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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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17892333 No.17892333 [Reply] [Original]

20$ Oil is a declaration of war against the United States of America. Plan accordingly.

>> No.17892383

checked.
Is it because nations don't need to hold as much wealth in usd?
yuan oil futures last year and the oil dump coinciding with the market crash is an attack on the reserve status of usd by china and russia and saudis?

>> No.17892589

>>17892383
Saudi is trying to drive USA shale out of business like the Rockefellers used to drive out small oil producers back in the 1900's. Either an economic response or a hot response must happen. Iran is also affected and may launch attacks against Saudi arabia. BUt dont be surpised if the crown prince is lying in a puddle of blood.

If oil remains at 20 a barrel for too long USA will cease to be a superpower. Getting oil around 50 a barrel has been integral for our recent success.

>> No.17892610

>>17892383
A strike on SA would cause a HUGE shock in oil and volatility. If you see oil hit 20 a barrel load up on calls and wait for the fireworks.

>> No.17892943

>>17892589
this is crazy though, it means the end of the camp david accords
>If oil remains at 20 a barrel for too long USA will cease to be a superpower.
the us has not been energy independent since the 70s, if the domestic industry collapsed why won't they just renew the existing agreement?
>>17892610
unless something has changed re the us military hegemony the saudis are asking for this if they are dong what you say they are doing

>> No.17893046

>>17892943
I don't think the USA will attack Saudi Arabia personally. I think it will be Iran doing it. They serve the same interests and with all the chaos happening /the advent of crypto USA would have no problem funding an Iranian strike against SA.

As for the damp david accord, I am not too familiar with it. But with OPEC failing in its promise to keep oil steady, i would say all accords are moot.

>> No.17893114

>>17893046
Based. Fuck the Saudis. We'll pump both sides full of arms and aid just like Iran-iraq then kneecap who ever stumbles out

>> No.17893121

>>17893046
why would iran attack the saudis when the saudis are economically attacking the usa

you're pissing in the wind

>> No.17893155

>>17892333
Saudi Arabia is a jewish front, always was, jews try to fuck with one of their host nation, yet again

>> No.17893174

>>17893121
Because like anon said it fucks with Iran money too but they're already up against it because of sanctions. Plus Iranians are already in proxy wars with the Saudis across the region. They fucking HATE each other since the beginning of civilization itself.

>> No.17893217

>>17892333
They did 9/11 and got away with it. The Saudi Royal family are in the club, nothing will happen to them, MBS is a CIA asset, he does Israel's dirty work, if US shale needs to die then the US will let it happen.

>> No.17893328

>>17893121
Becuase their primary source of income has been cut in half, and (my prediction) they will be "convinced", by US/Isreali interests (read:mossad) to launch a strike in order to push oil back up and punish saudi arabia. I recall not 6 months ago a saudi oil plant being bombarded that cause a spike to 70$ per barrel. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Abqaiq%E2%80%93Khurais_attack something similar to this will occur on a mass scale. this was most likely a test run.

>> No.17893331

>>17893174
>imagine thinking the iranians (the last middle eastern nation not completely fucked by the us) would do anything to stop the thing that could make the Americans lose their petro dollar.

>> No.17893363

>>17893328
The means are proven, and so is the motive. Only the crime remains to be seen. Time will tell all. Gamble wisely.

>> No.17893377

>>17893328
I think it's more likely this oil dump is an attack on iran
https://www.france24.com/en/20200312-iran-asks-imf-for-first-loan-in-decades-to-combat-virus
first time iran has been a debtor to the imf in decades

>> No.17893388

>>17893331
It doesnt have to be the Iranians. It could be any splinter group. I was using the iranians as an example for a front for US interests to not break peace treaties. However Iran have their own motives ($$$) as well, cannot discount that.

>> No.17893441

>>17893377
Very interesting. This corroborates my thesis.

>> No.17893669
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17893669

Yes clearly it is Saudi Arabia flooding the market lmao

>> No.17893822

>>17893669
>what is storage

>> No.17893837
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17893837

>>17892589
You guys are fucking retarded low information nonvoters.
Russia started this It's a basic fact. Saudi needs higher oil prices to be solvent and for the Prince not to get Game of Thronesed. Saudi is just responding to their little spat with Russia and desperately wants oil to go back up.

>> No.17893882
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17893882

>>17892610
>A strike on SA would cause a HUGE shock in oil and volatility.

>>17893046
>I don't think the USA will attack Saudi Arabia personally.

Wow. /pol/ here don't know shit about market but take one thing in written from me - US will never, ever attack Saudi Arabia. Not in a MILLION years. I just laughed a bit at people even discussing the probability, its like US attacking Israel.

>> No.17893905
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17893905

>>17892333

Please America, nuke the Saudis and Russians to protect my energy stonks.

t. Leaf

>> No.17893929

>>17893882
>pic related
the the usa gave $2billion to israel and the saudis joined the embargo

>> No.17893969
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17893969

>>17893837
>Russia started this It's a basic fact

In fact anon, you are the retard, who can't even get the facts straight.

Saudi Arabia approached Russia and try to establish a regimen of production CUTS, to try and buoy the price, as the Saudis need an $83 per barrel crude price to be budget neutral.

Russia felt that by sacrificing their production capacity, they are essentially subsidizing American shale oil producers, whose massive oversupply is literally what caused the market to crash in 2016.

>> No.17894035

>>17893217
>if US shale needs to die then the US will let it happen.

Pretty much. When forced to pick between Saudis/Israel, and US energy, the rulers of the country will pick Saudis/Israel. Project Zionism is priority uno.

Trump is a little different though. Clearly he does care about America and his ego alone will not let him go down as the President under which US Shales died. Something has got to give, and it'll be Saudis backing off, imho.

>> No.17894048

>>17893155
Incredibly based.

>> No.17894076

>>17893882
If this is the case, the bullish case for oil still holds (the problem remains). However, the enemy become russia. It matters not who takes the hit. Hitting russia would decimate europe.

>> No.17894117
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17894117

Lol The global economy came to halt and you guys are blaming Russia and/or Saudi Arabia, the airline industry is literally bankrupt and not flying

Gee I wonder why the price of oil is falling when demand is disappearing

>> No.17894152

>>17894076
Hitting Russia means nuclear war. Saudis are gonna have to take the hit here. They will back down eventually. I'm bullish on oil too as long as Trump is Potus.

>> No.17894182

>>17894076
Russia has a stronger position than the USA right now. They would win any sort of confrontation. They annexed an ex-soviet territory AND won Syria against all odds, their deepstate game is strong af. It's the first time since early Krouchtchev they hold a serious chance against the US if shtf.

>> No.17894194

Good. FUCK America and fuck the mutts

>> No.17894203

>>17894117
true

>> No.17894334

>>17893969
Yes, so Russia started this. Thanks for agreeing with me.

>> No.17895311

>>17894182
Any confrontation means oil calls will print. Longing oil is longing conflict.>>17894152
As for the nuclear option; Gaea is not suicidal.

>> No.17895355

>>17892589
>Saudi is trying to drive USA shale out of business like the Rockefellers used to
>Russia is
ftfy

>> No.17895367

>>17894182
Mano e mano u.s. military would kick the ruskies asshole into their throat. But this scenario will not happen so it's pointless arguing.

>> No.17895396
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17895396

>>17892589
Already got bunch of oil stock cheap last week and this week. I to believe this will happen!

>> No.17895430

What does this mean for my CVX holdings?

>> No.17895479
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17895479

>>17892333
How do I buy oil for $27 or $20 or whatever. I have only ever bought crypto

>> No.17895517

>>17894117
The price dropped before the demand dropped. It is directly related to both Russia and OPEC selling oil at a price that isn't profitable for either of them in the short term.

>> No.17895609

>>17892333
dollar sign goes on the left side of the number like this: $20

fucking retard. the amount of times I see people put the dollar sign on the wrong side just shows me how god damned idiots roam this board. this country is fucked

>> No.17895628

>>17892333
Buy oil now and wait for it to bounce back. Reliable 10-20% profit. The price of oil usually dips and rises.

>> No.17895634

I bought a fuck ton of CPE and GUSH calls this week and last week. If the US can recover from corona and regain their hold on the oil market I could potentially be rich as fuck.

>> No.17895660

>>17895634
Definitely, hold oil until it either recovers or demand overshadows supply; which is currently unsustainable.

>> No.17895712

>>17895367
Hypersonic missile technology, anon.

This fight might not go the way you think it might.

>> No.17895741

>>17895712
It would go conventional or we'll all be dead.

>> No.17895743

>>17895609
I dunno anon, i'm an oldfag too and i'm starting to like putting the dollar sign behind the #. That way it literally reads "twenty dollars" 20$ and not $20 dollars twenty.

>> No.17895788

>>17895741
We might all be dead if it goes conventional. Hypersonic missiles have rendered aircraft carriers obsolete. Russia's AA capability give our jets a run for their money too.

Somewhere along the line Ivan figured out he couldn't outspend us, so he doubled down on coming up with cheaper means to neutralize our advantages. They have hypersonic missiles that are faster than our anti-missile technology, ones capable of shredding carrier hulls like paper. If there's ever another hot war we're going to see death and destruction like we never imagined. Get ready to see a multi trillion dollar, fully stocked and staffed carrier disappear beneath the waves.

>> No.17895795

>>17895741
I highly doubt that such a conflict would be anything but nuclear. Mutually assured destruction doesn't just go away at the cold war's end.

>> No.17895806

>>17895609
Should go at the end. It's a dumb arbitrary rule and no ambiguity is created by changing the position of the symbol so cope.

>> No.17895852

>>17893046
What don't you regards understand? Saudi Arabia is allied with us in the oil game. They have to ramp up production because Russia is so they can compete.

>> No.17895899
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17895899

>>17895788
>tfw we have probably already infected their missile software systems

>> No.17896046
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17896046

https://youtu.be/9VxfKAgioZI
https://youtu.be/W5U0yP5rylg

We're fucked and Russia Israel, China and the Saudis are taking turns

>> No.17896093

>>17896046
I kinda hope so. I'm tired of being world police. Maybe it hurts a lot in the short term but long term the U.S. still has a wealth of diverse assets and we can finally focus on ourselves and our own infrastructure for a while and let the world sort itself out for once.

>> No.17896151

>>17892589
Saudi Arabia is a US ally and did not start this war. Russia is attempting to depreciate US shale and the power of the USD. Go look up what happened in the recent OPEC+ meetings.

>> No.17896217

>>17894117
Its clear Russia did this because of the expected economy freezing capabilities of COVID-19. They saw their shot at the petrodollar and took it.

>> No.17896221

>>17896093
Not how it works bud

>> No.17896229
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17896229

>Saudi, Russian, Chinese, Israeli cabal taking down the US of A

we're well and truly fucked boys. It's been a good ride (not really at all for me, but the 50's and 80's seem like they were probably based)

>> No.17896233

>>17894182
Russia doesnt stand a chance militarily anon

They stand to smack a few bombers out of the air before a shitstorm of JASSMs and TLAMs deletes their A2AD and its ogre strategically

>> No.17896244

>>17894035
Its not about ideology at this point. Saudi Arabia and Israel absolutely do not align in this department. Saudi Arabia is only conveniently aligned with US/Israel because they saw us as the better prospect in the cold war. The us will choose Saudi Arabia opposed to their own shale because the US wants cheap oil like everyone else.

>> No.17896272

>>17896229
You're nuts if you think Israel is allied with China and Russia. Saudi Arabia is allied with US/Israel but everyone trusts them less.

>> No.17896292

>>17894117
Fucking gommies shill, former KGB Anatoliy Golitsyn talked about the Communist countries working together to subvert the West. He predicted, with a 94% accuracy rate, over 200 world events after 1984, especially with the USSR and it's "collapse". Cold war never ended bitch.

>> No.17896329

>>17896292
I'm not disagreeing with you but saying that guy predicted 200 world events with 94% accuracy is a pretty extraordinary claim.

>> No.17896337

>>17896292
cain and abel never ended

>> No.17896360

>>17896221
It kinda is tho...

>> No.17896389

>>17896093
You're done. There is no "long term". Your empire of evil is fucking finished and hopefully peace on earth can commence once you're gone.

Good riddance. Press S to shit on the Great Satan.

SSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

>> No.17896408

>>17896389
Lmfao

>> No.17896448

>>17895609
Go to bed boomer

>> No.17896495
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17896495

>>17896272
Fucking shill, this guys retarded. Israel has being trading with Russia even more, sold them so many military secrets and "inadvertently" got them stolen by Russia, and also with Israeli Talpiot, Unit 8200 and Talpion graduates being from Russia as well. Bibi said we could "smuggle these guys out and put em in Palo Alto to produce some real wealth".

Even David Ben Gurion declared "I am a Bolshevik" according to the JTA.

>> No.17896556

>>17896329
With backing. Wikipedia the book "New Lies for Old". The dude even called the fall of the USSR and the fall of the Berlin Wall. Perestroika Deception

>> No.17896643

>>17896408
You're really fucking stupid. Aleksandr Dugin doesn't work with both Antifa and the Alt Right for nothing. They'll foment a collapse and the West will get fucked, don't expect a good standard of living in the takeover

>> No.17896759

Oil dropped from 100$ to a fuckin 40 range and i dont remember world war 3 and panic of this magnitude. Yall niggas being played and talking to each other like this is the end of the world, you have zero info and power. World will adjust, economies will adjust. Every open war is a nuclear one so i call bullshit and buying this panic. In 3 months from now, you will be pulling hairs out of your head that you missed this time to go in

>> No.17896810

>>17892333
How do I profit off this?

>> No.17896813

>>17896759
Its more about the shifting of power in the world, not looking good for the West. At least you'll make money though, thank God what would we do without you.

>> No.17896835

>>17896643
What does that even mean tho? Like you're just throwing around buzzwords and expecting me to be afraid. I have nothing to fear. Antifa and alt-right are literally nothing.

>> No.17896958

>>17895609
Sorry I study STEM instead of finance so I put units on the right by habit.

>> No.17897058
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17897058

Can someone fucking tell me which oil companies to buy and which calls? Uso leaps? What?

>> No.17897080

>>17896835
Lol buzzwords, I literally listed several things that don't bode well for the West and you just shrug and say "Well, fuck it". Russia will Finlandize the US and have the upper hand militarily, economically and politically. The living standard will slowly drop for people in the West and political radicalism will be fomented in the youth. If you haven't seen the collapse of other empires throughout the world, I don't think you understand. Because you live in the West, you've never seen an actual crisis and think it couldn't possibly happen to you, although you watch it on TV with those brown people countries.

>> No.17897100

>>17896958
Based. People who study finance would adjust the meter over time by an index of consumer lengths if they did engineering

>> No.17897204

>>17897080
You're glowing bright as fuck bud. I'm not afraid of your boogeymen and I'm not going to go to war with Russia to bailout wall street.

>> No.17897606

>>17897058
If you can, the ideal would be to buy leaps on oil futures but that is very difficult. I would focus on buying leaps on US shale companies, specifically the ones that people think will go bankrupt due to this. (larger is better- think OXY, XOM, not cheseapeake etc.)

>> No.17897676

>>17897204
Lol Wall Street is an Israeli swamp and Trump is not cleaning up a damn thing. It's a raw deal from foreign superpowers and from your own govt. Both sides are shit and using the West, that's the sad truth.