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14577922 No.14577922 [Reply] [Original]

I made some price predictions base on a couple of possibilities how both the Lition project and the overal crypto industry might develop over the next 5 years.
Three Lition development. These will get marked by 1, 2 and 3:

1: Ultra bullish: Becomes industry standard chain for all big business GDPR compliant dApps. Lition gets a place in top 5 by Mcap
2: Bullish: Becomes the de-facto SAP blockchain for SAP blockchain applications. Lition is a standard in the top 100, peaking on news and hype cycles as a top 30 coin.
3: Bearish: Everything takes longer than expected and team seems to be milking it for profit with never ending promises but few realisations. Best it can do is peak to low 100's in market cap on some exchange listing.

Three crypto roadmaps:
A: Ultra bullish: Bitcoin goes over 100k, altseasons become increasingly dominant. BTC dominance goes lower than 25%
B: Bullish for Bitcoin only: Bitcoin goes over 100k, altseason never comes. BTC dominance goes to 80%
C: mediocre: Dominance and price stay roughly as it is.
D: Bearish: Bear market resumes, we go deeper than before. Total Alt Mcap goes to 25 Billion, 1/5th of today.

>> No.14577928

>>14577922
Then we have 12 possibilities, I'll base the price on Mcap calculations at full dillution (145M LIT) and compare with other crypto projects at quasi full dillution (FY 2050 https://messari.io/onchainfx):

3D) Lition doesnt make it in the top 100 at full dillution and #100 will be worth less than 1/5th of today's price (80.5M) Total Lition MCAP is 15M or about $0.1/LIT
3C) Lition doesnt make it in the top 100 at full dillution and #100 will be worth the same as today's price (80.5M). Total Lition MCAP is 60M or about $0.4/LIT
2D) Lition becomes #30 at full dillution and #30 will be worth less than 1/5th of today's price (895M) Total Lition MCAP is 179M or about $1.23/LIT
3B) Lition doesnt make it in the top 100 at full dillution and #100 will be worth 3 times today's price (80.5M). Total Lition MCAP is 180M or about $1.25/LIT
2C) Lition becomes #30 at full dillution and #30 will be worth the same today's price (895M) Total Lition MCAP is 895M or about $6.17/LIT
1D) Lition becomes an easy #5 and # 5 will be worth less than 1/5th of today's value (12B). Total Lition MCAP will be 2.4B or about 16.5/LIT.
2B) Lition becomes #30 at full dillution and #30 will worth 3 times today's price (895M). Total Lition MCAP is 2.685B or about $18.5/LIT.
3A) Lition doesnt make it in the top 100 at full dillution and #100 will be worth 45 times today's price (80.5M). Total Lition MCAP is $2.7B or about $18.6/LIT
1C) Lition becomes an easy #5 and # 5 will be worth the same as today's value (12B). Total Lition MCAP will be 12B or about $82.8/LIT.
1B) Lition becomes an easy #5 and # 5 will be worth 3 times today's value (12B). Total Lition MCAP will be 36B or about $248/LIT.
2A) Lition becomes #30 at full dillution and #30 will worth 45 times today's price (895M). Total Lition MCAP is 40.27B or about $278/LIT.
1A) Lition becomes an easy #5 and # 5 will be worth 45 times today's value (12B). Total Lition MCAP will be 540B or about 3724/LIT.

>> No.14578039
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14578039

Hopefull bump

>> No.14578337

>>14577922
That's not really a prediction. It's a list of likely scenarios, and that's a totally different thing though.

>> No.14578359

>>14577928
Setting my sell order for 17 dollars and entering cryostasis. Good luck cLITTIES

>> No.14578378

So you are saying it will go up, down or stay the same?insightful.

>> No.14578574

>>14578378
That the risk seems to be low.
(Nothing substantial happens with the project, you may close in a year or two with small profit or loss)
Reward can be very high
1000x bagger in some scenarios.

>> No.14578818

>>14577922
High IQ shilling anon

>> No.14579169

>>14577928
Good Post, I hold 2k, but looking to get more.

>> No.14579303

better get ready anons. Dip is almost over, it will become a lot more expensive to get your make-it stack ...
>>14577922
listen to this man, OP knows stuff and has probability math on his side