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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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55036544 No.55036544 [Reply] [Original]

Third Time Edition

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Financial TV Streams:
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/
http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-fox-business-network-fbn-free-24-7/

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.koyfin.com/
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Options
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Misc:
https://tradingeconomics.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://wallmine.com/
https://fintel.io/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

previous: >>55032017

>> No.55036560
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55036560

At this point it seems as if the Underpants Gnomes devised /smg/'s baking policy.

>> No.55036561 [DELETED] 
File: 90 KB, 806x260, screenshot-23.05.20-10:43:58.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55036561

BOIL

>> No.55036571

>>55036561
I am once again reminding BOIL baggies that betting on the weather is both 1) stupid and 2) satanic.

>> No.55036595
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55036595

Reminder that NVDA pumps to $400 by earnings this wed., $500 by the end of next quarter, P/E is nearing 200 already, buyers are TSLA-level delusional and commited.

>> No.55036601

first for VZ will 200%

>> No.55036605
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55036605

You bought calls right anon?

>> No.55036608
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55036608

>>55036571
Cry about it, jannoid.

>> No.55036617

>>55036608
Let me clarify something. There's:
Me: Has money
Janny: Has no money
You: About to have negative money

>> No.55036639
File: 54 KB, 451x637, Screenshot 2023-05-20 192106.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55036639

I ordered a pizza.
>futures

>> No.55036643

>>55036639
Jet it up.

>> No.55036650

>>55036639
Bullish for consumer retail sales.

>> No.55036653

>>55036639
>$42
fuck that's like half my weekly grocery bill

>> No.55036654
File: 2.83 MB, 4032x3024, 8FCA4186-041D-492E-8419-EB530A286226.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55036654

I don’t actually have to pay this shit, right?

>> No.55036666

>>55036654
not really, they'll just suspend your registration if they're anything like commiefornia

>> No.55036674

>>55036639
>$42
fuck that’s more than the jews try to charge me for a fake parking ticket

>> No.55036677
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55036677

>>55036653

>> No.55036706

>>55036654
Just say you're black and demand they take that out of your reparations payment.

>> No.55036708
File: 71 KB, 720x480, Lord of war smoki.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55036708

I am stockpiling ammo
Why?
Because everyone else will be too busy killing each other

>> No.55036725
File: 290 KB, 1287x1800, 1659311942170494.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55036725

Treasuries

>> No.55036735

>>55036725
I'm still deciding how much I want to bet on the TMV breakout.

>> No.55036750 [DELETED] 

>>55036561
I would like to have a copy of the original picture on the same, sirs. Please do needful, sirs.

>> No.55036758
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55036758

>>55036708
this
>>55036654
just put it on my card

>> No.55036768
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55036768

So I see you finally got Luanne involved in politics. That's good.... ass

>> No.55036770 [DELETED] 
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55036770

>>55036750
Okay, but now I need to come up with something to say so I don't get banned again.

>BOIL

>> No.55036779

>>55036770
*reveals no benis*

>> No.55036785

>>55036779
I am happy with both

>> No.55036798

>>55036639
What's a jets wings?

>> No.55036812

>>55036798
thats when the black delivery driver slow marinates the raw chicken wings up their asshole for a couple days before microwaving them.

>> No.55036834

>>55036595
Fucking BASED Nvidia making bear faggots seethe once again.

>> No.55036860

>>55036812
Kek. Upon research I could drive an hour to try some Jets wings. Hopefully they are as tasty as you make them sound

>> No.55036874

>>55036812
Nice I'm going to try making it at home.

>> No.55036927
File: 152 KB, 722x768, rfho1luxkpu51.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55036927

90% of options traders lose money

>> No.55036943
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55036943

>>55036927
what they don't tell you is selling options doesn't necessarily keep you out of that 90%

>> No.55036954

>>55036943
>selling options doesn't necessarily keep you out of that 90%
Truth, a heem is a heem

>> No.55036959

>>55036927
do you have a single fact to back that up?

>> No.55037006

>>55036943
Indeed. Market makers asking the other side of every options transaction ensure no option bought or sold has positive expected value. The upshot is trading contrary to the aggregate options market does have positive EV. There are worse strategies than taking the opposite trade when the put/call ratio is at an extreme
>>55036959
The CBOE publishes the statistics for free. Look it up yourself or just try your luck

>> No.55037027

>>55037006
>makes bold overreaching claim
>uhhh just look it up youself ok?
lmao

>> No.55037056

>>55037027
90% of stats are made up. Harvard had a study, just look it up

>> No.55037063

>>55036943
90% of options traders lose money before they make it big.

>> No.55037076

>>55037027
Claiming more than 10% of options traders make money would actually be the bold overreaching claim

>> No.55037079

>>55036770
thank you so much, sirs

>> No.55037090

>>55036639
>Total Owing
Oh no they're letting the jeets make the UI too

>> No.55037103

I forgot I had some treasuries maturing this upcoming week. I'll take a few K out to fund my new futures account and play around with /MES then roll 'em to another 3 month TBill. Hopefully I can figure out how to win a few points each day by the time I have cash to throw in again.

>> No.55037106

>>55037006
>Market makers asking the other side of every options transaction ensure no option bought or sold has positive expected value.
At expiration. Take your green when it's there. They are testing you

>> No.55037120
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55037120

>>55037063
are there people out there that make it big without losing any money?

>> No.55037142

>>55037106
The act of closing the option is functionally reversing the original trade with a new trade that also has negative expected value. Consider how paradoxical it would be to execute a series of negative EV trades that sum to positive EV. Likens to losing money on every sale but making it up in volume. Just food for thought. I'm sure there are many profitable optionistas here

>> No.55037162
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55037162

>>55037142
it's fun though

>> No.55037176
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55037176

fucking QCOM, if it doesn't hit 115 by Friday I'm -literally- going to KMS

>> No.55037186
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55037186

we're gonna have a melt up, arent we

>> No.55037206
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55037206

>>55037186
yes

>> No.55037211

>>55037120
I suppose it's possible but beginner winners rarely take the money and run. They jump back in expecting moar and lose some or all of it. Beginner's luck is not something you want in trading. You want to be in the valley of the dunning krueger when you start to get some big wins in.

>> No.55037232

>>55037142
>with a new trade that also has negative expected value
Huh? When I close the option trade I now hold cash that I can buy anything with, including but not limited to new option positions if I choose. But if I buy a put that you say has negative EV, and sell it for even 1% profit on the day, that's positive realized value, it's no longer expected. Now if I roll that cash into a new position sure I have new risk, but it's new risk based on my new assessment of the scenario. Not sure what you are getting at. Please elaborate.

>> No.55037245

what effect will the debt defaulting have on the stock market?

>> No.55037249

>>55037206
nakadashi

>> No.55037252

>>55037162
Exactly this. If I want to allocate 1/800th of my account value to 0 dtes option goombling, then motherfucker I'm gonna do it, it's fun as fuck. I've noticed the MM programs have the same "rubberbanding" mechanics hard coded in as playing Vidya. It's just the consequences of this Vidya are dire. And I don't like to lose money. I'm here to make money, not stroke my ego.

>> No.55037261

>>55037186
dump until NVDA earnings calling it now

>> No.55037275
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55037275

>>55037245
Are you serious? It certainly wouldn't be bullish, but I'm sure clown markets would find some reason to rise.

>> No.55037283

>>55037142
>Likens to losing money on every sale but making it up in volume
So the MM makes his profit on volume, but allows me to profit a lil bit. Thanks fellas pleasure doin /biz/ with ya. The house always wins. I'm not the house. But I can also win. Just not ALWAYS. But I'm also not the market maker. The market HAS TO ALWAYS play. I don't. Green is green. I'm not gonna worry myself about finding "undervalued" options, this isn't 1985, the options prices move so much faster. They used to publish option prices in the newspaper and you could call your broker and find out how far away the current price is from that price. Imagine publishing SPY option prices in a newspaper now. You can be more "right" than me. I'm betting that I'm going to be faster. I don't even make a directional decision until I see it already happening

>> No.55037287

>>55037211
>dunning krueger

My cousin can't stop saying that aswell

>> No.55037290

>>55037232
>>55037283
If each individual trade has statistically negative expected value (you can easily calculate the expected value of an option using its Greeks and it is always negative, the market maker ensures this is so lest he himself lose money) and you conduct the trades a statistically valid number of times, the outcome will regress to the mean. The mean is losing slightly more money than you make. It's slightly negative because the spread makes both selling or buying from a market maker a negative EV trade. If you see a trade and calculate a positive EV, then try to make the trade, you will discover you will not get filled until you either move your order until the trade has negative EV or the market move while your limit is set and the trade triggers now that EV is negative

>> No.55037313 [DELETED] 
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55037313

I might MAYBE might go to movie night tonight.
Make it a good one.

>>55036725
>>55036770
>>55037206
Anime girls are based

are we ever going to have an opportunity like negative oil or bitcoin ever again?

>> No.55037314

>>55037287
I use it in this case because it's particularly meaningful with stock trading. Max beginner confidence is also max risk. That's where you can blow all your money, try to martingale your way out and then get in to debt if you're not careful.

>> No.55037321

>>55037275
what I meant by that is would it echo 2008 but worse or would it be a complete and total financial apocalypse?

>> No.55037335

>>55037314
I just find it one of those weird phrases everyone copies. It's weird what influences people sometimes.

>> No.55037337

>>55037290
Yes I understand all of that. I've experienced everything you have said. That's why I don't play with low liquidity tickers. I bought a RUM 9.50 put before close the day of their earnings call when the stock was at $10, sold it the next day for breakeven even though the stock was now at my strike price. The IV crush along with the low liquidity made it so I didn't print. That's fine. That's not how I really use options anyways. That was just a fun $40 goomble on earnings which didn't pan out but I didn't lose either, but I knew to get out and not wait. 0 dte SPY is chaos. Sure they might offer a negative EV bid/ask, but then when I sell that naked call and the MMs come to heem me, someone else could step in and short the shares back down if the MMs run it up too much. There's too much that can happen. Too many contracts being traded all over the place. It's kinda rare that you buy a SPY option that's ATM or ITM and they just never show you anything green ever. What really happens is you get the chance to take your 5% and most option goomblers are too greedy. Too lustful, they want more. And that's when they turn it against you. Yes the longer you play each day, the greater the chance of being wrong. But that's why i don't have to play all the time. Sitting on your hands is part of the job.

>> No.55037369
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55037369

>> No.55037377

>55036770
https://youtu.be/K5FsGscsY78

>> No.55037397
File: 394 KB, 1125x2021, 8CFEE018-DC1A-428F-83A0-6C62F0A41ED3.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55037397

>Saw an article about the disease that shall not be named in USA Today

Is this the time to jump back in?

>> No.55037415

>>55037337
>Sitting on your hands is part of the job.
Agreed. The cliché that's saved me repeatedly is "be quick to sell and slow to buy"

>> No.55037416

>>55037397
All SIGAsissies roped so you won't find an answer here.

>> No.55037430

>>55037369
top signal

>> No.55037448

>>55037397
I've done my shilling for now (hint: would probably go with the other ticker this time) but am keeping an eye on https://www.chicago.gov/city/en/sites/m*nkeypox/home/data.html

Especially since there's a big, uh, "festival" next weekend.

>>55037416
I think we did a tally and there was like one dude who was adamant about bagholding to $0 (because he thought the elites would unleash that *other* pox, I think?), three who kept seething about its very mention, and a dozen of us who made money. Not bad all in all.

>> No.55037461

>>55037415
A based anon posted a cool currency trading BBC documentary from the 80s and honestly seeing how the boss in London talks about his employees, specifically this one guy Richard, it's changed my mentality, or rather help keep my mentality where it needs to be. You don't have to always be trading, but you gotta be ready if "the market erupts". I got heemed a lot in 2022 winning all morning and then getting hooked in the 3pm hour to give it all back and then some. When the real answer is, go mow the lawn if you already made your money on the day. If you can't walk away and do something else then you have an addiction, an unhealthy one. Its discipline, I'm still learning it, but I'm getting there.

>> No.55037488

announce the movie!

>> No.55037497
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55037497

i never get the stream

>> No.55037501

>>55037461
I'll check it out
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNmbjQhTHnE

>> No.55037529

>>55037501
Yep that's the one. When the boss says richard is the best in the world. He has no ego. He started eating the SANGWICHES when he was in his 20s, he's been kicked around by the other dealers. If he's wrong he's wrong and cuts out. He's there to make money not stroke his ego. That's me now. Poor Richard wasn't earning commissions on his trades though which is kinda lame when you think about it. Hopefully they were giving him good performance bonuses not mentioned in the video.

>> No.55037530

>>55037497
Check spam folder

>> No.55037543
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55037543

>>55037448
Pic related right? I have a portfolio of meme trades with fairly tight stops and I might have to try and trade both.

Still debating whether this is “sell the news” or market signaling to pharma whales because this straddles the line between the guys selling the meds and guys off their meds.

>> No.55037550

>>55037369
In 2021 the market was going up because the Fed was continuing with infinite QE and ZIRP even with rising inflation. Stocks had no where to go but up. Today in 2023 we have QT, 5% FFR, a debt ceiling crisis, bad earnings, bad growth outlook, a student loan crisis, bank failures, an energy crisis, a cost of living crisis, mass layoffs, armed mobs looting Target and Walmart, collapsing lumber prices, high mortgage rates and a frozen housing market. So we'll probably melt up even more this time around

>> No.55037577
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55037577

>futures

>> No.55037584
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55037584

11 minutes to movie night! Tonite's feature is Blood Diamond (2006)!

>> No.55037599 [DELETED] 
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55037599

Has it been the year of the bun this whole time?

>>55037415
how do you cope with all the missed moon missions?

>> No.55037601

>>55037501
When Richard is sitting there with a smoke in hand, saying "I'll take 5, take 5, take 5, that'll do, take 5" that's no different than what I do everyday. It's just less humans involved

>> No.55037629

>>55036544
well i don't know where else to put this but I'm finally wrapping up my American Express Business Platinum Reward bonus. $1500 of profit on this one since the bank bonus I did to cash the points back and forth covered the fee. (Although I lost a hundred or so I bet for the taxes I paid with it).

I'm questioning whether this was worth it since I think it probably encouraged me to spend a bit more degenerate knowing the bonus was coming but all in all pretty good deal.

>> No.55037635
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55037635

>>55037543
Nah, this bad boy. Read between the lines here: https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/18/health/mpox-vaccine-jynneos-results/index.html

It requires 2 doses (traditionally administered, none of this dose splitting BS, if you don't want a stigmatizing mark), makes the disease mild enough to not need TPOXX but apparently not too mild to spread, needs to be reupped after a year, and isn't 100% effective so "behavioral changes" would likely be needed to stamp it out the second time around. Good luck getting those to happen before needing to dole out another million doses lol.

>> No.55037649
File: 2 KB, 709x33, cytube room.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55037649

Movie night movie night get in here! Tonite's feature is Blood Diamond (2006)!

>> No.55037651

What's the expected month if and big IF the USA defaults, that everyone runs out of money? August? September? Feels like this year might be the big one when the ceiling doesn't get raised this time.

>>55037599
umph gotta love it when tits are so big they overwhelm and spill out clothes

>> No.55037658

>>55037550
I guess line always goes up because permanent inflation is the goal. Since liquidity shocks aren't allowed to happen anymore, the only thing that would make stocks go down is social unrest.
Growth doesn't matter because the rate of dollar supply growth is always more than stock supply growth.

>> No.55037664

>>55037649
>Iaintclickinthatshitnigga.jpg
Has any nigga ever clicked on that shit?

>> No.55037669

>>55037651
I've yet to find a better source than this dude. https://twitter.com/Johncomiskey77/status/1659729003148713985

He's gone through and modeled a fuckton of the income and expenditure factors so not perfect but better than "our TGA of 50 billion is going to be empty in the next 3 days because we're withdrawing 20 billion a day aaaa"

tl;dr: June 9th is the close call, end of July is the drop dead point.

>> No.55037671

>>55037664
yes cytube works fine. anon has been running move night there for years.

>> No.55037674

>>55037664
its an image not a link. but the link is fine. The people on the other side of that link though are a bunch of fags.

>> No.55037678

>>55037599
>how do you cope with all the missed moon missions?
My equity curve oscillates between flat when I'm in cash to upward sloping when I'm in a trade. The trades are carefully timed using sentiment indicators so any drawdowns are short and shallow. The upshot of the lack of drawdowns is I can pile on leverage when I'm in the market. I use futures and index options so leverage isn't a problem. Not using the /smg/ goto leveraged ETFs helps avoid risk from volatility decay too. All that means I manage fomo by trading big when I get an entry signal
>>55037601
Nice

>> No.55037683

>>55037678
how'd you learn?

>> No.55037684

>>55037671
Will my trading account be compromised if I click that shit?

>> No.55037687

>>55037674
They're posters in this thread, like you.

>> No.55037690
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55037690

>>55037687
yes

>> No.55037703

>>55037678
>Not using the /smg/ goto leveraged ETFs helps avoid risk from volatility decay too
I'm nitpicking, but if you're truly investing in an upward sloping curve reliably as you claim, there is no vol decay. Only compounding leveraged profits.
The decay happens when the ETF rebalances and reduces exposure following a decline.

>> No.55037760

>>55036770
Thank you so much. You did the needful sir and I thank you.

>> No.55037769
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55037769

>>55037683
>how'd you learn?
A few years ago I went here:
https://papers.ssrn.com/
entered "Vix" into the search box and read every paper that seemed remotely relevant to building a trading strategy then took notes and tested a lot of stuff out until I found what seemed to work. It still seems to be working. Papers are my goto because the authors typically aren't selling anything, they're just researchers trying to find what works and doing actual research. There is no flash or sizzle, just hypotheses, data, and p-values. Beats the shit out of random youtube channels and snake oil trading gurus. There is absolute solid gold trading strategies in those papers and you will find it if you do the work to uncover it
>>55037703
I use VIX futures and there is no way to get the precise exposure I want using the ETNs since they all target a constant maturity date. Also take SVIX for example, even when it's in an uptrend where inverse exposure is being steadily added almost every day, there will be some days mixed in with a small pullback since nothing goes up in a straight line. When the pullback happens, the fund administrators have to cover some of the shorted fix contracts to start the next day at a fresh -1x leverage. I don't have to cover since I'm shorting futures contracts directly. However on up days when SVIX adds exposure, I also add exposure. I get all the upside of the compounded leverage without the volatility decay downside

>> No.55037795 [DELETED] 
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55037795

>>55037313
agreed anime girls are best girls!

As for negative oil I think now is a good time to look into some of the oil companies.

https://www.investopedia.com/top-oil-and-gas-stocks-q2-2023-7377009

>> No.55037800
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55037800

lmao its going to be red until Wednesday when they go talk again + Nvidia earnings

>> No.55037827
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55037827

>>55037800
NVDA is a bubble... it still has so much air left in the bubble...

>> No.55037837
File: 9 KB, 219x230, EjyYT3iWkAAljoz.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55037837

>uber eats driver is a slutty college girl
>meet with them tip them $200
>chat them up get their number
?sext them throughout the night
>they end ther e wprlday? shift? early just to come fuck
What addictions do you spend your gains on?

>> No.55037838
File: 816 KB, 1440x3120, Screenshot_20230513-233031.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55037838

>>55037769
Are you the anon that gave me this nice bit of info (picrel)? If so, thanks, I still haven't paid too close attention to VIX futures, being a 0 dte SPY schizo and all. I take a peek at the vix1d now, it really seems like the regular vix is straight up broken now. Daily vol is 18 but 30 day vol 16? Every day? Idk. I just like to be where the volume and liquidity is, and SPY 0 dtes, I just love it. I love how liquid it is. I love the tight spreads. It's straight up gaming every day. I just limit my position size to literally 0.01% of my account size now so I don't end up like the reddit losers who lose hundreds of thousands being retarded. I've seen what happens when you hold hundreds of short dated contracts, doesnt usually work out well. So I just keep it small, and it's enough for now. Maybe I'll get used to playing with larger lots at some point, but I'm too schizo for they right now. It's game theory, and I don't have more money than the MMs. I don't want to become food for a big fish.

>> No.55037907

>>55037313
nakadashi

>> No.55037925
File: 255 KB, 1858x1087, file.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55037925

>>55037838
That was me :3
Just a taste there, a profitable jumping off point for trading sentiment. I highly reading some Vix papers from SSRN to build a comprehensive strategy that suits you. I didn't even go into how useful the put/call ratio is there. Vix is probably more important but the two combined is the most powerful thing I've ever seen at least as far as what retail readily has access to. Multiple great papers on SSRN delve into combining the two. There is a reason Citadel pays so much for retail order flow and Ken Griffin lives in mega mansions. They have a sentiment powered money printing machine
Hey, I day trade fang stocks to help me resist fomoing into big trades prematurely. I prefer delta one stuff for day trading so no options. That said, I do use VXAPL (the VIX index specific to AAPL) and AAPL implied volatility ratios to gauge sentiment on big tech so I win more than I lose on the day trading

>> No.55037932

>>55037795
nakadashi

>> No.55037933

>>55037837
Gains?

>> No.55037954

>>55037837
>tip them $200
>tip 200 for the CHANCE to fuck
no nigger, just go all out and get hookers on SA.
you can literally bang a hot ass clown bitch with big tiddies, and you’re paying a few hundred, but only when the service has already been provided.
What you posted is cringe, t b h

>> No.55037977

>>55037827
>ARKK is a listed bubble
LMAO
some nigger on here had definitely got caught on the ARKK hype back in 2020 or 2021 and was shilling all of Cathie Madoff’s funds

>> No.55037978

>>55037925

can you show your indicators fren

>> No.55037988
File: 33 KB, 750x520, 1684626415278804.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55037988

>>55037837
I'm going to start doing this.

>> No.55038008

fuck nick hers

>> No.55038029

>>55037245
It will be really bullish, trust me anon. Stocks only go up.

>> No.55038040

>>55037837
>$200 for a chance
tinder is for women what qbittortent is for movies. pussy has never been so effortless and easily obtained since grug would haul away some to his cave. no improvements needed.

>> No.55038050

>>55038040
>t. hasn't used Tinder in the last 10 years

>> No.55038128

>>55037988
doing what? tipping $200 in desperate hopes that it’ll drop some panties?

>>55038040
>$200 for a chance
exactly this.
I know you guys are pretty autistic here, but here’s a tip:
don’t fucking tip $200, nigger

>> No.55038150

>>55038128
It's either that or dating apps. Bars wouldn't work.

>> No.55038190

>>55038150
Hookers, nigger, hookers.

>> No.55038209

>>55038190
Not a degenerate, sorry.

>> No.55038228
File: 645 KB, 3838x1077, some_indicators.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038228

>>55037978
Here's some to get you started. I'm a sentiment trader who trades contrary to derivative markets since it's believed most options traders lose. Options are zero sum. For every winner there is a loser and when the bulk of options traders are on one side in the extreme that side is by necessity wrong. Equities are positive sum due to expanding economy, dividends, etc. so even if equities traders are "wrong" they can just buy the market and hold long enough to eventually be right so trading contrary to the equity market means you may not be able to hold the trade long enough to be right. Hence my approach
On the left is the SPY IV term structure. Look for extremes. Comparing the chart to SPY will make the relationship obvious. On the right are 4 sample indicators. Clockwise from top left is the VIX6M/VIX ratio. This doesn't trend so the horizontal lines are good spots to make note of extreme readings. Next is MMTH/VIX. MMTH is the percentage of stocks in the S&P above their 200 day moving average. Bottom right is the 10 day moving average of the inverse Put/Call Ratio. If you don't difference the series to detrend it you can use a longer moving average and look for 2 standard deviations above or below it for extreme readings. Bottom left is the inverse spread between junk bond interest rates and treasuries of the same duration. When this blows out sentiment is distinctly negative. When it goes to an extreme, a reversal is coming. The list on the right is some economic indicators I like and a few other sentiment indicators I check
Some think all these amount to the same thing. That is wrong. They all need to line up
Note most of these indicators trend so it's helpful to use more elaborate mathematical massaging of the date i.e. de-trending by differencing the series. I use a spreadsheet set for this purpose. Also, you have to read these correctly. Check SSRN for thoughts on how to do this
This isn't everything but it'll get you started on the right foot

>> No.55038227

>>55038190
>n*gger
you cant post that word here. it's not allowed

>> No.55038299
File: 715 KB, 1125x850, 1683933158104064.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038299

>>55038228
right... backwardation... how interesting

>> No.55038350

>>55038228
>>55038299
Something I track with a spreadsheet but I think is important enough to mentioned is when the standard deviation of the 10 day moving average of the VIX is 0.89 or less that's been a 100% accurate reliable indicator of a large VIX spike so going long VIX futures at those times is indicated. It's all a lot to take in but pretty soon with practice it's all second nature and intuitive. There isn't much retail can do to get a reliable edge but tracking sentiment and fading extremes seems to be one of them

>> No.55038383

>>55038350
One last thing then I'm going to bed. You'll notice I never mention price and I don't use price in any of my indicators. This is because price does not reliably mean revert at all and it doesn't follow a normal distribution. This is why buy the dip works great until it doesn't. Sentiment on the other hand is very mean reverting and follows a standard distribution making it useful as a reliable indicator of market direction. At least it has up to now. No guarantees and no refunds

>> No.55038393

Want to get back into swing-trading after a 2 year hiatus, thinking of doing SOXL when it goes back down. Thoughts?

>> No.55038401

So when do we get rugged? Can I buy rug-proof boots?

>> No.55038417
File: 2.65 MB, 498x326, 1682031767191783.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038417

>Missed the SOXL 30x pump edition

>> No.55038424

Anons my girlfriend is white, we have been dating for a year and a half. I was thinking about proposing this year and having kids next year. But she thinks she is now pregnant. Please advise. She is baby crazy and doesn’t use birth control and the last few times we have had sex she has told me to cum inside her (I don’t use condoms just pull and pray).
I just started making good money and only have about $200k invested and a house. What do anons

>> No.55038457

>>55038424
fornication is a sin. you have to marry her

>> No.55038468

>>55038457
I mean that was the goal the whole time.

>> No.55038472
File: 104 KB, 444x584, 4 genki raccoon.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038472

>>55036725
>>55037313
anime posters are based.
that said treasuries are not the answer unless you're like a 70yr old boomer or know the economy gonna crash forcing the fed to cut.

this is /smg/ not /tbg/

>> No.55038480

>>55038424
Are you White? You're not miscegenating are you, anon?

>> No.55038487

>>55038480
Yes I am white, I am mostly french, she is German and some Eastern European.

>> No.55038494
File: 1.45 MB, 1080x1344, 1678686036497127.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038494

>>55038424
just keep going? you want to marry her, go be a family man nigga

>> No.55038506

>>55038487
Then go for it my man
Nothing wrong with a woman wanting babies

>> No.55038542

>>55038494
wew lad

>> No.55038632

>>55036571
It's stupid because boil always goes down in the summer because it's fucking hot and you don't need natgas in the summer. BOIL's seasons are supposed to be fall (forward looking market) and winter.

However the next 4 years are projected to be the warmest on record so KOLD and buying the KOLD dip is the only decent play.

If you like to observe markets you will see that the natgas market tends to follow the oil market so around June 7th or so is where the little pump we're having for the next 2 weeks violently and catastrophically reverses. Sell in May isn't because May is necessarily a bad month for stocks, but because it precedes June- which is when people ACTUALLY sell off en mass and fuck off for the summer.

>> No.55038660
File: 28 KB, 682x495, Natural gas seasonality.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038660

>>55038632
Yes, it averages about a 7.5% heeming from June into July.

>> No.55038746
File: 179 KB, 1190x1487, 1658123832562760.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038746

>>55038472
Anime is based
but you can leverage up treasuries a lot

>> No.55038747 [DELETED] 
File: 224 KB, 1280x1781, 1406.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038747

>>55038472
oh wow the yotsuposters are back

I have heard things. That the fed will be forced to cut. That many are short treasuries. That it is underowned. That it has real potential.

But I am too much of a brainlet

>> No.55038763 [DELETED] 
File: 154 KB, 800x1000, sample-2d1fa0022bb55bf710aa534b444ebf14.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038763

Thread needs some AI lolis because NVDA also fuck jannies and gookmoot

>> No.55038770 [DELETED] 
File: 103 KB, 666x1000, sample-66d161bad743e948509bf0cddfb42eec.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038770

.

>> No.55038778 [DELETED] 
File: 136 KB, 750x1000, sample-f685c4726f27538f21dd7abd25308d95.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038778

Uoh

>> No.55038783 [DELETED] 

>>55038763
>>55038770
>>55038778
based

>> No.55038788 [DELETED] 
File: 464 KB, 1024x1408, 02483-2273150812.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038788

>> No.55038791

>>55038227
shut up, nigger

>> No.55038796 [DELETED] 
File: 190 KB, 1024x1280, 20230503174339-Iwantobesatisfied.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038796

>> No.55038801

>>55037925
>>55038228
>>55038350
>>55038383
Thanks, saved for future reference. Been schizing out over on /pol/ need to sleep. Thanks again fren. I'll do some reading this week

>> No.55038803 [DELETED] 

>>55038770
>>55038778
nakadashi

>> No.55038808 [DELETED] 

>>55038796
nakadashi

>> No.55038810 [DELETED] 
File: 91 KB, 768x960, 02969-1275057042-,_,_(Subsurface_scattering),_(Professionally_graded_erotic_photograph_with_Low_direct_spotlights_1.1),_(Detailed_Backyard_Kiddi.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038810

>> No.55038813 [DELETED] 

>>55038746
nakadashi

>> No.55038816 [DELETED] 
File: 439 KB, 512x768, 00157-3260801916.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038816

>> No.55038822 [DELETED] 

>>55038810
nakadashi

>> No.55038827 [DELETED] 

>>55038816
nakadashi

>> No.55038830
File: 277 KB, 1237x1416, 1675562890710126.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038830

Jannie ant going to like this
hope hes getting weekend pay

>> No.55038835

>>55038830
I heard they get time and a half on weekends :^)

>> No.55038836 [DELETED] 
File: 1.96 MB, 2067x3017, IMG_20220718_072031.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038836

>>55038830
She does, I heard it's double what she normally gets

>> No.55038845
File: 164 KB, 830x614, 1661563084935818.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038845

>>55038830
>weekend pay
time and a half i'm sure

>> No.55038847 [DELETED] 
File: 1.76 MB, 2732x2048, 44260ce999c142de9a2c2798d19a8f58.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038847

>>55038835
Kek beat me to it
Last one for now, I'll be back soon janny make sure you file taxes on that salary

>> No.55038862 [DELETED] 
File: 351 KB, 1300x1035, 1594262811340.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038862

>>55038835
>>55038845
I normally hate everyone on smgay but you guys are alright

>> No.55038866
File: 69 KB, 491x368, thesquad.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038866

>>55038228
>>55038350
*WHAM WHAM WHAM*
This is the Mossad, open up.

>> No.55038913

>>55037977
I bought LEAPs on ARKK at the top

>> No.55038929

>>55038913
omg that sounds fucking awful.
how much cash did you put on those LEAPs?

>> No.55038936

>>55038913
still holding my SOXL and TQQQ bags, btw

>> No.55038970
File: 104 KB, 444x584, haz genki raccoon.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55038970

>>55038747
Not sure about the other 1-3 yotsuposters. I was away mainly because sitting on HYSA cash made more than selling naked cash covered puts and covered calls. Also crabbing markets are the best time to accumulate more stocks via income from work.

>>55038746
To each their own. I'm too LT bullish and it doesn't fit my timeline. My extra cash is going to hysa since they are paying close to but i prefer the flexibility. If Fed cuts then I won't have a lock rate, but I'll be using those funds to buy stocks then.

>> No.55038977

>>55038936
Always thought SOXL was an /smg/ shill. Holding 3x leverage doesn't usually work well in the long run unless it's the ones based off indexes like TQQQ or UPRO

>> No.55039020

>BIDEN WON'T ACCEPT 'WISH LIST' OF GOP PRIORITIES: WHITE HOUSE

So who's ready for the default, unless those jewish donors force both sides to agree on raising the ceiling?

>> No.55039060

>>55038862
God, I wish I was the bottom one
Opinion on ATVI?

>> No.55039220

>>55036544
who let the fucking woman in on this secret meeting

>> No.55039253
File: 227 KB, 789x561, Fwl-nHHXoAAwqK8.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039253

Dip status: slurped

>> No.55039260

>>55036595
Insiders sold more than $600m of their shares lmao.

>> No.55039275

>>55037635
nope. i dont get to have that ticker

>> No.55039292

>>55038401
Wait for people to stop asking if it's safe to short NVDA. That's when the rug will be pulled

>> No.55039324
File: 15 KB, 512x352, 1658434852634948.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039324

>>55039260
NVDA CEO announced few days ago is cutting his own salary because their GPU sales are dogshit, every analyst under the sun has an average of like $350 price target while insiders are literally unloading bags the last few weeks.
NVDA at current valuation would mean they have 40% of the whole semi market. complete delusion. lol, lmao even.
this will be the easiest earnings play of the year

>> No.55039332
File: 79 KB, 680x636, 1684175707012023.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039332

>>55039324
Just short it then bobo.
Go for it. Do it.
I bet you'll win biggly

>> No.55039343
File: 108 KB, 502x470, 1661785783011588.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039343

>>55039332
I have opened shorts on Friday my little delusional bulltard
will build it up until Wednesday earnings.

>> No.55039388
File: 26 KB, 399x450, 2218c33475d62d15669cfadfacede2d1a47bdc50v2_00.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039388

>>55036544
My only two positions have been crabbing for like 9 months now. I can't remember what it feels like to make money.

>> No.55039395

>>55039324
Good luck man. People have been trying to short it since 200 and now it's 310

>> No.55039404

Debt/Inflation ratio lengthens or shortens the timespan that is applicable to a stock's growth potential which influences it's current valuation

Prove me wrong

>> No.55039409

i have a good idea for scalping but i cant code it

>> No.55039419

Guys what do you think about this?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vulcan_Energy_Resources

Their market cap right now is 400 million euro which seems ridiculously low for what they are planning to do

>> No.55039473

>>55039419
>2025-2026: Planned future production and operations
>Vulcan's first production round is planned for 2025 with a production volume of up to 15,000 tons of lithium hydroxide
so they are burning cash for at least the next 2-3 years. if they survive this tightening cycle and possible recession then they (maybe) make profit and you (maybe) have a moon shot after having locked in your money for the coming years.

>> No.55039515

>>55039473
Yeah I'm banking on the moonshot, their market cap should be in the billions. They already have delivery contracts with the 2 biggest european car manufacturers and LG, it's also cheaper than lithium from latin america and much easier logistically. And it's an australian company who are by far the biggest exporters of lithium, so they should know their shit

>> No.55039566
File: 486 KB, 3841x1758, 1680764887965238.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039566

>>55037103
>Hopefully I can figure out how to win a few points each day by the time I have cash to throw in again.
I feel like a few EMAs and the stoch RSI on the M15 or M30 is awesome for a few points every day. Nothing complicated technically. The major difficulty is to be patient and take profit, instead of sperging and lose it all.

>> No.55039663

>>55039324
market can stay irrational longer than you can blah blah blah

>> No.55039694

>>55039663
thats not how earnings work

>> No.55039718

>>55039694
idk, earnings can be a big clown show these days, I wouldn't be surprised if NVDA could pump despite disappointing earnings just by saying "AI" enough times

>> No.55039775

>>55039718
earnings are always good reality checks. combined with bad forward guidance the hopium will be completely destroyed, doesn't matter if he repeats AI after each sentence in the earnings call.
everybody knows AI is massive but people are years too early and more importantly we're not in a growth environment. semis are still cyclical - AI doesn't change this fact.
literally don't fight the fed (except when it goes up, then fight the fed as hard as you can like this year)

>> No.55039783

>>55036639
I feel so much better knowing I ordered enough greek to last me two days for the same price as your pizza.

>> No.55039903

>>55039775
You're way too confident that things will play out logically. You're dealing with the most hyped stock for the company best positioned for the current overhyped new paradigm in a market that would prefer not having to put its money anywhere else. Your bet is much less safe than you think.

>> No.55039913

>>55039775
>everybody knows AI is massive but people are years too early and more importantly we're not in a growth environment.
People have been saying this since last year. Everyone knows AI is fleeting mist and that earnings will be shit but the market will not necessarily stop the music because of that. I don't hold a position but may build up a short in the coming few months, not yet.

>> No.55039924

>>55039913
I bet nvda rallies no matter what after earnings just to heem puts. I'll probably enter then or if they have a big rally Monday

>> No.55039933

>get 5%+ risk free from treasuries
what's the point of holding anything else at the moment?

>> No.55039939
File: 157 KB, 311x769, Test 5-18-2023.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039939

Kek next salary hike is round the bend; July 28th is when it shows up. Pension - Jacked 5%, 401k contributions - Jacked 5%, Emergency Fund - Jacked 5%. Remainder is just there for whatever. If I'm reading the hints and whatnot right I think I'll be getting another fat salary hike in 2024 to. (State income tax rate falls again in 2024 so that'll make my salary go up a bit more to)

>> No.55039948

>>55039903
opened my shorts at $315 I'm literally 0% worried. I've rode the wave from $120 to $270 then sold and its just gotten more insane since then, so I'm taking the shot

>> No.55039974

>>55039924
There are still a shitton of cocky bears who think they can time the collapse. I'm looking for absolute bull certainty before shorting.

Even if they drop 5% now they can still recover quickly. This charade can go on until winter.

>> No.55039991
File: 50 KB, 600x600, 1671485669080292.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55039991

>>55039939
>DIS

>> No.55040021

Debt ceiling fight those fucks have a few options:
1. Do nothing and let it happen - Worst thing to happen, not only would the economy,stock market tank,etc but they'd get the boot from office for sure by the voters. So yeah this won't happen.
2. Do a deal - High chance this happens. Both sides eat a bit of shat over it but a deal gets done.
3. A band-aid deal - They do a short term deal where they say ok we'll do a deal till xx.xx.2023 date to allow a more agreeable plan to get worked up. - Allows everyone to save face and avoid any negative shat to happen. Highly unlikely this happens. Republicans would lose their advantage to get cuts now. Also the 2024 election attack ads wouldn't get any more ammo for both sides to use.

>> No.55040054
File: 567 KB, 1603x902, ytd.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040054

>>55039913
>Everyone knows AI is fleeting mist and that earnings will be shit but the market will not necessarily stop the music because of that.
NVDA is the leader of this AI bubble with the best performance ytd. the music will stop as soon as NVDA cracks. who will hold up? the other 90% of companies sitting at the October lows magically getting a bid? this cluster of a handful of companies will not end well if the leader cracks (picrel is ytd performance)

>> No.55040160

>>55040021
they will not default but maybe we see a technical default like in 2011, meaning they miss a bond payment to holders of treasuries for a day or so if they can't come to an agreement.
just a tactic to put up even more pressure on the other party.. credit default swaps are on 2011 levels too, so we might see the 2011 playbook once again

>> No.55040259

>>55039933
Beating inflation is the point, treasuries still let your capital's value melt away, just not as quickly as cash.

>> No.55040490
File: 59 KB, 900x900, 1684001215486801.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040490

>>55040054
How the fuck are we in a bull market propped up by pure bullshit speculation lads?

>> No.55040533

is there a way to watch the full Musk interview on CNBC but outside the USA

al i see is the fragments like this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6pLLVqqF8VA

>> No.55040539
File: 516 KB, 2065x414, 1658754776296722.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040539

lol

>> No.55040644
File: 61 KB, 1006x836, 1671663755398812.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040644

Alright lads i agreed to come in to work today. It will be dead so instead of sitting on computer browsing here at home i will be sitting on computer browsing here at work.
>>55040539
>baseless

>> No.55040650

>>55040490
There's a bunch of money gotta go somewhere and not enough panic

>> No.55040704
File: 56 KB, 824x1024, heardeeznuts.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040704

>>55040644
that's nice

>> No.55040767
File: 117 KB, 200x195, IMG_6145.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040767

>>55038350
>>55038228
>>55037925
>>55037769
>>55037678
I wish I was smart enough to understand what the fuck you’re saying so I could either implement or refute. But I can’t. Godspeed anon

>> No.55040797
File: 355 KB, 2048x1724, 1485841953097.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040797

>>55040533
>nooo you have to come to the office because... you just have to

>> No.55040826

what the fuck is happening in here

>> No.55040843

>>55040826
>jannies still haven't dealt with the AI loli lewds
uh... new paradigm, long NVDA

>> No.55040997
File: 198 KB, 921x494, NVDABUY.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55040997

I am buying NVDA, how could you tell?

>> No.55041053

>>55040997
if only stock market gains translated into muscle gains

>> No.55041058
File: 38 KB, 310x326, 1668634050850869.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041058

>Mr. Biden said at a press conference with reporters at the Group of Seven, or G-7, meeting in Japan that there are logistical challenges to invoking the amendment in time to avert a default.
>“I’m looking at the 14th Amendment as to whether or not we have the authority — I think we have the authority,” Mr. Biden said. “The question is, ‘Could it be done and invoked in time that it would not be appealed, and as a consequence past the date in question and still default on the debt?’”

>> No.55041081 [DELETED] 
File: 64 KB, 495x619, tqqq.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041081

can you imagine where we could fucking go with tqqq and this retard ai bubble

>> No.55041097

>>55041058
it's crazy how the civil servants themselves don't even know if their own rules apply lol. The guy has been a bureaucratic NPC for 80 years already and he is still guessing lol

>> No.55041154
File: 4 KB, 209x241, 1668219202782690.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041154

>>55041097
forcing the debt ceiling is the worst he can do, but if he already thinks and publicly said it the deal is probably nowhere near done

>> No.55041166

Can your strategy really be nullified by just you using it due to your small influence in the market? Or is that mainly for popular strategies?

>> No.55041219

Sigh retirement is still round 13 years away. But on the flip side of that I've already got a spending plan worked up for when that glorious day comes. Accounting for inflation, while obscene now, will be considered "cheap" in 13 years (sad isn't it?) ($600 a month grocery bill for ex) I'll still have a surplus of funds on my pension alone. House will be paid off in 5 years after I retire so that'll free up even more green.

>> No.55041233

>>55041058
What does this mean for my portfolio? Melt up? That would good I like when we melt up.

>> No.55041244
File: 3.17 MB, 1536x2048, 1679353854007679.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041244

>>55039020
It's Congress's job to write budgets. The president isn't supposed to have any say in it. What he's doing is a really unprecedented power grab.

>> No.55041257

>>55041219
You’ll be poor like everyone else when your fixed income won’t allow for you to even afford golf clubs

>> No.55041296
File: 1.92 MB, 1137x1600, 1682237355179716.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041296

>>55040704
It is

>> No.55041300
File: 41 KB, 720x731, 1684531860597414.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041300

>National Review articles on the front page of HN
the pendulum is swinging back HARD

>> No.55041311
File: 162 KB, 1125x1120, 1671762054516860.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041311

>>55041233
yes massive meltup. I would go all-in

>> No.55041327
File: 189 KB, 546x500, 1684679773493126.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041327

>>55041311
Don't mind if I do. Now today might have to be a Mickey D's for lunch kinda Sunday

>> No.55041399
File: 81 KB, 600x400, Oz-Clarke-How-to-Taste-Wine-tasting.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041399

oi chaps

how do i buy SOXL if oim from the UK

i swear on me mums life i wanna put me king charlies in, both bollocks out

>> No.55041461
File: 253 KB, 415x450, ffff.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041461

Debt Default is boolish. Look at this year? BAD news has been rocket fuel for the stock market. This is the trend this year. Everytime a bank failed QQQ made higher highs! This is not a market that wants to FALL..

Unironically if us defaulted on their debt everyone would rush into assets. reigniting inflation and we will probably see a melt up.
No one would want to stay in the DOLLAR because US just defaulted.

>> No.55041469
File: 371 KB, 1208x1302, 1684681938210950.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041469

There was a schizo-tier post I saw a while back, saying that Biden was planning to cause a default as a sort of Reichstag Fire to seize power, except now the schizo post is coming true.

>> No.55041477

>>55041300
HN?
Not familar with that term.
But
>National Review
Worst type of neocons
Bushite shabbos goy

>> No.55041485
File: 908 KB, 4032x3024, meds_irl.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041485

>>55041469
Here ya go anon we can share.

>> No.55041496

>>55041477
It's tech söy central, based in SF.

>> No.55041502
File: 120 KB, 2522x110, Screen Shot 2023-05-21 at 11.21.37 AM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041502

>>55039260
>Insiders sold more than $600m of their shares lmao.
>>55039324
>insiders are literally unloading bags the last few weeks.
i dont see where insiders are selling that much on NVDA. these are the only insider trades in the past ~2 months

>> No.55041531

>>55037769
>I don't have to cover since I'm shorting futures contracts directly. However on up days when SVIX adds exposure, I also add exposure. I get all the upside of the compounded leverage without the volatility decay downside
You could just buy more SVIX for your own portfolio when they rebalance and reduce their ETF exposure during drawdowns, thus maintaining your own total exposure and side stepping the vol decay that the ETF itself experiences.
Whenever you're using leverage, there comes a point where you risk forced rebalancing - in other words margin calls. That is where the real vol decay kicks in. You have no choice but to accept the permanent impairment, whether in a leveraged ETF or holding your own leveraged position on margin. Outside of a margin call, you will always have the option to scale up if you choose to. Vol decay is a personal choice.

As for your other comment on the maturity dates, I agree thats a rel problem with leveraged ETFs that operate against futures contracts. In particular, their large allocations and specific roll timing leads to some regular frontrunning. I've noted this very problem in popular leveraged commodity ETFs like BOIL. In general, it's always better to trade the futures contracts/options directly.

However, none of that touches on the particular flaws important to major stock/index leveraged ETFs. They suffer their own tracking errors, the black box total return swaps with obscured margin expense, the management fee, and any other hidden fees.
There are also creation/redemption costs that must be dealt with when trading leveraged ETFs. In general, you'll end up buying above NAV and likely selling below NAV.
Finally, like all ETFs they're holding an index which contains winners and losers. Sometimes when the trade is obvious it makes more sense to just buy the individual winners on margin - NVDA stands out as a recent example, crushing SOXL as it floats to the moon on its own cushy bubble of infinite AI potential

>> No.55041569
File: 104 KB, 525x415, 2023-05-21 17.32.33.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041569

>>55041502

>> No.55041609
File: 112 KB, 225x225, 1684683600026.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041609

>>55041569
why would you dump your stock at these low low prices

>> No.55041625
File: 88 KB, 363x475, thinker.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041625

>>55036654
>pay your parking ticket at a .com
Is this a scam? Like how difficult could it be to print out slips of paper with a link to your own site and collect $40 periodically from people who just pay it because the amount is under their threshold of caring?

>> No.55041626

>>55041569
>>55041569
that's the past 24 months, or 2 years. there has not been much insider selling *recently* at all

>> No.55041628
File: 82 KB, 652x448, 1679340916438360.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041628

What was shown for movie night last night? Bachelor party went ok. I'm quickly realizing it and so are my normalfag friends that I'm becoming less and less capable of hanging with those type of people anymore and I can largely just be a dick now. At least I recognized it too so that's a plus. Hopefully I don't have too many social engagements in the future. I'd rather just hang out here. This place has ruined me and made me completely dependent on it.

>> No.55041632

>>55041569
>>55041502

http://openinsider.com/screener?s=NVDA&o=&pl=&ph=&ll=&lh=&fd=730&fdr=&td=0&tdr=&fdlyl=&fdlyh=&daysago=&xp=1&xs=1&vl=&vh=&ocl=&och=&sic1=-1&sicl=100&sich=9999&grp=0&nfl=&nfh=&nil=&nih=&nol=&noh=&v2l=&v2h=&oc2l=&oc2h=&sortcol=0&cnt=100&page=1

>> No.55041636

>>55041628
blood diamond 2006 suposedly

>> No.55041638

>>55041626
that's like their entire board selling, has anybody on their board bought?

>> No.55041639

>>55041628
That's the depression talking.

>> No.55041641

>>55041628
Rocker you should try quitting 4chan for a couple months. I've been doing it sometimes during my phd and it was really eye opening how much of my time it was sucking away. It's been really good for me.

>> No.55041642
File: 56 KB, 1328x304, Screenshot 2023-05-21 at 08-44-57 NVDA - Nvidia Corp - SEC Form 4 Insider Trading Screener - OpenInsider.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041642

>>55041632
Look at these idiots who sold for pennys on the dollar.

Buy Low Sell Low..

This tells me insiders have no idea what is going on with their own company...

BOOLISH!!!!!!!

>> No.55041653

>>55041628
but did you brag about your big dick gains?

>> No.55041666

>>55041626
anon they are obviously not day trading this shit

>> No.55041684
File: 440 KB, 2484x414, Screen Shot 2023-05-21 at 11.49.57 AM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041684

>>55041632
>>55041666
these are all the insider trades for 2023. its not really that much outside of Mark Stevens

>> No.55041689
File: 525 KB, 736x813, 1664926181928164.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041689

>be director
>receive stock compensation
>sell a small portion of the total stock you own for money
>bears scream about how bearish it is you aren't holding and buying more

>> No.55041697

>>55041684
now check the buys for the last 2 years.. oh wait there are none

>> No.55041699
File: 36 KB, 625x626, 1684559419754810.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041699

>>55041689
>small

>> No.55041704

>>55041641
>you should try quitting 4chan for a couple months
>quitting 4chan
My friend this defies the laws of physics and is not possible
>>55041653
None of them invest, they all just have 401k's and have no idea what's in them. I talked stocks with my friends boomer dad for a little bit that was sort of the highlight of the night. It was overall a good time I'm just a bit overwhelming to normalfags. I feel like that's how most people here would be too though.

>> No.55041707

>>55041697
Why buy when the shares are gifted for free?

>> No.55041723
File: 3.92 MB, 448x231, 1339001722002.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041723

>pre-futures

>> No.55041744

>>55041689
people who talk about insider trades have no idea how companies work. As expected of smg

>> No.55041757

>>55041744
Pat Gelsinger is buying INTC shares so this must be bullish

>> No.55041780

>>55041707
someone needs to gift/transfer the shares to you who owns them. its not like they create it out of nowhere

>> No.55041787
File: 58 KB, 370x408, bobobuffett.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041787

Oil and gas stocks are held up by buffett and munger. Once they are gone berkshire will go full bud light and the energy sector will implode. Coincidentally it will blow up around same time crypto goes bust causing techfags to see what real hyperinflation looks like and programmer/AI scammers will miss the days of silent gen'ers calling bitcoin trash.

>> No.55041817
File: 278 KB, 1354x873, amd short call options rolling wheel.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041817

>>55036927 >>55037006 >>55037076
>>55037142 >>55037290 >>55037415
>>55037501 >>55037678 >>55037769
>>55037925 >>55038228 >>55038350
>>55038383
Not necessarily trying to be a dick here,
but the complexity of your posts are incredibly appealing to midwits as such personality types are naturally attracted to.
Could you share some of your actual trading results? Like a little screenshot of your trades history? Entries, exits, timestamped? Maybe a graph of your P&L?
You're way beyond the threshold of giving away too much for free if any of it would be working. :^)

>> No.55041819
File: 157 KB, 600x854, 1614713292200.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041819

>>55041704
>I feel like that's how most people here would be too though
Yeah, my friends are very probably tired of me bitching about taxes and the globalhomo.

>> No.55041825

>>55041787
with the amount of money spent on combined dividends and buybacks in the sector you are talking about evaluating oil and gas as something less than even Altria. What do you want? 14% returns?

>> No.55041827

I AM FALLING
I AM FADING
I HAVE LOST IT ALL

>> No.55041840

>>55041819
The good news is they are all far right trump voters. They aren't 4chan level redpilled, but they definitely aren't asleep at the wheel. It was actually quite refreshing to be able to shoot the shit with a bunch of people and not have to walk on eggshells wondering if some tranny lover is going to get offended. It felt like an /smg/ meet up with a lot less lanklets.

>> No.55041846

>>55041697
>now check the buys for the last 2 years.. oh wait there are none
that much is true, no insiders have bought for a long time

>> No.55041876
File: 223 KB, 723x901, 1670869872406424.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041876

>>55041817
saw this anon larping as algo trader in the past about one strategy with leading indicators for lumber/gold, 200 ma, s&p and utilities he read in some scientific papers.
I implemented and back tested on a shit ton of time frames and indices according to the rules in pic and it was always a losing strat.
looks like he's now larping as muh contrarian/sentiment/volatility trader

>> No.55041916

>>55041684
What the FUCK is Mark's problem?

Does he not believe in the future of AI?

>> No.55041971
File: 195 KB, 798x770, Multiple laughing Pepes.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041971

>MARICOPA COUNTY, Ariz. - Maricopa County health officials have confirmed a new case of mpox, the first reported case of the disease since January.

>The person who was diagnosed with mpox is fully vaccinated, has mild symptoms and is recovering at home, the Maricopa County Department of Public Health said in a news release on May 19.

>Officials recommend taking precautionary measures against mpox, such as using sunscreen, following heat safety tips and staying informed on vaccines.
-https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/maricopa-county-reports-new-case-of-mpox

>>55039275
So, damn, maybe you can buy a company that makes sunscreen. Or prints brochures with heat safety tips.

>> No.55041979

>>55041971
gay people have things called bath houses where it's a couple dozen guys literally fucking and sucking, there's a reason why AIDS killed hundreds of thousands of them

>> No.55041988

>>55041979
>hundreds of thousands of them
Not enough

>> No.55041989
File: 48 KB, 2000x2000, 1593951750015.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55041989

>>55041971
siga sissies looks like we have a repeat of last year
remember when """suddenly""" even dogs got mpox? lol, lmao even

>> No.55042015

>>55041971
>precautionary measures against mpox, such as using sunscreen, following heat safety tips

HAHAHAHHAHAH fucking what? Literally don't be a degenerate and you won't get it holy fuck

>> No.55042049

>>55042015
They know fags aren't going to listen anyway, so they are just saying random shit.

>> No.55042079
File: 528 KB, 649x752, Margin Call - Very, very unique situation.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042079

>>55041979
>>55041989
Here's the wild thing: with these Phoenix and Chicago cases, the infected people are fully vaccinated and (we're maybe a week from confirming this) still capable of spreading it. The vaccine just makes the symptoms milder. So that quarter of the, uh, "vaccine-eligible population" keeps it going without any need for hospitalization or TPOXX.

Which means we are taking a pox virus and going full Marek's disease with it.

>> No.55042086

Whats the debt default play? international stocks? and after default the bonds cause the rates will increase?

>> No.55042103

>>55041971
>is fully vaccinated
vaccinated against what?
wait a moment. are they trying to link the rona mystery juice to faggotpox now?
>as long as it is mRNA it is good for you
is this what they are aiming for?
>get your mRNA base shot now
>receive updates for any disease you might encounter in the future
or this?

>> No.55042110

>>55041166
We all live in separate hyperverse realities. I am an NPC in yours and you are an NPC in mine, this applies to everyone equally. The only difference in our realities are the small market adjustments the bogs make to btfo us no matter what we do. Sucks but that's how it goes

>> No.55042137
File: 49 KB, 509x339, ww2 RR.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042137

You guys better start buying RYCEY!

>> No.55042140

>>55041300
I remember when those nerds were hard left back in the early 2010s then the creep started and they got btfo at their little tech jobs for being the "wrong" color and sex. When that started happen en masse the tone of HN changed considerably and it's still shifting. dang seethes about it occasionally in his own little s*y boy way

>> No.55042141

>>55042103
They have a mpox vaccine they just didn't distribute it much because they were trying to hide any sign of mpox because the "good guys" won the election and there was no need to push fear tactics anymore. They'll either ignore mpox again, or they'll wait until 2024 and make it a massive crisis just before the election .

>> No.55042148
File: 2.81 MB, 480x270, 1684197271674147.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042148

>>55042079
sounds like siga and bava are on the menu again

>> No.55042150
File: 395 KB, 1080x1080, Vaccine'll just give the virus more chances to spread.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042150

>>55042103
Vaccinated against smallpox/monkeyp*x (the viruses are closely related). It's a traditional vax, not an mRNA one. But like the 'rona one it's supposed to be a 2 dose deal - however while 1/3 of the "eligible population" has taken it but only 1/4 had a second dose.

Like the other vaccines it's also not perfect:
>“Vaccine effectiveness estimates from these studies ranged from 36% to 75% for one dose and 66% to 86% for two doses of Jynneos vaccine,”
-https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/18/health/mpox-vaccine-jynneos-results/index.html

>> No.55042158

>>55042086
if that happens a lot of government workers arent getting paid which works through in every sector/company.
So in the end anything but fiat cash. Gold/silver, houses, stocks, metals are all fine.

>> No.55042167

>>55042148
>Der Dämonenjude

>> No.55042192

>>55042141
Nah, remember the outbreak was last year and ended months before the midterm elections. It's not clear why the cases dropped off and people stopped getting dickbumps but they actually did (check post dates on /r/monkeyp*xpositive or Google Trends or international case numbers if you're doubtful).

Which means it could be seasonal with flare ups every summer, stamped out only with a fresh round of vaccines/natural immunity from infections, only stopped with "behavioral changes", or some combination of the three. The investment implications are obvious.

>> No.55042195
File: 4 KB, 249x201, 1666661905999710.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042195

>Everyone was short
>We squeezed up to liquidate overleveraged bears

>Now everyone expects a new meltup

I honestly can't figure out if it's now a bull trap, or a new paradigm.

>> No.55042212

>>55042195
>I honestly can't figure out if it's now a bull trap, or a new paradigm.
both

>> No.55042213

>>55042195
The perfect environment to hedge your bets with 50% TQQQ, 50% SQQQ.

>> No.55042221

>>55042192
Well america isn't going to get less faggy so I would expect cases to continue to climb. So maybe it's time to load some coal into the SIGA engine and start part 2.

>> No.55042232

>>55042192
>It's not clear why the cases dropped off
thats because the people getting infected were a very small portion of the population so it burned through really fast
hence it was a weird decision people made to go all in on the stock making the vaccine

>> No.55042253
File: 244 KB, 830x474, 1682620695073143.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042253

>>55042195
we reached a new paradigm within a bull trap

>> No.55042285

>>55041817
I haven't made any gains at all. All my posts are for entertainment value. :^)
>>55041876
I'm not the shill but I've read all the papers and some of the more obscure ones Michael Gayed has published. His ideas are interesting but most of his stuff underperforms the market with the possible exception of the lumber/gold and 200 sma strategy. The problem is psychological since implementing the strategies as described would involve a ton of chop at inflection points where you give back a lot of gains

>> No.55042296

>>55042232
On the fundamental revenue side, every government panicked and bought a million doses of TPOXX and Jynneos. On the speculative side, it was possible that a million doses wouldn't be nearly enough if it spilled over into straight people or kids.

So yeah, it burned through. But now it might be back, which would be a really fucked up game changer.

>> No.55042309

>>55041628
im a shut in sperg who hasnt had friends since high school(and even then i question if it was friendship, i only hung out with this group once or twice, the rest of the time we just talked on AIM). sometimes i regret not having tried harder to have a social life, but then i see posts like this and makes me think i didn't miss much

>> No.55042396
File: 126 KB, 1080x1344, 1684648087757762.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042396

>>55042086
Physical assets, shit's gonna get bumpy.

>> No.55042441
File: 734 KB, 595x564, 1640443564223.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042441

>>55042309
I understand. Bloomberg anon is my main steam squeeze but he's becoming a big time banker jew and doesn't have as much time to chit chat as he used to. You can add me to your steam friends list if you'd like

https://s.team/p/hqm-fvfd/CDMQHFQD

>> No.55042457

>>55042441
Different ID. Phishing for dox.

>> No.55042468

>>55042457
What do you mean?

>> No.55042478

What construction companies should I invest in with the expectation to win big contracts after the ukraine war is over?

>> No.55042484
File: 1.10 MB, 1919x1079, 1640312201784.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042484

>>55042457
Oh I get it, yeah I switched to my PC because I finally got out of bed

>> No.55042494

>>55042484
make a quick post from your other device

>> No.55042518

>>55042478
None, because none of us can invest in Russian companies.

>> No.55042526
File: 686 KB, 1085x852, 1634433073861.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042526

>>55042494
Done
(Phone posting)

>> No.55042566
File: 2.77 MB, 300x333, 1684626532483868.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042566

I honestly think we're all going to be walking around with AI earpieces in the next 5 years. How to profit?

>> No.55042572

>>55042566
watch Her

>> No.55042582
File: 50 KB, 515x515, 1575966670555.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042582

>>55042526
>phonefagging

>> No.55042589

>>55041840
Did any of us get brought up in conversation?

>> No.55042595

>>55042582
I'm trying to prove it's me fathands and schizo's think i'm phishing. kek nobody has to add me to their steam friends list I was just giving people the option

>> No.55042597

>>55042595
we know it's you lovebug

>> No.55042606

>>55042589
4chan? nah they are all older then me. Basically a bunch of country bumpkins in their 40's. Most of them don't even know how to use a computer

>> No.55042618

>>55042526
Post from one more device and I will be able to triangulate your exact location. Try one of your bad dragon toys with WiFi

>> No.55042639

>>55042618
Unfortunately I don't have another device. Just my PC and my phone. You'll have to work off the two I provided

>> No.55042645

>>55037416
I didn't. Did lose like $12, that was annoying.

>> No.55042657

>>55042566
Rewatch the Stargate SG1 about that, pretty sure there's at least one star trek episode that covers something similar.

>> No.55042660

>>55042478
Keep on eye on AECOM, ACFirst, and the old standbys, Halliburton and KBR. I am personally adding to my HAL position.

>> No.55042730

>>55042478
Check out this list and start watching their hiring sites. Companies like Fluor do construction but also keep in mind that services like laundry, trash removal, and food services will also be in demand. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Top_100_Contractors_of_the_U.S._federal_government

>> No.55042790
File: 2.95 MB, 237x329, 1676002955033537.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042790

I hate women.

>> No.55042806
File: 170 KB, 1000x1000, 1684612463546579.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042806

I feel bad for the Ukrainians, but the faggy NAFO shills make it impossible to like them. How do I profit from this, financially speaking, in the stock market?

>> No.55042814
File: 49 KB, 1024x576, _128395024_bbcmp_kazakhstan.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042814

>>55042790
How much?

>> No.55042866

>>55042806
I feel bad for them to but damn the whole fucking mess would've been long over with if we (U.S) hadn't stuck our noses into it. Or if the Russian army was a bit more competent. I mean hell its not a hard concept; take out Kyiv and the country falls.

>> No.55042889

>>55042806
>>55042866
>feeling bad for hohols
Because of the aid of the west it's basically just a bunch of Russians dying not Ukrainians. There is literally zero chance Russia takes Ukraine.

>> No.55042912
File: 36 KB, 1028x658, 1684351522197383.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55042912

>>55042889
Is there a way that Russia can just kill off every last NAFO discord tranny and leave the rest of Ukraine alone? I'll take that option, please.

>> No.55042966

>>55042889
More cute Russian waifus for the rest of us. I may purchase at least two Natashas for my haram. Russian men are shit tier anyway so let them die for nothing.

>> No.55042975

>>55042889
Plenty are dying on both sides (though neither is exactly transparent or reliable when it comes to casualty figures).

And in any case, dead Russians are a bad thing. It creates a puppet state for Xi that has oil, food, and plenty of intel from fighting the latest Western technology. Strategically, this war is a move on par with Napoleon selling us Louisiana.

>> No.55043003

>>55042866
Amen. Let the rest of the world burn, isolationism or bust. Maybe we can “protect” South America for resource interests but that’s about it

>> No.55043047

>>55042975
China isn't getting shit, if nothing else the US would control Russia once Putin is out of the picture. They'll put in some western friendly puppet president. Either way the hohols have superior weaponry because the US keeps sending them shit.

>> No.55043060
File: 84 KB, 1440x1244, 1657293034732.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043060

>BEIJING BANS MICRON AS SUPPLIER TO BIG CHINESE FIRMS, CITING NATIONAL SECURITY - WSJ.
decoupling bros..

>> No.55043094
File: 88 KB, 452x464, 1684294203564513.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043094

>>55043060
China is like 2/3 of their sales. RIP lmao.

>> No.55043125
File: 1.78 MB, 1920x799, Black Hawk Down Iraq line.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043125

>>55043047
>China isn't getting shit, if nothing else the US would control Russia once Putin is out of the picture. They'll put in some western friendly puppet president.

>> No.55043146
File: 136 KB, 1246x605, Who needs cash.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043146

>>55043094
>>55043060
Was trying to find their breakdown by country and holy moly this investor presentation https://investors.micron.com/static-files/a12c7220-a36c-482a-b441-8f41a148db35

>> No.55043173

>>55043125
weirdly relevant picture

>> No.55043179
File: 67 KB, 758x569, Screenshot_20230521_144626_YouTube.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043179

>Jim Cramer says "Brace yourself for week ahead."
You know I'm starting to feel a lot better about this whole thing.

>> No.55043200
File: 22 KB, 387x387, 1684651571381359.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043200

>>55043146
This is the culmination of a ~10 year chinese campaign to loot Micron and then crash it with no survivors. The old CEO, who was one of the founders, died in a plane crash and then was replaced with this jeet who is a senior member of the Chinese Society of Electrical Engineers. The jeet replaced all of the executives with his own hand picked team of jeets, then started replacing as many US employees with foreigners (chinks) and offshore workers as possible. He also made Micron completely dependent on chinese sales and pushed a bunch of woke bullshit. No surprise he's best buddies with Biden.

>> No.55043209
File: 137 KB, 659x692, 447.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043209

>AQB

>> No.55043211
File: 279 KB, 477x724, 1434864985879.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043211

>>55043200
>crash it with no survivors
>The old CEO, who was one of the founders, died in a plane crash

>> No.55043230

>>55043209
>AquaBounty Posts Lower Revenue, Pursues Growth Beyond Genetically Engineered Salmon

>Retailers such as Kroger and Amazon.com's Whole Foods have said over the years that they won't sell genetically engineered salmon. AquaBounty has noted retailer resistance and expressed more optimism about wholesale customers.

>The company said Thursday it is "moving forward in growth areas outside of GE salmon, including expansion of our conventional salmon egg and fry business and potential partnerships in conventional salmon farming outside of North America." It plans to provide an update in the near future.

Salmon eggs? Really?

>> No.55043249

>https://twitter.com/speakermccarthy/status/1660333255940243456

Anyone else think that maybe this time we default and its all planned for digital currency bullshit to come out?

>> No.55043253

>>55043230
Woeful news.
Or should I say...
ROEful news heheheh

>> No.55043258

>>55043249
'muh default' is just your typical brinkmanship bullshit holding public funding hostage to get what politicans want, it happens every year

>> No.55043270
File: 200 KB, 512x512, Laughing, knee slapping Nassim Taleb.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043270

>>55043253

>> No.55043275
File: 98 KB, 1024x1024, 1684626938598127.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043275

>>55043258
The more people say this, the more likely a default becomes.

>> No.55043292
File: 1.31 MB, 769x638, 1681849197038555.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043292

>>55043230
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

>> No.55043293

>>55043249
Maybe but the Democrats have no way of looking bad if they default because their entire ideology is based upon spending money we don't have. If we default it will be
>sorry no gibs for you, you can't thank the republicans
If they don't default the can say
>we fought for your gibs make sure to vote for us again
All the while they sink the US deeper into debt and continue to sink the ship.

>> No.55043300

>>55043249
>muh CBDCs
The 2010's Federal government couldn't put together a website for health insurance. The 2020's one is not going to be able to overhaul an entire currency and financial system.

>> No.55043333

>>55043300
>the government
It won't be the US government dictating it, it will be the WEF

>> No.55043347

>>55043333
That has the exact same implementation hurdles.

>> No.55043370

>>55043347
That's why Europe is the test market. They are pushover faggots though

>> No.55043442

Will semis finally get a red day?

>> No.55043468

I fucked up the bake, dont go to that thread

>> No.55043486
File: 416 KB, 220x220, 1684531607936976.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043486

>>55043442
Dunno, but MU is going to be filing for chapter 11 soon.

>> No.55043488

>>55042790
who is this guy and what's wrong with him?

>> No.55043523

>>55043486
How could the pelosis be wrong
Value bros wahdahek
How does nvda pump all the way to 160+ pe while micron bros dump below 6..

>> No.55043539

>>55043488
a game journalist who had a bad drug habit

>> No.55043545

>>55043523
MU's P/E is 48.

>> No.55043579

>>55043545
I didn't ask for the price target.

>> No.55043660

>>55040539
>CNN """reporting""" literal celebrity tabloid tier he-said she-said trash
I'm shocked

>> No.55043682

I want to start trading Japanese stocks. Give me some tips of Japanese companies with growth. I doesn't have to be companies listed on NYSE. I can buy from JP exchanges

>> No.55043692

>>55043682
I hear orientals eat a lot of rice.

>> No.55043710

>>55043682
I heard Jap exposure is a good way to ride the chink wave without directly getting exposure in chink shit. So maybe just buy Nikkei 225 to ride the wave.

>> No.55043715
File: 12 KB, 480x262, 1518030093609.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043715

>>55043682
Nintendo

>> No.55043758

No new bread? Is this the last ever /smg/? Its been fun bros....

>> No.55043767

>>55043765

>>55043765

>>55043765

>>55043765

>>55043765

>> No.55043889
File: 18 KB, 449x351, 1614160617586.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55043889

>>55041058
>could it be done in time
with 7 calendar days and the way the government operates i'm gonna go out on a limb and say no.

>> No.55044084

>>55043539
>a game journalist who had a bad drug habit
what's his name?