/biz/ - Business & Finance

he baked?

man there are few things better than a perfectly grilled pork chop.

Fuck all crabs

>he baked

>pre-futures

>>55965389
My emperor.

>>55965389
Why isn't anyone else bullish on nvax? I bought around 9, and I'm sooo comfy.

>>55965443

>>55965405
Women are so cute, bros.

>>55965405
That's a lobster retard

Yea my Honda was nice but I didn't want to wait for a Toyota. Found a forte I liked and love it honestly. Leather heated and cooled seats. Pretty fun to drive kinda quick. Great audio. Looks sharp and the navigation based cruise control makes it damn near self driving. For 27K I am shocked and love it. To the other guy's last thread

>>55965532
fag

>>55965534
I never said this wasn't a lobster retard.

>>55965536
yea but you also have to tell women that you drive a kia

don't mind me, just DCAing more VTI

So basically my best option for getting richer is parking used chevy tahoes and silverados and suburbans in my yard and selling them in 5-10 years

The stock market offers me no potential for gains beyond that of a lottery ticket, unless of course the market collapses soon and I somehow have a proportional amount of cash available to reinvest that would put me on par with hedge fund traders.

Somehow I'm pretty sure I should just keep parking tahoes in my yard.

>>55965532
>mfw ID gay

just walked through a fucking spiderweb

>>55965599
Don't mind me, just not buying a 20 P/E bubble level shit index fund with a 1.43% annual yield.

>>55965619
Bullish.

>>55965629
have a nice day being yourself ;)

I have a short thesis but I think a lot of people on /smg/ won’t like it because you guys are conservative pro-police chuds. Maybe some of you libertarian whites maybe enjoy it but I feel like in general you guys won’t like my SSTI (Shotspotter) short thesis. But I’ll still post about it. I’m pooping rn tho but will paste my thesis I. A bit

>>55965654
muted

>>55965654
why are you a grown man wearing children's shorts?

Think the mods have range banned UK from posting images. Keep getting "upload failed.
Now gookfus tits are catbox forever, blame the mods for making life tough

https://files.catbox.moe/jdusdz.jpg

>>55965599
Holy based and Boglepilled

>>55965640
Thank you likewise.

>>55965664
My gym shorts are stained with my dried cum btw.

>He doesn't hold SBUX
It's the easiest way to profit off of bimbos.

I wish slavery was never abolished, I would be whipping my nigger right now out of boredom.

>>55965701
>tfw you realize its pumpkin spice season

shorting ally?

>>55965793
uhh why? i do business with that company

Thinking of SSTI (SoundThinking, formerly ShotSpotter) as a short play.

They started in 1996 in Fremont, CA (near me) and they make sensors to detect gunfire which they install on behalf of police departments. The company claims a 97% accuracy rate, but this is a dubious claim because most cities in practice have reported that in only about 10% of cases do they actually find someone at the scene bearing a firearm. In fact they’ve had a lot of false positives from things like helicopters, jackhammers, cars backfiring, or even people using hammers.

The other issue is that the reporting is only as good as where it’s installed, and they install sensors heavily in districts with people of color. So you create a vicious cycle where you have more false positives getting reported in an already higher crime area, leading to a larger police presence and stop-and-frisk encounters. Just bad all around.

The technology in most cases isn’t even useful at reducing homicides or firearm removal. The numbers completely uncorrelated with the number of SSTI sensors.

Think they’ve posted a handful of profitable quarters in 27 years, and one of their most recent profitable Qs was only because they recognized a solid chunk of revenue from an acquisition target.
When SSTI wants to sell to a certain jurisdiction (usually a city PD), they try and drum up the few success stories from other PDs to close the sale. It also feels sexy because you’re using technology to fight crime, and the DonutDepartments start to feel FOMO. But the contract requires some work to be fully inked - in most cases SSTI has been suggesting that PDs apply for federal grants under the most recent relief act. PDs almost never have someone that specializes in filling out grant applications, so SSTI will just submit it for them on their behalf, which is a huge conflict of interest. After the grant gets approved they get that sweet fedmoney.

1/2

>>55965807
they bought a shitton of carvanas loans that have soured

>>55965813
2/2

Now that they’ve won the contract, they have to install the sensors somewhere. One selling point is privacy because cops don’t know where the sensors are (otherwise they could theoretically capture human conversations on the sensors microphones). But in most cases the PDs will escort the SSTI surveying teams and help them find suitable locations for the sensors.
The alerts from the sensors are supposed to be used as investigative tools, but in some cases, courts have accepted the alerts as primary evidence in trials. This is a problem because the company keeps blocking independent parties from verifying the accuracy of their technology. It outlives its purpose and SSTI has no business being accepted in a courtroom.
So fundamentally, there are some catalysts here. Police unions hate the tech because it makes their officers get off of their ass. Progressives hate it because the sensors are just instruments of mass surveillance and control against minorities. Chicago is their 2nd largest customer (15% of FY 2022 revenues), and there is a good chance (more than 50%) that they don’t renew their SSTI contract in feb 2024. I think they just keep watering the stock through equity raises, continue to serially acquire trash, and just remain an overall nuisance for all parties involved. More American cities will drop out of their contracts.

the wire

fugg my instacart driver was a qt
ring camera is GOAT

>>55965443
Unironically buyed calls today for Jan
Going to buy more tomorrow if we get a dip

>>55965825
Sounds bullish, the NSA probably has a back door into all these microphones. These are going to be in every city soon as part of the mass surveillance of US citizens.

>>55965888
you ask her out?

>>55965629
20 really isn't so bad
It's above average but 30-40 is the historical bubble range

>>55965928
No, didn't you read? He watched her through his Ring camera as she put the food down. He probably waited until she was blocks away before he dared open his door to get his mcnuggets

Tell me smg, do you guys unironically believe this?

>>55965950
kek no nuggies for me
i wasn't even at home, my credit card gives me $15 a month instacart credit so i use it to get some free grocery staples every month

YO wtf, I just came back from my nap. WTF Is this market? Hahahaah. Completely organic, actual money printing.

>>55965965
It's called don't bet against America chud

>>55965965
>t.

nice to see you again mr tuld, your omega dump is ready for your approval

>>55965592
Debadge it and put a Ford Pinto badge on. This identifies you as a man of culture, taste, and humor.

>>55965825
its a good thesis, but my problem with it is that if they've made it this far with bs and marketing they'll continue making it even if they lose Chicago so long as they dont let any ourside entity study the tech first hand. They're probably smart enough to also target where they are selling it and while selling to some big cities not put it in every single police department, because so long as it isnt ubiquitous its not going to get much political or academic attention outside or regional stuff like chicago dems

>>55966004
See here this is a badge of excellence.

>>55966009
Thanks for reading through my shit lol.

The Chicago part of the short thesis is big because they are the second biggest customer for SSTI. Brandon Johnson (mayor) specifically attached a policy to his platform where he said that he would cancel the ShotSpotter contract. In fact, this is such a material threat to the company’s finances that they actually named him when describing one of their risk factors (ability to negotiate contract renewals).

> They're probably smart enough to also target where they are selling it and while selling to some big cities not put it in every single police department, because so long as it isnt ubiquitous its not going to get much political or academic attention outside or regional stuff like chicago dems
I mean, they arent really proving that they're targeting other PDs well and PDs are pulling out of SSTI contracts. Receivables are grim for the company.

Link related:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/shotspotter-rebrands-following-stocks-tumble-after-new-chicago-mayor-elected-10c9d66c

With the recent terrorist attack in Jacksonville, SSTI was involved and correctly generated 2 alerts. The company rang a faint bell because I read about it in the local News around 15 years ago. They talked about how local PDs in the Silicon Valley were trying to leverage the technology. I found out that it was publicly traded and just kept digging from there.

There are a ton of articles online talking about how they astroturf the efficacy of their product and get PDs to sing its few praises. But what stood out the most was this bit in a certain article where they mentioned how they get money through federal grants. The author didn’t explicitly state that it was a COI but just saying it out loud makes it feel blatantly obvious.

>>55965825
>shorting a tool that makes throwing people in jail for little or no cause possible, in the US of all places
Hedge it if you go through with it so you don't get raped to death.

China is going old-school
>Have money
>Go to officials, play them in chink poker
>lose on purpose
>they give you government contract

>futures red
IT'S OVER

>he drinks still water
might as well lap it up straight from a pond like a beast of the field

U guys think my SSTI short thesis was boring? U want to talk about jew lizards who control the market with dark pool phantom shares now?

>>55966149
this, water belongs in toilets, we need electrolytes

someones about to get destabilized

>>55966166
nonono you don't understand we are pumping more oil than ever before, these countries don't matter anymore

>>55966009
Okay you do have a point. I have to see what kind of cities SSTI are targeting as clients, but it behooves them to lock up larger jurisdictions because I assume that their biggest fixed cost is sensor installation. Once they’re up, they can collect the annual subscription per square mile of install, and the bigger the jurisdiction, the bigger the contract. I’m not seeing some big cities lining up though, the largest would be Buffalo, NY.

>>55966150
I don't think it was boring at all, it's rooted in some sound logic and the product they make is clearly pretty shit. I just know that police unions can do whatever the fuck they want and shotspotter does three things;
>occasionally actually gets it right and alerts for an active shooter
>hits on false positives like cars backfiring justifying a police presence in an area
>is being used as evidence in court even if it shouldn't be admissible
and that's basically the trifecta of use-cases that they're not going to let it go for. I'm not some acab jackass but anything that makes it easier to "massage" a situation into a charge probably is sticking around, which is why I said hedge.

>>55966175
these countries dominate global commodities, especially the commodities that are needed for the green transition. BRICS is the new OPEC but for silver, lithium, nickel, etc...

Sup smiggers?

>>55966175
We also didn't need brapgas...
awful shame that nordstream event wasn't it?

>>55966193
Show me the real Brainard.

>>55966199
uh janny's gonna freak

>>55965942
Seems bad to me.

>>55966202
I hate that guy, he's the worst.

Uh guys the yield spread is going down again.

>5.95% 1-year GIC
>continue waiting for the recession

which one?

>>55966199
Ok, fine. Dirty bitch.

Um boboidz?

>Based on data going back to 1971, August and September are the worst months for SPX and NDX, with September being the worst month for equities all the way back to 1928
>Except: September has historically not been a negative month when SPX is already up 10%+ YTD, and in fact average September performance in those years has been +0.44% with positive returns 59% of the time
>JP Morgan said last week that its Tactical Positioning Monitor is close to signaling that US equities could be tactically attractive
Get fukt bears

>>55965405
Shes kinda manly lads, ngl.

>>55966243
And?

>>55966259
Thats a ladyboy.

>>55965962
what card?

>>55966256
Except +0.44% annualises to +5.41%, and that's for years where the previous 8 months annualise to at least +15.37%. So even in years with a solid uptrend the trend usually gets broken in september and 41% of the time it goes beyond breaking the trend and you get a reversal. It's not very bullish.

>>55966259
Really unfornutate headform for a woman. Very topheavy.

>>55965534
>>55965574
Y’all are gonna hurt that lobster’s feelings calling it a retard.

>>55966184
Yeah I think that is the biggest headwind to this thesis. Police unions are what makes ShotSpotter revenues sticky. They’re defending its use in NY and Chicago IIRC. But it was a surprise to see that Albuquerque’s union head said it was a “big fat waste of money”. I don’t think all unions are aligned on this. They want to see their officers be tough on crime, but if there’s one thing that I know, it’s that cops hate doing extra work, which is what false positives bring. Unless they’re getting OT for it

>>55966289
>It's not very bullish.
Bobo cope is unreal

>>55966297
make your thesis like 10 words

>>55966256
>>positive returns 59% of the time
>negative returns 41% of the time
nasd-ACK

>>55965405
>>55966259

Fuck Joe Biden and fuck all democrats.

>>55966310
Chicago Mayor. Skeletons. In The Closet. The Contract Is Lost.
Soon.
Cities Will Stop Paying For SSTI Tech.

>>55966322
i like fucking democratic women

>>55966299
NO U

>>55966325
Yes... Indeed... The forest is quiet... But for how much longer?

>>55966299
They're just so fucking lame

I don’t even care about winning anymore. I just want swedecuck to loose. Pic rel

Bull bros....... I am buying

The Amerimumus are rather cocky. Corrective rape is warranted.

>>55966332
>NO U

Seemsgood

>>55966243
When talking about spread you should classify it as narrowing or widening anon. The fuck does down mean? That there is a bigger gap? Or that the spread between them is going down and becoming more narrow?

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>>55965389
hope they both die

>>55965405
evil disgusting tranny bitch

>>55965758
That kitty isn't wearing a seatbelt.

>>55966537
Well...better call kenny loggins, cause he's in the Danger Zone!

>>55966525
>>55966536
meds right now

>>55966516
>id sink reee
uh oh

>>55966555

This one’s pretty good too. Hussman is GOAT

>>55965958
Been stacking copper pennies for years. Gonna finally get that lambo.

>>55966394
>Market red
>I've been anticipating that
KEK

>>55966536
He calls her tranny and I think he's not completely wrong. I think she's one of the /fit girls, taking anavar and stuff. Has that blocky midsection physique like all other CROSSFIT VARBIES (anavarbarbies)

Oh no no no, Shit and piss bros…

>>55966615
That fag has probably loaded up on calls after the last month of fudding everything to shit

>>55966615
>NFL Sunday Ticket is $300 minimum

>>55966252
God damn look at those 100% real natural breasts

>>55965389
Meanwhile, me as a descendant of Prussian nobility. . .

>>55966254
September will save us. You’ll see

>>55966665
>pink id
>pents off by one
Never mind. It’s over.

>>55966615
>NVDA is read to run
>after running up +253% from the beginning of the year
>while it already has a $1.157T valuation and a ridiculous P/E ratio
I can't tell if he's retarded or a cynical liar

>>55966685
When it's 550-600 by the end of the year will you admit you were dumb?

>>55965958
Bullish for NAK.

>>55966666
>>55966666
>>55966666

>>55966243
The most useless chart ever. Lagging indicator being heavily manipulated by YCC

>>55966282
big boys only

>>55966701
and make Biden look bad? i doubt it, they'll prop up this market for as long as they need to.

ready for 2 weeks of melt up Green?

>>55966768
They'll try, but unless its another CARES act its joeover

>>55966768
Even (((they))) want that zombie out. He has fucked up way too much, even the sheep are whispering amongst themselves.

>>55966804
It's Joever

>>55966804
Did someone say meltup?

I think my midlife crisis is upon me. Thank you for reading my blog.

>>55966615
>all have the same charts
>Market not inherently broken
lol

>>55966861
Anon what did you do?
Invest in something... not great?

>>55966900
oh no, I am almost on the brink of quitting my decent job to see if I can move to a beach somewhere and getting a partime gig employment at walmart or something. The longer I sit here the more I feel like filling in all the things I missed as a teen. Also my heart was tweaking coming back from the gym from the 1/8th of bangs I drank and for a moment I was pretty sure I was going to unironically die.

>>55966924
I might all in something stupid though. Been wanting to leave my oil position but I am waiting to see if the market will react to the Saudis cutting in October. Probably a vain hope.

BOIL
SKYT

Where can I check the volume for brokers?

I am trading M6E on Ninja Trader and there is an entire 100 tick price difference, is that normal?

>>55966924>
>gym from the 1/8th of bangs I drank and for a moment I was pretty sure I was going to unironically die.

Only in my case I might have actually almost died. Sure changed my life and made me stop with the drugs.

>>55966977
>>55966924
Wait, somehow I managed to erase the essential sentence.

I had taken too much XTC, it was split over the night, but still WAY more than anybody should take. And I also thought for a moment I was dead, I even thought that in my mind "Oh well, never mind". And then I felt a pain in my heart, like a needle. Then I knew I was still alive. Changed my view on life.

Everything’s super bearish but DXY is down again. Noose is looking kinda cute, might neck later idk

>>55966989
>Everything's super bearish
trumpsayingyourewrong.gif

>>55966993
Definitely is. Not enough cutting fast enough, inflation eats services alive as most people have found first hand over the past while

>>55965443
>bullish on nvax
You've fallen for the Alex Jones "they're bringing COVID back" hype, huh? How confident are you?

Where muh... Where muh bobos at?
*Wild bear growling noises*

I am addicted to slim jim i get from Grocery Outlet ticker symbol GO this grocery outlet store near me sells slim jims mega sized for $1/jim holy FUCK i am addicted to these fucking things. have between 1-3 a day

fucking doomers

I really cant take the stress of failing in my professional life anymore.
You guys fail all the time, how do you get back up?

Someone talk me out of eating my third monster sized slim jim of the day

>>55966333
Lol. He Doesn't Know.

>>55967044
Sounds delicious desu

>>55967056
I have an addiction to them I get a box full from GO grocery outlet the ticker symbol is GO they are feeding my aediction help me please

>>55967006
Problem is extremely complex due to labour force re-inflating while remaining tight. I think this will supercharge sticky inflation which will force more hikes. People still entering job force while unemployment at record lows? More people on payroll and pay continues to squeze up to attract more workers

>>55966962
False flag, just BOIL, fuck everything else.

I am down several thousand dollars accounting for high single digit %'s of my net worth, in the past 2 weeks. if it gets to 10% I'm going to be depressed.

I'm short the market.

>>55967086
Hedgefunds are bear hunting with gamma squeezes like Vinfast and nvda.

>>55967099
I was so mad I couldn't short the underlying given the puts were 50% premium of the underlying

>>55967133
like vinfast at almost 90$, shorted with buying 1 call contract for $10 >>> buying a put atm for $40-45

>>55967141
*shorting 100 shares per call contract bought was a 4:1 discount on the puts.

>no shares were available to short
thank you jews

>>55967133
>>55967141
>>55967153
Looks like it would be terrible fills but you could open it as a spread with either a credit call or a debit put spread but be ready to hold to expiry due to terrible fills.

WHAT DO I BUY??? ENOUGH WITH THE BLAH BLAH BLAH. WHAT DO I FUCKING BUY TOMORROW?

I don't know how you anons can take this crabbing. I usually wake up before 9:30 AM, but recently I've been sleeping in because there is no point in watching this.

Oilbros, how are we feeling? I was expecting a quicker recovery after this correction but now i'm getting snibbed

What benefits does the EU derive from having a stronger currency than the US?

>>55967165
idc about that, that's typical amount of risk/reward you see (pennies on the dollar of risk)
the deal was you could take 4x less risk than somebody actually buying puts, but only if you had a broker willing to put your covered short order through.

>>55966972
bump

korea meme stocks why are you guys not investing in it.

>>55967168
Yeah, last two weeks are shit. Actually only at the PC cause I'm testing monitors, lol.

>>55967223
I might make a sizable investment in some Korean BBQ later this week

>>55967195
EU is reliant upon energy imports, so if the euro is stronger, they are able to buy more dollars (with which to buy oil)
so oil / energy becomes cheaper, the stronger the euro is relative to the dollar
there are a lot of other imports that the EU brings in, where the stronger their currency, the cheaper it is for them to import these goods/services, but energy is probably the biggest / most impactful

>>55966972
I'm seeing Bid 1.0844 Ask 1.0845 on TDA so that's like one tick .0001. You should really just trade spot forex with Oanda or Forex.com though.

Fuck you really just gotta day trade now. Stock gains are over. What an unbelievable time to be born. I fucking can't take it anymore.

>>55967201
another way to look at the math.
buy $10 call
sell short $9k of stock
write $40 put
if it stays above $50, you're in profit
if it dumps to $40, you're out $1k
could go to $0, and you would still only drop $1k on that. alternatively you could just ride the cheap synthetic put.

>>55967244
TOTAL BOGLEHEAD DEATH
I want to see the look on those lazy niggers' faces when they log in 10 years from now and see that they're actually DOWN money.
That's right champ, you actually gotta WORK for your profits.

>>55967201
Do you really believe vinfast a fucking viet ipo is going to be third most valuable car manufacturer in the world? Right now it looks like the biggest issue is terrible fills. You can easily manage 2-3xs with call spreads from it droping just $10 by march

>>55967244
Just do careful, skillful day/swing trades when you spot good ones and *be patient*, you will have your generational opportunities for longs.

>>55965389
This environment resembles 1987 & 2007 so much right now...
>U.S. bank downgrades.
>Hong Kong Unsold homes highest since 07.
>Hong Kong Prime rate highest since 07.
>U.S. Housing Affordability lowest level since 07.
>U.S. Interest rates highest since 07.
>U.S. , UK,HK, Mexico Israel... Treasury yields highest since 07
>ABS loans 60+ days delinquent highest since 07.
>Mortgage rates highest since 02.
>Student Loan Debt all time high.
>U.S. / Japan Debt to GDP all time high.
> U.S. Wage expectations hit all time high.
>A melt-up +50%. Had the two longest winning streaks in history for the $DJIA which are now tied with this past months DJIA run.
>A Pre- Election year.
>Major WGA/DGA Strikes.
>Car loan companies like Ally and Equifax taking heavy losses
>Companies like Zillow now offering 1% down payments
>Evergrande and Chinese shadow bank fell apart

Bros I don't think we will be ok when October rolls around this year...

>>55967256
>>55967201
"..VinFast has reported a drop in first-quarter revenue by 49%, with a net loss deepening to $598 million...."
"The quarterly net loss compared with a loss of $411 million in the same period a year earlier. In 2022, VinFast lost $2.1 billion."

>>55967259
China is booming

>>55967276
>China is booming

>>55967240
1.08450 to 1.08350 is 100 ticks on the forex.com chart, why is the price so different?

I am doing a evaluation account right now, so can't switch

>>55967259
Has anyone compared this situation to other stock market crashes to see how they line up with each other in regard to the negative news surrounding the situation? Was is as fucked then as it is now?

>>55967238
wont that hurt their ability to export?

This will be crab/slurp til next CPI. Then this charade ends.

>>55967259
The majority of hedgefunds are overexposed on just 7 big tech stocks. The market is propped up by this alone.

Fellas, I made some goulash and spatzle as I said I would. Financially speaking, cooking for yourself is incredibly comfy and thrifty.

>>55967284
>>55967276
That's called an implosion

>>55967293
yes, the higher the euro is, the more expensive it will be for other countries to buy EU goods and services (and the less demanded)
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2023/08/28/eu-economy-returns-to-trade-surplus-after-almost-two-years-in-deficit
fun fact, within the last 24 hours it was reported that they broke 6 consecutive quarters of trade deficit

>>55967273
They have only sold 137 cars in the usa so far but by next year 50k. Big trust.

>>55966322
Based, feed them to pigs.

>>55967313
WINFAST HURR HURR

>>55967302
I did a sour cream based paprikash but my issue was I didn't have egg noodles so it didnt catch the sauce well

>>55967256
I think you missed my point. I didn't want to buy and sell a $20 difference in strikes to make $2-4 per contract.

Guys, cocoa, sugar.. this looks bad. It's over for the US consumer. It's either candy or essentials.

>>55967253
Sour grapes.

>>55967326
Its difficult to say what it would actually cost to open the spread due to wide gaps in pricing. If we base it on midpoint though. You could get a $10 width spread with a $8 credit. Risk $200 if it stays over $70 by march. Gain $800 if it dips below $60.

>>55967286
I'm looking at EURUSD on forex.com right now and it's 1.0835 1.0837 which is 2 pips, they don't have M6E. You're just retarded.

so basically if i'm getting this correctly we were about to go into full downtrend mode since even Nvidia failed to save the market and somehow fucking dumped even after topping all possible estimates (making it clear that the big boys just used the surge in buyers to dump their bags even with all the analysts going apeshit about nvidia hitting 600 and above) and macro, technicals and fundamentals were finally starting to matter
then suddenly and for some inexplicable reason, in the very last bastion the market had before falling into the abyss which was jackson's hole, fed boomer says they'll just stay put in september (which somehow STILL causes a massive fucking dump as soon as his speech finishes), yet it throws us into endless crab loop because now a mass of terminal retards are somehow sticking to the argument that everything is A-OK now that hikes won't be hiked in september even though literally EVERYTHING ELSE in the economy is crashing and burning?
you're telling me i was THIS close to the greatest orgasm ever since the 2020 panic, yet now i'm gonna be fucking blueballed by this shitty ass crab market for who knows how long?

>>55967344
much appreciated. didn't see that when I looked at the options tree but maybe I'm dumb.

>>55967360
keep cat posting with abstruse yet esoteric takes.

>45% of student loan borrowers expect to go delinquent when payments resume on October 1st

I don't feel so good right now bros

>>55967412
I think it's going to be ok. Bidenomics will save us.

>>55967360
Yeah pretty much.

WAGMI bros GME TO THE MOON

I finally looked up what the "t" in the >t.
meme stands for. That was not what I expected

>>55967259
>>55967412
Seriously does this guy get paid to post these or what?

>>55967310
probably a way for some countries not having to actually compete with other economies, they just stay in their little bubble and make up a new set of regulations

>>55967418
Please no interspecial posting

>>55967431
PERKELEEEEEEEEEEEE

>>55967433
no, I just want to at least help spread awareness on how fucking bad it will get in a few months

>>55967412
How the hell could anybody be using that kinda debt as collateral though. That's just stupid. You have to be an idiot to think an education does any economic good for the majority of people who get them. Your selling people debt for things they don't need.

If you bought Cisco during the tech bubble you'd still be waiting to get back to even on your money, and at current rate you'd have to wait another 20 years to catch up with inflation.

This is what awaits all Nvidia dogs. Hope you like discount ramen because 40 years is a long time to wait.

I predict even more businesses will either leave or fortify their stores like fucking Fort Knox if all the looting and shit keeps up in California;

https://twitter.com/brutalfightz/status/1695858193556230429

tldw bunch of black kids loot a McDonald's. Younger generations are completely retarded. I will be shorting retail, fast food, and other stocks.

>>55967528
>rational market
>Never changes

>>55967528
some people make money some are just salty and call it the bubble so it means they are smart for not making money. losers.

How do you guys feel about corporate real estate? Looking at Brookfield asset management and wondering if black swans are lurking

>>55967526
HR roasties are cheerleaders for tech nerds, and tech nerds are cheerleaders for CS degrees. I figured it out

>>55967528
That is wild to see.

>>55967544
The market is rational and efficient, just a large part of it is not concerned with making maximizing capital growth.

Everyone has a different utility curve. For every guy who puts his money in undervalued, out of fashion and "no future" industries like coal, there's another guy who buys nvidia and apple because those are the products that he engages with and that bring him joy. The market is just the average of all utility curves. In that sense it is efficient for the average person.

good night /smg/

>>55967586
Goodnight brother

Wtf is up with the US natgas futures?

>>55967356
Missing the whole point, 6E is also 100 ticks away on Ninjatrader compared to Forex.com as well

Good morning smg.
I just woke up and getting ready to get in the cagie.
t.europoor

>https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/americans-are-bailing-on-their-home-insurance-e3395515

I'm getting 2008 flashbacks right now

>SPR runs out
>declare another covid season and have everyone work from home and order online, no more cars and no more gas
I just killed your bull thesis oil nerds

>>55967600
https://youtu.be/-aH-pP3PAIc?si=HvxhTnIMDlIYYyku&t=116
What're you buying on the stock market today, euro-anon?
You equally as excited for Halloween as all of us?!

>>55967606
>futures

>>55967624
>2% inflation is healthy, goy. Deflation is a bad thing. It hurts the economy. We have to grow.

It's as if the market has not understood the cycle of life, seasonality etc.
>constant growth or end of the world

>>55965654
pls sir

>>55967618
Love halloween but i stick to shorting for now.
We simply have to crumble at least a bit in this clown market

>>55967575
I would posit that said utility curves are weighted by wealth (aka mcap weigted, by individual capital)

>>55967575
Yeah these dudes
https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/
sure love hight-tech, like AAPL and NVDA.

>>55967586
Night fren, member to say your prayers

>>55967586
>>55967765
Forgot my picrel

may the bonds rise from the ashes and my german placement agent bestow upon me millions from unsuspecting euro trash trustafarians, maybe her sex tape as well

Can DAX just fuckin DIE already? This is bullshit. Recovering on nothing. Even crumbling China.
>They lower rates
>stimulus
This won't help and only reignite inflation.

>>55967839
>This won't help and only reignite inflation.
Das ist der Plan.

>>55967792
>and my german placement agent bestow upon me millions from unsuspecting euro trash trustafarians
Is this a fancy way of saying you invest other people's money?

I hate China so much. If it were a free economy, it would have already crashed. Because the government controls damn near everything, they can just let the people suffer. Chinese people might be the biggest cucks in all of history. Docile fucks.

>>55967912
Don't fight the fed.

>markets
I'm shorting climate stocks

https://twitter.com/iowahawkblog/status/1696183989206147183

smg is moving so slow i bet i wake up in time for this same shitty thread

>>55967749
They have no choice. You think Berkshire can allocate any sort of capital to small value stocks? They'd destroy the price with 0.01% allocation.

That's the one advantage smart retail has over institutional money.

>>55967920
How low will spy go?

>>55967912
You honestly think we are any different? Our gubbermint is notorious for bailing out institutions here, creating insanely high inflationary periods where they hollow out the lower classes, continuously raising taxes, raising commodity prices , fuggin us over in the electricity department, massive corruption, and so on.
There is no such thing as a free economy. Whether it's the central banks or the gubbermint or "others", it all amount to the same thing. If you are in the lower middle class or lower, you are getting fugged.
We're going up today

>>55965389
Please sir please pump Shib.

>>55967912
>implying the US ponzi is any better

The only real markets are EU, Japan and South America

Hey Bobo
Hongkong is mooning

>>55967970
>real markets
Is it real, son, is it really real, son?
Let me know it's real, son, if it's really real
Something I could feel, son, load it up and kill one
Want it raw deal, son, if it's really real, yeah, uh

>>55967982
God I love her

>Again worse german data
>again worse than expected
>DAX pumps
This shit is so broken and everything germany or EU related so unimportant, it's actually disgusting how irrelevant it is.

>>55967982
Pump Shiba Inu sir.

>>55967982
That’s good actually, maybe it will fucking draw some capital away from large cap domestic and crater this shit. Like tomorrow

>futures

>>55967912
Now replace China with western democracies and nothing factual will change about your statement.

>>55968045
If not worse. I'm actually impressed how long China didn't intervene and how long they were willing to selfharm economically over Covid.

I wonder how much longer until Amazon replaces all of their workers with robots? Will we see warehouse wagies walk out en masse or just stay there working like cucks?

>>55967996
DAX is so undervalued that even bad news would still make it cheap. You are simply too stupid to realize this and expect large swings on everything based on
>muh feels

>>55968055
Right? A little bit of a "lockdown" in the west and we print ginourmous amounts of money so that big investors can become even richer and so that the lower classes cease their yapping. But China waits this long? Then again, China has been stimulating at a higher pace for a longer time but nah, they should have properly stimulated a long time ago. There must be a reason for it

>>55967839
Germany has one of the most fiscally prudent goverments in the world. When shit hits the fan, they are always in a better position than the rest of the world. You are probably 14 and don't know this

Any of you soibois gonna scoop up some blackberry? Looks like it's running hard

>Walt Disney VFX artists have voted to unionize

fucking hell, this strike is gonna cause entertainment stocks to tank even more.

>>55967839
Didn't most stocks report better than expected earnings and guidance? I know BMW completely crushed expectations/guidance... so why they crash? I kinda have to agree with the fact that EU stocks are kinda underrated. Typically EU stocks are traded at 75% of US P/E values but here we see P/E values less than 50% of typical US values

>>55968071
>it has to go up
>it simply has despite all bad data etc
Ok Mumu

Nothin personnel...

>>55968095
>PRICED IN
HAHAHA; right back at you. That's why
And:
>Forward looking
Markets expect weaker car demand

>>55968103
What bad data? Are DAX companies are trading at super low values while beating earnings. You can be bearish about the economy and still recognize somethings are simply not expensive. If you buy a company like infineon or Siemmens healthcare right now, you would still get a good deal with their current valuation

>>55968107
>The entire DAX is just cars
Why should Henkel or covestro get punished for lower car demand other than belonging to an index

Took a position today that nets me:
32% per year with an 85% chance of success
8% true gains for 80 days of theta
max gains at or above -18% for the stock
Bobo, please keep buying my puts

My shorts!
I'm heemed!
YOU WONT GET AWAY WITH THIS MUMU!!!
DAAAAMNNM YOU MUUUMUUUU

>>55968114
>Siemmens
I know exactly who you are. BASF, BAYER, COVESTRO guy.

>>55968092
Bullish for AI

>>55968145
kek I wonder if UPS giving so much money to drivers feels like an incoming rugpull? Gonna replace them all with robots and AI to self drive the trucks and deliver shit soon.

>>55968134
>Selling puts
How far OTM? Aren't you concerned about a big bobo dump?

I'm gonna need more music playlists to listen to while I watch China crash and burn.

https://youtu.be/vuK8bnssbB4?si=czFx73kTk9dZvFYK

>>55965701
The wagies are unionizing. New curry eating ceo. Prices increasing to levels outrageous even to Stacy and Karen. Bearish on the ‘bux.
t. Just quit working there

I think I'll have a nap. Not gonna watch this bullshit. EU probably gonna scamwick pump anyways.

Fuuuuuuugg I always miss the bottom. I wanted the EU to drop at least another 2% but now it mega pumped and I'm priced out forever :(. Now it's hovering in that region where I don't know if it's gonna pump or dump. Bros, why am I so dumb?
Maybe I should really just stick to index funds

>>55968198
Just buy Novo Nordisk and hold for 10 years. You don't need anything else in your portfolio

>>55968105
Nice drawing bro

>>55968175
My prior covered call position was assigned at August opex for a nice profit. If assigned here, I will have lowered my cost basis on the underlying stock by 10% compared to my prior cost basis and purchased the stock at -18% compared to the price today. Xanatos vibes.

>>55967294
this
I'm gonna go all in VIX a few days before. The august CPI will tip the balance towards "more hike" and fuck the market

Is there any index that besides S&P that's worth investing in?

>>55967294
Relying on that comparison effect eh? Not bad, not bad. They are already expecting +0.8% on a monthly basis (four times bigger than what is normal), do you really think inflation will overshoot that? Nah, they purposefully overshoot the expectations so they can say "oh, inflation is lower than expected, 2 ez".
Hopefully JPow catches on and pushed for another hike because this is ridiculous. The gas/heating oil prices are absolutely brutal and are really propping up the inflation to new highs

>>55968072
Evergrande. It's only a nothingburger now because trading on it was halted for a full 17 months and during that time China maneuvered around their imminent housing crisis as best they could before the dominos started falling. It wasn't even just Evergrande there was also Country Garden, since real estate is the main investment sector for Chinese citizens as they can't invest in much else without risking being heemed any serious problems in that market is extremely bad for their economy and citizens. I think they pulled a US in '06-'08 and kicked the can as long as they could while they prepared for everything and hopefully turn a serious crash into a major correction and stagflate it away or just fire up the printer and do a decade of ZIRP to get out before correcting seriously again and then stagflating out to eat the inflation the ZIRP created like is about to happen in the states barring some nutty shit.

The housing market is only less fucked in the US because we already had that market shitdick everyone and people learned their lesson, more than 2/3's of homes with a mortgage on them in the US have a fixed rate mortgage with a rate below 4% so the only people risking losing their homes are the speculators that got in in the last couples years pumping everything by buying on credit.

>>55968232
>I will have lowered my cost basis on the underlying stock by 10% compared to my prior cost basis and purchased the stock at -18% compared to the price today
That all sounds nice but it could all be irrelevant if there is a 30% correction

>>55968281
>so the only people risking losing their homes are the speculators that got in in the last couples years pumping everything by buying on credit.
To further expound on this thought, this is why Blackrock and a bunch of other financial institutions went on a huge buying spree of property and land in the US through '21-'22 - they have more than enough capital to weather the storm to the other side, and them strong-arming the market keeps prices high and also means when things do get bad there's less people that bought less property on less extreme financing they can better afford. Then when rates go back down they'll sell most of it off and keep renting the rest of the best performing land. Even with Zillow offering 1% down payments to anyone and the US offering mortgages with no payments for a year and a low variable rate for minorities, people - regular people - are still just fucking refusing to buy homes or property unless it is an absolute necessity because even though it's been 15 years people aren't going to forget '08 after seeing how much it fucked up for how many. I knew people that had their lives ruined and one that took his life after that year, that shit never goes away in your mind.

>>55968175
That's why I like shorter dte puts for selling. Most dumps take weeks or months, unless some black swan shit goes down or you're too greedy with strikes they won't get assigned. You also also getting the meatiest theta decay rates

The SPY currently has a double top where the second top is a head and shoulders pattern. Are you ready to become poor?

IBKR is shilling me their overnight trading by telling they noticed my timezone and my trades happens outside of regular trading hours.
They really log everything, that's why I will never use stop losses.

>>55965405
What the fuck is this creature?
The alive one.

>>55967961
>>55967970
>>55968045
We are different because people will eventually get tired of this and rise. The fire rises.

>futures
Trapped again

>>55968431
Italian Olympic pole-vaulter Sonia Malavisi

Yields...

LeYids...

>>55968380
>I like shorter dte puts for selling
How short? Weeklies? Monthlies? I sold a monthly yesterday, but I close them out early usually and scale in on red days

>>55968451
Imagine yields rising over 6% later this year

>>55968489
>only 6%
>implying

/SMG/ discord?

JUST IN: We will crab, or we will pump, unless or dump. You heard it here first.

>>55968478
Weeklies usually, sell before the weekend or following a deep red day, close once they go 50%, maybe wait longer if you're extra bullish

>>55968500
How did they come down so quick

>>55968503
stfu newfag tranny

>>55968510
I vaguely remember something about ECB becoming a lender of last resort

>>55968512
Is discord full of trannies. If so I will give it a swerve?

>>55968500
ok now I want to see how the USA copes with those levels of yields, jesus

>futures

>>55968440
>The fire rises
I wish, bro, I wish.

Baltic Exchange Dry Index bros, we are getting severely heemed this year. Can't they give us a break?

>>55968557
Dry bulk shipping stocks will be the first to get heemed in the inevitable recession that is expected by all.

>>55965443
considering their reliable ups and downs it seems like a safe bet to get some longs for this. but desu, wasnt there some new around them going bust a few month ago? looks too good to be true

>>55968573
I'm sorry, reces- what? No such thing in the only economy that matters, i.e., the US. The inflation is hollowing out the lower classes only (and if even that considering the wages have increased like crazy and people got free money during Covid). Sorry m8, but nobody cares about poor people

I want some burgers, what are some good types to have while trading stocks?

https://youtu.be/xLjphhzDDrY?si=vth2W164ctGeDM6l

>>55968503
There should be, jannies are out of control.
>this is financial advice, buy SOXL

>>55968611
Enjoy paying 10% of your GDP to service your debt

>>55968503
>using trannycord unironically for anything even as a joke
NGMI

>>55968505
The more important takeaway from that assessment is conditions are uncertain. That's the same conclusion I came to yesterday and the reason I closed off my remaining shorts and cheesed it out to /cashgang/ to wait until the next setup.

>>55968629
People said the same thing last year. "Noooo, rates cannot realistically go above 4%, the FED would collapse under the mounting debt"... Where there's a will, there's a way. They will just issue more treasuries or something. I don't know, don't care. Haha, we have full confidence in our central banks, m8 :). I mean, they must have learned from their past mistakes, r-r-r-right?

>>55968640
Yep that's reasonable.

>>55968616
some fresh made smaller place. look up the highest rated.

>>55968689
>>55968689
>>55968689
>>55968689

>>55965701
What's the reason for the 35 percent increase in long calls?

>>55968621
i miss him so much bros...