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SJIM Edition
HOLY SHIT THE YIELD CURVE
>>53972246>3750 is impossible!lmao
Can someone buy my PCT bags please.Also, Mike Taylor is a dumb person's idea of what a smart person sounds like.
Who is buying stocks?
>>53972255Someone needs to commission a manga about that poor anime maid.
I always stop posting after 250 posts.Feels like posting in an old stinky hag thread
TRKA men ... we are dying
>>53972269She's an honorary mascot at this point
Markets moved only because of EUR/USDAs europoor I'm down 0.33% today only despite my stocks losing much more in nominal USD value.
>>53972161Wouldn't half the fun be NOT knowing if you're going to see my BJC or not?>>53972180I thought it would be funny but maybe you're right. Back to square one I guess.
>>53972266Me
Anyone else buy fat hands bags hehe.... heh. I want to die
>>53972255at least the 30Y hasn't moved too much
>>53972279Should have gotten BOIL instead.
>>53972276That's fucking rude
>rocker is going to move his channel to fucking xvideoswow it's so joever. why not a real youtube alternative like odyssey, bitchute, lbry, hell maybe make a private vimeo account. xvideos, what a joke. cant even watch rocker at work anymore now fuck
>>53972279Looking at the chart I just assume it's a BOIL holding company.
>>53972295It did go from being above the 10 year to below it, causing it to become inverted
>>53972301Read it won't repost, lets see if it works.
>>53972266I'm making some very conservative, experimental purchases with a strictly limited capital allotment.
Someone convince me not to go all in JZXN
>>53972304you know what rocker maybe go all the way and just upload to fucking liveleakyeah that'd be fun
ASMB stock ladies!
>>53972324LiveLeak no longer exists bro
>>53972246who else made money today?I'm bout to run to Taco Bell. Yall want me to bring you back anything?
>>53972295>we humped 0.6% in two months>10Y is now above the 30Yholy shit we are so fucked lol
>>53972304We wants an excuse to show his dick
>>53972266They're easy to recognize. They look like picrel.
>>53972343Very nice, was that done with options?
It's crazy that SPY is still at like 399, 50bps hasn't been priced in yet clearly.The market has just now started pricing in the Fed funds rate.They must be having fun coping with the new prediction for the 24 march FOMC. Kek. Fucking nigger jews.I want to see TSLA and NVDA get fucking TORCHED. Maybe BTC will go back under 15k finally.
>>53972343Fucking Mr. Money Bags over here. Yeah, I'll take a Crunch Wrap Meal with Dr. Pepper. Thanks. :)
>>53972266people who are short covering
>>53972364Its going to be priced any day now. Just wait for 2 weeks
What level of kvetching is this?
Rocker if you upload videos on a porn site you are a dumbfuck.Use an actual YouTube alternative.
>>53972383Does Wall St still believe in a pivooooot after today?Fucking kike baggies LMFAO. These fucktards really just kept pumping TSLA, COIN and NVDA and other bankrupt shit like Silvergate and BBBY. Fucking faggots, time for heeming.Imagine how hard these kikes must be coping that their free money is over and the rates are still going up. The reality of no more pivoot is going to hit them on March 24. I hope the Shit + Piss goes to 3200 like Mike Wilson was saying.
>>53972343Kek based
>>53972388Not the 6 million pair of shoes!!!!
do you think the market will react in the same exact way to JPow saying the same exact thing tomorrow? Is it just gonna be a double down, or will some retard House rep question cause a reversal.
>>53972445I stopped reading after pivot, but to put it into perspective, would a 50 or even a 75er get the markets to lower lows?
>>53972246What the absolute fuck happened today, I came back home from work
>>53972364The problem is that half the market priced it in and the other half is coping that they will magically pivot and turn QE back on even with inflation being 50% higher than the interest rate
>>53972407I'm not posting my videos on a goddamn porn site you chuds, I was joking.
I wonder why airline stocks are up today: DAL, AAL or UAL.
>>53972466Elizabeth Warren crashed the market
>>53972466Algos and their owners took a congress remark to get a good price for their shorts
>>53972466Remember how people were coping that inflation was over and the fed would stop rising rates? Yeah they were dead wrong and hes raising rates even harder
>>53972364Bought 17 Tesla and will make $300 on it with a week, dude.
>“We have the setup for a recession unfolding,” Citadel founder Ken Griffin has said to Bloombergum bros, is it happening? If so this is incredibly and dangerously based.
>>53972466We do a little trolling.
>>53972343Nice. I will take a number 7 and a number 1. Baja Blast Mt Dew.
>>53972266>I'm buying high beta shit to hedge my net short portfolio. if some retard strength comes back from e.g. CPI then I make at least some money and protect my short positions. if it dumps I will print money anyway
>>53972491I will never get tired posting this
>The White House has backed the bill to strengthen US powers to ban TikTok, per Reutersbros 2023 is gonna be a wild fucking year holy shit
>>53972491Anyone who wasn't a complete retard knew every single thing they said about inflation cooling off, the fed pivoting, soft landing, and recession is over, was just a blatant lie to fool normalfag investors and make sure they got caught holding the bag.
>>53972343They still got those Dorito tacos? If so can I get a couple cool ranch, thanks.
>>53972483UAL is actually up 50% since October. I completely ignored those stocks assuming that people will stop flying due to difficult economic conditions. And yet UAL had good earnings in last 2 quarters
>>53972515I can only imagine what bullshit formula they are using to try and pretend inflation is under 5%
>>53972388Fucking kikes just sell the shoes lmao
>>53972529>difficult economic conditionsAnd I will not get tired posting this
>>53972515>using a college project for measuring inflation
>>53972515Maybe this will help
>>53972540>Implying they have a choice You don't think they want to? Their Jewish overlords said to eat the cost, so they'll be eating the cost.
>>53972541You can check it out, they use the same data as everyone else, just slightly different basketAlso, food inflation that the dems whined over is really at where they say it is, way more down than average core
>>53972560based mott capital attributer
>>53972466I sold
>>53972343I have the norovirus, so taco bell would kill me. But it sounds so good.
>>53972560Fucking kek
OUTTA MY WAY, MUMU SHITS
>>53972515>UHM ACTUALLY INFLATION IS REALLY ONLY AT 3.5% WHICH IS NOW ACTUALLY LOWER THAN OUR NEW INFLATION TARGET SO NOW WE WILL STIMULATE THE ECONOMY.
FUCK SILVERGATEFUCK CARVANAAND FUCK SBNY
>>53972491cramer literally twattered "its a bull market" while jewmedia heads invented no landing on the fly to hook some retards..and the funny part is it works every fucking time
>>53972567Well somebody's lying because food prices at the store aren't going down.
>>53972593>DUDE THE FED IS LYING THEY WANNA PRETEND INFLATION IS BAD SO THEY CAN RAISE RATES EVEN HIGHER
>>53972596I think people are just now realizing that "no landing" is incredibly bearish. JPowell will just hike and hike, mercilessly, without end.
>>53972593inflation trend down, monetary base down, disposable income up, lowest unemployment rate since 1969.and you cope with green texting like a 16 year old /b/tard
Why can’t the Fed just say they will raise rates at .25 until inflation is under control?Why all the secrecy and drama? What’s wrong with that? Is it too antisemetic?
>>53972616Dude core inflation just rose again
>>53972620They do. They've said that repeatedly. The market just doesn't believe them.
>>53972616You are going to be hanged.
>>53972620Because if 25 isn't enough they just cause stagflation
>>53972594Bobo gets his
>>53972601I cant say that. Food is significantly up compared to two years ago, but for the past 6 months I cant tell there was any price increases in my personal basket, some wares have become cheaper
>>53972485Lunatic+Corruption+Stupidity.
>>53972544You do know that RDPI says nothing about economic conditions right? It's just avg salary after taxes. Increased cost of living means that people have less money to spend on frivolous spending like travel.
>>53972616>inflation trend down, >lowest unemployment rate since 1969.Try to figure out why this doesn't make sense>disposable income up,fucking lmao
>>53972615No landing means we keep drilling until all money, stocks and bonds are negative
>Crude -3.835MM>Gasoline +1.840MM>Distillates +1.927MM>Cushing +0.024MM>Oil plunges from 77.40 to 77.15 on the news
The Mexican manlet navy chap is screaming downstairs
>>53972620They have hinted at that but they wont just up and say it because they do not want to be locked in on any one plan. They have to roll with the punches if they're doing their job right so they won't commit to anything, they will almost commit to something instead.
>>53972623yoy has been trending down consistently, mom has seen the usual seasonally bumps, and not even as bad as expected. Bears are coping too hard right now, worse than bulls in December 2021
>>53972615people forgot Jpow quoted Volcker at last year Jackson Hole when the big dump started to the Oct lowshe's not going in the history books as some weak ass Burns
>>53972630This. It takes a lot of counterintuitive thinking because pol has told everyone Jews are super smart, when in fact they're midwit niggers who relied on fake money since long before Jesus.Just look at that cunt baggot, he's slow AF. They're finding it tough to accept Black Betty man is not going to print them money anymore.
>>53972616go shill for Your Team (tm) somewhere else
>>53972644Sometimes I think the stupidity and lunacy are just to cover up the corruption.
>The gap between the 2-year Treasury yield and the 10-year rate has widened to 100 basis points. >This spread has not settled at levels this wide since September 22, 1981Oh dear, what will this mean in the long run?
>>53972616The unemployment numbers are skewed to hell though. A lot of people dropped out of the workforce for a long period of time which is why it looks low. Sure unemployment is low l, but also nobody is looking for work, so it's not really a genuine reading of unemployment
>>53972466>paying for unusual whalesembarrassing tbqh
>>53972674Didn't you read the thread? Inflation is over! The shills, I mean the jews, I mean the feds, I mean the glowies say that everything is fine goyim!
>>53972646That would mean that it would either have to be flat or keep going down, but its going up. That spending is coming back, for now some people spending less while having more disposable income is helping to keep inflation in its trend
>>53972682Yes
I shorted netease with leverage, if China pumps I die
>>53972682Labour participation has begun to rise again
>>53972674It means if you didn't buy SJIM today, it may be too late for you.
I will laugh if we actually do get a 75 or even 100 bps hike rate soon. Then markets shit themselves for not pricing in on time kek.
>>53972674it means great depression 2.0 is on the plate boys
>>53972246Just put everything into SQQQ
>>53972682Those people then have some other form of income to pay for their living expenses, and be it just being on a dole - keeps showing my point that the economy is just fine and the bottom has been in
>>53972544You will never be tired of self-owning huh. Sad to see people like you aren't getting the mental healthcare they deserve.
>>53972620That's one strategy. It sounds like Bostic supports something like that.A few decades ago, the Fed successfully defeated high inflation using a totally different strategy.There's an idiom for this, "grasping the nettle." The Fed (and maybe the US government generally) isn't very good at it anymore.
>>53972749you perma bears have been coping for 6 months. While everything is just fine
>>53972746>keeps showing my point that the economy is just fine and the bottom has been inOh boy, you're in for a rude awakening
>>53972724Extremely unlikely and also probably a bad idea. The reason that inflation got choppy is because the retarded markets tried to price in more severe hikes by selling everything, and then those drops in prices resulted in a small pause inflation which caused them to start buying up everything again which caused inflation to skyrocket back up. The fed needs to lay out a much more concrete plan and stop saying they're going to react to short term data. Just say, "we're going to increase the interest rate by 1.5% over the next year and leave it there for an additional year, and nothing short of an asteroid impact or nuclear exchange is going to change it", and then prices will stabilize.
>>539727622 job opening for every unemployed. If they want or need jobs they get jobs, cant be more healthy
>>53972760Please tell us how it feels to be the dumbest poster in 4chan history. I, for one, would very much like to understand what being clinically retarded is like. What's your lifestyle like, that kind of stuff.
I own a bunch of contradictory ETFs, I'm inversing my own positions!
>>53972620The fed doesn't know what they're going to do yet. The most successful innovation in Fed planning ever was when they realized they should stop listening to themselves and be data driven. They're unironically inversing themselves.
>>539727746 months of screaming for lower lows while rates got hiked and yields went to 5%, and yet here we are still in crab land, but any day now
>>53972766Rape hikes will continue until morale is restored.
>>53972276repost
>>53972798That's hilarious. What other things do you think (is that even the right word)?
>>53972656>Crude -3.835MMDraw on inventory? Shouldnt it go up then?
>>53972702It's not actual disposable income tho when you account for cost of living. Everyone needs place to stay, something to eat, means of travel or way to heat themselves. I don't know if there is an indicator that includes all this.Personal expenditures shows how much people spend, but it has no breakdown for things critical for survival vs frivolous spending.Personal savings rate is low currently but it might as well mean people are buying as much as they can in anticipation of higher inflation.Some say that high credit card spending is an indicator of people being broke, but I think it could be a matter of people expecting inflation to be higher for longer and using "cheap money" to accumulate stuff right now.I think evaluating actual health of the economy is quite complex task, mainly because you can look at data and have conflicting interpretations. I assume that people at Fed have a more detailed insight.
>>53972783Being data driven is fine until you realize that the data being used is publicly available, resulting in investors and companies changing their behavior as a result of the data in anticipation of policy changes rather than in reaction to the policy changes, which alters the data before the policy changes even come, resulting in a retarded vicious cycle of anti-causal volatility. The fed should instead just lock in a plan and ignore short term variations in inflation.
euro crashing below parity. gold and silver crashing. oil crashing and nat gas already at ultimate bottom. spy holding good while dow and nasdaq crashing. everything going as predicted!
>>53972808Ask it about it's thesis for a good laugh
>>53972799No. Wrong. Then they'll ostensibly improve morale immediately. You say, "rape hikes will continue irrespective of whether morale improves or not"
That you havent made a single counter argument, are coping badly, wondering why you havent greentexted yet and posted some "meme" and why the fuck I havent filtered you yet. Last thing done now
>>53972819All else being equal, yes.
>yields
>>53972702>People are spending less!>Meanwhile consumer debt continues to increase, and at a faster rate than expected. Face it, your "disposable income" metric is wrong. The inflation pause we saw in november and december was entirely due to 1. gas prices falling and 2. companies reducing capital expenditure
>>53972246>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.com/https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain>Financial TV Streams:https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.htmlhttps://watchnewslive.tv/watch-fox-business-network-fbn-free-24-7/>Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.koyfin.com/https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com>Screeners:https://finviz.com/https://www.tradingview.com/screenerhttps://etfdb.com/>Optionshttps://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html>Boomer Investing 101:https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started>Misc:https://tradingeconomics.com/https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://wallmine.com/https://fintel.io/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
>>53972772>what is wage-price spiral?>what is hyperinflation?>what is the United States of Zimbabwe (soon)
>>53972819USA isn't isolated.OPEC+ dictates prices.Personally, I think non-renewables will remain higher than the historic average for a considerable period of time. If I'm right, non-renewable stocks are cheap.
>>53972766kek they claim inflation is transitory and yet here we are. The markets are on full retard mode, so I don't doubt they will raise it higher than expected because too many idiots are handling our money. Then you have student loans resuming and when that happens, its unironically over.
>>53972833Oh, good one.>>53972841Please explain your thesis in details. Minimum 1500 characters. Show us how intricate your reasoning abilities can be despite your condition!
>>53972779
>>53972830What happens next?Have you tried haibane ranmei?
Should I dump my stocks? I’m up like 1800 bucks
>>53972830>spy holding good while dow and nasdaq crashing.Retarded lainposter
>>53972853bullish
>>53972304>>53972324Why does nobody suggest nicovideo?
>>53972779Just sell whatever goes in the green, too easy!
>>53972660>inflation still way above 2% for like three years>i-its trending down!C O P E
>>53972853Are those yields in Greek monopoly money or EUR?
>>53972874we are still looking likely summer rally. i think for example in SPY you will be safu. rates may rise a bit still but they should correct too in usa.
I cannot think or comprehend of anything more cucked than owning INTC.Honestly, think about it rationally. You are feeding, clothing, paying and funding a company with your hard earned cash solely so it can go and get ravaged by shorts. All the hard work you put into buying those INTC shares - the long hours working, researching, timing the dips. All of it has one simple result: the stock is used to pay for pajeet workers that will eventually dump their company given shares on you. Bought a value stock? Great. Who benefits? Everyone dumping on you.If you're lucky, you might make back a small amount of your massive losses from some pathetic dividend. You'll get your shares fucked in the ass every quarter for years. Pajeets and Wall Street get the benefit of your gullible value investor mindset as INTC goes lower and lower. As a man who owns INTC, you are literally dedicating your hard work to buying another man's bags.It is the ULTIMATE AND FINAL cuck. Think about it logically.
>>53972874>haibane ranmei?Fuck, that's a great anime. Didn't think I'd see it mentioned in this craphole. I haven't seen anything I liked recently which you wouldn't already know about, but mainly liked Nagatoro and Lycoris Recoil (seemed shit at first but it grew on me).
>>53972884Most people aren't located in nipland.
>>53972824Personals savings is down, compared to pre scamdemic, but up since April 2022. On the account on cc spending I agree, and it isnt the worst thing to do if cc rates are good while inflation is still around 5
I made a new thread because i did not see this one. I also missed 3 threads today what happened?
>>53972772SRE herejust because there are job openings doesn't mean that they're actually hiringdo you think they go and nicely clean up their job postings??first filter is automated, they don't give a fuckseniors is all everyone needs today
>>53972893high risk high reward
Uhhhhh BoBros?> Security Description: SILVERGATE CAP CORP>New Stock Borrow Rate: 37%What the fucking fuck?>37%
>>53972893Anon, the Greeks got rid of the drachma in like 2002; that's why they're in this shit storm to begin with. We disturbed the natural cycle of "Greeks borrow -> Greeks default -> Greeks seem to have a high yielding currency worth throwing money at -> People lend to Greeks"
I really have pissed on a hornets nest with something I wrote. Never saw the shitposters and astro turfers so angry.
>>53972913Market stopped ignoring impending rate hikes, I guess.
>>53972913no one baked early today, and nobody posted links today, and there apparently is a senator concerned that theres not enough mexicans on the fed.
>>53972865>OPEC+ dictates prices.Opec just raised prices for Asia and Europe. But yeah I think oil is staying elevated for several years. Maybe with a GOP potus it changes somewhat but I honestly dont think theyll change it up. The days of rapid drilling is over.
>>53972937>17pbtid>0 thesisWell anon? We're waiting with bathed breath (or is it baited breath?)
>>53972945If you want to double your money then buy SOXS.
>>53972827That’s part of why it is good. The fed does what markets expect softening each blow
>>53972945I didn't get fucked today, in a good way
>>53972928huh interesting. Doesn't this mean people bought EUR denominated bond with > 100% yield that Greece has to pay back for decades now? Sounds like whole country got enslaved by bond holders.
what do you call this weird dip?
>>53972937>someone disagrees with you>that means they're an angry fedI could see how interacting with you would be irritating.
>>53972969After hours liquidity
>>53972969A coincidence
>>53972969FINISH HIM
>>53972937Do you actually have a legit mumu thesis?I often ask this to mumus like yourself but I also often get ignored. Feels bad ngl :_; especially on a day like today when I want to cry along with you mumus at how you got heemed.
>>53972969that single anon with a stop-loss and after-hours trading enabled getting bogged
>>53972978If the replies are full of meme shit and shiposting bait, how can they considered to be taken serious.
>>53972824The economy can't be healthy if the local governments of the richest cities in the US are cutting down costs and raising taxes any way they can.
>>53972969cohencidence
>>53972884Because it's total shit if you don't have premium, and nobody does. That's why they call them virtual youtubers, not virtual nicoers.
>>53972962Adjusting for certain bailout/hair cut conditions, yes. That's basically it.
>>53972969call option exercisestrike price was $90
>>53972998>still no responseIs this a surrender?
>>53973018This is why exercise is bad. Get on Wegovy and long NVO.
The VIX skyrocketed to 19.5 today.
>>53973045Call me when it's above 30 again.
>>53972904I haven’t been watching much new stuff. Only thing that stands out is Vinland saga
I've been messing with model training and merging all day, what happened to the market?
>>53972957The blows should be hard, that's how you actually kill inflation.
>>53973058Vinland saga is ancient. Also it goes to shit after the timeskip, but it's a fun ride until then.
>>53972921Does anyone else here short stocks?I’ve never seen anything like this
>>53973045Underrated post. Mumus got heemed and this down arrow hasn't even really begun yet. Bear markets aren't to be taken lightly. And bear market rallies should be taken very seriously for what they are because we're in one.
>>53972246Anyone here have c3.ai stock?Its been doing well for me lately
>>53973045>>539730500dte VIX wen
>>53973071Happens all the time, that's not even particularly high for a highly-shorted stock.
>>53972921The rate gets higher when shares are hard to find. Also they're basically going bankrupt so the brokers can cash in hard providing shares to short.
>>53973060Pic related.
>>53973089Does it last?That’s going to gobble my gains even if it gets delisted
>>53972572
>>53973084it pumped on good earnings
>>53973002Maybe economy is doing ok in part thanks to cost cutting and raising taxes? For the past decade economy was in la la land thanks to free money from Fed. Reality check won't hurt.
>>53973092understood.
>>53973060Jerome sat in front of the Senate and said "cuh KAW, cuh KAW" instead of "coo, coo".
>>53972991Nothing ever happened. Despite the biggest policy induced inflation for 40 years, the mini hike cycle nothing broke, even after 10 years of 0%. Market participants were able to deleverage and reduce risk without a big crash, while the supply chain issues normalized and job market remained strong. There are just no losers, beside the freaks calling now for 1 and a half year for 2800
>>53973107It can last years, sometimes half a decade. Also if the company ever has a positive rumor, it can cause a large enough pump to result in a short squeeze.
>>53973005Miko was a virtual nicoer before she became a vtuber.
>>53972754>grasping the nettlethat's not possible in current year you can't just go full retard and pump out rate hikes to around 13% which Volcker did.. the whole system will collapse overnight.QE introduced in 2008 during GFC made it so much worse, there is no going back now with high inflation. fed either goes slow and hopes for the best or something breaks and we have a massive ripple effect through the whole system (more likely)I guess the current data-dependend system is the best shot they have
AI made this.
>car burns oil sometimes>add some oil before longer trip>driving about 30 miles>check engine light goes on>WTF.jpg>pull over and check under hood>didn't tighten oil cap on all the way, its upside down still covering the opening, some oil sputtering around>put it back on tightly, get home, clean off all visible oil around the area>engine light still ondid I just fuck up my car?
One thing I love about ibkr is how hard they're trying to get me to do my research before I do something extremely retarded. etoro didn't do that.
>>53973119Can you provide argument to support your... let's call those "statements" for now?How about a thesis associated with those "statements"? You haven't provided one yet.
>>53973119Your thesis depends on knowing the future. Are you 100% certain you know the future? Because even 1% uncertainty is all bears need for their thesis to play out.
>>53972754Because that would bancrupt the government
>>53973170I hope that's a joke. They hand out full access to every instrument in every market with the press of a button, no questions asked. Even if you have $2 in your account, you just have to complete a "quiz", except it's choice questions and you can redo any question as many times as you want until it passes.
>>53973162It's getting better at hands, I see
>>53973152That’s terrifying
>>53973071no because the risk/reward and maintenance requirements arent worth it. buy puts, sell calls instead if looking for a simple bear strat
>>53973163Potentially yes. If light is still on even after refilling oil then I would not drive it anymore and let repair shop take care of it.
>>53973163you may need to reset the alarm lights and see if it then goes up still. for resetting you simply need little cheap devicehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tiCXAr-Uho
>>53973190shit, i wonder if this tech will be used for anything other than advertising
Tonight I will remind them
>>53973119>asteroid heading towards Earth collision course>unknown when it will hit exactly, only estimates>fragments / debris hit the Earth before the main asteroid >increasing fragments of debris by the day>"All of you are alarmists!">"The asteroid hasn't hit yet, that's proof that it will never hit us in the future!"
>>53973190If you get lucky really. It still fucks up limbs very often.
>>53973173nobody knows the future and I am not relying on future data for this to happen, just for now established trends to continue, which is certainly still a bet on those continuing but nothing points at those trends changing abruptly. ffs according to some bobos we are near a nuclear war because of policy retardation, and yet the trend gives a flying shit
>>53973119M8, this is stupid, we've been trending down since Jan 2022. How is that "nothing"? -17% on the shit n piss since 2022 is not "nothing". Step up your fucking game mumu. The entire fucking mumu thesis you just mentioned is based on the market fighting the Fed ever since the rate hikes started and flying in the face of Powell and company who have been pretty fucking clear about "no pivot until late 2024".If you've been paying attention, the Fed has gotten increasingly more hawkish not less.The market is going to have to deal with another rate hikes they weren't expecting on March 24th.You sound like the tards on fintwit whose best argument is "this time it's different" except lol lmao it's not. It's not too late to back out of your stupidity.
>>53973208that is not a down trend that is a flat correction
Look, I did not make any moves today. I sold my shorts at 395 SPY last week, Longed until yesterday and got out at 405 SPY.I am in cash and looking at the market today, the risk was too high to either go short or long. I can see a bounce this week up to SPY 418, and I can also see a break down under the 50 DMA to retest the 200 day DMA, which if it breaks, can see SPY 370. I will continue to sit in cash until we get a convincing close under the 50 DMA. I have a wanting to go balls deep in TQQQ.
>>53972824>I assume that people at Fed have a more detailed insight.lol
>>53973163You probably shot more oil out than you put in. Check the levels.
>>53973191That's why you want to short early and keep the position until you see shit like 20%+ borrow rates, then you should seriously consider bailing out just in case (otherwise hedging). By that point you should have profited nicely anyway.
>>53973208and really>da marked is foighting da fedand you have the nerve to compare somebody to twitter fags
>>53973208>muh line go downmegacaps took a hit and the dollar pumped. When you account for these two factors this is what it looks like. The real value of most stocks stayed flat.
>>53972962No, there were several haircuts
>>53973180I keep getting emails and warnings whenever I open a position, today they let me know free research is available if I want to read into the things I buy.
>>53973214Like I said, idiot, that doesn't factor in how the market has been fighting reality/the Fed since 2022 and still losing 17%.What we're trying to explain to your dumbass is that once reality starts setting in and the market realizes the free money is over until at least 2025, things will get radically priced in.What I'm trying to show you is how the shit n piss looks like when the market thinks it has won, like you are thinking you have won because the metaphorical asteroid the other anons allude to hasn't hit yet.Do you get it now?That chart is going to get worse is what we're saying. Buddy look at VIX computer. Look at yield curve computer.We're not hating on you, we're trying to tell you there's still time to reexamine your thesis, and load up on oil calls and tech shorts.
>>539732142000-2008 was a flat correction, too.
>>53973163Not likely. The cars ECM needs to go through about 13 drive cycles before it will clear the trouble code.
>>53973237>da marked is foighting da fed>and you have the nerve to compare somebody to twitter fagsC'mon man. How are you consistently so wrong?Look at fucking TSLA computer. Look at fucking BBBY computer.I'm gonna join the anons who have written mumus like you off. You seem beyond hope. If you want to come to your senses the door is open.
>>53973236But it’s a zeroIt may get delisted soon
>>53973266>fighting the fed>mongoloid metaphors>We are your frensAll I read is cope. And what the fuck do you care if I would lose money on my bet. I say there is no fighting the fed just forward looking at trends and you say the sky is falling, I dont care if you win or lose and you shouldnt care if I win or lose
>>53973248Are you located outside the US? ibkr generally follows US-based regulation regarding the messages it sends out. Maybe webull doesn't do that to non-US consumers for instance. I have not seen a platform give any different "warnings" than ibkr.As for the """free research""", the only one it's ever offered me were links to free sites that require subscriptions to view, or Ai-generated forms. Nowadays they actually have a pretty cool analysis widget, but it's relatively new. Before you didn't even get basic FA, it was just unusable for anything. Now it has only basic FA, but a lot of useful metrics are missing and a lot of data is typically bad (whatever datasource they use is not of very good quality), especially for smaller companies.In practice I use yahoo finance to get an overview of the financials and check the releases for the actual raw finance data.
>>53973163Just check your oil level and top it off. Unless you spewed out a ton of it while you were driving it's probably fine.
>>53973311Still haven't posted a thesis. Where is your thesis?
>>53973207High interest rates are only STARTING to eat their way through the economy. Housing is already trending down. At the end of it waits another juicy cow: a bancrupt US government
>>53973326well low pressure could mean that oil didn't get into every place it should. Especially if it was first cold start on that day. Hopefully the engine is fine tho.
>>53973335He unironically thinks that house prices going down is a good thing and represents inflation going lower, anon.
TRKAroaches...tell my family I loved them
>>53973292consistently wrong? The only time I have been wrong for the last 12 months was expecting a steeper correction in October
Wat do?
>>53973311>metaphorsFucks sake anon. The yield curve being at historically bad levels is not a metaphor, but okay, at this point I give up. And you're right I don't care. I do this kind of thing regularly as an exercise to see if a mumu can prove me wrong and also to give anons a chance to check their own prejudice.We bobos *could* be wrong, but for now all the facts say otherwise. And I do mean all.I used to make a list of all the bobo arguments when doing these debates in the past but I largely don't care that much nowadays. I see you are not heavy on facts anyway.
>>53973359Ignore MS and keep looking for opportunities in my case.
>>53973359They're (MS, not Bloomberg) bearish. Stay bearish. When you read shit like that, just know that what they're doing is looking for bullish arguments within an overall bearish thesis (in this case, Mike Wilson's).
>>53973347lol. nothing will happen herejust look the other way
>>53973370and the yield curve has looked like shit now for 13 months? Any day now, the black swan will fly. And where is your horrible horrible data, in the future?
Imagine beating earnings estimates only thanks to people being fatasses.
>>53972969I want to get the fuck out of AMZN. I wish I had never bought it.
>>53973397>usury is a sinDISGUSTING
>>53973408Forgot pic, what a retard.
>>53973335Monetary base goes down, housing goes down, sounds flat to me
>>53973342Yeah, depending on how low the oil level was, that could be pretty bad, but hopefully not for his sake. Checking the level after the engine cooled off would've been the first thing I did. Engine light coming on isn't a good sign though.
>>53973406Fuck, dude just stop. If you don't get the implications of the yield inversion then just go learn the basics. IDGAF anymore. You win obviously since the facts that matter no longer matter because anon on biz said they don't matter now. Everyone is so dumb except you. You're the smart one, you'll win this.
>>53973358You are unironically the only correct person ITT. Bears are fucking retards and think 2 years of crashes aren’t enough >more rate hikes are coming bro trust Powell’s plan!So fucking stupid.
As a European should I invest in Europe or the US?
Another day. Another day of afternoon napping. I did a terrible thing. Even with my uh payments and whatnot I gotta do I couldn't resist when a gift was dropped in my lap. I bagged more VZ. Yes I'm weak I'll admit it freely.
>>53973474Lolno
>US 10Y2Y spread over one handle
>>53973441Present your data that is so horrible>idgafokay the stop replying
>>53973358You have yet to post your thesis, but so far your creative interpretation of reality hasn't been close to according with the facts.
>>53973474Europe has outperformed the US for the last year
>>53973474Depends. I tend to go for US stocks, but I do buy EU stocks once in a while. Lufthansa (German) was pretty good last week.t. yuro
pivot soon fellow apes
>>53973474EU is at athUS is shittingyou short both
>spent weeks lightly troubleshooting issue with website for zoomer coworker>kept telling them to reload the page>they keep saying it’s not working>finally find out they’ve been pressing the “Refresh tasks” button on the webpage, and not the reload page button on their browser >hit reload webpage button once and it worksTHE MEMES ARE FUCKING TRUE HOLY SHIT AHAHAHAHAHA THE ZOOMERS ARE RETARDED
risk management is for pussies btw
>>53972492>He bought Tesla after an almost 120% pump in a couple of weeks, from a new low, in a bear market, with the 10 year yield going upNgmi
>>53973445more rate hikes are coming, nobody is denying this you two faced snake. But it wont have the the cratering impact that perma bears have been cultishly preaching for 14 months
I just checked my charts for today and it looks like Powell said some dumb shit. What was it? Something pretty much in-line with everything else he's said for two years except bears ran with one particular headline or some stupid garbage? This is so tiring
>it's going 280>it's going 350>it's going 375>it's going 389>it's going 392>
>>53972616Whats with your anti greentext autism
>>53973180They won't even give me margin with a quarter mil net worth while Schwab/tda did.
>>53973594he replied to a senators question about possible 50 hike with that it could be a possibility depending on the data this month, that was about all
>>53973534Honestly I'm surprised zoomers can even use desktop computers outside of vidya considering they fucking do everything else on their phones.
FUCK SILVERGATEFUCK COST TO BORROWAND FUCK SILVERGATE
>>53973600low quality shitposters seem to love for some weird reason to make their posts unreadable by using greentext wrong. Its just an easy way to identify poster that can be filtered
>>53973612So it's like I thought, some asshat asked a leading question and faggot bearish speculators ran with it. Every fucking time it gets reported as some catastrophe. Watch them hike 25bps this time, again, and everyone will freak out. Fucking nonsense.
>>53973593SPY was going to 180 then, SPY is going to 180 now, and SPY will still be going to 180 in the future. SPY has always been going to 180.
Why did no one say the 10y/30y inverted! We are fucked!! AAAAAAAAAAAAAA
>>53973627You sound like a bitch
>>53973501Any market that did hard QE obviously did. This has three consequences: 1, america has higher to go but others may not. 2, this is not sustainable. 3, real gains are far less than nominal.
you already were short right anon
>>53973603I got margin on 2k. I put in 50k later to actually make use of it. No clue what you're talking about.
I'M GETTINGEVEN MOREBULLISH
>>53973641Because I despise the disgusting freakshow that juvenile /b/tard shitposters are, okay.>>>/b/
>>53973412I would sell it all right now before it dips down to $80 again like last year. It might dump even lower than that if their earnings for Q12023 ends up being bad in April.
Oooooooooooooooooh MUUUUUUUUUUUUUUMMUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU>do you feel it now Mr Krabs?
>>53973627You have not made a single correct post the entire thread, despite having 31 posts already. Did you forget your meds?
>>53973629Absolutely based.
>>53973661IT'S PUTIN'S PRICE HIKE, OKAY CHUD????
>>53973485Where is that guy that makes the anime maid girl graphs when you need him kek
>>53973645Only shitcosOnly CVNA SI SBNYYou?
>>53973682No, its the result of short sighted political decision by the democratic congress in conjunction with neo con republicans to line the pocket of their donators through public policy spending on a narrative about a better flu and the failed attempt to get more power
>>53973554Point is the same. Its the law of diminishing effects. I was making fun of them for thinking that raising rates is still some catastrophic thing that has never happened before that will crash the market in 2 more weeks at every fed meeting.No one smart gives a fuck about that or the yield curve anymore. This is clearly uncharted territory given that the yield curve has gone so deep into the negative instead of it just being a quick dip, and retards analyzing what’s happening using the playbook of the post 2008 recovery are stupid and will lose their money. Even with higher rates there’s so much more liquidity to go around because of 2020 money printing, so not having access to cheap money after gorging on it for such a long time won’t kill you.Normalniggers and Jewish firms talking about recession is all I need to know before inversing them. None of this technical bullshit matters anyway. Fuck all you suckers.
>>53973704Doesn’t look like it failedThey’re mandating yearly injections for children. The profits and power were taken.
>>53973629Honestly, I respect the hustle.
299
Ok, someone can bake nowGuys?Anyone?
>>53973717all right, then we agree. Yield curves are just an expression of short time uncertainty >>53973718they failed, political actors have lost power to a degree that is worse for them than not getting elected or having some theoretical paper powers they don't have the capabilities to enforce after fucking up the coup; they are being ignored, their policies have no effects, we are living in a defacto Anarcho Tyranny where ignoring certain institutions and their laws doesn't result in any nameable repercussions
>>53973750baking
>>53973482VZ actually did pretty well today compared to S&P. Quite reassuring
>>53973750Thread limit is 310, why are you guys like this?
recyclable>>53972869>>53972869>>53972869
>>53973793But that thread touched me in the naughty spot.
>>53973753I’m not celebrating.Half of the country believes the narrative. The rest are keeping their heads down.
>>53973793Wow it didn't get deleted despite being 150 posts early
>>53973876half isn't true anymore, its at best 30%, rather more like 10% are true believers
>>53973876Keeping their heads down? They literally had to revoke the vax mandate throughout the world after all the reactions and rioting. Just because its not the /pol/ boogeyman “billions will die” revolution they were fantasizing about doesn’t mean that nothing happened.
>>53973670There is a chance of an exit pump.
>>53972995This makes astonishing sense, that things such as this could and do occur.>>53973004Indeed...>>53973412I am curious as to why, what is your "AMZN story"?
>>53973936/thread.Thank you for saying this, normie. Now, we can all drink tonight. Bwa hahaha ha ha ha ha haaa!