/biz/ - Business & Finance

The crash is tomorrow, isn't it?

my trading diary has 6 pages. its hard to remember to add tickers.

>>56894793
>"tightness = FFR - inflation", so as inflation drops they'd want to cut alongside it to maintain the same level of tightness.
This sounds like the "spiritual second virginity" the girls at the "Christian University" I went to used to talk about.

>>56894836
>Tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow,
>Creeps in this petty pace from day to day,
>To the last syllable of recorded time;
>And all our yesterdays have lighted fools
>The way to dusty death. Out, out, brief candle!
>Life's but a walking shadow, a poor player,
>That struts and frets his hour upon the stage,
>And then is heard no more. It is a tale
>Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury,
>Signifying nothing.

>>56894836
(Yoo) are probably right about that

>>56894863
why would they bother to cut at all if the economy doesn’t go into a recession

>>56894836
>pearl harbor day
some schizos house blew up a few days ago and apparently warned of something going down tomorrow.

>>56894896
Because the unemployment side of their mandate - plus keeping inflation around 2% - means they don't want a recession. And 1% real rates (5% FFR, 4% CPI) are much less likely to cause a recession than 3% real rates (autistically keeping 5% FFR as CPI ticks down to 2%).

>>56894836
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4GKNbmYOAow

>AMR is up 80% since July

>>56894903
Yeah, saw that too. Dude was apparently the son of some high ranking South Korean military advisor to their President, both his parents were basically spooks. Blew up his house, filmed it and uploaded to youtube, and while presumed dead he's actually alive.

>NATGAS withdrawal report tomorrow

>>56894912
praise the LORD :) take therefore no thought for the morrow

>watching hockey
>dog commercial comes on
>it's a gambling app with a dogecoin avatar
Sometimes I wonder if my constant intoxication of memes has distorted my reality, or if I'm just going insane. Is it meme magic, or has the world gone mad? I feel as if I'm being taunted by clown world now.

>>56894912
BLESSED
A
S
E
D

>>56894962
>gambling company tries to appeal to crypto doge retards
not really surprising

>>56894947
Of course the Kold Kall Klan rises in Biden's America.

>>56894962
>Not using an ad blocker

China bottomed and is entering a QE cycle

Let me get this straight:

Oil is under $70
Rates are plummeting (10 year 4.1%)
12 mo forward earnings are rising
Inflation is falling
Productivity is rising
Stocks are near ATH

And I’m supposed to be bearish?

>>56894984
If I was forced to make a bet on it I'd put my money on the KKK reigning overall clear through to June. I no longer have the balls to make bets on it till it gets sorted. I might hit some KOLD on any wild NATGAS spikes though!

>>56894988
It's live TV anon. The only sports I watch on replay are NFL games that I watch throughout the week and I skip past the commercials because I record all of the games. This time of year the only entertainment is Hockey in the evenings, CFB is over and I don't give a shit about basketball.

>>56895001
If that's true, then why is the Hang Seng collapsing like one of those sawdust skyscrapers?

>>56895018
They're not 'directly' connected. My guess is that exchange's exposure isn't protected by Chink ZIRP. They've been jailing bankers the last few weeks, so you know it's coming.

>>56895011
You left out
NIGGERS AND JEWS
son,
NIGGERS AND JEWS.
Oh, and WOMEN too.
Verification not required.

>>56895018
because hang seng is tech and the global tech sector is at a generational top. See San Francisco. A50 and CSI300. godspeed

>>56895017
desu I don't even know how to watch sports.

>>56894836
hard to say

>>56895018
N225 is even worse, set right back from last night's re-gainz.

>>56895017
>watching NFL

DAY 912 OF BEING ALL CASH. GIVE IT UP FOR DAY 912 OF BEING ALL CASH.

>>56895040
>A50 and CSI300.
OK, then why are those two collapsing as well?

>>56895071
because this is the bottom zoom zoom. buy low sell high

>>56895040
>because hang seng is tech
I don't know how much tech is weighted on that exchange, but it's more than just tech.
>>56895048
TV and a $20 digital OTA antenna will get you a whole slew of channels in most cities. I live on a hill by a lake, barely have cell service, so I just buy youtube.tv and get what is basically cable with a DVR and options to record movies, series, sports or shows ahead of time so I can watch them whenever.
>>56895059
Go be a faggot somewhere else. I watch redzone on Sunday, so all of the Sunday day games I watch throughout the week. The other games I watch live.
>>56895071
HK has huge risk as they're the direct exposure to China for a lot of companies, and China has been a dickhead for the last 10 years, and threatening to take over Taiwan (tech) since 2019.

Does no one remember that COVID was originally called off as a conspiracy theory that China was using it to make everyone forget about the riots in Taiwan? COVID and George Floyd and muh Trump basically news washed from the mind most people it seems.

>>56895087
You're the faggot here watching niggerball lmao

>>56895087
I prefer watching Jeff Snider point at charts I don't understand and betting on that.

>>56895094
I'm a Niners fan.

>>56895087
I do and its just tech

>>56895087
Anon, Hong Kong and Taiwan are separate places...

>>56895017
you're supposed to re-stream through a capture card and run an AI ad blocker on the output.

>>56895105
>I do and its just tech
You're full of shit, I just checked it. They're reliant on Chink banks and oil and real estate as well as everything else.
>>56895115
Correct, and both are targets for China. You're seeing the real outside of China priceing, of China, on the Hang Seng. Taiwan is their tech play, and why every tech play should have a China put on it, because they've been threatening invasion since 2019 (when USA 'peaked' prior to the COVID pump). It's a beautiful bull trap when you think about it.

I had no idea the senate was questioning bankers today. It was nowhere on the economic calendar.

XXXX bros they hate us cuz they anus
>imagine settling for puny pathetic 3x leveraged gains when the glory of 4x Chad gains await. ngmi

>>56895116
>you're supposed to re-stream through a capture card and run an AI ad blocker on the output.
live? Is the AI going to feed me porn during the commercial break or something? I'd prefer something more useful. Is there something out there that can scan my work email and just give me a summary of shit that I can add to my calendar? That might be useful.

>>56895153
I want XXXX options. I'm not touching it until I can 160x leverage (so 420 with margin.)

>>56895148
You need to add the CSPAN TV guide schedule to your research material

>>56895140
No its like the SP500 like 50% of it is tech bullshit and it drags everything else down

>>56895153
>XXXX
should have made OOOO 5x and AAAA the inverse.

>>56895011
there are other factors involved

>>56895165
you can make it change channels or just play a pre-recording like a movie in between.

>>56895001
>China bottomed and is entering a QE cycle
>>56895018
>If that's true, then why is the Hang Seng collapsing like one of those sawdust skyscrapers?
>>56895040
>because hang seng is tech and the global tech sector is at a generational top. See San Francisco. A50 and CSI300. godspeed
>>56895105
>I don't know how much tech is weighted on that exchange, but it's more than just tech.
>>56895105
>I do and its just tech
>>56895140
>You're full of shit, I just checked it. They're reliant on Chink banks and oil and real estate as well as everything else.
>>56895189
>No its like the SP500 like 50% of it is tech bullshit and it drags everything else down
>>56895210
I can do that myself, tabbed browsing is a thing, and picture in picture and mute. AI is worthless tech.

>>56895226
youre a plebbit midwit i can smell you from here go back

56895236
Never been there, but (you) are not worth replying too. Here, take something from my random collection and rethink how you respond to criticism on the internet.

>>56895253
That's not a pre reddit exodus meme.

>>56895207
>OH NO THERE'S LOSSES ON HELD TO MATURITY
Now this may be a shock, but the HTM securities will return to NAV when said maturity occurs.

>>56895178
Same. Options when?

>>56895263
When was said reddit exodus? 2008? 2009? Feels like it was sooner than that. Let me find a horse.

>>56895181
Fun fact: CSPAN is actually on the radio near DC.

>>56895263
Good?
>>56895292
CSPAN is legit good TV. Even their BOOK-TV shit is interesting a lot of the times. I recommend going back and looking at bankers and authors talking about shit. Tom Clancey basically told how he got all the stories from his books from shrinks that work in DC, that's why he was killed.

I’m dirt poor, my monthly bills are $1100. Starting with $150 I made +$514 trading since Friday and then I lost -$106 today. Just losing $100 is devastating; making another $600 before the end of the month without losing any more feels impossible. Retail trading is more like a money pit than a money printer

>>56895253
exposed himself. probably doreen from antiwork

>>56895319
The late night thing with the books is extremely fucking jewy but the day time thing is as close to actually being "an informed citizen" as you can get without being force fed propaganda.

>>56895321
Start easy. Dump into a fund like SWPPX at first. Then once you get that fattened up some and get some cash freed up then dump into individual stocks.

>>56895361
I agree 100%, but the archive book-TV stuff is gold. Some real nuggets in there on youtube.

>>56895197
The committee agrees

>futures

Save sissies how we feeling

>>56895321
>my monthly bills are $1100. Starting with $150
If you're unemployed you are absolutely fucked.

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
this is not financial advice

>>56895421
It's either going to 30 or 3, the ride in between is just noise.

>>56894932
shame the gas to the house was turned off per the Fire Chief on scene, DC is weird like that

>>56895458
there’s a whole month left to trade. The $450 I made on Friday would’ve been $2k if I hadn’t sold early… I always sell too early

>>56895421
>>56895508
I doubt it will go that low, but I'm still riding my calls. Added a put today, but with all the churn today my calls are still decently priced. Some really big (multi million dollar) buys in the aftermarket, so we'll see. I wouldn't be surprised to see mid 16 Friday, just have to break through the current band of resistance at the level we're at. It crabbed here a bit before a ton of puts were issued on it at this level last month.
>>56895545
WTF blew up the house then? I remember another house blew up in the last week too, it was on the news. Don't think it was the same one though.

>>56894909
>they don't want a recession
my point is if unemployment doesn’t go up and the economy is going strong then why would the cut? they’d only cut if something changed and made them feel they needed to cut.

>>56895153
Damn gonna have to update my leverage mechanicus copypasta now

In the made up number games, what is the most likely scenario to play out over the next FOMC meeting, and why?

>>56895608
To avoid tightening financial conditions by letting real rates effectively rise: >>56894793

>>56894896
>if the economy doesn’t go into a recession
Anon, we've been in a recession since 2019.

>>56895636
97.5% nothingburger, 2.5% everyone loses their shit: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

>>56895568
You're going to have to do it month after month.
I'm shit at statistics but if you calculate mu for a poison distribution of failure (having less than $10k at the end of the month) it's going to be less than one. The situation is absolutely unbelievably hopeless.
You're going to have to move into your car or something to make that work.

>>56895636
I've run the current economic statistics through my proprietary formula and it's saying a 78.42% chance of emergency rate cut
This has been backtested to 1975 and is 97.39% accurate.

bobros.....we are so BACK. if you are not shorting NVDA, TESLA and NFLx you are truly retarded

>>56895676
I closed my long positions and called it a synthetic short.

>>56895676
Thinking about cashing out and just buying BTC. There are a dozen ETFs that will be available by March, and the halving is in April. The past two halvings, year before to year after have been excellent. I can see the FOMO fest pushing that even further.

>>56895731
not a bad idea but the gold will be in altcoins.

do u guys know any dogshit stocks to short

>>56895777
I can't fuck with that shit. Too much bullshit hoops to go through just to hope some discord faggots aren't just running a scam ring. My logic is BTC will still hold its value with the ETFs, because even if the current crypto exchanges fail in the next year, there will be a legit bank that is covering them just like any other currency. It won't be until that implodes that regulation will come.

>>56894802
wtf is this webm OP, fuck

>>56895797
Apparently RIG. Look at that fucker lmao

>>56894802
Should I stretch for VOO or stick to the more affordable VTI?

>>56895819
Let me tell you about the hot new alternative trading under the ticker XXXX...

>>56895814
Trump wins and that will moon. Long calls might be a pretty good investment.

>>56895809
just buy some coins you like on coinbase, fuck the scamcoins. they all scale by bitcoins gain just like microcaps do based on SPY/QQQ/IWM.
they are all the future. check out SYLO coin on coinbase, its basically blockchain whatsapp. easy 1000x if you just let it sit.

>>56895835
Arguably it'd plunge even harder. Offshore needs high oil prices to work. Low oil => no work for RIGgers

>>56895837
>coinbase
That's my problem, I don't plan on them being around in two years. You guys don't get it. I plan on banks failing. You don't think I don't plan on half of the cypto bs to just go up in smoke? Exchanges, coins, etc.?
>>56895843
Good point. Figured a lot of their issues were permits, is that not the case?

>>56895267
That's not gonna help when the bank runs start, faggot

>>56895854
>Figured a lot of their issues were permits, is that not the case?
Places like Guyana and Namibia will keep offshore workers busy for quite a while. Well, would, if oil didn't seem hellbent on returning to negative prices.

>>56895858
Did RIG have a split in the last 10 years? I haven't tracked it in a long time, and it was like $50 back then.

>>56895814
>>56895843
So short RIG = proxy short on oil futes?

>>56895854
what if none of that happens according to your plan?

>>56895854
>I plan on banks failing
they will fail but they will fail when they are planned to fail and that is not part of this cycle. that is the next cycle.
you need to educate yourself on blockchain and stop thinking of it as 'crypto'. start thinking about decentralization.

right now we have centralized banks. when they fail they will fail because of decentralized banks (blockchain).

just go youtube El Salvador and see how easy it is to pay for everything in Bitcoin. Its coming, dont be arrogant, be inquisitive.

>>56895867
>short on oil futes
I wouldn't do that. China is preventing exports of rare earth used for making EV bullshit, and Ford has been losing $60k on every EV they sell.
>>56895873
There's no money anon, everyone is being squeezed.
>>56895874
Unhinging a currency is a little more chaotic than how you present it. If anything, doing it during the COVID crazyness was probably the best time to debase a currency.

Oh, wait.

>>56895900
alright buddy you're being arrogant. I suggest that you dont do that.
btw we are bearish open but just setting us up for all time highs. dont get left out of the christmas rally.

>>56895900
>I wouldn't do that. China is preventing exports of rare earth used for making EV bullshit, and Ford has been losing $60k on every EV they sell.
Nah what I'm asking is how correlated is shorting RIG to oil futures or other oil related ETFs?

What are some other specific equity tranche balance sheet related reasons to short RIG

>>56895819
>buying the double top
HIGH
YIELD
MONEY
MARKET
FUNDS

>>56895946
>double top
cup and handle

>futures

>80% of sp500 stocks above the 50 day moving average
>he thinks >this is fine
TICK TOCK

>>56895837
>check out SYLO coin on coinbase, its basically blockchain whatsapp. easy 1000x
Posting this in /smg/ should be an instant ban.

>>56896058
I really hope you remember this comment

>>56896057
market crash when everyone's buying christmas shit?
but thanks for index

>>56896118
Fuck off to a shticoin thread.

>>56895676
>back

Not really unless AMZN dumps back down under $100 again.

>>56896150
>market crash when everyone's buying christmas shit?
Nobody bought anything though. Did you not see Affirm?

>>56896213
whats going on with Affirm?

>>56895978
>0:01-0:06
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxthhkub89c&t=44s

Test

>>56896213
The companies still get the money.
The Affirm situation is a threat to themselves and their lenders, not the companies they're used with.

>>56896216
>>56896278
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-N58Zj-AX0I

>>56894836
Do you know how slow it took the 2008 recession to play out? So no you stupid faggot.

>>56895568
Better get a second job

I'm fucking around with TA in excel and I think Dec 1 was an entry signal for SPY. Looking at the charts, probably a short

>https://www.carpro.com/blog/nearly-4000-auto-dealers-send-letter-to-president-biden-to-slow-down-on-evs

consumers are strong tho

>>56896326
Usually people tend to buy a car when they get a new job. Pandemic changed that where people working from home were buying cars for some reason.

>>56896326
The EV situation is really a separate thing.
American cars are shit and EVs are better for small sports cars than they are for what most people think of as cars. Add to that this retarded idea that auto makers thought they could fuck consumers way harder with software because there's some psychological difference between EV cars and ICE cars and you get something really no one wants.
They don't effect oil and they don't have anything to do with how much money people have, they're just a shitty product that came from a combination of out of touch MBAs and political fads.

>>56896360
I think most people accept the 20mpg of their F-150, Tacoma, etc. You don't spend 10-20k more to go electric to save $2000 in gas, while paying a thousand more in electricity.

>>56896372
In theory the real advantage with EVs is the simple and less frequent maintenance, not so much the energy savings (at least from what I've seen.) At the end of the day there's a strong argument that they're not really more efficient than ICEs and the market should reflect that.
The reality of course is that the MBAs got involved and fucked around with everything so EVs have all their own things you can't maintain just because the computer says so.

>>56896378
The article should add that the rich have automatic inflation protections that the poor lack. For example stocks are protected by inflation because the companies raise their prices. A person without stock lacks this protection.

>>56896378
Kek I work at Home Depot and I can't tell you how many times I have heard customers bitching about how much more expensive Christmas trees got compared to 2022 and 2021. Like 33% increase iirc. Not to mention that this year, the real trees were selling out a lot fucking slower than the plastic trees too, at least when they used to fly off the parking lot spaces in 2022 in a week...

I hate women

LOOK OUT BELOW

>>56896405
>EVs is the simple and less frequent maintenance
I think the issue here is people don't do much maintenance on new cars no matter what you buy.

ev and ice
>change tires
>windshield washer fluid
>cabin air filters
>starter battery (ev should last longer, but they still have a 12 volt battery)

ice
>air filter
>oil filter and oil

Now of course years later the ice is going to need more like sparkplugs, fuel filters. But those will often last 50k miles. Most don't say to change the transmission fluid until 100k miles for cars.

>>56896411
>A person without stock lacks this protection.
It's an cognitive function more than anything else.
If you have better fuctionality, you are then able to be more introspective, put yourself into potentially beneficial situations (luck is a skill), improve your standing in life, and defer gratification. This allows you to compound wealth, and having more wealth means more options and opportunities at any given moment.
But some people lack the ability to NOT make shitty decisions, and will always be losers in life. And I don't want that to sound elitist, but some people just stay in plato's cave forever

>>56896416
Having a tree in the first place is retarded. Seriously what the fuck does this shit symbolize or have to do with Jesus? None of this shit makes any sense.

>>56896441
>Now of course years later
Yeah this is the other thing. "Years later" the power train on the EV is gone (the battery, part of that, is effectively a wear item.)
They're really just garbage products when you start to pull it apart.

>>56896470
>hat the fuck does this shit symbolize or have to do with Jesus?
It's a European thing.
Religion and race are more related than most White people want to admit.

>>56896487
Yeah but that doesn't answer my question. Why is the tree significant and why is it part of Jesus Christ when this shit is pagan as fuck. Answer me because this only makes sense if our ancestors were ingesting psychedelic mushrooms every Christmas!

Investing.com never fails to put out a clickbait article about oil recovering/getting a bump or gaining ground immediately after a small 0.3% bump following a catastrophic loss. I wish bad things on the people/bots who write these things. The audience can't be possibly anybody who actually looks at the chart.

>>56896468
>And I don't want that to sound elitist, but some people just stay in plato's cave forever
I've seen a lot of hard working people (even in my own family) that really deserve more for all their hard work. While some people are lazy. Some people do work very hard and don't get much out of it.

>>56896516
Protestant Christianity as it's practiced by Americans is really the product of German and English culture.
It's the same thing with Easter eggs etc. All the ideas get folded together into the "practical religion" that you see everyone actually express.

>>56896470
This: >>56896487
It's a germanic pagan thing that was retained when Europe converted. There's a lot of traditions like that, which is pretty cool I think. Did you know easter eggs were originally a thing in zoroastrian Persia that moved through Russia into the west?
>>56896516
This attitude is why protestantism is so gay and boring. Christ is Pantokrator, and the purpose of the Church is to recapitulate everything to Him. Now can you tell me why it is wrong to take these things (which God created, by the way) and use them for His glory?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0CbrZ8mifE

>>56896468
You can't tell me that some retards who happened to make money had a lot of introspection when they are out there making an ass of themselves every day of the internet and have to audacity to wonder why bad shit is happening to them despite being rich.

>>56896482
Yeah that's true. If you can do the work maintenance on a car isn't really that expensive. Not saying you can't also replace bad power cells of an EV. Still even a good LiFePO is only going to do so many cycles.

>>56896470
>>56896487
Santa Claus is based on Saint Nicholas, a historical figure from Christianity.
Santa's himself is an allegory for Wodin/Odin (his ravens Huginn and Muninn are why he can "watch all the children"). The 8 reindeer represent Sleipnir, who was an 8-legged horse who could run across the sky, with each leg representing a different direction.
Also on the subject, Easter is named after Yoster, a pagan fertility goddess. Hence why Christians applied the birth/rebirth motif to the spring equinox timeframe

>>56896525
That's also a fair point. Some people just get the shit end of the deal.
At least in my own situation, I just try to save money and keep my expenses low. Be a nice person, learn things. I don't have a plan but each day I do things that try to improve my net position

>>56896546
stuffing the top of a tree up an angel's ass makes me mildly uncomfortable and peppermint candy sucks but that is about it

>>56896525
If you work hard without being appropriately compensated you deserve to be fucked over IMO because you're depressing the labor market for everyone else too. Don't do that.

>>56896557
>stuffing the top of a tree up an angel's ass makes me mildly uncomfortable
We always did a star with our tree.

Rocker I know you have been on /fit/ posting the hamchad gifs and jerking off to naked men

>>56896568
I don't think your personal decisions are going to change anything. Walmart pays $14 an hour locally because people are literally made with mucus, food, and time.

>>56896544
Yeah but what did it mean in the first place.

>>56896546
>Now can you tell me why it is wrong to take these things (which God created, by the way) and use them for His glory?
I mean God created Satan and Lucifer as well but are they really being used as part of his glory? Christmas always felt like some weird pedophilic masonic agenda despite it being older than freemasonry. I think the original practice of celebrating Christmas stems back to even the Romans practicing Saturnalia as their winter holiday. The masses have always been retarded and will make anything memed hard enough a tradition.

>>56896556
>Also on the subject, Easter is named after Yoster, a pagan fertility goddess. Hence why Christians applied the birth/rebirth motif to the spring equinox timeframe
this is not entirely accurate, Easter is an anglicisation of the greek word Pascha, for Passover, the jewish holiday that Easter replaces. And the rebirth motif comes naturally from Christ's resurrection.
But if you take Christianity seriously then all of these things are connected and there's nothing inherently wrong with adopting and integrating pagan practices.

>>56896579
Emergency eye wash
>no homo
Also you are on biz not fit.

>Bank lending activity is now down ~1.5% over the last year, marking the first YoY decline since 2011

>Job growth in the US labor market is set to turn negative in 2024

Bros, 2024 could seriously turn into a huge shitshow kek

>>56896588
>Yeah but what did it mean in the first place.
Oh idk. Something about evergreen trees and fertility or so. That would probably be a good thing to know.

Custard has gotten too expensive at the store.
Gonna have to make my own I guess

>>56896609
>Gonna have to make my own I guess
More Labor hording.
I've started cooking more. I tried making hash browns today but ended up with just burnt mash potatoes.

>>56896622
you should try potato cakes instead.

>>56896588
>I mean God created Satan and Lucifer as well but are they really being used as part of his glory?
yes
>Christmas always felt like some weird pedophilic masonic agenda despite it being older than freemasonry.
I think that's mainly because of all the corporate consumerism that's been shoved onto it in recent decades. Personally I blame the jews, they're the ones who wrote all the shitty pop songs that get played endlessly this time of year
>I think the original practice of celebrating Christmas stems back to even the Romans practicing Saturnalia as their winter holiday
Romaboos don't want you to know but Saturnalia has its origins after the time of Christ

>>56896609
Birds custard powder is nasty.

>>56896609
Raw pineapple makes a surprisingly affordable and delicious treat.

>This post sponsored by DOLE

>>56896599
be quiet, let them buy

>>56896157
nigger

>>56896643
>wrote all the shitty pop songs
Man I hate Christmas pop music. The hymns are so good and if you want something "modern" there's Mannheim Steamroller. There's no reason for the pop stuff.

>China's blue chips CSI 300 Index erases a 0.9% drop, now up 0.1%. Benchmark $SHCOMP also turns green,

>>56896622
Generally hash browns are best bought at the store. My store has like 20 packs really cheap. The issue is they deep fry them, so you only need to put them in a toaster oven to warm them up. If cooking you are better off making home fries or like the other anon says potato pancakes for more work.

>China Trade Balance Nov: $68.39B (est $54.90B; prev $56.53B)
>- Exports (Y/Y): 0.5% (est 0.0%; prev -6.4%)
>- Imports (Y/Y): -0.6% (est 3.9%; prev 3.0%)

China is not buying

>>56896697
They only imported an extremely suspicious amount of wheat.

>>56896655
It's always fucking Mariah Carey too. I fucking hate that Mariah Carey christmas song.

>>56896700
Where did you find a breakdown? Link or something?

Is that why Wheat went up sharply end of November?

>>56896723
>>56896655
Last Christmas, I gave you my heart, but the very next day... lol

>>56896516
>>56896470
Not doing a Christmas tree this year. Just printing out a picture of Jesus, Santa, and Adolf Hitler and putting a candle in front of it and calling it a night.

>>56896728
>He doesn't have @GrainStats permanently open in a standalone tab
https://twitter.com/GrainStats/status/1731717533177163777

>>56896736
AAAAAAHHHHHHH STOOOOOP!!!!!!

>>56896740
Why the fuck would you print out a picture of Santa? The guy's gonna walk by that and get weirded out.

>>56896755
Anon by far that won't be the weirdest thing he has seen printed, trust me.

>>56896150
no it can stay at that level for a month and a half or so. but it won’t last into 2024.

>>56896740
Nice

>Die Deutsche Rentenversicherung (DRV) hat trotz des steigenden Durchschnittsalters im Land Entwarnung bei Finanzierung der Rente gegeben. "In den nächsten Jahren wird die demografische Belastung deutlich weniger zunehmen als bisher erwartet", sagte DRV-Präsidentin Gundula Roßbach der "Bild"-Zeitung (Montag).

Die Zeitung zitiert in diesem Zusammenhang die neue Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung des Statistischen Bundesamtes, wonach der Anteil der Alten an der Bevölkerung in den kommenden Jahren weniger deutlich ansteigt als bisher gedacht.

Heute kommen demnach 34,8 über 65-Jährige auf 100 Menschen zwischen 20 und 65 Jahren, bis 2060 soll die Zahl auf 44,7 Alte steigen. In den bisherigen Berechnungen war aber ein Anstieg auf 55 Seniorinnen und Senioren prognostiziert worden.

TDLR:
German pension system won't be as stressed as expected. There will be less pensioners vs working people as expected (44,7 instead of 55 previously expected)

So the demographic change will be less severe. I wonder how they came to this conclusion. Maybe because:
https://www.msn.com/de-de/gesundheit/medizinisch/corona-impfung-mrna-impfstoffe-k%C3%B6nnen-unbeabsichtigte-proteine-hervorrufen-fachleute-geben-entwarnung/ar-AA1l65ut?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=f9028d4a29b14fdc8fc2475ad9b39a76&ei=12

>Corona-Impfung: mRNA-Impfstoffe können unbeabsichtigte Proteine hervorrufen – Fachleute geben Entwarnung

mRNA vaccines can produce unintended proteins - Experts say "all-clear"/no danger

>Beim Ablesen etwas verrutscht
>While reading (the information) a little sled
They mean, the vaccine is like a building plan and your body misread it.

Literally what I told my faggot doctor when he tried to sell me the vaccine and brought the argument
>don't you think of the others
And he shook his head as if he didn't knew what I meant when I said the vaccine is nothing but a blueprint, which is why there can happen mistakes since humans are still different racewise, agewise, sexwise etc.

Absolute hacks.

>>56896755
It's /smg/. You have to pay respects to KO.

>>56896777
>Das Team um Willis konnte in Mäusen für den Corona-Impfstoff von Biontech (BNT162b2) zeigen, dass eine Immunantwort gegen solche ungewollten Proteine entsteht. Eine solche Immunantwort beobachteten die Forschenden in geringem Maß auch bei einem Drittel von 21 menschlichen Probanden, ohne dass einer von ihnen über Nebenwirkungen klagte.

Lmao, there also is immunreaction towards those proteins in mice. And also slightly in humans according to a study by Willis. For 1/3 of 21 clients, BUT nobody really cried about side effects

>>56896794
Germany is absolutely irrecoverably dead. You should take a few minutes to morn for your dead nation and then look for a way to flee.

>>56896794
>>56896777
Dios Mio, Mexico imports corn? lol
Haven't they realized corn is "fattening". It has a higher amount of fructose which can't be metabolized like glucose thus leading to fattening, especially in the liver and love handle area.

>>56896794
>>56896777
Also, for anybody who's reading that. I'm vaxxed against several diseases as a child and I would vax my own children. But not with mRNA stuff. Just use a dead virus, as always has been in the past so that your body only reacts to that thing.

>The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates 6 times in 2024 as the economy shows clear signs of cooling down, ING has said

>Factors such as moderating inflation, a cooling jobs market, and a deteriorating consumer spending outlook suggest that the Fed might need more interest rate cuts than what the market anticipates

bro 2024...

The gap has been filled. In six days you will witness the worst financial and economic collapse in the modern era. If you know you know.

>>56896864
>2 more weeks

>>56896877
No, 6 days.

>>56896860
They are insane. Same for ECB, thinking they will cut in March. They'll never get to 2% like that.

>>56896879
>business days

>>56896885
>They'll never get to 2% like that.
They don't care, they know the animal is dead and they're just trying to loot the corpse.

>>56896887
Next Wednesday.

>>56896753
Stop thinking about the song and think of how much money she is making every christmas because of it.

>>56896954
Damn it that just makes me hate it so much more.

>>56896949
Ok faggot

>>56896949
Elaborate. Double top seems bearish but I don't know any other catalysts

>>56896899
That is true. After fuckin up from the start they now try to avert a recession with all means possible. They'll gladly go for stagflation. They don't want to ruin their names for the history books in an unsalvagable way. Look at how they are cheering Powell for
>SOFT LANDING GUYS;SOFT LANDING
despite him not reacting for months and then going up in such a gradial manner, way too slow.

>>56895608
>>my point is if unemployment doesn’t go up and the economy is going strong then why would the cut?
Yeah that's the real question. They will cut when big banks are hurt.
The SVB fiasco is really light stuff and it's only due to poor management and the banking sector is due to a consolidation anyway.

>>56896954
Getting a christmas song hit is the ultimate pop star achievement. Very few pull it off. I want to say the last one before this was Mariah Carey.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rNp4aBz9Jww
Also I have had a crush on Mariah Carey since I was 10 years old and I still would right now.

>>56896964
>>56896969
Rate hike. Public and private insolvency. The market is not hedged. The bond market gap has been filled.

>>56897026
If they did another rate hike now everything would blow up. There's no way.

>>56896599
that's 16.5% with 15% inflation

I just got 5000 dollars. Anything good to buy now? Or wait until january for the roth ira?

>>56897037
You get what you deserve.

>>56897043
I am betting on a bit of a plunge incoming but i dunno i don't practice santeria. i ain't got to crystal ball. if i had a million dollars well I, I'd spend it all...

>>56897026
>>56897045
>The FED is going to do a rate hike after they said they weren't going to and economic indicators show the soft landing is happening
Ok another delusional faggot thesis. Hey ass hole I can start making predictions in the land of make believe as well.

>>56897066
Asshole is one word, Stanislaw. Tick tock.

>>56897074
>asshole is one word
Yeah well I broke (You)rs in two. What a shame.

>>56897087
Okay ESLoid.

Only sellin' I'm doing is tax lost harvesting on the 27th. Then rebalancing my individual stocks -> SPY/SSO early '24. Until the 2/10 uninverts or the COST hotdog goes above 1.50 I see no reason to pull out.

>>56896649
I sold my DOLE somewhere around the first pump to 12.50. Are you still in it? What's your target?

Faggoteuropean, you just know they'll buy again

Also house prices in UK after
>+1,1 mom, now again 0,5%
kek

>Germany October industrial production -0.4% vs +0.2% m/m expected

Oh shit, DAX will POOMP

avav bros... it's over

I don't know where the market is headed.

>Bill Ackman has called for the resignation of Harvard, MIT, and the University of Pennsylvania's presidents following their congressional hearing on antisemitism on Tuesday. The billionaire singled out the three college presidents in a post written on X, formerly Twitter, after their testimonies on Capitol Hill. "The presidents' answers reflect the profound educational, moral and ethical failures that pervade certain of our elite educational institutions due in large part to their failed leadership," Ackman wrote on X. "They must all resign in disgrace," he added.

The jew is not happy, fortunately Hanukkah i around the corner.

>>56897312
below, soon testing 4540 on ES

>>56897318
>jews have no power, that's an antisemitic stereotype

>>56897318
>>56897327
I once got called in germany, by some instutition that does a yearly integration report. Not sure if they only call migrants or also germans. Nonetheless they called me. This shit went on for about 45 mins of my time speaking to that woman. In the last 5 minutes she asks me
>Do you think jews have too much power
Out of fuckin nowhere pretty much
And I replied:
>Yes
The conversation shifted a little in tone, got colder than previously. But I don't care. I think it was about a year ago.

>>56897264
Caught in a massive uptrend. SAP and similar other stocks are gigacarrying the market. Market fundamentals are as strong as ever. I am always baffled when people are surprised that undervalued indices/stocks finally start pumping to their deserved levels.
YTD DAX is finally on the same level as the S&P 500. Crazy right? Not really.
At least another 6-10% into Christmas

>>56897452
no

>>56897460
Why not? Why are you people so pessimistic? Just buy and enjoy the free money. The markets are the best way to hedge against inflation, right?

>MDAX finally going down
finally, I have a feeling that today I will get unbeheemed

>>56897485
The markets are the reason for inflation

WHY IS EVERYTHING RED AAAAH

>>56897517
Europe is crabbing. We're gonna end up in the GREEN today as US pumps. AMD + MSFT + Broadcom are gonna carry the markets

>>56897548
We're the Broadcom earnings good?

>>56897552
Q3 is typically the strongest for tech and all the signs point to Broadcom deliver yet another monster earnings. Broadcom has yet to fail. The demand is rising and they can afford to price gouge. I love that stock. It's absolutely perfect. Just as it should be, just a slow way up and up.
Also
>We're the Broadcom earnings good?
Maybe go to sleep, m8

Yeah I'm thinking we're back

>>56897569
>Maybe go to sleep, m8
I just woke up lmfao

>>56897596
Then definitely go back to sleep :), especially if you're an American.

>>56897485
I would like for the market to crash pls and thnx

EU isn't even a market anymore.

There were reports that german and other countries stocks are more than 50% in the hands of foreign investors (mainly US and UK). So, look at that market. What is going on? Nothing is happening. EU can't even trade anymore. Is this balance shifting even more towards US?

There were days when DAX did 50-100 points in the morning up and down, now it is either 100-150 in one direction or 10-20 up and down on the spot. Absolute garbage.

>I got margin called
Anyone got the gif

>>56894962
https://youtu.be/hWMnbJJpeZc

>>56897657
I'm a euro, I woke up just fine at 8am in the morning

>MDAX -1.62%
>Oil +0.8%
Unbeheeming

>buy IVCTF on OTC market
>everyone laughs because company is operating in Zimbabwe
>they finally discovered gas today in a huge on shore gas field
>there's probably oil & helium too
>haven't finished drilling the hole yet
NOT SO FUNNY NOW IS IT FUCKERS

Yields...

>>56897758
bond niggas have got to be the most retarded on earth

MAKE UP YOUR MINDS WHEN THE CUT IS COMING

>>56897750
No more oil sir please we have too much already do not redeem the drill

>>56897662
Look at this cutie patootie and tell him straight to his face that the market deserves to go down and his gains alongside with it. I dare you.
>>56897675
I figure the EU indices like the DAX and especially the OMX are heavily fixed and manipulated. They have been acting really really strangely this year

>>56897768
Africa is completely energy starved I don't think people realise how huge this is

>>56897719
>Update
If I get out of my shorts, I will never short the DAX again. I'll go for FTSE or Canada or whatever. DAX is literally retarded

>>56897771
Yeah, will never short them again. FTSE, MDAX, Canada any of those. balanced indices, not some bullshit with 11% SAP techtrannies.

>>56897765
Bond bulls really are very dumb and greedy but equity bulls are some how dumber.

>>56897777
Zimbabwe still hasn't worked out how to grow food I don't think they'll figure out drilling and oil refinery maintenance any time soon either.

>mfw he hasn't slurped ANY Oil

Hm

>>56897782
Hey! I resemble that remark

>>56897771
The market deserves to go down and his gains along with it

>>56897802
I walk a lonely road

>>56897782
Damn, ehhh impressive ass for a financial broker.
>>56897786
Overpriced if we get a recession. I bought Brent at 74.1 for a quick trade. No way I am holding longer than a few days. Bonds are falling way too quickly. Too dangerous for me.
>>56897810
The only one that I have ever known.

>>56897833
>No way I am holding longer than a few days
that's the correct way to trade Oil

>>56897485
>>56897548
>>56897569
>>56897657
God I love torturing cats

>>56897833

>>56897857

>>56897859
It's a tie between 1 and 4. I am leaning 4 because she seems nicer but #1 oozes sex

>>56897786
Too early, retard. You've obviously bought at like $80 and now holding some heavy bags.
I told you cunts and you disregarded me, it's going to $60 or even $50.

>>56897899
I am holding heavy bags, but at $72.86
>it's going to $60 or even $50
it's not going to anytime soon

>>56897918
Remember what I said in the coming months

They made TayTay TIME person of the year (-:

>>56897918
we've been on a 3 year bull run for oil you got in late on this cycle just sell

>>56897833
Polish anon?

How do you manage getting trapped like this?

How true is this?

>>56898043
97.39%

>>56898043
>Source: my ass
Fuckin astrology chart lmfao

>>56898092
Fuck you faggot

>>56898102
Anon why are you spending your time here? Shouldn't you be a trillionaire with a 99.39% success rate of predicting the stock market?

Euro niggers, how much does it cost to fuck a non-gypsy eastern european woman?

>>56898164
It costs eternal damnation for your soul, if you have one.

>>56898164
About trefiddy.
>>56898172
NGMI christcuck.

>>56898164
Only your everlasting love bonded in marriage.

Hmm hmmm nice recovery in the EU. The algos simply won't allow a dump. Not anymore. I dare the market to dump more than 1% at any given day until Christmas. It won't happen

Fine wine is becoming an increasingly lucrative medium-term investment, providing investors with an alternative source of returns. CNBC's Karen Gilchrist provides a taste of the market.

https://youtu.be/M0A8q2an0o4

>>56898164
70-120 eurocoins should be enough but fucking gipsy women is hot

I got 55k euro that I need access to at any moment. Where do I keep it? Saving accounts here are shit (1.5% per annum). Some ultra short term bond ETF or what?

>>56898270
EU outperforming the US while -0,1% GDP is really quite telling

>>56898271
+149% in 10 years
wow its fucking nothing

>>56898334
yeah monetary fund or some ETF with target maturity or just buy directly government bonds

>>56896622
Hash browns are easy. The trick is getting as much water out as you can. Shred all your potatoes, put them in a dish towel, and squeeze out as much water as you can. Even better if you let them sit in the fridge overnight, but I'm usually too lazy for that. Get a fry pan hot, throw some butter in there, and make the layer of potatoes as thin as possible.

I lost 2k on BNGO

How do I short Japan as a europoor? I am so goddamn sick of hacking in Nier Automata. It's so bad on the PC. Anyway, Japan is going to hell.

The dip is temporary. Semiconductors are eternal

>>56897662
Please crash so I can buy cheapy divis

>>56898475
Exxon is relatively cheap now

>>56898450
Just bought a metric fuckton of ASML

Crab Crab city, bitch
Crab Crab Crabcity, bitch
Crab, Crab Crab city, bitch
Mustard on the beat
Crab city bitch, crab crab city, bitch
Ten ten ten twenty on yo titties, bitch
100 deep VIP, no guest list
T-Raw, you don't know who you fuckin' with
Got my other bitch fuckin' wit' my other bitch
Fuckin' all night, nigga we ain't celibate
Make sound too dope, I ain't sellin it
Bar fresher than a muthafuckin' peppermint
Gold lettermans, last king killin' shit
Y-young Money, Young Money yeah we gettin' rich
Got ya grandma on my dick
Girl, you know what it is
Crab city bitch, crab crab city bitch
Crab city bitch, crab crab city bitch
Crab city bitch, crab crab city bitch
Ten ten ten twenties and them fifties, bitch
Crab city bitch, crab crab city bitch
Crab city bitch, crab crab city bitch
Crab city bitch, crab crab city bitch
Ten ten ten twenties and them fifties, bitch
I'ma muthafuckin' star (star)
Look at the paint on the car (car)
Too much rim make the ride too hard
Tell that bitch hop out, walk the boulevard
I need my money pronto
Get it in the morning like Alonzo
Rondo, green got cheese like a nacho
If you ain't got no ass, bitch, wear a poncho
Head honcho, got my seat back
Nigga staring at me don't get bapped
Got my shirt off, the club too packed
It's too turnt going up like gas
Goddamn, pulled out my rags
Mike, Mike Jackson nigga yeah I'm bad
Rat-tat-tat-tat, tatted up on my back
All the hoes love me, you know what it is

>>56898534
based. If you like European semi companies don't forget Infineon

WHY IS IT DUMPING AAAAHHH

Could someone perhaps indicate the current state of futures with a humorous webm?

>>56898593
>futures

Where's that despairing Japanese guy to post
>yen futures
beause holy fuck
>yen futures

>>56898448
I bought a PS5 solely because all the pc ports are atrocious. I can't play sekiro without stuttering

>forevers

>>56897101
No, I just wanted to shill pineapple. Fresh is like 10x better than canned.

>>56895811
I am guessing it’s that daily wire lady ballers movie since I recognize Brett Cooper

whats your favourite market book ?

id have go with jesse livermore reminisces of a stock operator. i have extended commentary version.
they talk more about the people mentioned on the book. big market players of the time.

i read it and listened youtubes audiobook many times. always something new.

>>56898603
I was planning to maybe go for a vacation in Japan either next or the year after that. But not if their disgusting currency suddenly gets strong. How is Yen suddenly gaining ground?
Yeah yeah "we are this close to abandoning our ZIRP policies, trust us bros, yeah our currency is going to the moon". Their devaluated currency and strong export is keeping them alive. I doubt that the BOJ will actually do anything.
>>56898639
It really is terrible how developers can't even do a port. It can't be that difficult, surely. Especially now when all the gaming devices all share the same architectures

also i recomend the commodities traders who havent read it should read or listen. livermore traded commodities later in his career. so good tips maybe.

>>56898657
something something japs can't program worth shit
also its probably just a marketing thing, look at how badly XBOX died with all their games going to pc

>>56898657
BOJ jawboning drives a yuge amount of money worldwide, and the continuous heeming of energy prices cuts their #1 import cost.

>>56895835
No you got it backwards anon. Trans ocean and other offshore companies need high oil prices in order to be profitable. Land based oil will moon with trump and rig shares will fall. I suggest to oil bros that they buy offshore when gas prices are cheap.

>>56898657
>Especially now when all the gaming devices all share the same architectures
Exactly. Like the other anon said, it's a shitty jap programmer thing.
The only good thing japs have ever done is make good VNs and Nintendo 1st party titles.

>>56898652
I'd suggest Alpha Trader by Brent Donnelly. Very practical head down advice for traders in the trenches. By far the best in that genre
https://libgen.is/book/index.php?md5=BF48618B3CAA66988C5848A6EE63EC3F

>>56898682
The problem is that software needs quick development time to a million small issues. The best environments are the most western ones. Where you can immediately reach out to your boss or your boss can suddenly pull you into a meeting.

This is completely antithesis to Japanese work culture. For all you anime fags, Ufotable is a company that is famous for having a western style office and their employees have the most hilarious interviews
>"I can actually just walk into my boss's office and go "Sir, we have a problem". It's crazy! Normally I'd have to wait for the designated company dinner and drinking session to tell him."

Stocks for betting on drone warfare?
Russians are using Chinese drones IIRC? Can't bet on Chinese stocks.
Mass produced cheap drones instead of the very expensive drones the US was using for example.

>>56896954
>she is making?
Wham sung that song (George Michael). Honest mistake though.
https://youtu.be/E8gmARGvPlI?si=aUp5r8dBhlHds7mw

>>56898652
One Up on Wall Street will always have a special place in my heart because Lynch talks about mafia stocks: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ue7iMBfwkr8

>>56895648
>Anon, we've been in a recession since 2019.
Once it goes on long enough, everybody pretends it isn't happening.

>>56898164
Can you not afford a gypsy women?

>>56898719
Yeah
Who would have thought excessive adherence to pointless formality and rituals would lead to shitty performance, no not me

>>56898731
I don't think there are any DJI-tier Western drone manufacturers (thanks globalists lol).

However AVAV and KTOS are the usual drone co's shilled here. Cathie's relevant bag of crap might be worth rummaging through for others as well: https://cathiesark.com/arkq/complete-holdings

>>56898599
STEM futures?

>>56898779
I'm still holding out for east asia. Both Korea and Japan had moments where they quickly and suddenly adapted their culture to improve their country. Meiji Restoration and Miracle on the Han river.

Not to go on a boomer rant but now the children of both of those eras are refusing to make the same sacrifices their parents made and are instead just consooming their children's future. Eventually though they will die and the country will be able to adapt

>>56898798
>instead just consooming their children's future.
Least they didnt fill their country to the brim with rapefugies

>>56898806
Oh definitely, that's one benefit. Nothing will upset me more than if they pull a germany. Not that Korea isn't trying with white guys. There is so much fucking propaganda in their nation to push korean girls to find a foreigner

>>56898712
amazon reviews some people complain about the glue and the pages not holding.
but havent read this one. i like the livermore one since my trading style has similarities.

>>56898737
lynch is super entertaining and funny. think ive read or listened to most of his stuff

>>56898815
Yeah Reminiscences is the goat. I read it yearly

i tightened my stop on a position and it got stopped two days ago. the previous stop i had was at a good position so might be a lack of patience mistake from me.

>>56898813
Could I as a white man impregnate a Korean chick ?

Baked >>56898865
Baked >>56898865
Baked >>56898865

>>56898791
Physical VIX futures contract deliverator

One final message

>>56898864
Technically it is possible, if you have the right amount of chromosomes