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EVERYTHING OIL
Already got that HAL last week. Feelin comfy with it
>>18353157Got my GUSH and UCO and MRO plus a few calls for the first of January. I am ready.
>>18353239you are pretty based
>>18353157I'm in TK and TNP to ride this oversupply and subsequent mass freight shipping. Don't matter what OPEC does now, we know if they cut production it'll be lip service nothingburger. Weoilglutnow
they're not going to reach a deal
>>18353157who is he calling 0_0?
I don't seem to understand how GUSH is at ~$25. It seems too good to be true?
>>18353751Why not
>>18353239up25% already on my HAL
>>18353786>dump eet
>>18353239Feeling comfy on my HAL and OXY
>>18353157Vladimir? Igor Bogdanoff speaking. Doomp ze oil.
>>18354222Checked and kek
>>18353157hope they finnaly cut production im all in on oil
>>18355061
>>18353157Should I buy more xom? Its at 42? I pretty sure it might dip more.
>>18355224if you're pretty sure it will dip then why would you buy now? if you're unsure then average in 25% or 50% now and then the rest when it dips.
>>18353239Schlum(((berger))) is doing pretty good as well
>have $34 shell put>spikes 45% a few minutes ago despite shell value jumping to $36 today(they) decided to buy puts I see. Guess I'm holding this shit till next week
>>18355266I just doubt theyre going to come to an agreement and want to buy more but if it dips under 40 id rather wait.
>>18353157https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/04/08/opec-expectations-for-oil-deal-remain-low-ahead-of-crucial-meeting.htmlBoys, it might dip alittle or a lot more.
>>18353157>There are anons out there whomst didnt buy XOP or GUSH
Anyone else got GUSH calls? Are you selling prior to the OPEC meeting or holding?
>>18357459I have various calls on the industry and I’m holding, obviously.
>>18353239>bought at 5>sold yesterday at 8.65I don't know if I did a good thing or had an oopsie yet
>>18353751They would rather be in the black during a pandemic and don't have much leverage if the US just tariffs oil
So as far as I can tell the oil market is minimizing and Russia/Saudi Arabia are trying to use their strongest magic to reverse that process. Also they can't stop bickering. Correct?
>>18357459I’m considering selling in the next hour but it started pumping. Should we all wait and see for tomorrow?
>>18357509They wanted to flood the market with oil to take out US producers but that strategy is unlikely to pan out.
>>18357526fucking spazzes
So is oil going up or down lads? What's the safe play here?
>>18357781safe play right now is diversify and stick something up your ass to wait this out
>>18357781Doesn't matter where it's going what matters is that it's cheap
XomMurRdsbPbfClrUsoHad them cheap couple weeks ago,currently at 1700 profit totalHow long do I hold? Six month? Two years? is there any chance of the barrel being over 50?
>>18357781$50 a barrel by the end of the week
>>18357985$50 barrels aren't happening any time soon. Like a year out. Tankers are already fucking full and dumping them
>>18357948Then what would you recommend? I want to avoid the more risky etfs and lower mcap oils companies, US shale out at the moment as well- I'm worried they might go under even if a deal is reached.
Is it worth buying XOM or GUSH right now, or did I wait too long and shit the bed?
>>18358049You should have bought $10k in XOM calls like a week ago.
Gonna follow OilAnons advice and wait a week or two for oil to bottom then reassess.
>>18358030How about some interventionism to speed things up
>>18358049I put 8K into XOP on last tuesday and im up bigly
>>18358049I think it's too late tbqh.When this many people are talking about it, you know you missed out.
>>18353157Houthis say high!
Who's gonna spoonfeed me on GUSH?How the fuck was it ever 75k? Why did it drop from 1.5k in January to a few dollars? It can't JUST be the Saudi trouble, right? How high can we realistically expect to go again?
>>18358209reverse split newfag
No fucking way the meeting goes well.
>>18358209Look up triple leveraged ETF, they always lose money over time
>>18355280instead of being privy to info from some all knowing financiers, you are probably just sitting on top of a market inefficiency.I'd dump on them if I were you.
Long EPD TOT FANG
>>18358278Even sand merchants know that when there is nowhere to put the oil, its time to slow the pumps
>This pumpLETS GO BOYS!
pamp it pamp it !
>>18358555> No cuts from meeting> Trump places oil tariffs> Oil jumps up for a week or two> OilApocolypse.jpg. Dump oil to $10/bbl> US Media goes crazy on trump for artificially pushing oil prices up on AmericansSurely this isn't the plan...
>putin has 2 bottles of water
>>18358718If the OPEC+ parties do not already have an agreement in place, they would have just called off the meeting.
Can you oil bros tell me how screwed are my natural gas positions if this meeting falls through?
>>18358718>oil producers would rather burn the unsold oil in a big hole than cut production and increase profits
>>18358817The american BRAP market is fucked, all the burger joints are closed
when should i fill my heating oil tank /biz/?it's almost empty but i can wait a bit more
>>18353935reverse splitall direxion shit is a scam
>>18357985
>>18358935Short term? You're right. I'm thinking the long game. What does OPEC hate more?> Making shitty profits for awhile> Screwing US oil production for several years and forcing the USA to buy oil from them again (aka leverage)Don't get me wrong, the OPEC Sand People hate everything. They hate each other, they hate Russia, the only thing they are truly unified in is hatred of America / the west and their love of getting oil money. I can totally see them pulling a "china says their fine, no cuts sorry lol" OR they do some kind of token 10m bbl/day cut, which wont affect things.If you go back to oil anons posts, even if they do a cut we're still looking at full storage. Oil wells don't really "turn off" overnight, so if you were forced to burn oil anyway; why not screw over someone in the process? >>18358817Gas will probably follow the general energy sector, when demand comes back so will everything else. >>18359115If Oil Anons math checks out (so far, looks like it does), End of May to June we should see this kick off.
>>18359207>when demand comes back so will everything elseWill demand come back though because I got into OKE expect it bounce back to 70 dollars a share but nothings really happened.
>>18359207>End of May to June we should see this kick off.are you saying the price will keep going down until then?
>>18359272OKE looks like mostly pipelines>>18359352Original thread is still up here:>>18235163IMO, crab until the supply glut cant be ignored anymore, then crash hard. WTI went up 20% on a Trump tweet, imagine what an actual crisis will do. I'm not OilAnon, just a <1k poorfag who's trying to become less poor; but the numbers he ran really do seem to work out...
>>18359272*OKE looks like mostly pipelines, you'll probably see $70 again but could be a few years. I'm personally expecting another market dip of 10-20% before we bottom, but honestly not as sure now with Jerome pumping McTrillions and the general clown world running things now.
So I essentially said fuck it and took a gamble with a lot of UCO in case the deal gets pushed through. The potential profit outweighs the potential loss far too much to pass up. Assuming the deal fails however and I gotta sell, how low does it have to go until it is perma-buy due to future rising and recovery versus how much I could lose if oil keeps falling past that? I don't give a shit about ETF decay when the upswing in the future is so damn high.
>>18358180>sold my absolute retard tier slb calls, 19$ exp may17 or so,, from two weeks ago because it went up 30% on monday
>>18360386oof
>>18360407I went back in on mro around 2 though at least. Fingers crossed that the Saudis would rather not commit suicide
Y’all are retarded for buying. Oil is about to dump within the next month or two when storage is maxed out. WTI is going below 10 maybe even negative. That’s the time to buy.
>>18360535Sell tomorrow then buy puts a month out then buy the bottomImagine not making all the money
is holding GUSH for a few days bad?i retarded
>>18353157I saw a new story where farmers are literally dumping oil down the drain because they can't sell it rn
>>18360709Literally why not just turn the pump off
>>18360730Oil wells aren't like a faucet, you turn them off they might not come back on, or at the same amount as before.
>bought UCO and HAL around noon along with some calls >they’re mooning Holy crap I did something right
>>18360768>>18360780R8 my mro and uco calls
when until 60 buck? thats when I sell
>be me>Buy SSL at $2> Worth $4.07Already doubled my money. Sell or hold?
>>18360535I agree. I sold HAL, USO and OXY today.
DCP DCPDCPDCP
>>18359869Im in the same boat.Sold about 1.2k USD of my bitcoin holding last friday.Bought USO before donnie pumped, Later in the day said fuck it, sold my USO and bought the leveraged UCO. Bought almost at the end of the pump unfortunately.Not gonna lie, the steady decline in oil from monday to today, ate all my gains and then some. My UCO position is at -17% UCO is at 2.38I have a stop loss set for 2.23The meeting is at 10am ESTIm going to let this bitch ride tomorrow.Will likely sell at end of day if it moons,Else my stop loss will catch me.
>>18361092To add to that,I think in a short timeframe (1-2 months) oil will moon because of good news/ tariffsMedium time frame (3-9 months) it will fall due to contango and oversupply/overproductionLong-term (9-18 months) will gradually recover.Oil has been at historic 18 year lows...I think 5 years from now you could stand to make good gains.50 years from now robo-space-daddy Musk will have the fossil fuel industry fucked if we haven't run out of economical oil wells by then.But Im looking to make short plays and reinvest back into BTC before the halving, which is in like 30 days.
>>18359207Hey look ma I'm internet famous.Thanks for actually checking my math fren' that means a lot.>>18361281Do you really think we get good news out of the OPEC+ meeting? I'm in agreement the market will likely continue its rally until the reality of this farce of an OPEC meeting blows over, but good news(that would last more then an hour before being contradicted) coming out of it? Outside of tariffs of course which will rally the American market(especially shale).
>>18353935>tfw bought a thousand shares when GUSH was in the gusher>reverse split left me with 29>tfw up $200 since then.Feels tb.h, to be quite comfy with you fa.m.
>>18361412Wouldn't OPEC just cancel the meeting if they didn't have a deal on the table?
>>18353751Saudi Arabia is not our friend they will try and ruin us. There will be no deal until trump calls up king halal and tells him not forget how many military bases we have there.
>>18361092>Im in the same boat.>Sold about 1.2k USD of my bitcoin holding last friday.>Bought USO before donnie pumped, >Later in the day said fuck it, sold my USO and bought the leveraged UCO. Bought almost at the end of the pump unfortunately.>Not gonna lie, the steady decline in oil from monday to today, ate all my gains and then some. My UCO position is at -17%All you have to do is nothing, and you literally can't not fucking do something.Stop chasing dopamine rushes and sit your ass the fuck down. Get a few comfy positions in stocks you know are going to go up and stop doing shit. That's literally all you have to do.
>>18359115The meeting will go nowhere
>>18359869How low?>>Assuming you're an autist and stick with the leveraged derivative UCOI'd say when it breaks below 2.00To be fair its already at damn near rock bottom prices. It has been trading consitantly at around the 17.00 mark the majority of the past 52 weeks.But I never like holding onto leveraged ETF long term ( no more than a month for me). Unless you have a strong belief that it will gradually rise over time.Because with decay ( special only to leveraged securities), you lose if it trades sideways and get absolutely BTFO if it falls.Better to go unleveraged USO for longer term.Or buy a call option far out.
>>18353157What time is the opec meeting?
>>1836157010am est
>>18361612Thanks fren. Im not expecting a deal. Even with 10-15 mbpd cut it wont change much with zero demand from virus shutdowns.
TRUMP JUST SAID US WON'T CUT PRODUCTION. WE ALREADY CUT PRODUCTIONexit oil
>>18361645You should have learned by now: it doesn't matter if it's actually good or bad. What matters is the kneejerk reaction triggered by either outcome (deal or not deal). Tomorrow should be treated like a short-term play, not like a trend-changing event.
>>18361700I think it's the opposite. A deal is coming.I literally sold some oil today and now I regret it.
>>18361706Agreed. If a cut we will probably go +4% maybe even more. Opposite if no deal. Next week i imagine things carry on like last week was.
>>18361092>>18361281>>18361528I am not invested in crypto...mainly because I feel my stack is too small to play in comfortably profitable amounts that don't lose my ass off if I fail. But this market right now is truly something. I had my hands off of oil completely until now, but I am beginning to understand the power of ETF's. I hope this shit goes a lot lower and the deal fails, that way I can make money on everything else and sell this for a small loss. I don't have stop loss on for now because they might sell it at the start of tomorrow or right before positive news just to fuck people. I will judge what to do tomorrow. But I really hope oil falls badly. My stack is measily, but the sheer return on investment eventually if this hits 1 dollar means I can sit on a thousand shares and make a few grand with super ease upon recovery even if it doesn't return to old high. I might take your advice on simple below 2 though. But I would like it lower to hold for my stack. Leveraged ETF's are bad only when the market trades sideways. However we are so deep in a glut, that it will likely spike for recovery days and outperform USO. Imo. I figure at super low prices, just how much can I actually get BTFO if oil is below 10 on the market even long term?
>>18361484Men are literally made to take risk.Women on average, successfully reproduce more than men.Reason?More men die without successfully reproducing, because women are the de-facto sexual selectors.It's been shown that in order to have a chance at reproducing men will take on risk to secure resources, and social status.Even if that meant getting your head caved in.You can thank the hormone Testosterone for that.I work a construction job in the heat of Florida, literally wage-slaving away in the hot sun for 17 an hour.I have been living out of my car for the past 4 months, and plan to finish the entire year that way.Im relatively young (29 years), so Im willing to take massive risk to make some fucking money.Worst case I lose one year of my financial life, I have time to make that up.Im comfortable with a high degree of risk.How would your investment strategy change if you were comfortable losing 50% of your take home pay on high return investments?
>>18353284How do you long those? I can't even trade options with my TD account..
>>18361467It's not that simple no deal and the whole hope of stabilizing this fucked market collapses.They either actually want this deal(with no means of actually getting it) or do not want to be seen as the ones who destroyed it(for obvious political reasons).Either way they have no way of actually getting said deal related:https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Historic-Oil-Deal-On-The-Verge-Of-Collapse-As-Russia-Balks-At-US-Cuts.htmlIt is already falling apart.
>there are anons in this thread right now that didn't load up on oil yesterdaySince there's good support at 20, it won't go lower than that if there's no deal. And you can hodl it at those levels until it eventually moons. Conversely, if there's a deal, you're looking at massive profits and a comfy ride to 35-40. There's no long-term risk in buying in at 25. Easy choice, desu.
>>18361804Wew, lad. Live the fucking dream then, anon.I'm not saying don't take risks. Hell, we all take risks even putting a dollar in the market these days. But it makes no sense to bust your own head being impatient. Men also must learn when to leap from the brush, spear in hand, and when to wait for the evening's supper to get just a little bit closer.
>>18361092Like this guy says >>18361484, not FOMOing is important right now. Your discipline as trader will make or break you.
>>18357053My bet is Russians aren't going to cut production until Trump and his Kike handlers roll back sanctions against Russia.
>made a grand every day this weekFeels very good.
>>18361900+>>18361480+>>18357526U.S.A. STRONG
>>18361281>Muskngmi
>>18361412Its a close call..>>The badThe world is stocked to the fucking gills with oil. Russia and the Saudis are pumping out so much oil, its making the money-printing Fed blush.Supply/Demand, oil price falls.It may be in OPEC and Russia's national interest to kill USA oil production.This will cause small oil firms to collapse and free up market share for the drunk russians and sand niggers to gobble up.>> The goodLong term the oil prices are not sustainable, so eventually it will rise no matter the meeting outcome.Short term, Trump may likely impose tariffs which will increase domestic prices and increase foreign prices even higher.The Texas Railroad Commission (huge player in US oil), and State governments might restrict oil production in response (circumventing the gederal government's legal inability).Lowet production means higher price.More importantly, there's literally 12 other members in OPEC besides Saudi Arabia.All of them with smaller operations compared to the big three.I have a feeling they are getting sick of this shit too
>>18362219Marginal supplier determines price of a commodity product, not the average or median supplier
>>18353157Are oil/gas leases worth $. I’ve got a close friend who owns over 400 different oil and gas leases from a inheritance but the amount of info that came with the leases is shit tier. How do I investigate into this. Any firms willing to check this out? She wants to auction it off with a reputable firm.They gave her a $400k opening bid estimate.Please help oil anons.
>>18353284Can someone please redpill me on this GUSH shit? Do I really have a chance to turn 25 a share into 750? Sounds pretty fuckin rad my dudes
>>18361480Pollitically speaking, they are our allies.What's in their best interest, nationally, could be another thing.However we provide them with military might, so they can be king of the sandbox. Wonder if losing that would be worth it.>>18361706Very true.Trades are made on volatility. >>183617664% in one day is a good conservative guess.I've seen it pumped 30%+ in one day.Here's to hoping for double digits.>>18361776Fortunately for you, I strongly believe it wont go lower than 17-20 a barrel.The decay will poison drip you over time through.Use the leveraged ETF for short term plays.Buy the other stuff for longer plays.>>18361848Agreed 100%We are at damn near two decade lows.I dont see it falling any further.>>18361849Patience is a good quality.My diamond hands were icing over, as I saw my UCO position at -30%+ earlier today.Tomorrow my patience pays off.>>18361900And I bet we have good news tomorrow.1.2k USD to be exact. What's your bet?
>>18362343Never trust or buy anything direxion. Trust me
>>18362241Can you elaborate, please?
Anyone know what time the meeting is tomorrow?
>>18362039Made four grand on Monday, two on Tuesday, and then lost it all today
>>1836258410 am ESTMentioned like 2-3 times already.Here's to glorious green oil tomorrow.
>>18362602if the meeting has good news, do we hold over the weekend or sell at eod?
>>18362593Shorting oil or holding another position?
>>18362615Depends when your options expire.
>>18362478Says you. I'm up $200 on GUSH this week.
>>18362618Fucking spy puts cause I'm mentally handicapped apparently >>183626344/24
>>18362326>Are oil/gas leases worth $Yes, she should be getting paychecks from mineral rights and such for leasing the land. Unless no one is leasing right now. You will have to do a lot of research on that. A lot of landman will try to lowball you to get the rights cheap to sell to operators. Go slowly through this.
R8 my oil boys
>>18362666sell by EOD if you made a decent profit.
>>18362326probably the worst time to sell those leases. Wait for oil to increase in price.
>>18362615My position is 409 shares, 2x leveraged ETF (UCO)I don't like holding leveraged securities more than a month max.And I've already held this position over the weekend already.Im making a short term play here.Red or green, Im closing tomorrow.Most definitely green probably between 5% - 10% A double digit jump lile last Friday would be nice.After, I may take a long position on oil.I really do think that it will rise lomg term.Just don't know if it can grow as fast as a typical tech growth-stock, or like a crypto can.
>>18361412Middle Eastern cultures have "Saving Face" almost down to an art form; I can totally see OPEC playing that kind of hand. My gut feeling is that no deal is in their best interest. Forcing the US to buy their oil, even temporarily, is leverage they can't pass up on. Killing US Shale for a few years is even more tempting of a play.As far as anons here go, I'm trying to get set up for the mega bear on oil, followed by the bull runs on tankers, then a 1-2 year long oil play. Got any suggestions for where to put $600 of play money? This is the kind of thing where you can get awesome returns, and I don't want to miss out.>>18362461On paper, yes. The Saudis are our "Allies". Like other cultures though, they very much are looking out for their own interests. Like you said, king of the sandbox. Very long term, the world is moving off oil and no one will care about that patch of desert again. Nearly all of their money comes from oil profits. When the world figures out Nuclear Fusion, Space Based Solar, or some other abundant energy source, it's over. At that point you can just make synthetic oil/gas cheapy, so why buy it from people you don't like?
Bought 165 shares of USO @ $5.60 so I'm in the red. Whatever, I'll hold for a year if it's red dildos for awhile.
Redpill me on the whole oil situation. What gives? Who's giving up first? Is there a way to fix this shitshow? Is this gonna crash the dollar with no survivors?
>>18353157Alright, the short term oil gains have been pretty tasty but what is everyone looking at for a long term hold?
>>18362830saudis overproduce oil, price go downsaudis will 'give up' first after their fit causes more countires to abide by opec cartelyesno
>>18362830Initially I thought the Saudi’s will flip everyone the bird and say no deal cause they wanna cripple US oil and kill our shale industry. So you’d think oil would tank. But if the Saudi’s do that and trump actually follows through on tariffs, we’d still see oil moon at least in the very short term. Fucking clown market I swear.
>>18362860Long term consensus of /biz/ is either big integrated oil majors for long stable divys or taking a chance on some US shales that have good balance sheets. Majors: >RDS.B>CVX>XOM>COPShales:>PXD>CLR
I’m I invited to the Black Panther Party...?
>>18362830Hopefully it crashes the dollar for my UUP puts
>>18362807I agree that dirty energy is on the way out.And you're right that solar, fusion etc will have fossil fuels BTFO.However, it will be a LONG time before we wean off of oil.Like 50-100+ years.Here's a good video explaining why, from a mathematical/scientific angle:https://youtu.be/Hatav_RdnnoLong live United States Oil.Would die for nuclear fusion tech.Latest milestone reached March 30, 2020:https://www.iter.org/newsline/-/3427Right now in machine assembly phase.Operation begins 2035Buckle up
>>18362819Buy high. Sell low, you’re making us proud
>>18362900I've been looking at some of the smaller ones like CRC with holdings in both, seems pretty risky but they got hit the hardest so they're extremely cheap.
>>18363053Even with fusion power, you need to be able to transport the same or more amount of energy potential as a tank of oil or car gas tank. That means small and energy dense material to store. That’s even farther away.
>>18363054>that piclmfao
>>18362877I'd expect USO to moon on tariffs but WTI to maybe just get a mini pump. Either way we're looking at a solid buy for oil until the meeting.>>18362900Why is CLR so much swingier than PXD over the last five years, and why did it drop so much more sharply?
>>18363110>Why is CLR so much swingier than PXD over the last five yearsNot 100% sure but CLR has 1/3 of the revenue of PXD just from quick google search. So probably more risky but CLR i believe does still have a good balance sheet.
>>18362819Regardless of tomorrow's outcome,I believe you stand to profit within time.It traded above 5.60 in 50 out of the last 52 weeksAverage is around 12.00Youll be fine.
>>18363054Absolutely bullish
I WANT USO IS IT TOO LATE?
Ok real talk tho? What are the odds oil gets absolutely raped and goes sub $20, and Exxon goes back to $30 I mean last time I had seen anons like this was, back in the Bitcoin “sure things” days. So like what if we’re getting played by Donnie Pump and the Sandy boyz?
>>18363201I’m in sco. I feel like an ass reading through these posts.
>>18363201Very real chances of dumping further. Even a 10-15 mbpd cut wont be enough to reduce supply to match demand even prior to virus shutdown. With the virus shutdown demand for oil is low for at least most of the year. Entirely a good chance oil is holding blow $20 for rest of half of year with or without a deal tomorrow.
>>18362900No mro?
>>18363098Bingo.For a Nuclear Fusion Plant it isnt so much a problem, it can power the grid.For moblie power..The bottleneck will be battery tech.Elon Musk doing God's work in that regard.
>>18363201It can go down but Exxon is unlikely to follow it down. Either Saudis/Russia cuts or there's oil tariffs. Either way NA oil prices are on the upswing this year
>>18363236You can switch to hydrogen powered by cheap nuclear but nobody is even considering something like that, markets & governments are too disorganized
>>18363053>>18363098It's definitely a long way off. I wish we has actually funded fusion, but I'm digressing.>>18363201> getting played by Donnie Pump and the Sandy boyzWe 110% are. It's part of the reason I opened a $2 USO 5/1p days ago, even though it's a long call. The world hasn't caught on to oil oversupply reckoning yet though, in fact with jeromes brrrrr printing they might not until it's on top of them. Since we're talking about it here, we're ahead of the normies but maybe not by much; so i'm very keen on playing this, if I can.
>>18363054Ah yes charts that are merely measures of population density to trick idiots
>>18363201Anything is a possibility.But I wouldn't put my money on that happening.Oil is already at near two decade lows.Any further lower and the stocks themselves will be drilling for oil.USO which tracks the monthly rolling futures price of West Texas Intermediate oil (aka sweet light American oil), Had a 52 week high of 13.86 For the first 42 of those past 52 weeks it traded around 12.00For the following 8 weeks after it declined from 12.00 to around 6.00It's only trading below 6.00 in the last and most recent two weeks.Its going to rebound.
>>18363054unironically bullish
>>18363141Thanks. I'm heavy in major oil companies for the stupid long haul, so I'll grab a little CLR for giggles.>>18363201XOM was heavily oversold in the crash so I doubt it'll fall sharply because of oil prices, but it might simply due to sustained low demand. It's hard to tell what consumers will do through the summer this year. There are projections of a global recession, despite what the V recovery people claim. It's very possible that we'll start to just slowly bleed out and end the year below the March low.>>18363307>$2 USO 5/1p days agoThat's brave. Good luck.
>>18362729Pretty good. I bought a few XOM calls at 42 when it was hovering at 41.00 Made some solid dough today, will probably sell tomorrow if things look like they will moon. Who knows.
>>18363395Why would it rebound? No deal and it will tank like the rest.
>>18363307That's not stupid at all, nothing wrong with having a put and a call. You won't get a lambo of course.
>>18362900You guys should check out PUMP, low priced company with super solid fundamentals, low debt and high cash, can go from 5 to 20 very easily with 40 dollar oil.
General question for you lads. I am thinking about buying some calls on STNG at around the $30 strike price. If this deal comes through, is the call still worth buying?
>>18363222>>18363016My Man, yeah this is my thinking exactly, and I think your trips confirmed.Unfortunately if It drops I lose a ton of money.I mean, what are the odds they cut production>and oil falls?Type of shit like when a company beats earnings by 30% and shares drop like a rock shit?I mean it feels like that to me, I feel very sketchy with my positions.
>>18363307I think a short term put on oil is a very astute and shrewd move.Although a ~20% drop on USO in three weeks is too early in my opinion.Granted we are down more than -50% on USO this past month.But that's the height of the oil war.Its going to slow velocity when good news breaks out tomorrow.Though after tomorrow's pump, its going to steadily drop / trade sideways until it rebounds about 9 months later.
>>18353157Got XOM at $35. Feeling good about it. MbS and Putin better cut it out with their pissing contests though.
>>18363395yeah but the reasons for it being at two decade lows hasnt been adrressed? its just artifically being inflated by trump and other bullshit specfulation.
>>18361612wrong.The time took me forever to find and no one else had an answerthe meeting is 30 minutes before NYSE it’s 9AM EST / 16:00 Moscow>The meeting is expected to begin at 16:00 Moscow time on April 9https://apa.az/en/azerbaijan_energy_and_industry/OPEC-Secretariat-invites-several-non-OPEC+-member-states-to-meeting-317379
>>18363524Im only in it for the pump tomorrow.After the pump, I see oil falling / going sideways for several months.Then it will pick up in price as supply diminises, and with oil production slowing.
>>18362807Tanker play see >>18353714
>>18363706The reason for why its this fucking low...Do me a favor and watch the news tomorrow.There might be a meeting in regards to something called an "oil price war". That may or may not have to do with plummeting oil prices, but I don't know too much.Let's just watch and find out.Lolol
>>18363761okits gonna go lower.just give it time.
>>18363727thisthen buy up oil stocks when they start to show improvement in a couple months
>>18363761the meeting isnt done. nor have they decided anything.youre fucking gambling you idiot. or you could just wait.
>>18353157>galaxy brain bought GUSH @ 1.50>GUSH proceeded to fall to 0.60>GUSH r/s and shrunk my shares like my dick in a cold shower>oil is now risingam I still capable of being a galaxy brain or did the r/s fuck me over entirely?
>>18363706Because two of the largest producers of oil couldn't come to an agreement over production cuts so they both said FUCK YOU to each other and upped production so now they have to figure out where the fuck they can store the shit because they have so much of it during a period of low demand. Or in stupid termsTo much supply not enough demand price goes down.
>>18363791Who knows man. Shit that normally loses you money ends up making you money in this clown market.
>>18363818did GUSH change from a 3x to a 2x or was it always a 2x?
>>18363842It’s went 3x to 2x after the r/s. Tbh just buy a few and see what happens. At worst maybe you lose $50-$100.
>>18363724https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-opec-cuts/big-opec-oil-output-cuts-depend-on-u-s-others-joining-sources-idUSKBN21P1YM>> Reuters: Published April 7th at 9:26 amReuters says 10 am EST
>>18357499any trade where you dont lose money is a good trade brother
>>18363813yea this shit still hasnt been adressed.
>>18363772I feel like this is true, but also somewhat priced in already... oils are long term dividend stonks. will the supply/price corona demand shock last years?
maybe addressed in this thread already but its too long to find itSaudis bought large stake in RDS today.... that must mean at least a good meeting.. however doesnt cure demand side
>>18363951Did the Spanish flu last years?
>>18364003not sure, but it also didnt affect the stock market
>>18360439bought 10 Jan 2021 $30 call on mro today.(paid too much $2.44... but up at eod)Made a few bucks the last time I did this.Well managed company pulling capex.
>>18363424>>18363532It's at tiny $75 play. Hit me was in the shower, and it feels dumb but who knows.>>18363617The storage crisis is going to happen even with a cut, if I'm understanding this correctly. Tomorrow, what i know of ME geopol would say "no deal" and they try to knock out US shale for awhile; but this is clown world.My mid-term tankers play, I'm thinking Near-the-money oct call options on either TK,STNG,NAT,FRO, or TNP. There's probably others, but those are all of the big ones. It's a challenge because only have <1k to play with, and i'd like to simultaneously play the upcoming oil bear and get set up with tankers while options are cheap.
>>18361759Me too; sold half of my OXY calls at a paltry 120% profit. Such a shame, it'll probably moon tomorrow! Already 16.60 AH. Ah well, at least I'll still be making something am I right?
>>18364106so if the storage crisis hits expect cheaper stocks and further crashes? so is this a dead cat bounce or am i missing out? saudis just bought 1bil of european oils.
>>18363951Priced in?April 2: Donnie Pump, bullshits on twitter about Russia and the Saudis having make-up sex and agreeing to a dealUnited States Oil Fund rockets 60% in two days.April 5: Meeting between Russia and the Saudis originally scheduled for Monday April 6 is postponed.Oh and Trump's tweet was discovered to be just high school gossip.April 6: Market opens and begins the downward fall of USO. Drops more than 30%April 8: massive 10% pump at 2pm ESTMarket closes at 14%+Market makers are getting blue balled on anticipation of tomorrow's meetingGet ready for the double digit pump tomorrow bois.
>>18364003No, it was brewing underneath the surface during the war but the full pandemic was under a year i believe. Including second wave.
AGOA has also been criticized for being "dominated by oil and raw materials" After the enactment of AGOA, "exports have increased by more than 500 per cent from around $8.2 billion then to $54 billion in 2011, although about 90 per cent of these are natural resources, mainly oil," wrote Andualem Sisay.AGOA contains a clause requiring participating African countries not to oppose US foreign policyWhat does this mean for Namibia
>>18364240This is it “brewing under the surface” next September starts the full pandemic.
>>18364138I'm thinking sector specific issue. Oil might crash but like 40% unemployment, stocks probably wont care and money printer goes brrrr. >>18364227This almost feels like a shitcoin PnD.
Who’s in sco and shorting Dow?
OPEC+ meeting taking placeSometime between 9 and 10amTwo different news sources have different times stated, and I couldnt find the meeting time on the official OPEC site.My body is ready for the pump.
>>18364227I wish, but I think donnies tweet level is the high for tomorrow if meeting goes good
>>18363201its possible but oil is still a real thing every country city and person needs, bitcoin is just made up nonsense (like any fiat currency)
I bought $10k in GUSH during the worst of the crash. Investment is now up $5k. Should I sell?
>>18362039How do you guys do this? I need a day between trades because my cash is always unsettled. Do you have margin accounts?
>>18358013Is this the new jewish avian class?
>>18358303what happens when it becomes worthless? Do they just can it and make a new one?
>>18362039Teach me your ways, anontrader-sempai.
>>18364620YesAsapGush is a double scam
>>18362807>When the kikes in charge stop pretending we didn't crack cold fusion unlimited energy tech a long time ago, it's over.ftfy
>>18365168If you had cold fusion unlimited energy it'd make you infinitely more money than fucking dinosaur bones
>>18362819Do you understand limit buys, anon. Make the price come to you. These aren't beautiful ladies you're hitting on, they're stinkin' ass bitches. Start treating them as much. I saw USO slapping niggas around all week. I told that stinkin' ass bitch she wouldn't get the time of day from me for more than 5.26 a share. Sure, she played hard to get all day, but before the close of business she was on my team.tl;dr-- keep ya pimp hand strong and limit buys are your friend.
>>18365392Do you even supply and demand. Unlimited energy drops the price of energy-- and practically everything else-- to absolute zero. We could just automate everything and sit on our asses all day.
Bought Caltex down under at 24, god be with me
>The OPEC+ meeting on Thursday via video conference will be followed by a meeting of energy ministers from the Group of 20 nations (G20) on Friday.Anyone know the time?
>>18365534Nevermind got it>The video conference is scheduled to begin Thursday at 1400 GMT, or 10 am Eastern time, according to Reuters.
>>18365527If you could protect the tech and production of said energy you could set the rate for the supply, much like the oil cartels do now. Fusion is quite sophisticated, I'm imagine the first country to get their hands on it is going to cling to the tech and ward everyone else off as long as possible.
>>18365548You're aware our government already has patents for LENR engines, correct? This shit already exists, but its treated as disruptive technology and is heavily suppressed.
>>18365570Take your medicine
>>18365607I mean he’s not half wrong, there are massive nuclear fusion projects being made but the world governments put piss all money into it, so we’ll only get them by like 2040 if they even work.
>>18364610>he thinks utility has anything to do with oil priceenjoy going broke lol
Lesson learned. Screen shot saved to use as a reminder to control the impulse.
>>18365654It's literally a google search away for him. I don't have time to spoonfeed faggot NPCs.
>>18365704>>18365654Having stellarator reactors in 20 years is not the same thing as having widespread fusion tech being controlled by the US government by the cigarette smoking man
Putin doesn't think the US companies ceasing production due to costs counts as production cuts. Expect nothing tomorrow.
>>18365702Just to show you i'm not bullshitting you.
>>18365722I prefer the general fusion steampunk reactor.
>>18365479Another newfag here. Wouldn’t that kind of limit buy present a problem though if the stock in question is tumbling (so you might limit buy it at that lower price, then it continues to fall)?
>>18366016Stocks always rise and fall. Look at their charts. The point is, catch it at an ebb instead of a flow, to maximize your return. Set a reasonable buy in price you're relatively certain the stock will hit that day, then be patient and wait. If the stock is being a total bitch like USO has been all week, treat her like the bitch she is and low ball the fuck out of that skank. I think i'm the only anon i've seen this week who's posted USO and managed to make that stinkin' ass bitch show a profit.Depending on the number of stocks you're buying or selling, you could be cheating yourself out of tens, maybe even hundreds of dollars every penny difference in a stock price. Be patient, wait for the price to come to you.
lads when is the oil meeting, im assuming it will have already taken place by the time US markets open.
https://twitter.com/business/status/1248103611965624320>Oil demand has collapsed by as much as 70% in India, the world’s third-biggest consumer
>>18366129>USOWhat’s your game plan for tomorrow?
>>18366144Around 10am eastern someone said.
>>18366150>https://twitter.com/business/status/1248103611965624320no surprise, the whole country is on lockdown. It's only temporary.
>>18365745>>18366129We’re going to make it
>>18366158Watch like a hawk and if it sinks buy more from panic sellers and hold, if it skyrockets sell at first prolonged plateau or sign of downturn
>>18366158>>18366321Unironically this. The world still runs on oil. The price will go back up. These are accumulate prices. Im in this thing for the long haul.
>>18354222>It will be done.
>>18366215My nigga. Goddam, you must've kept the pinky ring on when you smacked that bitch.
>>18366144>>18366169it is at 9:00 eastern, 30 minutes before NYSE opens.it’s 14:00 Moscow timehttps://apa.az/en/azerbaijan_energy_and_industry/OPEC-Secretariat-invites-several-non-OPEC+-member-states-to-meeting-317379
tfw stonks & chainlink go downoil goes upmake a profit and get a 1K stack all in one day
>>18353157this is all a distraction. the euro lost value. its at a single american dollar levelhttps://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencieseurope is kill. they wont be able to afford anything
>>18366487bueno
>>18366487They should just turn on their money printers
>>18362729Most normie portfolio I've ever seen >no mfa>no fang>no pbr>no cruise lines
>>18365821Based & Molten Lead-Lithium Pilled
>>18363342But it's not wrong though
>>18366425Good source.I have another source that published the same day.https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-opec-cuts/big-opec-oil-output-cuts-depend-on-u-s-others-joining-sources-idUSKBN21P1YM>>OPEC+ is due to hold a video conference on Thursday at 1400 GMT, So.>>18366169>>18365544>>18366158Source 1: Meeting starts 9:00am ESTSource 2: Meeting starts 10:00am EST
>>18362729I fucked up & im late to the party anyways.I went with KOS & a few XOM to play with this, all this morning.Now to see what happens tomorrow.
hi, brainlet here. could someone explain to me how you can "kill" shale oil (other than with a political ban)?wouldn't you just have stronger companies take their place? isn't it better to keep zombie companies hanging around?don't know much about oil. but it's interesting.
>>18366633Forgot pic
>>18353157How come Putin gets 2 (two) bottles of water?
I am an advocate of an energy-backed currencyThe technocrats had that great idea.The closest we have to that would by the US petrodollar.But that's several abstractions away from the real deal...Money based on joules, not fiat.
>>18366586Meeting starting off so bad that no one even knows when it will start!
>>18366425No matter what happens at the meeting, there's a guaranteed shitstorm going down tomorrow.Maybe the chaos has become a part of me now, in the midst of this crisis, but I gotta say...Feels comfy, man.
>>18362729>>18366633You were late to the XOM party, but even now its not too late to buy MRO.
>>18366685To signify the two genders.
>>18366586oh shoot nice, thanks I missed that link.I had been searching for a week until I found this one >>18366425 about 10 minutes after they published it.>>18366586good luck on your positions tomorrow
>>18366635Large US firms need oil to sell for around 45 USD a barrel, to break even.Oil is selling for 22 USD a barrel.Firms are forced to operate at a loss.Firms see cash on hand depleting.Firms forced to take on debt / cut back to operate.Ideally supply would gradually decrease as firms scale back, causing prices to rebound due to higher demand/supply.Saudis and Russia being assholes, preventing supply from dropping...Which means the forns with the largest bank roll wins ovet time.Eventually Firms cease operations.Russians and Saudis capture the now waning market share.Saudis and Russians stop pumping oil when they feel like it.US firms now have to restart, pay all the costs to prime and reopen wells etc.Re enter market with less market share and less capital.
>>18366635You dump oil at a loss until almost all of them go belly up, then you raise prices into the profitable zone but not so high that re-opening shale operations makes any sense at all. Shale is expensive, and even more so than traditional wells, shutting a well down is nearly a permanent operation.This forces the US to either be more reliant on foreign oil, or heavily subsidize shale. Either way the US is trolled and the Saudis and Russians win. The only way to win against this is through hard ball. That means using some kind of military leverage. Problem being the sauds are technically allies and pissing off Russia is a bad idea for many reasons. This is why some are speculating the new "war on drugs" will be used as cover to basically invade Venezuela. That would be based, but I don't think it's going to happen.
>>18366782What is a good price to buy MRO right now? $4.07 or should I set it to $4?
>>18366833Welcome to 4chan,refugee.Please don't doublespace your posts.It'sveryAnnoyingToread
>>18366872Could put continuously adjustable tariffs on Russian and Saudi oil to make it $50 a barrel to enter our market
>>18366738Irrelevant.As soon as the gates open 9:30 am We're going on a rocket ride.409 shares of 2x leveraged Ultra Crude Oil are ready.
if russia and putin say they'll lower production but don't, how is anyone going to know anyway?
>>18366917this!i’m turning in early to make sure I’m sentient for market open
>>18366912That's the "heavily subsidize shale" option. It's probably what Trump will do even though it's retarded. Then again, the shit the fed has been doing is totally retarded too so it fits with clown world economics.
>>18366875Anything at or below 4
>>18366912Which would drive up our domestic oil prices to meet that 50 USD a barrel price.So our if youre holding US oil,Your position would become very profitable.
>>18366935Good question.I don't know for certain.But I think consulting customs would be the first step.Im sure there are ledgers of what is being imported and exported out of a country.
>>18361020I sold ssl yesterday expecting them to go down again and ill pick up a long position
>>18366917>>18366943See: >>18366895Also lurk moar, niggerfaggots. Shit like>this!Is cringe and söypilled.>>18366977>>18367015You can reply to more than one post at a time. Double posting is bad form because you're wasting 0.3% of the bump cap.
>>18367038I see you took a break from posting gay porn to come fellate yourself in this thread
>>18367042The fact that I jerk off to gay dragons is beside the point. Redditors will be mercilessly harassed until they at least try to learn imageboard culture. I'm being obvious about it, but more often than not you'll just be endlessly fucked with.
>>18353157
>>18366872Rofl lmao why would we do that???https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_production80 million barrels world wideUSA is number 1 at:15/80 million producedVenezuela is number 10 at:2.2/80 million produced.
>>18367038What new retarded type of janny is this??
you guys wanting to know the time act as though the news won’t be priced in 30 mins before the meeting, my bet; up a little then back to accumulation at 20-22
>>18367090Because the reason the US is an exporter is expensive extraction techniques, and the reason why shale was profitable was price fixing by OPEC. They say they don't fix prices, but they regulate supply which is fixing prices by proxy.>>18367115Jannie, dumbass. Your newfag is blinding.>>18367176This is a fair assessment. The pump today was probably most of what we get unless everyone agrees to limit production to almost nothing while the glut is cleared. I don't see this happening.
I don't see the Saudis making a deal. They refused to make a deal with OPEC during the Great recession.
>>18367176The June future is around 30, so we will reach 30 at some point before rollover.
>>18367290They will when Bibi calls them up. Saudis are Jewish slaves.
>>18367218I don't see military intervention for a small fry like Venezuela.The big boys are where it's at.Saudi Arabia is number 2 at:12/80 million barrels globallyAnd Russia is 3rd at:10/80 millionCombined they are almost a quarter of the world's oil production.Saudis are our allies, and we will not engage Russia with military.So we're going to sanction/tariff this situation if it comes down to it.I remember when we didnt have ID numbers, and you couldn't tell who was self bumping or samefagging a thread.Could only tell anons apart by their posting style.And you seem to believe there's only one way to post. Sad.
Most countries break even price is $60 right?Oil is $20 so why aren't you buying and holding USO?
>>18367721At $20 it’s a great buy, I’m Probly being greedy not buying at 26 and will regret it, especially with the economy looking to open up soon but let’s see
Rate my Oil stocks:XOM -25%RDS-A -23%OXY -65%HP -60%I may have bought in too early.
>>18361412Analysts at Credit Suisse outline five potential outcomes from the meetings:• 1) NO OPEC+ DEAL (5%): Russia and Saudi talks will break down – Brent could be pushed lower to ~USD 20/bbl• 2) NO US DEAL (20%): If the US refuses to partake, Russia and Saudi will also ditch talks – Brent could be pushed lower to ~USD 20/bbl• 3) A “LARGE” DEAL (20%): around 15mln BPD cut from current levels supported by OPEC+, US and other producers for at least three months with possible extension – Brent could rise to around USD 35-40/bbl.• 4) A “SMALL” DEAL (35%): Immediate OPEC+ cuts of 12-13mln BPD; US offers mild reductions in Gulf of Mexico and Shale output and the purchase of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) – Brent could see USD 30-35/bbl.• 5) AN “EVEN SMALLER” DEAL (20%): US relies on natural output reductions and offers to purchase around 0.8-1.0mln BPD for the SPR. Brent could meander below USD 30/bbl with scope for a rise to ~USD 35/bbl should US production markedly decline naturally.
>>18367721Break even price depends on the source, for the Saudis its probably not even $10, for Shale/Oil sands its closer to $45 - $55, other sources vary on type of well.
>>18363992source ?
what time is the meeting bros?
>>18364766They Inverse split, eventually they are going to split enough times that your money becomes worthless
>>18368074About 5 hours
>>18368001Just google Saudi Royal Dutch Shell, it’s real, too bad they’ve already rocketed up so much or I would buy some, maybe if it collapses later today due to deal breakdown
I have a put on 30 bucks on brent, big premium so i am very very afraid, thinking of closing it
Sorry guys, /newb/ here, i want to buy some oil shares through Robinhood, but I understand the market is closed. If I place an order right now, will it be the same price? Or does the market start off with different prices?
>>18367850Xom was below 35 few weeks agoRdsb was like 11 a pop and still a bargain why pick rdsa? You pay taxes to morocco landoxy should be bankrupt with a ppb under 45 but it pumped for some reason Dont know that oneToo late Id say
>>18368319
>>18368181pre-open market will change the prices.Monday-Friday — EST LISTED06:30 - 09:30 — Pre-Opening Session 09:30 - 16:00 — Core Trading Session 15:45 - 16:00 — Closing Imbalance Period 16:00 - 20:00 — Extended Hours
>>18368181it is probably in your best interest to wait and watch the pre-market.the meeting is taking place during or just before the market opens. at least you will be able to see an upward trend (which you can ride up if you’re quick enough), or a downward trend (which you’ll be able to avoid due to not purchasing.be careful buying and selling the same stock in the same day, or more than 4 transactions in a 5 day moving time frame otherwise you can be labeled a day trader and you will have new restrictions on your account like a minimum balance of $25K
>>18368181also watch and refresh this before/during market openhttps://www.google.com/search?q=%22OPEC%22+%22meeting%22&prmd=nvbi&source=lnt&tbs=qdr:h&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjCwvPU9droAhXEpJ4KHde2DOMQpwV6BAgLEAU&biw=414&bih=622
>>18368356Fracking techniques are getting better, there might still be time for theseFang and Devon are solid and ought to blow the fuck up in a year or two.Do what you want with itIm not a financial advisor
>>18368451>here's some financial advice>not financial advice btwcome on bro, this is 4chan and we're all anons. no need for that.
>>18368656Im not an advisor yes. What I say has no guarantee.Would you prefer me telling you to pawnshop your kidneys and go all in?
>>18368692fuck yes!done!plz send address so I can mail you a percentage
>>18368692no, your post was fine until the last line.i know you're not working as a financial advisor.
>>18366895This. Thank you for your service
MRO still a good buy?
>>18366872What are tariffs on foreign imports? Let the Saudis sell to Chyna at $10pb
>>18368946you cant have tarrifs on saudi light, you need it to mix it with us crude for production
>>18368979BS, you don't have to use Saudi lite to cut Brent/WTI. However without the sand peoples oil, you'll have to use the good stuff from US shale to cut shittier oil. So if you tariff Saudi, then Brent/WTI go up and Canadian Tar goes down.
>>18369039i have puts on todays deal in any way, if i loose, i loose big, if i win, i win big, lets see
>Trump To Monitor OPEC Meeting As Low Oil Prices Hurt U.S. Firms
>>18366833Dude you have to go back
>>18366875bump for answers
Welp looks like I won't be touching anything oil related with a fucking barge pole today.