/biz/ - Business & Finance

Yes

>>57024142
pulte is that you nigger ?

No I'm autistic enough to work in absolute certainty. I'd put 60% into gold, 30% into silver and 5% into platinum bullion. The remaining 5% I'd put into a safe to fit it all and the rest into Bitcoin.

I can choose green and sell the futures for the outcome of green on polymarket
I would easily make more than 1 million regardless of the outcome of green
I win because I understand how prediction markets work, meanwhile OP is a redditor that hates crypto and finance in general
OP will die from spike proteins in his heart

>>57024142
I would pick green since I'm already (barely) a millionaire. Another $1 million wouldn't change my life much but $50 million definitely would.

>>57024142
The EV of red is $1 mil but the EV of green is $25 mil.

>>57024142
Honestly you’d be pretty fucking stupid not to take 50 to 1 odds on a coin flip

>>57024142
hit the red button 50 times retard

Instant 1 million
I barely have 4 figures and i never run out of money

>>57024178
>OP will die from spike proteins in his heart
wew lad

>>57024370
Based fellow infinite money glitch poorfag.

>>57024202
This

>>57024142
Red and I’d buy a shitty lamborghini that would get keyed in my low income neighbourhood

>>57024142
>/biz/ would choose green
I would

>and it's disgusting
no your just a fuckin pussy
go big or go home

>>57024142
>/biz/ would choose green and it's disgusting
The red button for me. It would have been more fun if the red button gave you a million like 88% of times or something.

>>57024142
I already have 7 figs, so left would let me comfortably retire. I'd never need to worry over money again. That's enough for me, really.

I'd hit green tho no cap

>>57024142
Id sell the green button to a billionaire for 5 million

>>57024142

I'd press Red.

>>57024221
what's the ev of $1 million vs $0

>>57024142
op what amount of money would make you press green? 1 billion?

>>57024142
What's the issue, just press both buttons. It don't say you can't.

>>57024142
>red avg value 1 mil
>green avg value 25 mil
if i already had 1 mil i would pick green, if i was a desperate poorfag i would pick red

>>57024227
wrong, not when 1M is life changing money for some

>>57024764
This

>>57024142
pick green but then i sell my outcome to the highest bidder for somewhere higher than 1m, probably around 10m

>>57024142
i just press the green button twice, now I got 50 mil guaranteed

>>57024945
based retard

>>57024227
you're talking like a poker player or other type of professional gambler, but those odds play out over millions of iterations so the math balances in the long-run, which can be very long. in a one-off shot you should not gamble the million dollars on a 50/50 unless you don't mind losing a million bucks.

another factor would be how old you are. if a kid loses the million he still has a chance to become rich. if you are 50 and you're not rich, just take the million and don't gamble because you can't recover if you lose it. you have fewer good years and that million could be pretty impactful.

>>57024221
the same EV of you being an ignorant retard

>>57024602
I don't think that term means what you think it does.

>>57024602
what is the EV of you being retarded?

>>57024945
Under8ed /biz/ post

>>57024142
Anyone who takes red is NGMI. The EV of green is 25 million.

>>57024142
>choose green but don’t press it
>sell green to the highest bidder, likely $24M
>crush red and watch with amusement no matter what the (sold) green outcome is

>>57025034
you're saying EV is the only consideration and I'm saying it isn't.

>>57024945
It wouldn't be 50M guaranteed, though the chance of winning 50M would be about 95%. So close enough to it. Winning strat.

>>57024360
If you go by that strategy hitting the green one the same amount of times makes a lot more sense.

>>57024945
you need to press it 4 times

>>57024588
Big brain.

Green. 50% chance i win, the other 50% chance i jump off a building. Win/Win situation.

>>57024370
Literally me. I'll buy a cheap house in Europe and invest the rest. Live like a NEET king for the rest of my life.

instant 1 million and put it all on injective for a 5x and then chainlink for a 10x, guaranteed $50 million.

>>57024142
Id hit red for the $1 million and buy crypto to easily get $50 mil next bullrun guaranteed. Hitting green just leads to the only possible chance I get nothing. You would have to be extremely low IQ to go green.

>>57024142
if you have $50 million you'd be retarded to choose red.

>>57024675
>It don’t say
Lajarius with the big brain

>>57024221
Yeah but you’re paying $1million to increase EV. Some can’t afford that

if your networth is under 8 figs, then you have to press red. cash in hand always better than mere EV, as you need to consider the possibilities of how you can grow that capital

its not really 1mil if you're fairly confident you can grow it to 5mil in 10-20 years

>>57024142
cooorrect
so would any casino or mathematician

>>57024175
>autistic
>absolute certainty
>platinum
>bitcoin
youre not autistic, just retarded

1M is enough if you re invest.

Ya I'm too poor to even consider not just taking the guaranteed 1m. I'd be absolutely crushed if I chose green and didn't get anything and resumed living in poverty

>>57025349
All this says is
>broke
>spends all day on 4chan
>old
>no wife, not even a girlfriend
>spends all day on the computer reading 4chan and trading shitcoins
How is this desirable to anyone?

>>57024142
u get one million but loose 25 million that aint smart

>>57024142
Just take insurance on green, win win

Unironically no because 100% chance is better than 50% chance.

If youre so confident put all your money on primedice and press the button lol

>>57024142
>pick red
>pay off mortgage
>buy rental property for passive income
>put some aside for kid's college fund
>take a family holiday with any leftover
Or
>pick green
>$0
>kms from regret
Or
>pick green
>develop coke habit
>abandon family
>choke on my own vomit while getting a rimjob from a hooker

Tough choice desu

>>57024142
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
Dox and kill anti-whites.

>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604
>>>/lit/22844604

>>57026080
You can do the 3rd on red if you move to Mexico

>>57024142
Waited a whole month for VINU to have a 250% and I'm finally able to buy my Toyota Corolla
I'm so happy right now, I will hold more after selling for sure

>>57024945
Least retarded /biz/ poster

>>57024142
I’d go with red. Pay off my parents mortgage, milk the remaining $500k until I die, and also get a part time job (2 days a week) at a warehouse or some shit to get by while enjoying life.

I'd pick green

$1 million is literally nothing and I can get it without the button

You've literally being handed 1 million. Only a retard would pick green. Unless it's fuck you money to you, you should pick red.

>>57025697
Says the moron who can't even type out a proper sentence.

>>57025176
How's it 95%? H= hit M = miss , 2 tries the combinations are:
HH
HM
MH
MM
For each of the "double clicks" the chance would be 0,5 * 0,5 = 0,25 and the favorable combinations for winning 50 mil atleast once would be 3*0,25 = 0,75. What am I getting wrong here?

>>57024142
Just team up with 10 friends and make a deal that you split the total. It's called diversification faggot

>>57026923
Oh and I bet that literally no one in this thread or on /biz/ is able to tell me what the probability of still getting nothing with 10x green button is

>>57026927
To "miss" 10 times in a row a 50/50 chance would be 0.5^10 = 1 / 1024. So to get nothing that would be the chance.

>>57024945
You would
1. Get 100M
2. Get 50M one click, second click nothing
3. First click nothing, second click nothing

But its still go rich or go home mentality