/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>53856747
>Surely there can't be that many rate hikes left?

>>53856747
Of couse not the usa debt is too big

Your shitcoins will go to ZERO you ugly smelly NIGGER

>>53856774
Based Maverick of Wall Street enjoyer.

>>53856790
He's the only finance youtuber I give a shit about.

>>53856747
>Surely there can't be that many rate hikes left?
if only you knew how bad things really were

>>53856756
>>53856774
>>53856790
Kek retards
>>53856764
They VIL pivot this year or need to print money for the government.
We are entering a period of massive military spending they cant afford to pay trillions of interest. They need the printing press for the military alone.

>>53856825
>they will just pay trillions per year on interest and cut military spening hehe

>>53856825
>they will just pay trillions per year on interest and cut military spening hehe

>>53856774
>>53856790
>>53856820
Absolutely based. I too am subscribed to the best stock market coverage channel on Youtube.

I'd also recommend Lance Roberts with RIA, not as flashy and fancy of a channel as Mav's, but the information is solid and dense. Him and Mav are the only two I really listen to for day to day coverage of the markets.

>>53856827
Cool story bro. You going to wait and hold heavy bags for 3 to 6 to 8 to 9 to 10 to 11 months before the Fed magically decides to pivot before 2% inflation is reached? Stop being retarded.

>>53856747
"He" (The Fed) will stop at or around 7%.

>>53856896
You can not explain how they will pay the trillions of interest you just can no

>>53856896
>>53856825
Also yes if your NOT frontrunning a pivot you are retarded
Insiders so big money VIL frontrun you

>>53856774
>he gets his financial advice from a nigger

Lol, NGMI

When people stop taking the rate hikes = deflation bait. The red pill is that rate hikes can only cause a temporary contraction in lending but actually lead to more inflation of the monetary base in the long term. As long as retards sell on inflation and rate hikes, the fed will continue to threaten to raise rates but at a slow pace. But eventually all lending slows down enough where rates start to have less and less effect. Look at turkey where there is no lending anymore so the bank just gave up on rate hikes and started cutting to about 11% or something when inflation is >80%.

>>53856986
Loading up on stocks near the YTD high? How stupid are you? We have so much further down to go before the Fed even thinks about hiking rates. Good luck DCA into a falling knife.

>>53856747
They can raise interest rates to 6 or 7% and hold them there for years until inflation is broken.

>>53857096
lol

>>53857008
Thats not Mav in the avatar.

>>53857096
lmao

>>53857096
And this is exactly what they will do. You're supposed to fight inflation by raising the interest rate above the inflation rate, and then sustain it there for an extended period of time. So if we are at a 6.7% inflation rate and with a 4.5% fed funds rate, we need to get ahead of inflation by continuing to hike rates to 7%. Problem is, were only doing by .75%/.5%/.25% increments per month and its just dragging this shit out longer and longer and longer than it has to be. This shit wont be over with by 2025 at the earliest at this rate. Bulls are in for a rough time ahead.

>>53857163
People have forgotten that the stock market can decline for years like it did in 2001 and 2008. With interest rates staying higher for longer multi-year stock market declines are inevitable now.

>>53857086
STILL no answer to my question
>We are entering a period of massive military spending they cant afford to pay trillions of interest. They need the printing press for the military alone.

>>53857032
>>53857163
You are stuck in 1970s policy. The fed administers rates by setting interest on reserves now, so staying at 6-7% would be absolutely retarded and make inflation worse. It would only temporarily cause disinflation, but once lending adjusts to the new rate then all the fed is doing is paying 6-7% on bank reserves causing massive long term inflation.

The fed has to hope and pray inflation goes back down on its own, otherwise they have to back off and instead adopt something like a 4% average target with even more rigged CPI and hope people are OK with that because every other currency in the world is even shittier.

>>53857096
>>53856827

>>53857107
>avatar
you're a fucking indian lmao

>>53857096
>They can raise interest rates to 6 or 7%

>>53857185
Who fucking cares. They're not going to cut interest rates and let inflation rebound again and then skyrocket all the way up to 20%. And even if they did, they would then have to come back harder and even more aggressive than in 2022 and absolutely break something serious in the economy this time to be able to bring it back down again.

>>53856747
>Surely there can't be that many rate hikes left
lol

>>53856747
Rates will be at 30% or so by 2025.

>>53857203
I dont use Twitter you fucking redditfag. Feel free to call it whatever you want.

>>53857190
If the fed announced an interest rate cut the stock market and home prices would rapidly double from current levels. That means more people would retire early and the resulting worker shortage would rapidly drive up wages and produce even more massive inflation. Rates are going up and they will stay up for a long long time.

>>53857237
>>53857254
Interest rates will do jack shit to inflation when we have such low velocity and lending slows even more. Homes and stocks will rise anyway as base money rapidly inflates, fractional reserve banking died in 2008. The lawyers running central banks don't get this and are following a playbook that doesn't work.

They wont prop markets up until there is a "popular" president again and biden is not their cultural demographic majority representative. 2025 anons are right biden will lose and be replaced with black lesbian female president then it all goes up like its obama and 2009 again.

>>53857185
why will there be military spending? also the bottom happened in oct

>>53857266
you just need to go full paul volcker and say fuck it to "muh soft landing"

>>53857284
Right, the fed can only do it by spiking high and fast. But the other problem is that would essentially murder all global dollar debt, and could kill the dollar's reserve status because everyone would just default and have to move to a new currency. And the reserve status is the only thing that enables the deficit, so they have to spike hard but not to hard to blow everything up.

>>53857266
So what do you propose then?

>>53857281
>smoking a cigar indoors during a crucial press conference

goddamn, remember when this country actually used to be fucking cool? what a fucking boss volcker was. we need him now more than ever.

>>53857390
Congress has to address deficit. The fed has to reinstate reserve requirement to be able to get rid of interest on reserves and then they can QT to raise rates. Most of the post 08 regulation needs to be repealed so banks can function again.

>>53857242
ay yo this nigga chiefin da blunt in front of congress?

>>53856790
Based, this boomer has the best daily market analysis I've seen. He should have way more subscribers, but I guess the average retard won't watch him because he isn't a permabull.

>>53856774
You realize this is bad for stocks too, right nigger? Fyi crypto is more bullish than stocks
https://youtu.be/YqtaSxV3AoE
China is going to save crypto

>>53857485
>China is going to save crypto

You mean the country that banned it? How does that work?

>>53857284
That out of the question. We could do that back then because debt to GDP was less than half. We're over 130% right now.

>>53856756
>>53856747

>>53857508
>how does that work?
Watch the short, nigger. The answer is literally there (liquidity injection). And fyi, when they were banning it, their government itself still kept its crypto. They play mind games with their citizens.

Kek I love watching hoomers seethe. The time for us is now, renters!

>>53857284
There’s still a small chance of a soft landing. — Arthur Burns

>>53856747
Never

>>53856827
They don't spend shit on the military in Ukraine. It's chump change, also they will shut down certain gov cervices for half a year just like last time.

They will pivot at 2% and then stocks and all other shitcoins will further fall 50% just like every other time. There is no bull case for years retards, you are all exit liquidity still. NPC goyim cretins