19138008
No shit. Companies learned that they can do whatever they want and government will save them. On top of that, they could fudge the numbers just a bit in combination with stock buy backs to sky rocket the price of shares. If you paid attention to the latest earnings, you'd see something interesting. How did these companies perform so well despite the catastrophe? The truth is, they were never performing that well to begin with. They took out loans and bought back stocks and manipulated earnings to balloon their value, which let them get more loans and repeat the process. This is why buy backs is a controversial topic right now, its good for share holders but it gives the illusion of growth when in reality the company has been stagnant. Remember the mantra: Green line go up!

>> No.19139182

>>19138998
Sweden has 1/30th of our population. If you do some quick sloppy maths and scaled their deaths up to our population which is 30 x 3,674 they would have 110,000 deaths as of right now.
And theyre still steadily on the rise.

If it was an experiment to just let it happen and expect it to be better, it would have failed.
It was just acceptance of the fact and to just roll with it. And that aint working. Their death toll is 1/7th of their case count. There is no cause for celebration, my guy

>> No.19139233
File: 242 KB, 812x693, 1589337509985.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139233

>>19139022
You should diversify into the ultimate snacking stock, PEP. People gonna eat chips and drink BANG! even if the bars and restaurants stay closed.

>>19139035
>Akai Mato reaction pics
nice.

>> No.19139246

>>19139118
They are fundamentally different strategies. Straddle has much higher risk. Your capital is all up front and if the stock does not move enough you may lose all the value. Covered calls is a low risk (some may say even no risk) strategy to generate weekly income.

>>19139162
>Just buy options
Terrible idea, and not even close to equivalent. This specific covered call strategy is based on the options premium increase around earnings. You mitigate risk by purchasing shares, and collect a premium to benefit from theta and minimize downside risk. You can quite safely make 1% per week if you put in the time and effort to research appropriate stocks.

>> No.19139272

all the billionaire boomers and their doom saying are scaring me. should i liquidate everything? im 40% in equity right now.

>> No.19139276

>>19139246
You seem to be extremely new in option trading my dude. You have a shitton of reading to do before you perform those trades you're eyeing. I strongly encourage you to get to it, and against your current investment plans.

>> No.19139291
File: 108 KB, 720x469, 1565740632588.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139291

>>19139233
PEP is such a great stock
It's a stealth Frito-Lay/Gatorade buy
anyone who doesn't buy PEP is unaware

>>19139272
steady in, steady out
if you aren't sure, don't sell more than 5% of your stack in a day, that's just being emotional
look at the stocks you hold, decide which one(s) you would sell if you have to, then decide... if you were all in cash now, would you buy that stock at that price?

>> No.19139334

Is it a good idea to buy a shit ton of TVIX to prevent my positions(margin) from going bust?

I mean if it goes below 100 corona shit is over and my stuff will go up.

Is my thought correct?

>> No.19139335
File: 13 KB, 1100x82, Annotation 2020-05-15 110723c.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139335

>>19139291
>>19139233
bepisfag reporting in

>> No.19139350
File: 205 KB, 640x645, 1589182881990.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139350

>>19139058
Look up the early reopening of San Francisco during the Spanish flu

>> No.19139357

>>19138996
if I have to, sleepy. You should still consider sudoku tho fren

>> No.19139369
File: 100 KB, 532x792, coveredvsstrangle3.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139369

>>19139276
>Covered Call vs Straddle
You'll need to explain why these two strategies are comparable first.

>> No.19139373

>>19139334
lol no dude just no. Buy a put on your big holdings and pray to Jerome

>> No.19139382
File: 108 KB, 1243x1207, Screenshot (1193).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139382

>>19139291
>PEP is such a great stock
whoa, KO chads how do you respond?
white in pic related is PEP

>> No.19139418

>>19139246
Now what if the earnings do not go your way and it dumps? Or what if it goes to the moon?
In both cases, both probable around earnings, you are stuck with 100 shares you do not actually want.
Meanwhile doing them with mid IV blue Chips a sudden dump just means you will need to hodl for a week.

>> No.19139452

>>19139373
So its correct thinking. Good to know.

>> No.19139461
File: 2.43 MB, 2463x2698, cb51b10590dc226e8d66d7510a84acb2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139461

>>19138996
FUCK this is tough. It's easy to disqualify the shitty ones like sleepy, disdain, bratty, cold...

Scratch that, Cool Type is the best as long as there's no pegging involved. If that's mandatory... then it's a no.

Cool > Tomboy > Smug > Ara Ara
The rest suck, but
Sleepy > Disdain > Bratty > Bully >

>>19139357
>lazy GF
>Not sweaty athletic workout buddy GF who aggressively fucks you for makeup sex
you actually WANT a dead fish?
Are you a virgin?

>> No.19139476

>>19139369
Cringe, anon. Just cringe. Go read a book!

>> No.19139503

>>19139418
>What if it moons?
I make money. No need to be greedy.
>What if it dumps
I lose less than if I were just holding stocks. Sometimes you lose, just move on. I could even sell deeper ITM calls if I'm worried.
Of course I'm not against just buying KO or GSK and selling covered called, its just a level of risk. A way to play earnings with less risk than purely options. If someone thinks its going up 20%, I'll be happy to sell them that call.

>> No.19139534

>>19139503
Yikes! READ NIGGA READ!

>> No.19139573

>we are still in this damn crab
I stuck with the plan I made 3 weeks ago and started pulling money out until I knew where we were going. Now I have almost no money in the market for short or long plays.
I WANT OUT OF CRABTOWN

>> No.19139587
File: 52 KB, 1177x662, zoomzoom.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139587

>>19139118
>>19139276
>>19139476
>>19139534
>yikes
>read a book
>doesn't suggest any books
>doesn't explain his reasoning
>pretends to be superior

>> No.19139599
File: 300 KB, 1500x900, foxalsosnakealsofrog.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139599

Plowing through the whole watchlist now. Only thing that looks really interesting to me is silver. That was a pretty significant break out for it on Friday. Gold too but silver more.

>> No.19139622
File: 202 KB, 619x438, 1567015387196.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139622

>>19139503
Less money than if you actually held those calls though.

Bit it seems you gave this more thought than I believed at first, if you are aware of the risk of hodling a stock with no redeeming qualities long term. All I do is write options and over time I figured no premium is worth a stock I dont want. If you are better at selecting than I am... more power to you.
I had the best success and least worries with blue chip tech and fintech

>> No.19139623

>>19139246
>Straddle has much higher risk. Your capital is all up front and if the stock does not move enough you may lose all the value. Covered calls is a low risk (some may say even no risk) strategy to generate weekly income.

How is a straddle much higher risk when you spend much less capital for the same amount of potential gain you that would get with selling covered calls?

>> No.19139632

>>19139587
Only zoomers refuse to educate themselves before risking their money on things they have no understanding of and can lead to complete loss of capital.

>> No.19139636

>>19139599
I like gold more than silver

>> No.19139646

>>19139573
Your hands are weak, this crab market will separate the chaff from the wheat.

>> No.19139661

>>19139623
>same amount of potential gain you that would get with selling covered calls?
Straddles are infinite gain potential, upfront limited risk. You're thinking of iron corridor, or reverse iron butterfly, perhaps?

>> No.19139662

>>19139573
t. paper hands

>> No.19139709
File: 48 KB, 680x665, 1589280044713.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139709

>>19139461
>cool
The bitch is going to be stuck up and will always grift to the next coolest thing
>tomboy
Oh wow that chick with only guy friends because "women are too bitchy" while ignoring the fact she is too much of a bitch to make other women friends.

The rest are OK and getting pegged by a girl you are in a relationship with is like throwing her respect for you out the window.

>> No.19139786

>>19139622
This is supposed to be a compromise between low risk stable stocks and high risk buying options. I screened these companies based on market cap ($1B+), weekly options, higher than average premiums and had upcoming earnings report. I do not actually plan on holding these stocks long term. Its partially inspired by iron condor which would probably be a superior play, but still more risky and is not allowed in all account types. Covered calls can even be used in a retirement account.

>> No.19139857
File: 203 KB, 1075x1027, Screenshot (1194).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139857

where were you when china became kill?

>> No.19139858

>>19139661
Covered calls have unlimited downside risk too. If the stock makes a sharp drop, you'll lose a lot.

Let's say a stock costs $100 per share. You need to own 100 shares, worth $10000, to sell a call option contract. With a straddle, you need, let's say, around $1000 (amount varies on option chosen), to take a 3-week position.

If the stock drops 50%, you're going to lose $5000 minus the premium on options you sold. But with a straddle, my max loss is just $1000, and I still have the option to sell at a loss. With your covered call, you can't do anything with your shares until the call option you've sold is expired. Upside risk is unlimited (stock goes up) and downside risk is unlimited (stock goes down). You can potentially lose more than $10000.

>> No.19139866

How soon will Tesla be at 1000?

>> No.19139868

>>19139858
>too
Anon, please. Read the post again. P.s.: I didn't bother reading the rest of your post.

>> No.19139885

>>19139868
Okay, you're retarded then.

>> No.19139887

>>19139866
Next week nigga.

>> No.19139906

>>19139887
>>19139866
Why are you guys buying tesla?

>> No.19139934

So what's happening with oil? The futures contracts are up next week, is it going to be like last month where the price goes negative because no one has anywhere to store it?

>> No.19139940

>>19139885
Why are options too complicated for /smg/ retards? It's not that hard. You have limited upside on covered calls (the premium received) and maximum downside is 100% of stock value minus premium received.
Straddles' maximum downside is premium paid, while there is no limit to upside. Stock goes to infinite, straddle profit is infinity minus strike, minus premium paid. Stock goes to 0, straddle profit is strike minus premium paid.
It's so simple! Why can't simpletons on /smg/ get it right?

>> No.19139965
File: 279 KB, 1500x1200, foxalso350.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19139965

>>19139857
fuck china

>> No.19139978

>>19139940
If retail investors could easily win writing contracts why do you think market makers buy them?

>> No.19139985

>>19139934
Not clear. It appears that there are no institutional investors long on june futures at all, it's all retail. Notice the volume as well, which suggests likewise. Cushing sure as hell doesn't have a single barrel's worth of capacity to spare so no retail trader could possibly find the storage needed to hold unto the barrels for physical delivery. What this means exactly is not clear. The only option seems to be retail booking tankers, but at the spot price they're operating, that doesn't appear to be any option.

>> No.19140042

>>19139940
You're right. I was retarded in that post. I thought you were this poster. >>19139246 But my original point is still correct, much less risk to do straddle versus a covered call for the same amount of gain.

>> No.19140069

What broker to use if you're a leaf?

>> No.19140074
File: 1.20 MB, 1275x1013, 1587161266016.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140074

>>19139965
based
fuck china

>> No.19140079

>>19139857
China isn't a developing country? Didn't Trump say immigrants are all from shithole countries?

>> No.19140081

>>19140042
Sure bro
>>19140069
Interactive brokers for a comprehensive solution. Wealthsimple trade to daytrade canuck stocks.

>> No.19140093
File: 391 KB, 599x656, 1585371683438.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140093

>>19139623
>potential gains
The fallacy of infinite upside. Whens the last time you saw a stock price go to infinity? The larger the move, the more unlikely it will happen.
I am measuring based on total capital used and limited downside potential. For a covered called, all the capital goes into stock. For a straddle, all the capital goes into options. The stock can realistically move +/-10% in a week (highly dependent on the stock of course).
If it stays the same, you lose nothing and gain the premium. If it goes up, you just sell at strike plus keep the premium. If it goes down, the premium partially or even fully covers the loss.
For a straddle, if the stock doesn't move, you lose 100% of your investment. And because you are playing both sides, the stock has to move twice in one direction to cover the cost of the bad side. This means that youd need to have double the expected movement to just break even.

>>19139858
>>19140042
>unlimited downside
While technically true, thats nearly impossible. JCP is going bankrupt and yet they still haven't gone to zero. But you wouldn't be selling covered calls on JCP anyway. What do you believe is a realistic move for a $1 billion company in a week? If its more than 10% you probably shouldn't be playing options unless you like the incredible high risk.
The point is to limit downside risk. Its way harder to turn 10,000 into 100,000 than to turn 100,000 into 10,000. A straddle has 100% downside risk by the expiry, stocks do not.

>> No.19140103
File: 116 KB, 1200x675, e7af9d958685fbca26345c1b51ec1b05.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140103

>>19139934

>> No.19140110
File: 17 KB, 500x281, 2E77CECA-FD6D-4B01-8EC4-2909FDF0FCD1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140110

>>19139857
Why don't we just start moving the manufacturing jobs to India?
The poos would be grateful and haven't tried espionage shit yet.

>> No.19140113
File: 35 KB, 479x314, pep2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140113

>>19139335
>he bought PEP

>> No.19140133
File: 123 KB, 500x701, 41pktl.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140133

I want no more crabbing. How long till crash and no crabbing?

>> No.19140151
File: 25 KB, 741x408, Screenshot from 2020-05-16 12-23-35.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140151

>>19140133
>crash
That was March 23rd.

>> No.19140173

>>19140103
So what does this mean?

>> No.19140178

>>19140173
Here's the article.
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-stockpiles-stopped-growing-world-220000544.html

>> No.19140204

>>19140178
>Meanwhile subway ridership remained about 50% below pre-virus levels in Beijing and about 30% below in Shanghai,
FULLY RECOVERED!

>> No.19140222

>>19139906
Because Elon Musk is Chad and no I'm not buying Tesla right now. I'm trying to find something on my screener that will blow up.

>> No.19140236

>>19140178
>inferred stockpiles based on satellite imageries from two companies that can't even agree on peak levels
Ching chong fully recovered gwailos!

>> No.19140242

>>19139965
Based, fuck China.

>> No.19140244

>>19140222
NYSE: GOLD and TSXV: SHRM

>> No.19140246
File: 2.85 MB, 445x247, very funny.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140246

>>19140110
imagine how incompetent pajeet espionage would be

>> No.19140247

>>19140151
No but really though...

>> No.19140271
File: 59 KB, 920x474, wuhan_traffic.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140271

>>19140204
I hadn't looked at Wuhan's traffic in a while, any ideas as to why traffic is looking normal again?

>> No.19140273

>>19140151
Do you even know what you're posting?

>> No.19140287

>>19140244
Why does SHRM just keep going up?

>> No.19140294
File: 46 KB, 672x157, Screenshot from 2020-05-16 19-41-32.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140294

>>19140273
https://www.investing.com/analysis/us-dollar-shrugs-off-weak-data-as-may-indicators-signal-bottom-200524813

>> No.19140318

>>19140204
>>19140271
This is new normal. People all around the world are too pussy to go out now because normal scares them now. You thought the world was filled with bitch made niggers before well they have taken bitch made to a whole new level. This is the new normal now deal with it and go forth and make some money.

>> No.19140325

>>19140093
You're playing both sides with covered calls too. If the option buyer decides to exercise the option or the stock goes down, you lose.

>If it stays the same

You're betting on low volatility. How often does a stock stay horizontal for a long period of time? You can sell short-dated options, but you won't be making a lot of money. If you sell long-dated options, you won't be able to do anything until the options expire.

>> No.19140332

>>19140271
Blue is last year. They only let people go to work and go home. I wouldn't call it back to "normal" but Id say the main source is trucks. I wish I could find the live cams of Wuhan, that might reveal whats going on.

>> No.19140333
File: 95 KB, 379x204, Screenshot from 2020-05-11 21-50-12.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140333

>>19140271
>any ideas as to why traffic is looking normal again?
It must be an elaborate conspiracy.

>> No.19140344
File: 629 KB, 809x566, Screenshot from 2020-05-16 19-44-58.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140344

>>19140332
Yes. It's a complete mystery. I think the airborne aids killed them all.

>> No.19140360

>>19139632
Dumb cunt kys

>> No.19140380
File: 911 KB, 1200x3000, foxalsocactus.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140380

>>19139940
Further to this I decided to finally start researching the idea of doing straddles before earnings. It's a common strategy and there are several articles explaining the pros and cons. Main takeaway was it's a sustainable strat if you intend to take profit BEFORE the actual earnings announcement to get the high IV. This is lower potential profit than holding through and maybe getting the big move but also lower risk. IV increasing in to earnings is a pretty reliable thing, arguably more reliable than followthrough with actual volatility in response to the earnings. This is done with a long straddle purchased anywhere from two to six weeks out from earnings day. Investopedia has a pretty good article about it here:
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/09/long-straddle-strangle-earnings.asp

>> No.19140429

>>19140325
>If the option buyer decides to exercise the option or the stock goes down, you lose.
If I buy the stock at $25 and sell at a strike of $26 and they exercise, you win. If the stock goes down, its partially or fully covered by the premium.

>You're betting on low volatility. How often does a stock stay horizontal for a long period of time? You can sell short-dated options, but you won't be making a lot of money. If you sell long-dated options, you won't be able to do anything until the options expire.
I can see you did not read my original post. You're not supposed to hold the stock, and you find stocks that have earnings that week, which allows you to sell premiums at a high price. Ridiculously high really, so high that you win if the stock ends at -6% or higher (with capped upside).

>> No.19140472
File: 85 KB, 1019x1319, Screenshot_2020-05-16 surveyform pdf - surveyform pdf.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140472

>>19140294
You might reconsider using that as guidance.

>> No.19140496

>>19140380
Congratulations on educating yourself, unlike the other retard. Keep going and you, too, can trade options like a pro!
Unfortunately, I have noticed that you have misread the article you linked in a few places. Consider rereading the article more carefully to better understand the explanation and the risk curve of a straddle (or strangle).

>> No.19140502

>>19140472
Ok I'll just listen to Jews on the TV telling me to panic sell and retards in this thread.

>> No.19140526

>>19140287
A variety of psychedelics were proven to be way more effective than conventional depression, PTSD, and addiction treatment (like barely better than placebo vs viagra makes your dick hard level of effectiveness)

There are companies that are trying to capitalize on psychedelics because North American regulatory agencies have said they're willing to let it come to market on a fast track. The startups in this space are either not publicly traded or are run like any other speculative shitcoin/tech/pharma/mine/cannabis startup where the managers burn through money and exit scam. The only one that is publicly traded and is actually generating revenue from this emerging market and is using cash to deploy capital and grow revenue is SHRM. They are running ketamine clinics and selling craft neutropic/OTC medical mushrooms like lions mane, turkey tail, cordyceps, etc. (these other mushrooms have amazing growth and medical potential by the way) and are already manufacturing and distributing psilocybin and struck a deal with a major Canadian pharmacy chain to carry the ketamine therapy. The fact that they are operating clinics also gives them access to research data at a much lower cost which they can use to advance through the regulatory phases more quickly and cheaply than competitors. These clinics are already licensed in the US and Canada.

The staff are all researchers with experience working with psychedelics and mental health and the CEO is the world's foremost expert on treating mental health issues with psychedelics. Growth potential is amazing and if you want to bet on something they are really the only legitimate game in town. Expect more and more people to enter the space and do this pump and dump shit - they will be spreading FUD everywhere - it will be like crypto. Research the fundamentals, they are strong.

>> No.19140543
File: 128 KB, 1160x900, chart.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140543

>>19140502
Yeah or you could listen to the people that have a direct interest in raising their equities prices since that's how they're paid. Also, it can go back down. But nobody is telling you what to do.

>> No.19140554

>>19140543
>But nobody is telling you what to do.
You literally did
>>19140472
Show me your SPY puts.

>> No.19140607

>>19140554
No, I suggested you /might/ want to reconsider using that metric as forward guidance for your investments. I'm long gold miners and streamers.

>> No.19140614

Have any of you annons been following space related stocks like I, MAXR, IRDM, LORL?

>> No.19140675

>>19140614
I just declared bankruptcy, their stock cratered (haha) this last week. I'm hoping they get bought out by someone since I've got some meme folios that depend on that ticker symbol.

>> No.19140686

>>19140526
An exciting and novel experience makes you less depressed and improves your mental state. Who could have possibly conceived? But to psychiatrists, who believe in nothing more than pumping people full of chemicals, this will surely be a 'revolutionary' discovery, and every patient will be directed to their weekly ration of soma — just as they have their movies, video games, and TV to help them forget the horror and emptiness of a life of wageslavery.

What quackery. It'll make billions. But quackery nonetheless.

>> No.19140865

>>19138918
You're fucking retarded, there is 0% chance we raise rates any time soon, let alone to any degree that could be called high. We're about to have negative rates, high rates aren't coming in any of our lifetimes.

>> No.19140888

>didn’t sell SPXS at the peak last week

I swear to god if the market doesn’t crash this week I will suck a fuck!

>> No.19140913

y-y-y-you guys have heard about the printing press, right?

>> No.19140948

>>19140865
If the supply is constricted and there is a bunch of aggregate demand caused by government spending, commodity prices have to go up. That is the source of the inflation. In order to halt it the fed has to raise interest rates. If they don't want to fight the inflation then their debt will get downgraded and investors will dump their bonds.

What's with all this 1-step logic you guys are using to evaluate the market?

>> No.19140973
File: 1.36 MB, 1280x720, 1577087905525.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140973

>>19140888
We got a huge flood of bad news right after close on Friday from Fed, Appaloosa, Buffett, DoJ/Google and more. The most bearish setup in weeks.

So of course we'll surge 2%+ on Monday

>> No.19140988

>>19140686
Nah they produce plastic effects, we're talking orders of magnitude of difference between psilocybin, LSD, and Ketamine compared to SSRIs, benzodiazepines, anti-psychotics. Therapies need to be developed, but efficacy is likely to be beyond any modality currently available, especially gauging harm.

>> No.19140994
File: 68 KB, 815x442, retail-apocolypse.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19140994

THE SKY IS BURNING RED

>> No.19141047

>>19140948
>aggregate demand caused by government spending

Not happening. Government "stimulus", if that's what they call the helicopter money, will not inflate commodity prices when the market for commodities is dead due to COVID-19 fear, lockdowns, and unemployment. We are knee-deep in deflation and the government is doing everything it can to stop it, but it isn't (and will never be) enough with the crisis at hand.

The Federal Reserve has already made clear it is ZIRP until the real economy recovers. And as there is no fear of inflation, there is no reason (from their perspective) to change that policy until we experience the real recovery in demand that would cause ZIRP to create abnormal inflation.

>> No.19141053

>he didn't buy the SPX bottom of 4.41 in 1932
Lmao you missed the bottom dumb bobos

>> No.19141061

>>19140994
So many Chinese companies. I wonder how many of them will beat estimates by 1000%.

>> No.19141069

>>19140994
All those Chinese companies are going to lie, lie, lie.

>> No.19141077

>>19141061
only 1000%? off to the reducation camp with your uighur friends

>> No.19141132
File: 6 KB, 213x116, No_Money_For_Xi.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141132

>>19139965
Based

>> No.19141135

>>19141047
>Not happening. Government "stimulus", if that's what they call the helicopter money, will not inflate commodity prices when the market for commodities is dead due to COVID-19 fear, lockdowns, and unemployment. We are knee-deep in deflation and the government is doing everything it can to stop it, but it isn't (and will never be) enough with the crisis at hand.
I'm talking about the infrastructure packages every single country is going to borrow at 0% to build when it's clear there's no V recovery in consumer goods.

The open market operations are unlikely to cause much inflation of consumer prices.

>> No.19141160
File: 124 KB, 1200x807, 1200px-LarryBrilliantJI1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141160

>>19140973
>a huge flood of bad news
>talking head FUD
vs
>oil inventories shrinking
>consumer and business sentiment improving
>economies reopening
It's as if you had a confirmation bias or only get your news from /smg/.

On the other hand I think tech stocks and e-commerce stocks should crash but I'm not making any bets.

>> No.19141226

>Blackstone shale oil venture Gavilan Resources files for bankruptcy

Its starting.

Blood red monday.

>> No.19141258

>>19140948
> If the supply is constricted
> If the supply is
> If the supply
> If the
> If
It won't be.

>> No.19141269

Kek, if they do pass the second wave of Govt checks here's where I'm putting my money. $500 added to SWPPX, $500 added to SWTSX, $400 - set aside to add more DIS if it goes under $90/80 a share. $900 dumped into my emergency fund $100, to screw the credit company from charging me interest.

>> No.19141271

i just dumped 20k into brokerage, ready for monday. What do you guys reckon in terms of long term hold/shorts? Thinking of stocking up on Airplane companies while they're low.

>> No.19141281

>>19141258
Are you retarded lmao, the only people not to experience layoffs are tech and government workers.

>> No.19141311

>>19141271
Do not do that. Airlines are fucked, people wont fly as much as they did before the virus, and the seats will not be as close.

Do not fucking do that mate, some of them (like AAL imo) will go bankrupt.

>> No.19141315

>>19141281
> Calling for high rates
> Calling anyone else retarded
Lmaokay buddy, can you at least give me your time table until we have high rates? Just so I can laugh some more.

>> No.19141318

>>19141160
>oil inventories shrinking goyim!
>believe me
>it's only at all time high and getting HIGHER with tankers waiting at costs for MONTHS to unload and US deciding to politic their shit out of this by forbidding the tankers from unloading so they can claim lower numbers
>the only source of a place in the world where inventory is going down is made up based on satellite images using mathematical models that don't even agree 50% among each other

>> No.19141323

>>19141315
This decade. Markets don't move immediately zoom zoom

>> No.19141339

>>19141271
What is this appeal of airlines? You will get the same returns by just investing in big oil. And they are more "battle tested" by bad economic downturns.

>> No.19141352

>>19141323
Remember what happened when the Fed tried to start increasing rates again a decade after the GFC? Lol

>> No.19141375

>>19141339
Well after the first crash I was thinking about buying some BA, because there is 0% chance of not climbing to 450 after 4 or 5 years.

Now I dont think they will, they wont go bankrupt but I dont see much growth.

>> No.19141383

>>19139599
what are some solid silver miners?

>> No.19141388
File: 1.12 MB, 1300x1200, foxalsofrog.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141388

Keep an eye on LUNA for bounce potential. It was hit with a wave of aggressive selling last week.

>> No.19141395

>>19141323
I assure you I'm a boomer, which is why I can assure you, you aren't getting even a quarter of a point rate increase in the next 5 years, and you sure as fuck are not seeing high rates in the next decade, you are likely not going to see a fed rate above 0 again once that line has been officially crossed. What you will eventually see is an increase in taxes, which is how inflation is actually controlled in MMT.

>> No.19141404

>>19139858
>Covered calls have unlimited downside risk too.

This is wrong. The risk is not inherent to the option, the risk is inherent to owning the stock. You would still have that downside risk regardless of whether you sold the call or not.

>> No.19141408

>>19141383
I don't know about miners. I just trade leveraged ETFs tracking futures prices when trading metals.

>> No.19141413

>>19141160
>talking head FUD
You mean more terrible economic news, major investors selling off, and FED panicking again?
>oil inventories shrinking
I'm sure they managed to use enough to account for the next round of oil... right???
>consumer and business sentiment improving
>wow, we increased from -80 to -70!
Economy is FIXED!
>economies reopening
Just ignore that cases rose exponentially and people dont have jobs anymore
>he believes the talking head hype
oh no no no no!

>> No.19141421

>>19140093
It’s fairly important to distinguish the unrealized losses of the stock going down and the realized profits of the premium you collect.

>> No.19141425

>>19141339
Trump will be injecting money into the economy for the duration of this emergency until his re-election. Then he has no obligation to keep the economy alive. Until then all stocks are basicly a hold, especially air lines.

>> No.19141451
File: 358 KB, 1536x2048, D5C54CBB-C06E-42C0-91EA-814E5CFE7BD7.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141451

>>19141388

based

>> No.19141456

>>19141047
I heard that there is inflation for food though. Will this "printing" even if it's need to prevent deflation for most thing lead to inflation for things like food which people need?

>> No.19141458
File: 37 KB, 860x603, 496-4964447_apu-pepe-png-download-pepe-thinking-png-transparent.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141458

>>19141421
Care to elaborate on your thoughts?

>> No.19141466

>>19141352
The author of bull markets are bear markets and vice versa. You don't get to have free money at the expense of pension funds and banks, they will move a good chunk of their bond positions to gold. The mean precious metals component of American portfolios over time is 2%, right now it's 0.5%. The high is 7%. Treasuries will dump if they stay negative too long.
>>19141395
>What you will eventually see is an increase in taxes, which is how inflation is actually controlled in MMT.
In countries that already tried shit like this (Sweden for example) they had to raise tax rates over 100% because of all the evasion and it still didn't work. The government has never collected more than 20% of GDP in taxes from the American population regardless of all the schemes they've tried.

>> No.19141477
File: 121 KB, 748x858, 2020endestimates.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141477

live and die by the crab goys

>> No.19141486

>>19141458
Not even him, but the premium is realized, it's cash in your pocket, whereas the unrealized losses are just that, unrealized, so all you have to do is wait until the stock goes back up. This is why the best covered call strategy begins with long term ownership of a stock you hold early.

>> No.19141493

>>19141404
What is this retarded post even.

The risk is inherent to the call, as the stock is essential to the option (covered)

This place is trully horrible.

>> No.19141511
File: 106 KB, 1400x807, 1585194833196.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141511

>>19141160
Ironic how you're throwing out "talking heads" as a counter, yet you're the one believing the MSM talking head spiel of "muh consoomers" and "muh reopening".

Also imagine being so retarded that you depend on soft data surveys like consumer sentiment

>> No.19141530

>>19141425
Like most things I don't think Trump has any control over the Fed, at least for now. JPOW has been in the Fed too long, he has absorbed the radiant energies there to become a new Ben Bernanke. Anyone paying attention knows that you basically go stocks or gold, or convert your currency to something that will be stable even if its generally trash like the Yen.
Trump wants negative interest rates. That will do far greater damage than anything the Fed or lockdowns or whatever else has done so far. That is the short term re-election play.

>> No.19141533

>>19139350
Good thing this isn't a real disease like the Spanish flu

>> No.19141560

>>19141486
Yes, true for a long term strategy. I was proposing a short term strategy to take advantage of the high premiums and IV around earnings. Its not intended to hold the stock long term.

>>19141493
Selling a covered call doesn't involve much risk though? You already own the underlying so if it goes up you're already covered and keep the premium.

>> No.19141562
File: 239 KB, 1044x770, 1558195216444.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19141562

>>19141493
>This place is trully horrible.
and yet you are here, posting, reading.

>> No.19141588

>>19141493
No it is not. The risk is inherent to the stock. The risk exists by holding stock. You assume the risk when you buy the shares regardless of if you sell the call. All stock holders assume this risk by mere virtue of owning shares, this is why saying the call has unlimited downside is wrong.

>> No.19141614

>>19138918
fantastic post.

>> No.19141618

>>19141588
This. The real added "risk" to covered calls is that long term it removes your best performers from your portfolio.

>> No.19141620

>>19141560
If you sell an option, you sell an agreement that has always, unless i'm retarded, unlimited downside risk.

So the risk, is inherent to all covered call options in existence right now.

>> No.19141630

>>19141530
Son of a bitch.
ya think he can actually pull of negative interest rates? That would fuck so many people.

>> No.19141644

>>19141352
In all liklihood, yes within the decade. This correction in the credit markets, unless the rest of the world is so fucking rekt that it comes back to the USA, will be through in a few years. 2023 or so. 2026, we can probably start increasing rates.

>> No.19141666

>>19138173
A cousin of mine just got laid off from Trip Advisor lol. He's a fantastic programmer. They're starting to cut critical staff.

>> No.19141667

>>19141620
there isn't unlimited downside risk, the most you can lose is what you paid for the stocks, and that's not gonna happen unless you're retarded

>> No.19141681

>>19141620
This is not the case for a covered call because you already own the stock. Its only unlimited if you write a call and DONT own the stock (naked call). The "risk" is capping your return on the stock in this case which isn't really a risk, thats just called greed.

>> No.19141775

Bros, please tell me VTIQ will pop above $30.00, these bags are killing me

>> No.19141805

>>19138814
Maybe the stock market will file for bankruptcy, like all stock exchanges etc. and all of your positions will be liquidated and FDIC or whatever it is called for the equities is going to collapse, I mean if everything collapses and there is no money, no cash, no markets, no real estate, nothing.

>> No.19141854

>>19138814
Congrats, you’ll die a rich man.

>> No.19141855

>>19141775
>Buying a scam
Seriously? Nikola has scam written all over it
>literal who founders with no knowledge
>has 3 barely working big rig prototypes
>touts 3D models of things they aren't even close to building
>wants to build giant factories that Tesla already built multiple of
>zero technology advantage or products
>literally just money an a dream with nothing to show

>> No.19141859

>>19139182
You don't need to try to scale anything yourself, just look up the numbers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Sweden has a lot less cases but slightly more deaths per capita. So?

>> No.19141909

>>19141855
>scam modeled after a scam
Unironically all a piece of shit company like VTIQ needs is a millennial social media "SHIT IT TO THE MAN" presence like Elon Musk and they'd get the same valuation as a battle of two tech giants.

>> No.19141950

>>19141666
also, checked.
trip advisor is not a software house so thats not surprising. there is no need for software if nobody travels.

>> No.19141963

>>19141560
So it depends on your definition of long term. Covered calls could be considered a “long term” strategy because your objective is not only to collect premium, but dividends and a little bit of growth over a couple of reoccurring contracts.

>> No.19142007

does iv affect the price of the premiums
or is the premium set in stone when short options expires worthless

>> No.19142052
File: 85 KB, 900x460, DE498959-0843-44FE-897E-7ACBD11A1EDD.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19142052

>>19141855
Bro, please don’t FUD, just tell me it’s going to be okay and I can dump my bags on someone else

>> No.19142110

Anyone primarily just trade condors?

>> No.19142212

>>19142007
premiums go up when iv goes up, what do you mean by your last sentence? assuming you are selling, you are already paid the premium by a buyer before the option expires

>> No.19142250

>>19139004
>another lockdown will never happen
america as a whole hasn't even had its first lockdown. several states will have their second lockdown though, and it will be very entertaining to watch the ensuing chaos.

>> No.19142284

>>19141775
VTIQ - I sold that for a small gain after Telsa said they're rolling out the new battery and semi truck. It's like a david v.s monster thing. Take a year to even get the plant up and going much less anything else. Meanwhile Telsa can basically roll out a completed semi truck w/new battery by end of year if they wanted. So boom, they're dead before they even get off the ground.

>> No.19142326
File: 2.82 MB, 2040x1187, E9380227-A300-4D62-A43B-533EA94CFDD3.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19142326

>>19139709
>will always grift to the next coolest thing
Pretty sure “cool” refers to her demeanor, not trend-following

>too much of a bitch to make other women friends
Did you even read it? It says she’s carefree and upbeat. She’s a tomboy in that she’s athletic, not that she’s “not like the other girls”. She’s just a female jock.

>getting pegged by a girl you are in a relationship with is like throwing her respect for you out the window.
I don’t fucking care, I’m just not doing it because I’m not into it.

Those two are the best but it’s a close race, smug is also good. Any of them that actually want the best for you are far better than the ones who want someone to treat like shit who does their errands and maybe eats them out.

>> No.19142370

>>19141533
Haha yeah the earth is flat too :^)

>> No.19142376
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19142376

>>19140502
Some of those Jews are pretty smart, but there’s a few goys and muzzies I respect as well. Basically, you should incorporate their perspectives into your own set of plans and contingency plans, and scenarios to look out for.

Don’t listen too hard to people who’s investment plans rely heavily on “muh jews and sheitt”

>> No.19142398
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19142398

>>19140686
That’s pretty uninformed...
It doesn’t really explain how it a single trip on mushrooms improves the ability of people to quit cigarettes and alcohol.

>> No.19142441
File: 397 KB, 810x1400, Screenshot_20200516-190437_Twitter.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19142441

Nononononono!

>> No.19142547
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19142547

>>19142441

>> No.19142557

>>19142441
wtf q predicted this

>> No.19142713

>>19141950
>trip advisor is not a software house
They are as much of a software house as Google or Facebook is. Their entire business is online marketing.

>> No.19142730

>>19140246
that is funny
you're a funny guy
they should make an indian spy movie, it would be 10/10
imagine a version of james bond but from the subcontinent

>> No.19142737
File: 90 KB, 686x526, 1580868113073.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19142737

feels so good to see your divy reinvestment payments buy several whole shares.

>> No.19142745
File: 79 KB, 1209x1213, Screenshot (1195).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19142745

yeah, i'm thinkin ATOM is back

>> No.19142757

>>19140271
>traffic up
more people driving cars instead of taking mass transit. more demand for gas.
dunno if true or not.

>> No.19142769

Tempted to buy SCO for the supposed dip in oil once June contracts roll over.

>> No.19142778

>>19142713
FB is not but Google is everything. From marketing to software and various industry standard APIs, they even create their own programming languages.

>> No.19142789

>>19142778
nerds all of them

>> No.19142806
File: 114 KB, 900x900, girlsfrontlinetmp.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19142806

>>19142441
>splosion
Well it's probably not joggers then. Not their style.

>> No.19142821

>>19142441
>>19142547
Is this some kind of anti lockdown terrorist attack?

>> No.19142841

>>19142547
happening

>> No.19142852

>>19142547
prolly just busted a fuel line or something

>> No.19142868

>>19142441
Is this a good part of LA?
or some kind of a skid row?

>> No.19142887

>>19142778
>they even create their own programming languages.
i guess you've never heard of Hack.
Fuck even React is borderline a new language. There are programs whose whole job it is to turn React syntax into valid js.

>> No.19142917

>>19142887
i don't do UI but i used to write some js code back when it was more or less plain js that looked like a legit if a bit quirky programming language. but this react shit is just horrible.

>> No.19142922

>>19142769
Oil is by far the most manipulated part of the market. Institutional holdings say one thing, talking heads another, financial articles a third, shorts a fourth, and futures a fifth. It is the closest thing to pure gambling I have ever seen.

>> No.19142944

>>19142922
Oil and natty gas. Tricky to trade. Stop loss mandatory.

>> No.19142969

>>19142778
Nearly 20 years later and upwards of 90% of Facebook's revenue is still from advertising. 75% of Google's is and Google still is just a place where hardware ventures go to die horrible deaths.
The market valuations of FNG of FAANG are absolutely bonkers considering how single minded their revenue streams are.

>> No.19143026

>>19142806
Joggers?

>>19142557
Did q predict that all of his followers would be loony crackpots?

>> No.19143034

>>19142922
Any commodity that’s pulled out of the earth like that is going to have uncertainty to it. It’s why food is so stable, we know it, we grow it. The earth is there, has been there, and is there in some finite amount.

>> No.19143043

>>19142917
React is 10/10. But requires skill to understand when and how to use it.

>> No.19143058

>>19143026
>Joggers?

Urban youths

>> No.19143203
File: 3 KB, 709x33, cytube room.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19143203

Movie night movie night! Get in here! Tonight's feature is My Neighbor Totoro (1988) because I just woke up and didn't have time to find anything else. Also I want to see the soot sprites since they weren't in Howl's Moving Castle (2004)

>> No.19143252

>>19143043
What do you think of Redux?

>> No.19143312

>>19142969
faceberg is the lamest gayest tech company ever. netflix provides a service that people enjoy, apple makes luxury devices, google does all sorts of crap, amazon provides a useful service that everyone uses. faceberg runs a stupid ass social networking platform that only boomers still use to get ad bux. at least google gets ad bux from a variety of sites.

>> No.19143345

Is there any reason why the market won't go up more on Monday? Stimulus went through, America is opening more and more

>> No.19143357

>>19138173
I swear to God if I make these USO calls into 40K I will parlay that money into two month long Boeing calls starting end of July, turning that into 300K

>> No.19143359

>>19143252
Redux was a great idea when it came out. It's not really necessary any more. One of the main reasons to use it IMO is it is easy to wire in middleware. But it can create a lot of other problems with large applications related to code reusability (new library is only usable in a specific Redux env instead of generic), and performance/code splitting.

There was a microsoft library to support async redux modules to get around the code splitting issue of having to import all your state/middleware/actions up front to wire them into redux, but I don't like that library because it overcomplicates everything.

Now you can just useReducer and useContext. If you want to create a dispatch that dispatches to multiple reducers using useReducer, it's fairly easy to (you can even hook in middleware obviously).

So yeah anyway I think it was good for the community to change the way we think about writing web apps, but it's not really needed any more. Also I am not a fan of redux-observable or redux-saga.

>> No.19143383

>>19143345
You can flip a coin and arrive a better answer than anyone here will give you on the direction of the market on Monday. The whole thing has been questionable since Snibby took on the field around mid April.

>> No.19143650

>>19143345
So it is a V-shape recovery after all.

>> No.19143708

>>19138226
>people dying for Amazon
Unironically bullish

>> No.19143783

lmao @ the pajeet in the penny stock thread

>> No.19143869

>>19143783
You talking about the retard who forgot to blank his Schwab account no and was threatened with an SEC filing?

>> No.19143895

>>19143869
Yeah

>> No.19143915

How many shared of SRNE we holdin boys

>> No.19143981

I really dont know how to play this upcoming week. What you guys planning?

>> No.19144007

>>19141271
Put 5k in SBUX, 5k in MCD, 5k in T, and 5k in AFL

>> No.19144023

>>19143981
Shroom stock IPO on the TSXV Wednesday. Want to see what the volume is like and might jump in for a quick buck.

>> No.19144024

>>19143869
>>19143895
Link?

>> No.19144027

>>19141271
Dump 20k into SRNE on open.

>> No.19144029

>>19144024
Starts here: >>19141889

>> No.19144033

>>19143981
It’s gonna crab. Collect premium.

>> No.19144040

>>19144024
>>19129679

Guy has been shilling PVHO every evening

>> No.19144044

>>19143981
suicide

>> No.19144067
File: 3.15 MB, 750x1334, BE5EFF11-727F-4233-AA1A-DC383B1B8879.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19144067

>>19144033
Leddit theta is actually a great strategy in normal times but Monday we will shit the bed and dump. We will rally hard Tuesday. After that, we will remain in the 240-300 range until Trump’s re-election.
>t. Worked at JPM for nearly a decade and unironically dislike trump

>> No.19144084

>>19144067
Forgot to add after the election we will return to major index ath.

On a different note, why do I get such a raging boner for slutty 5 and 6/10s? I’ve genuinely fucked professional models but there’s something about a legitimate dirty bitch that does it for me.

>> No.19144122

>>19144067
You basically just said we’re going to crab, but you used more words.

>> No.19144153

For me, it’s still TMDX. Do not buy above 15 or above 20. Fidelity has been swinging this and fleecing boomers since IPO but I work in tnt industry and they are going to be bought out by UTHR for far greater than $20, it will just take a year or two.

>> No.19144171

NEW:
>>19144157

>>19144157

>>19144157

>> No.19144174

>>19144023
What's the ticker on this? It sounds like some bullshit that could get a hype run going. I see SHRM but that started trading already in March.

>> No.19144175

>>19144067
What are you looking at that tells you this? Most likely EW points to maybe finishing retrace overnight into hard dump early week. Second most likely EW is big rally after small retrace. Order flow points to hard dump. Macro is waiting to see what the Euro does.

>> No.19144182

>>19144153
Considering how many pts I see with fulminant liver failure I should stop drinking. No buy between 15-20, above or below is ok.

>> No.19144185

>>19144174
NUMI, not listed yet

>> No.19144201
File: 81 KB, 850x857, 1563551493194.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19144201

>>19144185
Thanks. I might participate in the fun when it lists.

>> No.19144296

>>19144040
that anon might be on to something with PVHO
surprised it went up 1000% in one day
that company has a market cap of $130000 at price at 0.0009 per share before the pop
something is going on here

>> No.19144480
File: 140 KB, 716x1081, dear pruuudence.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19144480

>>19144185
Is this the one Peter Thiel is backing? In my disorganized notepad file of what to do I have "Watch psychedelic therapy IPO" written in all caps.
also damn what a good name, kantian company kekkies

>> No.19144540

>>19140380
short straddles and iron condors are used before earnings to take advantage of IV crush. Consider this also.

the theta you lose holding straddles is huge, wouldn't recommend

>> No.19144546

>>19144480
Peter Thiel one is still private, called Compass. IPO soon but not yet. NUMI is probably a P&D, don't long it

>> No.19144558

>>19142326
Neato

>> No.19144577

>>19138226
>Amazon hiring 100,000 workers!
>Ignore that all the ones that used to work there got sick or left from poor working conditions
JOBS ARE BOOMING! PENT UP DEMAND! RETURN TO NORMAL!

>> No.19144636

>>19144577
guess silicon valley is business as usual
keep the good time coming and market up bezo cuck

>> No.19144732

>>19139369
can you (I) put spread instead?

>> No.19144737

>>19144067
How would you rate your mother when she was younger, and your first love and major middle school crush?

>> No.19144773

>19144067
Also why “leddit theta”?
Do they have some specific strategy besides just collecting premium on credit spreads or iron condors?

And I need a better angle on the crotch... I want to make sure that’s not a man.

>> No.19145096

>>19141530
>>19141630
He's been pushing for negative rates forever. It's not just a short term play, he actually believes they're good.

>> No.19145144

>>19143345
Stimulus won't pass the Senate and Trump said he won't sign it anyway. It's a step to a more neutered bill that will pass, but nothing is on the way to being law yet.

>> No.19145272

>>19141530
>>19141630
>>19145096
There have been other countries who have already done negative interest rates and it's really to fight deflation which is what happening and what the FED is trying to fight. Deflation in the end would be worse especially considering how you would see wealth destruction in cornerstones such as real estate and finance.

>> No.19145292

>>19145272
>not the heckin real estate values my 2 bedroom condo would drop to $100k

>> No.19145299

>>19143345
>>19145144
Yeah because democrats are going full retarded with it and want to add loopholes for illegals to vote like having no voter id requirements and even giving illegals Healthcare and stimulus money. I don't understand why they don't just make their motto "We hate America and ourselves."

>> No.19145319

>>19145292
Yeah that's funny for you to say but not to a home owner like me. Not only that but because of all the trading of debt and packaged mortgages between banks is why the 2008 financial crises happened so if you want to add gasoline to fight a dumpster fire then go ahead.

>> No.19145334

>>19145319
>Yeah that's funny for you to say but not to a home owner like me. Not only that but because of all the trading of debt and packaged mortgages between banks is why the 2008 financial crises happened so if you want to add gasoline to fight a dumpster fire then go ahead.
I do, you took the risk, deal with the reward

>> No.19145359

>>19145334
I can afford the value going down and I'm not worried. You don't have an argument however that you are improving our current economic and financial situation other than let it burn.

>> No.19145374

>>19145359
>You don't have an argument however that you are improving our current economic and financial situation other than let it burn.
People who were speculators and were wrong lose money, people who avoided speculating get to buy it off you for cheap. That's how it should work.

>> No.19145444

>>19145374
Speculation is always going to happen and it's stupid to punish everyone everyone who didn't take on a lot of risk because honestly a house is a pretty save investment as long as you aren't a retard about it. It doesn't really matter in the end because asking for deflation is like shooting yourself in the foot because you will just see more unemployment.

>> No.19145478

>>19145444
>Speculation is always going to happen and it's stupid to punish everyone everyone who didn't take on a lot of risk because honestly a house is a pretty save investment as long as you aren't a retard about it.
The idea that you view your house as an investment instead of an expense shows that you don't get the argument. You are also gambling and you deserve to get wiped out. There's no reason why rents should be lower than the total carrying cost of the home and yet they are because people speculate on the price of the house.

>> No.19145525

>>19145478
Ok buddy, I guess you can just live in a trailer or boat. I could really care less in the end because you are obviously too broke to own a house in the first place. I literally have money for a second one and was planning to rent out the first one but I will wait to see what happens. Keep living in your fantasies on how you think the world should be.