3 / biz / cgl / ck / diy / fa / ic / jp / lit / sci / vr / vt ] [ index / top / reports ] [ become a patron ] [ status ]
Guys- WTF is going on in EU?
>>1524609its ogre. 2008 again and it hasn't even started. Next Italy default and another economic meltdown. I hope that all your wealth is in non euro fiat or gold.
>>1524609"Refugees".
srsly I don't know WHAT is going on know, what will happen the next few days/weeks
>>1524628Market opening tomorrow is going to be fun.Which way will it go?
I'm really scared RN, if it really collapses EU is going to be a huge warplace
>>1524662Why worry? You have no influence in any of this. Just buckle up and enjoy the ride bro.
>>1524668well I'm in austria->I'm part of the EU-> It will affect me bigtime
something new about this matter?
Honestly Schiff & Maloney are right. Watch the bond market and precious metals over the next 9 months. The stage is set for a recession being announced in Dec/Feb, if Donald Trump wins the election he'll be one of the many scape goats. It's just fucking obvious at this point.
>>1524655Up ~5% at open, tanks back down within first 3 hours. Normally how stuff I'm interested in goes.
>>1524746that doesnt sound that bad, I hope the situation does get better
>>1524740>if Donald Trump wins the election he'll be one of the many scape goatsHe's said that himself. I remember at one of his rallies he went off on a tangent about how we're due for another recession and if it has to happen he hopes it's before he becomes president.And I'm sure, if he brings it up in a future debate that will impact people's perceptions.oy vey
Just to double check, is this the part where we panic violently and I burn through my 6 months stock of drugs?
> Britain will suffer economic collapse if BrexitHAHAHAHAHAHAHAWHO'S COLLAPSING NOW
Why would I even care if I don't live in germany and don't even use german banks?
>>1525458Because when Germany collapses all the refugees will leave the country and move to yours, collapsing your country as well?
>>1525458because it wont only be the german bank collapsing if it goes down you total cretin>one of the biggest banks in the world about to go bankruptLOL WHY WOULD I CARE IM FROM MURRICA AFTERALL
The UN announced in a report that the next recession will include mass defaults.feelsgoodman.jpgThis credit and non-stop fiscal deficit growth was retarded to begin with
Can someone just explain wtf happened to the DB to cause this?
It's down 7 percent today as well. Is this it, lads?
>>1524609now what do i invest in this?
>>1525482You don't.Let it collapse.
>>1525482Gold, TVIX or shorting the euro with, say, the etf EUO.
>>1525458>>1525460
>>1524672How is Australia part of the EU? It's not even in Europe... Unless you mean the Emu Union?
>>1525457Europe.
>>1525526dude- AUSTRIA, not australia ....
>>1525526Austria you fucking pussyYou know, the country named after that meme economic school of thought
https://twitter.com/Accendo_Mike/status/780729101132890112hit that 5 euro button boys
>>1525457Keep in mind that Article 50 has not yet been invoked. We're still a full member of the EU until then. Any apocalyptic predictions won't apply until it actually happens.
So will it crash?
>>1524609Deutsche bank is getting fucked over Ireland Apple tax bill. That's pretty much it.
>>1524625This.
>>1525552Yeah that pretty much it. Apart from that they're fine.
>>1525482Buy ETH and hold
>>1525562>>1524625Prepare for civil war my friends
>>1525526
>>1524609>Guys- WTF is going on in EU?
So if the DB goes belly up what exactly would happen?It wouldn't affect the goods markets much would it?So what would change? German gouverment would have a lot less tax money, many people lose their jobs and the rapefugees either chimp out or move away?
>>1526310>one of the largest banks in the world collapses>retards keep acting lik it only will hit one countryRefugees wont chimp, Germacucks will continue to give them free stuff even if they have to starve themselves for it.
>>1526323Ok so the same shit happens all over the world.Still the goods markets would be pretty much uneffected.>Refugees wont chimp, Germacucks will continue to give them free stuff even if they have to starve themselves for it.Yeah no the only reason it even got this far is because of good economy.
DB won't collapse because as some have pointed, it would be apocalyptic for the financial system as a whole the EU will 100% bail out DB before it collapses, there's no way Juncker will let it collapse, not after having spent his whole life building a gigantic tax evasion scheme that could be hindered by this collapse
Something new about this matter?, or is everything ,,fine" now
Im buying in bulk. Keep selling you idiots.
>>1524624It's even lower now than the 2008 crash. This isn't going to be just a big hit on Germany/the EU, this is going to be a big hit on fiat in general. I think the transition to crypto is right around the corner, they are even working on making some changes on the protocol level to implement crypto on a global scale - as far as making transactions.>captcha: LEADING
>>1526498But they literally don't have enough money?
Haven't you guys been shorting DB?
So the next crash is obviously about to happen.I thought it would take til 2019 but whatever.So, what do?
How many more days/weeks/months can they keep her propped up?I feel like it's going to dip into the single digits anyday now...
>>1524609Just a stock price. Doesnt nessecarily mean its going BK just that more people are selling the stock than buying it...
>>1526982It will tomorrow probably.Which means a lot of people will sell their shares automatically
>>1526988http://www.finanzen.at/aktien/Deutsche_Bank-Aktie?rd=fnLooks like they are going slightly up today, I really hope it doesn't come to the worst case scenario ...Not that I'm a businessman, but I'm scared about my security, protests against the state etc
>>1527034The always go up and then down later in the day.Happened the whole week/last week.>Not that I'm a businessman, but I'm scared about my security, protests against the state etcHell no it's time this happens. No more hand outs for rapists
>>15270382008 was shit- I don't want it to repeat, repeat in a greater chatastrophy then it was ...
>>1527071But this time it will be far bigger than 2008,Unlike 2008 with shorter shifts+a million more out of a job riots won't be far off.Best caste Merkel gets sacked and handouts for rapefugees stop which makes them leave.Worst case Merkel stays, rapefugees still get gibs, government tries to seize private wealth once they completely ran out of tax money and a civil war starts.
>>1526967Yup! Now to ride it all back up again with a miracle
>>1526498Bailouts aren't magical things that come from fairy dust, if they bailout DB it's going to cost them a lot more than just the money they don't have.
>>1527077Well I'm a student and work parttime, but I'm more worried about my family and their workplace security etc
>>1527111You should be more worried about them if it continues as it does now.
If DB gets bailed out then won't Greece, Spain and Italy rage quit the EU?Also, haven't seen mention yet of the $14 billion fine about to be levied against DB by the US. Sort of incredible that that alone could sink the bank if they don't try to raise capital.
>>1527164How can they even be bailed out?Isn't it impossible by now?
>>1524609I read an article in the WSJ today about how the housing market is a bubble again.captcha: click all squares that are part of a bank sign
>>1527174The Chinese housing market is a even bigger bubble.Shit is about to go down.Look up Juglar cycle.
>>1527168Honestly not sure. Have to wonder if even the Fed could in someway become involved with provided emergency credit along with the ECB. The bankers will figure out a way to help each other, they always do.
>>1525524
This is just a symptom of the bigger underlying issue.The west has been consuming more than it is consuming, relying upon debt to make up the difference. Central banks are now issuing credit for free and with negative interest rates, some entities are now effectively paid to take credit. There are non-financial companies that make more money handling this debt than making their product as it does not require R&D, a large amount of employees (with the pension risk), etc. This capital SHOULD be used to stimulate the economy but it is instead being taken out and is increasing asset values.Take pensions for example. The assumptions used were often based on 6% returns (I am seriously belittling the pension industry here but bear with me). Now that these sorts of returns are unobtainable when many billions are involved they are effectively a pyramid scheme. They require an increasing level of people contributing just to make up for their upcoming or current liabilities.In short, something will have to give and many people are waiting for the first thing.Governments, via central banks, are printing money and using negative interest rates to try to limit the damage. History shows that this is not likely to hold long term.Eventually confidence (the real currency used at the moment) will disappear in something and cause everyone to jump ship. For example, if a sizeable portion of the European upper middle class start holding dollars and pounds instead of Euros.Boom!
>>1524609Guys. this is the time to check how bitcoin holds. i was thinking : now dollar is probably going up, because people are selling investments on euro economy into USD. so bitcoin is going down for a while. but respecting a raising line. i bet on bitcoin, because i think whatever outcome USA elections might have the German economy can cascade a global meltdown. Not even UK can survive it. So its Gold, silver and if im betting right cryptos.
>>1527832>For example, if a sizeable portion of the European upper middle class start holding dollars and pounds instead of Euros.why should they? the interest rates for dollars and pounds are almost equally low.
>>1527901>why should they? the interest rates for dollars and pounds are almost equally low.Confidence. If they believe that the Euro will be devalued faster than the dollar, for example, if hyperinflation kicks
https://cointelegraph.com/news/rothschild-dumps-us-dollar-for-gold-other-currencies-bitcoin“The six months under review have seen central bankers continuing what is surely the greatest experiment in monetary policy in the history of the world. We are therefore in uncharted waters and it is impossible to predict the unintended consequences of very low interest rates, with some 30 percent of global government debt at negative yields, combined with quantitative easing on a massive scale,” - Jacob Rothschild>greatest experiment in monetary policy in the history of the world>We are therefore in uncharted waters and it is impossible to predict the unintended consequencesw-w-w-hat did he mean by this
>All of London's banks will move to Frankfurt if we vote for Brexit.kek
>>1527933Da joos are goin down bb
IS IT TIME?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LefgjpmXS0
>>1524609>tfw live in Germany and my bank is Deutsche BankJust fuck my shit up
>>1529017kekleast you can do is switch banks
>>1529030Still won't protect me from the impending fall of Germany
>>1529036About time. Fuck the EU, fuck Merkel and fuck the rapefugees
>>1529036Buy puts or bearish turbos on the DAX then
YESS YES!! let it all collapse, than I can finally become a warlord
>>1529092This
>>1529017unless you have more than 100k deposited, your money is safe
>>1524625What's going to happen when those 'economic migrants' stop receiving their welfare payments?
>>1524625>Not bankers gambling with loans in pre-2008
I work at DBAMA
>>1529243What's your favorite color?
>>1529243Are you and your workmates fully aware you're the laughing stock of the financial world?
>>1529243When will you finally go belly up?
>>1529243hahai wanted to get a loan of about 100k for some flats to rent outevery bank could get me an aproximation of how much i would have to pay back each monthbut not DBthe cunt there wanted to know every single detail of my income printed outwhen i told her that all the other banks could give an aproximation she was bullshitting me about "laws and bank policies"fucking fat piece of shit cuntno wonder DB is fucking upbtw volksbank had really nice conditions
>>1529483Green>>1529496Yea actually and a lot of us just laugh about it and float our resumes around>>1529508When the strategy 2020 flops>>1529555I don't work in a regional bank but I can tell you other IBs literally hate working with us
>>1527108they will mortgage the future earnings of the eurozone population to bail DB out. great wailing and gnashing of teeth as eurocucks are indentured to the bailout (((bankers))).
>>1529609Guess my ID changed since I left work
>>1529609>2020 flopsSo like next week?
>>1529614It's been failing since at least last year but execs wont admit it till 2021
>>1529609You in NYC? I am at BAML NYC. I have a buddy starting in S&T soon at DB as a first year right out of college. I always make fun of him saying that he won't have a job soon.Am I right though? Will he soon not have a job?I hope desu he's kind of a douche
>>1529030I would love to fuck a girl like that.
>>1529630I'm actually in the "rapidly growing" Jax branch>Inb4 lol retardAssuming he got stiffed on pay like the rest of the new hires he should survive a layoff or two but we do smell more coming. NY always gets slashed the most with teams becoming smaller and smaller.
>>1529637Jax as in FL?Jeez didn't even know they had a location thereBut I don't think he got stiffed on pay. Idk though. As an intern he made decent amount. I think $14k for the summer?
I'm dumb, are people going to short them tommorow
>>1529625You will be at -30 by then.
what's the difference between DB and DBK.DE?
>>1527168Oh look, it's this chart again.>treating gross notional of derivatives as some sort of risk measureLiterally zerohedge tier.
>>1529609Do you or anyone you know do any institutional level trading?
>>1529641Yea they're building more and more buildings down here. Pretty sure they'd leave NY just to save money if it wouldn't destroy their image even further. He might be on the chopping block then especially if he's on a bigger team.
>>1529662I actually work with some guys who do institutional trading
>>1529707>AMAohh i want to ask some questions because I've been trying to teach myself what I can about institutional level trading.Do institutions really only buy when price is falling and sell when price is rising? As in,do they really build up short positions by engineering price up into an areas with a lot of buy stops, and build up long positions by engineering price down into areas with a lot of sell stops?Are market making institutions really rapidly repriceing after they built their position to move it towards their target?
look at hsi now its going to fall barley holding itself up its at .20
>>1526261it hasnt even happened
>>1529710>Do institutions really only buy when price is falling and sell when price is rising?What is buy low sell high>do they really build up short positions by engineering price up into an areas with a lot of buy stops, and build up long positions by engineering price down into areas with a lot of sell stops?The guys I work with do shit with pensions so they're not so active >Are market making institutions really rapidly repriceing after they built their position to move it towards their target?I know a lot of the riskier positions are repriced on average monthly
Why exactly is DB going to crash? They are going to pay 10% of their fine and that will be that.Derivative exposure is not a catalyst. Not being able to pay the fine is, but they are going to do the standard song and dance and pay a fraction of it. Aside from article 50 actually being triggered or Trump being elected president, what would cause DB to blow up?
They will get bailed out so you should just BUY BUY BUYThe biggest bank in the EU and one of the worlds biggest wont just collapse
>>1529660>learning nothing from '08Ok let me make this simple for you:>farmer grows $500 worth of crops>Farer buys $500 worth of insurance>Farmer has a net zero exposure>drought is a remote possibility, only about a .01% chance>insurance company over levers itself and insures every farm in the state>drought comes hard>every farmer loses his crops>insurance company can't cover obligations, defaults>Suddenly "net zero" farmer has $500 liability for crops and $500 exposure to insurance default. >gross exposure becomes net exposure in a blink of an eyeI don't know why retards can't fucking understand this, even though it is EXACTLY what happened in '08 when a shit ton of net zero or net short banks were suddenly exposed when CDS contracts went bad/almost went bad with the collapse of bear stearns and lehman.
>>1529761I think I might have not been clear enough and so you misunderstand.I'm more asking about concepts like the crude depiction in pic related.
>>1529786Them going under 10 a share
>>1529869How does their share price impact their ability to do business?
>>1529874Just like it does right now
>>1529814I've seen charts like that on monitors but since I'm not a trader I'm not familiar with details sorry
>>1529932How do I get a trading job in one of these places so I can learn as much as I can from their traders?
>>1529634gross dude
>>1525466Fiat, refugees.
>>1529980Do you have any kind of schooling or licenses?US or somewhere else?
>>1529634I would love to chain her up in my basement and force feed her to a healthy weight and then let her go.
>>1529980>Do you have any kind of schooling or licenses?No fancy pieces of paper with my name on them.>US or somewhere else?US.But I still want to learn more about how the institutions trade, just to be clear, not learning how to sell (stockbroker).
>>1525524lots of arrows and circles with no explanation. my eyes are opened
>>1524662Sell all investments. Aquire weaponry.
>>1529141Thats not just America?
>>1530215Without any "fancy papers" it'll be hard to get anyone to want to teach youEither get a degree or license or start in sales in one of those hire everyone cold call type places. There you get some experience but not gonna lie it will be a grind up
>>1530337Seems to be taking a long detour to go through doing sales as a broker just to get some insights into how the institutions and market makers really do their thing, without guessing.I can study the charts and take a guess at what they are doing but I'd like to get a inside look at how they really do it.And dont they only take people from the top 10 universities? It seems it would be more far fetched to get into one of these elite universities.At the very least, could I get some of the info by just running into one of them at the bar and buy him a bunch of rounds while I ask him a bunch of questions about how they trade in the institutions? Or are they sworn to some kind of secrecy?
>>1530263>I'D MUCH RATHER JUST PARROT INFORMATION INSTEAD OF INFORMING MYSELF; PLZ SPOONFEED ME AS IM LAZY CUNTt. you>wat is systemic risk and whos the biggest contributor
>>1530404Unless youre some kind of savant or hit a lucky break you will not do well in institutional trading on your own. Regular universities still can get you pretty far especially if you make connections while you're there. It's always been more who you know than what in terms of getting hired.
>>1527168Is the derivatives portion misleading due to leverage? If so, it's like me buying 10 calls with a strike price of 20 for a market price of say $500, but calling it $20,000 in exposure. I'll never lose $20,000, just my original $500.
>>1529092I'll meet you in Valhalla - all shiny and chrome.
>>1530742>posts a picture of arbitrary arrows and circles to make a point>bitches other people are lazy about acquiring informationWow gee golly willickers, banks trade and do business with each other? Please internet guru, post more click bait photos to expand this quality dialogue. You're so smart but any deficiency in your teaching (i.e. anything of substance) requires further study. You should teach on the college level.
>>1525552>apple tax billuh? How are they involved in that, dont you mean the fact that they are getting sued for subprime mortgages?
... Is.. is it happening??
>>1529217>being a memeologist
>>1524609Whats the best way to bet on the Deutsch bank or ECB failing?
>a large db leverage short since mid summer
>>1531445buying gold and silveshorting the stock (or go for put options)buying weapons, ammo and food
urg fucking hell, I realized a gain with an SP500ETF a few days ago and yesterday i bought back in at 35.50cad and now the price is 35.40.Should I sell now before it's too late?
>>1530337Say, why is Merkel letting you fail? I thought she and Josef Ackermann were best buddies
>>1531445The ECB cannot fail, dummy. It's not a company and lacks a comprehensive balancesheeth
>>1531484Indices are for buy and hold. What the fuck are you doing?
>>1531510i like to take advantage of dips and peaks of indices, it's not crazy as stocks.
Lufthansa, Commerzbank, Deutsche Bank collapsing
>>1524609Been tracking this from the middle of the year, everythings turning out trueRefer too >>>90873592 for my past gathered info and shitAMA
>>1531552>boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/90869516/its-happening#p90873592Whoops shit, not good at this linking
>>1531552What's bringing then down, in your opinion?
>>1531557Copy pasting my infro from other thread:Despite Europe's bank debt stacking up , DBK (Deutsche Bank) are being propped up by major derivative exposure amounting to 72 Trillion and keeps climbing .The derivatives are more than Germany's total GDP. Although the majority is saved by their Net , this Net is at the expense of the various counter parties. If any fail to back up then the trigger is fired and things wont be pretty.Moving on, another issue going on here are an increase in CDS's reaching nominal peaks in 2015/16, they're still not as high yet but they've been growing internally throughout the year.The picture attached shows DBK's CDS against JP Morgan. There's also a CDS increase on the major Italian Bank 'Monte dei Paschi ' , I'm sure there are more on the linked banks I've named below.A bailout shouldn't happen due to new EU rules in place since 2008 on bank bailout strategies. An option against the taxpayer lays open but who's to say the government wont do both or the former, I don't now.Check the archive for other posts , i've done a couple contributions. I'd like to say that if you're a trader, start shorting the banks now. Here's a short list so far:HSBC,BarclaysUniCreditNordeaSantanderMorgan StanleyJP MorganCITIGoldman SachsStandard CharteredI can get an image of more up next post. Just short the fuck out of them and watch Quarterly reports throughout the year. There shouldn't be any great rebound , nobodies kidding anybody aboiut this and DBK telling everyone "Everything's okay" will be bullshit.Here;s a chart of DBK Credit Default Swaps
>>1531098you're not entitled to anythingtough luck if you dont understand the picture, im tired of spoonfeeding millenials
>>1531559The thing bringing it down are bad derivatives, repackaged loans being sold to other banks and trillion Euro debt.
>>1531559Thanks, but derivatives and CDSs are not bringing doom per se. It must mean that there are bankruptcies that the DB has to pay for. Which ones would that be?
>>1524625http://youtu.be/mcJmzEawWi0
>>1525524This picture's from an article back mid this year showing all linked banks sharing the loans and derivatives. Basically, short everything here , especially the EU and UK banks .>>1531564The bankruptcy finance the loans, the loans finance this mess , then come the derivatives.
Is it the apocalypsis yet? why tv news aren't as afraid as you guys? are they trying to don't make people panic?
>>1531574Why in this particular moment? The German economy seems to be doing great.
Why banks and politicians don't stop ruinning regular people's lifes?
>>1531586Divide and conquer. Why do you think they flooded Germany with migrants? Much simpler to control. Especially when the natives have to pay the bills for the migrants.
>>1525457ISN'T IT FUNNY
>tfw you didn't prepareWho /futurecannibal/?Gotta eat.
>>1531578why are the tv news not reporting on hillary being owned by rothschild and holding fundraisers where asking her a question costs a few thousand bucksthe msm is misleading you and i don't really know whymaybe to give the riches more time to buy gold or silver since moving trillions of dollars could disrupt the market and accelerate the crashrothschild also owns cnn btwyou should read shillary's leaked emails
DB afterhours is -7.16%, currently at 10.08If it can drop below 10 it will be a big psychological hit.I dont think it has ever been in single digits, even in the 80'shttps://www.google.co.uk/finance?cid=6988887
>>1531604What is the difference between regular hours and afterhours? Like will it start up tomorrow at 10.08? Or what it closed at this morning?
>>1531608Its still trading but not as many people are doing it.That leads to less liquidity, wider spreads and other issues, but it still happens.With the big drop it means that people are panicking, probably due to a combination of the NYSE performance and perhaps some so far unreleased information....
>>1531618Interesting. And thanks for answering my question. So why don't many people do it?
So 2008 again?
>>1527168Looks like DB is going to give the EU a 54.7 Trillion dollar debt.......All the country's in the world can't even bailout DB if they Try.>> It's going too look like a Asteroid hitting earth.
>>1526987Lol at this delusion
So how can we profit off this?
>>1531692Buy cheap marzipan, sausage, beer and lederhosen.It will be at bargain prices
>>1531594you are retarded>>1531584bumping for answer
>>1531649>Looks like DB is going to give the EU a 54.7 Trillion dollar debt.......
>>1527933Accelerationism?
>>152546614trn dollar exposure to derivatives
>>1529634necrophilia is wrong.>still would "bone" her :^)
>>1531708have a look at thiswww.xup.in/dl,19459831/1472555275108.jpgthings have been very wrong for a long timemaybe this is the fallout of this or maybe this is just another step towards (((globalisation)))if the db doesnt get bailed out somehow i blieve the latter is the case and we're in for a mayor shitstormmarkets within the next few days will show wether or not they can keep it "floating"
Deutsch bank is shorting its own stock. They profit by being irresponsible.
>>1531743We all have a skeleton inside of us and you have wanted to fuck them before!
>>1531742*42trn euro
>>1524609So is the whole world doomed now?
>>1531769>So is the whole world doomed now?No this is the beginning of drastic change. The catalyst for massive structural change.>as planned.
FREEFALLINGWhat do now? Buy gold? Or buy food and beer?
>>1531803Buy bullets and guns.
"Investors should stay away from shares of Deutsche Bank and remain defensive in financial markets, Doubleline Capital founder Jeffrey Gundlach said Thursday, according to Reuters. Gundlach told the news service that it doesn't feel like the selloff is over and that the market will push down Deutsche Bank shares "until there is some recognition of support." Deutsche Bank's U.S.-listed shares tumbled Thursday after Bloomberg reported that around 10 of the lender's derivatives-clearing clients had removed excess cash and positions. Deutsche Bank shares are down more than 50% since the end of last year as the firm struggles to shore up its thin capital cushion."
BTC should rise in Value, if they crash right ?
Memes aside how serious is this?I guess we can't tell at this point.
>>1531857First it will shrink, as the USD gets stronger, then it will grow.Also remember gold stocks are fake. GLD didn't follow the price of gold at all durine the 2008 crisis. Gold tripled while GLD went up 20%
>>1531867so would you advise to wait for a potential crash and then grab BTC and Gold/Silver in the following dip ?
so should we buy gold now? I have about $4k what do I buy now to make big bucks?
>>1529243In simple terms, what the fuck happened?
>>1531867What about gold mining stocks? WILL silver also experience a rise in the event of a deutsche bank collapse?
Guys , i live near Molenbeek and i am nogunz what do ?
KILL ITKILL IT
>>1531897lube up for Mohammad from syria
>>1531897It's going to be like prison. You'll have to trade your ass for protection.
>>1530273Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) operates in EU. Think it's €100k in Eurozone and £75k in bongland.
>>1524625b-but Germany is telling everyone that refugees will save the economy...no joke, you hear this shit all the time
>>1529177History has an answer.
>>1529637I also work for DB in Jax. I wonder if we walk by each other without knowing.
>rejected for a job at Deutsche for bullshit reason>2 days later see them getting ass fuckedHopefully their suffering is not brief.
>>1531751where did you get that info? short exposure is currently under 3%, and im covering only 1% of that...
>>1532073Hitler was Christian so add in everybody that died in WW2 you fucking faggot.
>>1529637>>1532074Did you fug
>>1532101Hitler was actually more fond of islam.
>>1532101>He unironically believes hitler was badGee, I don't even know where to start. Oh perhaps greatest story never told?Or if that is to much for you, why don't you just go lube up diverse bull in your living roomIf dindus and skittles lose the gibs, you can bet your ass europe is gonna get torn new asshole.Also DB is safe, not it's time to fall yet. Soros thinks few moves ahead.
>>1524609/pol/ tried to warn about this months ago but you fags wouldn't listen
>>1532135/pol/ is always right about the jew but not about the happenings.
>>1526498>Bail outThere comes a point when even the lowest IQ retard realizes their is no point getting out of bed and going to work in the morning if Trillions keeps getting printed out of thin air with no consquence other than them getting taxed harder and harder.
>>1524609It's kill. Brace yourselves.PS: God help us all.
I work at Barclays, am I done for?
>>1531522because as we all know, timing the entire market works great
>>1532163He's not listening.
>>1531881if you've got mega balls, then yes. for a week or 2 while the crash is first happening gold and silver will drop 20-40%, but then they'll start to skyrocket. if you can catch them on the dip you'll ride them from the basement to the moon.
>>1532144>always right about the jew>jews dont control financeI speak the saddest words of tongue and pen...
>>1532144/pol/ has known that EU and Eurozone were on the brink of collapse for years. One of the main reasons /pol/ was so pro-leave was because they wanted Britain to gtfo of this shitstorm before it starts. Now GB has a massive upper hand in the Brexit negotiations. Meanwhile continent fags are going to be broke and overrun by Islam. They don't call em eurocucks for nothing.
AHAHAHAHa I hate Germans so fucking much I couldn't be happier.
>>1531561>implying i dont understand the picture>implying you ever spoon-fed anyone>entitledPlease, post another enlightening over generalized image that literally explains nothing. It's ok if you don't understand and can't even elaborate on your own image. I know what image board I'm on. If you did, you might have had a better retort that didn't expose you as a 12 year old.
>>1532118Quiet /pol/, grown ups are trying to talk.
How much is this going to affect the UK and US? Is there any way to tell or is this a wait and see situation?>I'm guessing mainland Europe is fucked beyond the help of any soothing cream.
>>1532229pls go back to /pol/.You guys realize those massive derivatives positions aren't anywhere near as leveraged as the 2008 banks were don't you? While they're dangerous they're not going anywhere. The bank reports poor earnings, but it's also demonstrating solid response to financial analysis and it's been under astounding regulatory supervision. I think you cucks are panicking, and ultimately this is probably not a bad buy.
>>1532430class 8 here. just wanted to say that your analysis is retarded and you should probably kill yourself tbqh. shits fucked. buy some friends
>>1532430average joe here,you are wrong.love, /g/
buy it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!own it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!keep it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!look at it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!buy it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!own it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!smoke it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!send it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!save it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!open it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!buy this>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!do it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!now>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!go on>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!do it faggot>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!buy it!>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!click the button!!>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!you will enjoy>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!potcoin>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!its nice>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!try it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!buy it>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!quickly>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!supplies are limited>▶POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!! POTCOIN!!
>>1526970Get high and watch the world burn
>>1532237did hans fuck your wife while you were at work or something similar?
>>1532073I am a Christian but that pic is all kinds of retarded, probably made by an inbred moron that knows literally nothing about history>sources are literally quora and youtube videoskys for posting this shit anon
>>1531559>There's also a CDS increase on the major Italian Bank 'Monte dei PaschiMonte dei Paschi was never "major", and it's been at least a decade since they've become a shitty constantly bankrupt bank that nobody trusts and therefore nobody asks them for money
>>1524625I guess /pol/ was right again. Getting real tired of that.
>>1532073http://www.danielpipes.org/comments.php/172982seems legit
>>1532575usury is banned in islam leave this forum NOW before I call your sheik on you kid lmao
>>1532439Have you done a financial analysis on DB? If so, please enlighten us with your detailed opinion. Maybe we'll all learn something here.
>>1524609Does this mean UK's BREXIT will protect the English?
>>1532346Very few truly would know. If they do, they're off setting themselves up to make millions and billions. Everyone else is full of shit and either don't knows or will generalized - acting like an expert.
Perfect time to buy !!!>get in faggs DB will recover anyways
>>1532788This is how I feel too. Who the fucks going to let DB fail? But then I remember I don't know anything about banking and finance so my opinion is worthless.
How can I make money off this collapse?
>>152546629:1 leverage ratio in capital assetskeep in mind the lehman brothers had a 30:1 ratiothis is happening.soros and rothschilds have both put in a short hedging against the DB
>>1532795buy the shit out of the stock market, now !
>>1532775The haven't exited yet. They voted to but the actual exit is years away.
>>1526310You've got to realise what DB bank actually represents.They provide the funding for a majority of German companies which will all be hurt. Some may be forced to close down.
>>1529612But then what about the Itallian banks that have been on the verge of collapse for months now?Do they get bailed out too? Or is it 'not the euro problem' when it's not german banks that are failing.If so does itally get mad and Ittalleave?
>>1532817Feels like chicken will come home to roost soon.
>>1532795buy low sell high (buy the crash, sell a few years later)but really you're fine as long as your money is stored in USDs or Pounds
>>1532532Perhaps look up 1400 years why we are afraid on jewtube. PhD explains to you, how badly muslims raped europe in the past. Our crusades are over, muslims still wage the holy war and kill peopl, by the thousands every year..
I would worry when the DAX is down -8%.Nothing is gonna happen now.
>>1531742>>1531756I haven't been able to find any information about 14 trn dollars in exposure to derivatives. Only about the 14 BILLION dollar fine from the U.S. Federal government that they can't pay back.14 trillion dollars is akin to the GDP of a large prosperous country.
>>1526498There is not enough money in Europe to bailout DB
>>1531559They've reduced their derivatives from 72t to like 45tonly 10 out of 200 funds have withdrawn.
>>1532802>>1532839Can they not revert to pink slips, and then, restructure from bankruptcy or something similar, so everyone loses if they invest now?
SHORT>SHORTSHORTNOWRRREEEEE
>>1524609Hello, european here. The earth just split in two in europe, there's quakes everywhere. If I can't finish this senten
>>1532953Spanish banks bailout was 54 billion € (american billions 54*10^9)
>>1532983Another European here, it's also happening to m
>>1532989All fine here so far. Whe
>>1532983North is fine what are you talking abo
GUYS I SEE CANDLEJACK OUTSIDE I THINK HE'S A SNI
/pol/ is being a sensationalist memer like always, so I thought I'd ask you guys. Is shit really hitting the fan?
>>1533001looks like it
>>1533001Looking like it will. The jews are trying to save it. But it will eventually fail.
>>1533013>>1533015what does that mean exactly? theyre buying it to try to keep it afloat or what? wouldnt they lose money that way?
>>1533001it's looking bad for DB but it won't be something spectacular like a black friday today
>>1533016They lose more money if the bank completely fails.
>>1533016They do it so that normies see the price isn't dropping drastically. It's an attempt to stop people from panicking and selling their shares. If the jews didn't punp money in at a time like this, the price would drop drastically and scare the shit out of people, resulting in mass panic selling.
>>1532154Well said anon
>>1533023>the price would drop drastically and scare the shit out of people, resulting in mass panic selling.im concerned that ship has sailed.
>>1533026It could definitely be worse, but you're right. It's not looking too good.
I have invested 1mm euros on the short position.
>>1531774>The catalyst for massive structural change.Just like the massive structural change after 2008?I'd say the model of privatizing profits and nationalizing losses thrugh bailouts might still have one or two more cycles in it to squeeze.
How do i gain profit when shit like this happen??
I came here for explanations, yet 90% of the postings are /pol/-tier>le habbening >it's da Jews! >REEEEEE IT'S ALL OVERBarely any educated commentary on what is happening and why.
>>1531622After Hours/Pre market is generally only available to Institutional Traders
Bill out now
>>1532532If you are christian why would you encourage someone to kill themselves?
>>1533038sell everything and buy cheap but quality stocks at the bottom. like ford motor company was 2 usd in 2009 lows and is now 16 usd
Seriously. There's literally no way Germany or the EU is just going to let DB fail.
>>1533084I thought the same way about BrexitNowadays, anything is possible
> "Our trading clients are amongst the world’s most sophisticated investors. We are confident that the vast majority of them have a full understanding of our stable financial position, the current macroeconomic environment, the litigation process in the US and the progress we are making with our strategy."
>>1533084Fairly sure EU has legislation saying it won't bail out banks if i'm remembering correctly
>>1533116Which means nothing, actually. They will bail it out if they have to- just call it something different.The question will be 'who gets burned?'
>>1525457
Should I be selling my stocks in HSBC? I have a feeling if Deutsche Bank goes under it'll drag alot of shit down with it.
>>1533155Short
>>1533159ty senpai
Is City bank save lads?
>>1533173Citi*
>>1533175>>1533173What is reading a thread?
>>1531559This might take down the market. Alot of bankrupted companies are being financed by State banks who've bought heavily into the 'lucrative' derivatives and CDS market. The 'growth' that was weak is actually an outright lie. China is in recession, once the banks default, we're looking 2/3 of Chinese industries going belly up. I looked into reports on price earnings of some major Chinese banks and heard from the ground about major partnerships during August 2015. Draw up a graph of any major Chinese bank and you might see it overlap with derivatives earnings and falls completely. At this point short anything. I'm less optimistic, I feel like it might hit around Christmas
>capitalismnot even once
>>1532809What if they all just don't pay the DB back? So at least the goods market survives
>>1533084They said the chances of the American housing market failing was 1:several billion but it happened.I was 100% certain they would never let Britain leave the EU but it happened.You can't be sure anymore.
how is this surprising to any of you? has been on the skid for a long long time
JUGLARUGLARMy old economic policy prof told us 3 years ago that this would happen.
>>1532953research harder.
>>1533099lololol. I also read "the banks (DB) financials are stronger than ever, but the bank is facing more pressure than any other bank"
Compare deutsche and lehman br stock value.Mix corruption, wrong financial skills, bad management and high risk derivatives and obtain a situation like this.In Europe financial aid by government are forbidden so it's hard to find a solution without declare default, maybe 14 derivatives per 1 gdp is too high ahahSo, i'll bet on DB in long term because german government fucks EU rule.
>>1524624If Italy goes in default EU collaps in a very few time.Germany with her surplus (8.9% gdp last year only) and bank are the most danger for other country, not Italy or Greece
>>1533206Why aren't you rich then?>>1533210Why isn't he rich then?
>>1533244>implying he isn't
>>1532999Underrated
>>1533244news has been awful since cryon took over. cutbacks, layoffs, exits, restructuring, etc.doesn't take a genius to see it steadily fall from 30's to mid 11's in less than a yearand I'm sure plenty of people spotted it before then(and i wouldn't call myself rich, but i would say i am well-off)
>>1533029NiceI hope you also have some plan if hyperinflation strikes and fiat becomes worthhlessWhat do you thimk will gain the mostBtc, eth, gold or silver?
>>1533276Gold will tower silver, ETH will rival BTC in terms of gains however people are still more reluctant to trust ETH what with all the errors in recent times. This doesn't mean ETH won't see gains thoughGoldSilverBTCETHMy gut says silver is under BTC bit thinking realistically not enough average people use/know how to use BTC
Can someone explain this to me: why don't investors who have power over DB's share price short DB then leak something that will take their share price down?E.g. say Goldman shorts DB then says it will stop offering them credit or something surely that will cause the share price to fall. = profit
>>1524609COLAPSE
>>1533324It illegal
>>1533337>ng them credit or something surely that will cause the share price to fall. = profitand highly regulated.Babby's first economics
>>1532154underrated
So if something like this could crash the markets and cause gold prices to go up, what happens to the price of gold mining stocks? Up like gold or down like stocks?
>>1524624Why not gold. Paper money drops Gold sky rockets
>>1527832Truth, west is on the road to inevitable economic collapse but we have a awhile before shit is irreparabe. I wish I had been born 20 years earlier or 20 years later, either to be dead or far too old to give a fuck or to be young enough to move my investments overseas,
>>1525457The entire global fiat paradigm.
>>1524609They got slapped with like a $14bn fine from the US (just after the EU slapped Apple with a $14bn fine).I'm glad that the Germans are getting fucked, it's about time someone smacked the arrogant cunts.
>>1533393It will go up.. and really hope it rises because i'm having 50k nordic mines stocks just waitin them to reopen those huge mines
>>1529660Zero hedge is been right in nearly all of their predictions. They could be wrong in terms of several orders of magnitude and Deutsche bank would STILL be impossible to bail out. Stop being an idiot and see the underlying trend: the economy is on a precipice.
>>1527288>The bankers will figure out a way to help each other, they always do.Eurogroup President said if DB go down, they're on their own.
>>1531584The DOJ will impose a huge fine on DB. It's estimated to be around $14 billion but it's probably going to be less depending on the DOJs mood on that day. DB only provisioned $7 billion.
>>1529786Their assets aren't paying off and their liabilities keep growing. It's a formula that all the big banks have and it isn't a winning one. The fine just exacerbated an already terminal illness.
>>1527888your jumping the gun the euro still beats the dollar, why would they abandon the euro before it's necessary, but the gap between the too has closed dramatically which cannot cease to amuse a country is almost beating a continent. I won't br laughing for long I am sure>>1529092Ja okay bro, >>1529803That's what happened in 2008 by textbook but what really happened was much worse. In fact criminal the crash in 2008 was the result of a bubble created by banks giving loans to everyone and anyone, they took these garbage loans and stuck them in them in with AAA hedge funds. They were incentivized by the US government to give loans to the poor, then transferring the extremely risky investment into a hedge fund with AAA investments. So the drought your referring to was a superficial bubble caused directly by the people insuring the crops, except they sold your fucking loan to some rich investor. So even if you did default it would not be there loss. And all they could do is profit.
>>1532817Italy has been breaking EU laws to keep their banks propped up for a while now, Germany is turning a blind eye to it because they don't want Italy crashing.If DB go down, Italy won't mention anything because if they do, Germany will fuck them on their illegal actions.
>>1532430Denial. Yeah, they are so stable that all their major business partners are flooding the news with how stable they are plz dnt leav me plz
>>1532229Stfu polls way of bring right is throw enough shit at the wall something is bound to stick
>>1533198> that pictureDoesn't get much more slavic than that.
HODOR
I hope it all crashes
everything is back to normal. gg maybe next time
>>1533799Panic is such an interesting concept
Who cares about their exposure as long as there is no proof of them backing a bunch of wrong horses?14 billion dollars isn't much. They'll probably reduce it to 6 billion with some lobbying and lawyering anyway.Cryan claimed today they have liquidity reserves to the tune of 215 billions.Stock price literally has no bearing on how financially sound their house of cards is.But - mainstream media in Europe started to really pick up on their stock price spiralling down. Conveniently after markets closed for the weekend, but it'll make Monday morning intersting. Due to widespread reporting I'd expect a lot of small holders remembering they have DB in their portfolio and dumping them. But this might be the bottom, so I also suspect investors to mass buy as long as it's cheap. Apart from rumours so far there's nothing substantial that would justify the drop. It's a minor panic as best as I can tell.