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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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49543837 No.49543837 [Reply] [Original]

The banks have wrapped up neighborhoods and non-commercial buildings into Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities(CMBS). The Federal Reserve(FED) provides liquidity to banks from CMBS. CMBS etf top holdings are federal home loan mortages. In just one move, Morgan Stanley packaged 2,106 single-family homes in CMBS and they are not alone...Also with CMBS if you have 50% of a unit rented then you do not have to fully pay because they are neg AM loans. The vast majority of CMBS loans are not fully amortizing. Instead, most CMBS loans are partially amortizing, while others have partial-term interest-only periods, or are full-term interest-only loans. What this means is that many retail, offices, hotels, etc... have borrowed more than they can pay back. The FED has purchsed 8.9 trillion CMBS to partially support the CMBS market, but has also let slip by a trillion dollar mortgage scam. Now thanks to the lockdowns, many businesses finally realized they can hybrid remote or fully remote operations. This means trillions of dollars worth of commercial are deep under water. Not only will residential asset prices go down, but a cataclysmic collapse of commercial is on the horizon as well. Do with this information as you will.

>> No.49544033

it's almost like the fed literally can't withdraw liquidity and the cycle is just going to kick back off again

>> No.49544166
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49544166

>>49543837
but I thought houses only go up, forever and ever. le Leddit told me so

>> No.49544173

>>49543837
The whole suburban project is ruined by work from home as you don't need to commute to work. The whole urban project is ruined by work from home as you don't need to live close to work. As a result, almost all real estate is massively overpriced in a relative sense.
>Yea b-but it's not subprime
Who cares? A bubble is a bubble is a bubble. No one can afford these looney toon prices and if they try then all their money goes to that and nothing else.

>> No.49544205

>>49544033
We are running out of time.

>> No.49544507

>>49544033
If they don't stop high inflation fast then they won't have a job and maybe a life. It's either recession or inflationary collapse.

>> No.49545893

>>49544507
We did print a lot but this inflation is fuel driven. Ukraine war is making things way more difficult to manage

>> No.49545967
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49545967

>>49545893
Wrong it driven by what happen in 2008!

>> No.49546199

>>49543837
Holy shit.

> Happening