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22849073 No.22849073 [Reply] [Original]

OP DELIVERS

Was out drinking with friends, disclaimer I already sold my position. I am back and here is the future unfolding.

Earlier today I made a post about corssing the 1h MACD for LINK-EUR, this post is to show what is about to happen according to the predicted analysis.

My last comment was that is was looking bad, its getting worse. Disclaimer I exited my position.

My last comment was Anonymous (ID: 8k2az0E4) 09/26/20(Sat)20:08:19 No.22841021

This was from the thread thread/22839959#p22840836

We are just one or two hours away from breaking the MACD, RSI indicates we are at 0 not overbought or sold. Look at the volume and candle tail 21:00. Its really low, they know. You do now.

Once the 1H (12,26) MACD crosses dumps incoming, look at the tail. Smart money knows.

Ask any questions and please do wait with me so we can see proof.

>> No.22849102

so buy more link and it will go up?

>> No.22849103
File: 79 KB, 972x525, link.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22849103

Here was the chart when I first made the thread.

(NOTE: fuck the support lines they are visual guidance, its only about 1HR MACD crossing as you can see from my original post (This is about to happen in a hour or two).

>> No.22849127

>>22849103
so do i buy now or not

>> No.22849161

>>22849127
if you expect it to dump, do you want to buy or sell

>> No.22849190

>>22849127
Fucking hell anon, okay read the other thread I know you did not. The MACD HAS NOT CROSSED. I got out of my position (I sold). MACD crossing (these are my predictions) is going to happen within 2 hours. From there expect a downtrend for at least a few days. Thank me next time.

I can give post a signed with GPG key so I can warn you frens in the future and other computer literate fags will be able to verify its me for you guys.

>> No.22849202

We will see, planned to add to my stack later on. We all know where it's going long term.

>> No.22849209

your ta is dogshit

>> No.22849229

>>22849190
Tripcode up, easy to follow and track your history

>> No.22849234

>>22849202
how many do you have so far?

>> No.22849262

>>22849202
100% agree, LINK is a very safe bed long term. I am just warning you for at least the following hours / days.
Do not get me wrong, I will long link with 3x leverage once the upcoming trend reverses (I can let you know when).

Also you fags, this is not "TA", its quantitative analysis expressed in a simple to understand chart, some TA expects like momentum are used read my previous thread and there are links to academic papers providing proof.

>> No.22849266

>>22849234
If you are interested in buying I can part with 1 for 81k

>> No.22849323

>>22849073
Do it for sats. Or at least USD and Yuan if you're going to track the main fiats in the system.

>> No.22849350

>>22849190
It's going down because it can only go up until it stops moving at 20-30% per day. Once it's at a mere 10%, people open leveraged long positions that need to be mostly liquidated before a charge up.

>> No.22849392

>>22849073
My question is: do you think everyone on this board is retarded, not knowing what indicator analysis is? Why did you bring it here?

>> No.22849408

>>22849073
>22839959
You said we would see something in a few hours. It’s been 8....

>> No.22849418

>>22849262
you got a telegram or discord where i can keep up with your analysis?

>> No.22849467

>>22849418
Stop trying to pimp your discord by switching IDs and pretending someone cares. You did this in the first thread too. No one gives a shit about your terrible TA

>> No.22849477

gay thread op fuck your quants we're here long term and you swinging niggers will get the rope

>> No.22849531

Weak.

Sage

>> No.22849535

Never selling you kike

>>22848455

>> No.22849546

>>22849408
Well if you dont have a proper TA and only are relying on a couple of oscillators, ofc u won't distinguish all the false signals. OP now finally got a true signal past 10 attempts and wants to prove everyone his genius. Such a showoff

>> No.22849564

>>22849477
checked

>> No.22849570

>>22849073
Thank you OP. I need you becayse I dont understand meme lines, and was expecting it to fucking crash to $7 because these biz faggots were saying that was going to happen. I'm trying to up a marine rank.

>> No.22849576

>>22849477
Very cool post.

>> No.22849609

>>22849570
OP is predicting a crash, do not listen to OP

>> No.22849648
File: 139 KB, 947x1200, 1601037253652.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22849648

>>22849190
Yes, please use a tripcode based OP. I didnt fucking see your other thread, and since you didnt waruso it, I have no idea if youre even legit. Just make a fucking trip already.

>> No.22849649

>>22849073
What kind of retarded fud is this? When the blue line crosses above the red line number go up. Simple as.

>> No.22849682

>>22849262
Are you stupid today, or is this juat every day. Are you too new to know how to use a trip bro

>> No.22849703

>>22849103
Seems to me that it's going to go up

>> No.22849713

>>22849392
Go fuck yourself you stupid motherfucking condescending, deceitful retard. Not everyone knows how to do this shit

>> No.22849763

>>22849609
Are you fucking retarded? Cab you read my post? I AM WANTING A CRASH. I have $20k and was thinking of upping a rank. The fucking linkmarine site wasn't updated since early September.

>> No.22849791

>>22849763
Your constant typos and broken English make it pretty difficult to understand

>> No.22849858

>>22849713
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macd.asp
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rsi.asp
Takes 5-10 mins to read, then add it in tradingview. Good luck.

>> No.22849922

>>22849418
Sure, I can give you my public GPG key in my signed message to your GPG key will be my email
.>>22849467
I will not disclose my contact info here without somebody posting their GPG key for mutual privacy.
>>22849546
Good point, I indeed might have created 10 threads before, search archives and my style of posting. Still you got a valid point.
>>22849477
You will win in the end, I am just protecting you guys from your emotions.
>>22849609
I am not read what I posed here: >>22849262
>>22849648
Fuck trip codes, At last some computer literate post your GPG public key I will post mine and sign it in the same post with my email and will encrypt it with your public key so ONLY YOU can read it.
>>22849791
Ad hominem (I must admit I also do this)
>>22849858
There is more to this, but you at least know what the fuck this is more or less about unlike the other 90%.

>> No.22849934

>>22849858
No. I dont have time to follow this. Honest to God truth.

>> No.22849990
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22849990

>>22849922
>Fuck trip codes, At last some computer literate post your GPG public key I will post mine and sign it in the same post with my email and will encrypt it with your public key so ONLY YOU can read it.
That is too much fucking work. I am busy for Q3. I do not have time for fucking learning GPU keys. Go fuck yourself. If you are not correct in your analysis, hopefully you get fucked.

What is the bottom (in $ terms), and when. Are you too stupid to know that?

>> No.22850028

>>22849703
>>22849713
MACD is crossing, notice my first thread and where MACD was. Notice when (the time) I said in my last thread things where going bad, before I went to get a drink with a friend. Everything adds up Literally look at the funnel created by the purple lines. That since my first thread gave a time indication together with the trend breaking them (this has happened already). So now its just a matter of time before the global pattern (blue green lines) will continue instead of the purple ones.

>> No.22850058

>>22849922
Ofc there is more. But it's always better to educate people IMO, look at stock market general threads, all necessary info is listed on every thread - if ur willing to start a daily thread, I'd take example from there

>> No.22850089

>>22849703
This.

>> No.22850092

>>22850058
No one wants a daily thread from Op, stop switching IPs to try and AstroTurf support

>> No.22850105

>>22850028
Link your first thread you wallstreet faggot? It would take

>> No.22850116
File: 412 KB, 1222x715, Spits.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22850116

>>22849922
Flush yourself down the toilet.

>> No.22850131

>>22850028
Op here is the real analysis, BTC is about to break up in a serious way. We may see a drop in SATs on link/BTC pair, but the link/fiat pairs will stay the same or rise.

>> No.22850135
File: 194 KB, 690x576, ChainLinkLionKing.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22850135

>>22850028

I believe you know what you're talking about, but did you really sell your whole stack?

That's fucking scary if you're wrong one time and it takes off without you. Fuck. I just play with 1-2k of my 50k stack and that still makes me nervous. These are golden fucking tickets bro.

Also, make a trip. I will listen next time if you're right. Thanks

>> No.22850143

>>22850105
I already did in my OP
>>This was from the thread thread/22839959#p22840836
That is >>22839959

>> No.22850152

Link posters are the most insufferable cunts. OP comes with valuable data Analysis and the retards scream and cry about it because they are brainwashed cultists like XRP retards. Triggering stinktards is so fucking easy. Most sensitive faggots on 4chan.

>> No.22850185

>>22849576
Are you the owner of this site? Please update for 10/1 numbers. Thanks bro https://chainlinkecosystem.com/ranks/

>> No.22850188

>>22850092
I was just biased and rude, okay? And that was sort of a corner smoothing. Me personally - I dont need it, but I saw lot of people find it useful, so why not

>> No.22850192

>>22849990
>What is the bottom (in $ terms), and when. Are you too stupid to know that?
You think this is some dark magic, I do not fucking know what the bottom is. Only thing I know is we are breaking a trend. I can only give estimates but then I digress from analysis and start becoming a magical forecaster. I would say look 20% above previous support levels if you continue the blue and green (notice these lines are just vaguely drawn, I can share the actual stats but its insignificant because NO ONE will be able to be truthful and tell you the lower support, even my quantitative analysis is not 100% correct. But enough to determine what fucking decision I make based on the next days.)

>> No.22850218
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22850218

>>22849922
>Fuck trip codes, At last some computer literate post your GPG public key.
You're expecting an Anon on an indian scat forum to use TOP LEVEL! encryption to verify your identity every time you poast.
Stop being a weird nerd and use a tripcode.

>> No.22850270
File: 143 KB, 1787x870, link260920.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22850270

im specting the same dude

>> No.22850313

>>22850131
Interesting you mention something what could be considered statistical arbitrage,or at least something to do with correlation. AS I TOLD YOU, I AM A FUCKING QUANT. these lines this MACD is just a VISUALIZATION with MACD being a REALLY ACCURATE indication of when what would happen. all of this is based on quantitative analysis aka statistical models with sigma at or below 5%, even 5.00001 would be something I would not accept.

Here is my public key FFS computer literate send me a message encrypted with my public key containing your public key and I will send you my contact back encrypted with your public key so only you can see it.

(note its too long for a single post... will be contained entirely in my next post.

>> No.22850328

>>22850313
-----BEGIN PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK-----

mQINBF9v9sABEAD27q63+CeD24cEvKQI6LYyOjWhNwxWl+OOmFqZj6way+1Qrvp3
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>> No.22850356

>>22849073
Didn't sell at 20$, what makes you think I'll sell at 10$?
What don't you pajeets understand about NEVER SELLING?

>> No.22850386
File: 181 KB, 409x517, 1600710558270.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22850386

>>22850058
> look at stock market general threads,
>not implying 99% of anons there are retarded swingies

Didnt read, not selling.
Dont have time to sort thru the shitposts. Thanks for reminding me not to read those investopedia articles you linked, OP.

>> No.22850390
File: 79 KB, 885x532, 1600895069691.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22850390

>>22849073
dr;ns, kys

>> No.22850393

>>22850356
No one cares about people who are too afraid to trade. You're just a pussy who's afraid to take risk and make profit.

>> No.22850394

>>22850356
If you really do own any link you will (most likely) make it. I can not predict the entire future that is just ridiculous. I can however protect less strong people like you who would sell at previous seen support levels or about 20%+ higher. Only to get FUCKED later on.
Just watch what will unfold, I will stay online and keep making new threads until we reach the point where my blue right crosses the purple ones. Read this thread and previous I already stated what will happen.

>> No.22850406

>>22850313
What have I written in any of my replies gives you any indication that I want your contact information

>> No.22850434

Literally everyone knows BTC/ETH/LINK will go up in the long run. You aren't some badass because you sit on your hands and HODL THE LINE through 60%+ price swings lol

>> No.22850445

>>22850393
Easy man, seriously most people do not understand 90%+ of retail loses money. Any fucking broker (like robinhood) does the EXACT opposite of what their (new sign up) clients do. This is somewhat accurate even though he is only their to SHILL his own course. he is still more honest than most you will encounter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L7G0OfJUON8

Do not want to watch 2 hours of a presentation (laughing so fucking hard after having spend countless years studying markets and quantitative analysis, reading (and publishing) academic papers etc...
NGMI or you are REALLY LUCKY. I still love you anon

>> No.22850463

>>22850092
Based. Sage thread

>> No.22850487

>>22850434
This is something I already stated here by myself,: >>22849408
>>22849262
I told you the limit of time is the purple crossing the blue, I already told you it is likely (as in statically significant with P value of less or equal to 5% it will happen since w crossed MACD).

>> No.22850529

>>22849477
You do not get it my fren, look at what I posted, I argue FOR link long term. I am here to protect you 90% retailers who will lose due to emotion, I am telling you what trend is about to unfold before it happens. It seems magic to you, you do not believe it and as a result ask me for a "bottom", NO ONE can tell yo that. what I tell is again... based on P level below 5%, thats all. I am NOT telling you to sell, (this is just assumption unlike everything before this) I think link is a good long term investment and if you just hold you will do okay.
I know how aggressive I react to certain shit, but please do not be too stupid to see I am your fren <3

>> No.22850549

>>22850218
Why would I want to please you? I am seeking for VERY SPECIFIC INDIVIDUALS.
I will not DEMAND you to do what I want, do whatever you please anon I love you <3

>> No.22850571

>>22850131
Wait, is OP actually doing this nerd shit by LINK/BTC?? Fucking lmao. Thanks bro -- selling bitcoin now. Lemme dig up my privkey -- forgot I had that shit since I bought at like $50/share.

>> No.22850580

>>22850218
I consider myself technically literate above average normie and I had to google wtf is GPG. OP is an autist.

>> No.22850590

>>22849703
I know when you posted this, I never claimed it would SUDDENLY drop, I gave a VERY specific timeframe and whatever you say before that timeframe does not matter because with P=<5% exactly what I said is going to happen ^_^

>> No.22850617

>>22850571
I told you, I only show you a vaguely drawn map with a VERY accaraute indicator (which already happend its MACD) of what would happen. The analysis is WAY more in depth and actually relates VERY LITTLE to the OHCLV of chainlink as coin itself.

>> No.22850618

>>22850393
Swingies get the rope

>> No.22850671

>>22850394
>, I will stay online and keep making new threads until we reach
Please dont. I agree with this anon: >>22850218

>> No.22850781

>>22850529
When do I buy LINK with my fiat rupee currency? Like mid-Octoberish?

>> No.22850809

>>22850671
Fine, this will die once interest dies off with it. I actually do not care anymore, spend too much time already. If anybody has something interesting to contribute I might answer.
Read all posts, I answered pretty much everything already.

>> No.22850821
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22850821

>>22850549
Get over yourself faggot

>> No.22850867

>>22850821
Love you frenanon,
screencap my public key... I am sure some of you fags will beg for it after this all goes exactly how I told already.

>> No.22850915

OP tell us what else do you use to study links price actions. Also what are the most useful TA indicators in your opinion as a quant?

>> No.22851011

>>22850809
Op you claim that you are doing this to help other anons. You may have even convinced yourself of that. But really you are just attention starved and craving validation. You want your opinion to matter. The problem is, it doesn’t.

>> No.22851015
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22851015

>>22850867
Sorry sir, how do I do that? I dont know how to yse the GPG codes. Please advise or make a trip.

Is it cool to buy LINK like around November? I get that we're in an election year, and COVID and stuff, so quant analysis might not be 100% accurate, but not sure when to buy. Please advise

>> No.22851189

>>22850915
>useful TA indicators
anon, this is a multidisciplinary field.
Learn programming (python)
learn statistics
learn finance
learn crypto (specifically eth block structure and protocols)
And be rutheless.

Here these lectures will get you started: https://www.quantopian.com/lectures

Oh and read this first: https://www.digitalocean.com/community/tutorials/how-to-use-gpg-to-encrypt-and-sign-messages#:~:text=Sign%20Their%20Key,%2Dkey%20email%40example.com

If you manage to share your key (or encrypt your email with my key and send it to me) I will teach you EVERYTHING I know...

I am seeking for SPECIFIC individuals.

>> No.22851208

>>22851015
Read
>>22851189

>>22851011
We will see after my predictions come true, although I got to admit you are actually quite correct in my motivation ^_^
I am quite lonely at times.

>> No.22851298

>>22849073
i was the first responder to your original thread. just so incredible to see you keep up this incredible work. i have no doubt that a number of companies would pay top dollar ($) for these type of advanced quantitative, numerical methods. please let me know your email address so i can put you in touch with contacts in industry

>> No.22851460

>>22851298
you franon
>>andothers

I see you are actually not able to contact me due to GnuPG let me make this easy for you. Copy paste this post with MY ID ((ID: JYkKoM+6) 09/27/20(Sun)04:22:02 No.22850328) That is everything beginning and including -----BEGIN PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK----- until and including -----END PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK----- into this site: https://www.igolder.com/pgp/encryption/
Under the PGP Public Key textfield.

Type your email / discord / telegram / IRC channel / whatever in Message to encrypt. Click "Encrypt Message" then paste the output (after clicking button where encrypted text is) here in a reply to THIS comment.

What you are doing is sharing details publicly without anybody here except me able to read it. This is complex math shit but this breaks it down for noobs (no need to watch just if you are paranoid or want explanation): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AQDCe585Lnc

Good luck, you will be contacted.

>> No.22851497

>>22851460
do you have any tips on what to study to re-create your work?

>> No.22851747

>>22851497
Read the thread fren, I will stop replying to anything redundantly asked from now on
Here is a tip: No.22851208

>> No.22851902

>>22849073
-0.0139 -0.0253 -0.0114
Almost there frens

>> No.22851911

>>22851747

Give us something fun.

EOY Price Prediction?

How many months until staking?

>> No.22852002

>>22851911
see
>>22850192

>> No.22852090

>>22849073
Imagine not selling 90% of your Chainlink bags at 200x ICO and then waiting a year or two for re-buys. IT'S OVER. we all won.

Mining Safex now, only, until 2021 Q4.

>> No.22852135
File: 406 KB, 1200x1200, DRC10xTVoAAjR9w.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852135

Pee

Pee

Poo

Poo

>> No.22852151

>>22849477
Checked and based OP irrevocably BTFO

>> No.22852156
File: 73 KB, 468x320, t1m3.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852156

>>22849073
^_^

>> No.22852172

>>22851189
>seeking specific individuals
>must sign gpg to communicate
Come on anon ive been around long enough to know better. But lets keep it going why do you use the ema lengths that you do? Do you use the 8 on the daily chart as well or got any other explanations as to your style for trading?

>> No.22852190

shut the fuck op, ta fag

>> No.22852241

>>22852172
Like I said, these drawings are just a way to communicate actual underlying quantitative models with sigma =<5%. Communicate with me if you want to know more. Sigma has been only increasing.

>> No.22852300

>>22852002

Hence, why I said give us something fun... and asked for a prediction you insufferable autismo.

>> No.22852355

>>22852241
Ok ill rephrase my question- as a quant which TA concepts seem the most useful to you? Do you think it is still possible to be profitable using discretionary trading and fundamental TA? And can you explain what sigma is and why its low value is so important

>> No.22852510

>>22852355
Apologies I have not answered your question how you wanted me to do.

>> as a quant which TA concepts seem the most useful to you?
Literally anything that can give you alpha (sorry to drop terminology here is a link "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alpha_(finance)" tldr is anything that can give a statistical significant (this is where the sigma comes in, it determines how likely your alpha is due to randomness as compared to actually being caused by your model) results.

>> Do you think it is still possible to be profitable using discretionary trading and fundamental TA
Absolutely, but is it due to luck or your tactics? How would you even figure out? Day trading can be profitable and there are profitable day traders, what we do is automate the decisions they make (and add a lot more factors).

>> And can you explain what sigma is and why its low value is so important
It differentiates my predictions from random chance. I can predict anything and that could very well happen, how likely is it to happen due to my model compared to pure luck or chance? Notice my confidence? It increased dramatically, long ago have I sold off, this is due to the model becoming more and more likely to explain what is happening compared with sheer luck as time goes on.

Pleas anon continue asking, you are the only one who shows genuine interest. This can be rewarded in ways you do not understand now, please see:
No.22851460
Or continue to ask, I will stick around for a while.

>> No.22852588
File: 314 KB, 955x794, Screenshot_20200927-003700_Firefox.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852588

>>22851208
>read
Nope. Fuck right on off, autist. Watch what happens in Nov. Hopefully your """"charts"""" plan for that. Aight bro good talk. I dont underatand it, but summary I got from it was dont sell, and buy sometimes.

>> No.22852600
File: 227 KB, 1520x2048, 385EC9A7-8E3C-45FF-9DBF-EE1925C75F7C.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852600

Can you, or someone here, please explain this in plain English?

>> No.22852646

>>22852600
I think that OP thinks that the price will go down in the short term against fiat currencies, allowing us to sell before it goes down further or accumulate more for long term gains.

>> No.22852660

>>22852600
please, feel free to ask questions. I am not evil. I will answer any question no matter how stupid. I will explain it in more simpler terms in case you want me to.

Its the reason I am here after all.

>> No.22852709

>>22851208
>We will see after my predictions come true,
>anime smilie face :^)
I absolutely cannot wait until you are proven wrong, anon. Check next week

>> No.22852715

>>22852646
I appreciate it, thank you.

>>22852660
I see no reason to sell if I intend on holding for the long term. Based on what you said, this seems to be a short term phenomena, if I am to presume what you are saying is true. As such, if I simply wait out these alleged upcoming storms, I'll be just fine circa mid-October, November, or even December. Why sell now if I am willing to take a 20% or so loss?

>> No.22852738
File: 128 KB, 1901x1076, link5.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852738

As predicted the 1H MACD has passed. From now on my model stops predicting more accurately. This is how accurate it gets.

Reminder everything I said up till now happened. Everything I said that will happen will VERY LIKELY happen. ^_^

>> No.22852783
File: 226 KB, 800x778, t1m3d0n3.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852783

>>22852715
100% correct, see >>22850529
I am just protecting you from emotion. It damages you, it must be dealt with or ignored. For those who find ways to not sell, blessed are you!
Do mind you, I (almost) always make profit, no matter what the price does.

>> No.22852799

>Once the 1H (12,26) MACD crosses dumps incoming, look at the tail. Smart money knows.

You should explain how a drunk guy who is only good enough at computers to buy and hold cryptocurrency and shitpost might look at the tail or why? Most people aren't really familiar with these charts and lines.

>> No.22852836

>>22852799
see
>>22852660

>> No.22852876

>>22852799
The reason is because most likely this. Others (algorithms) where very aware what could have happened, they traded exactly how they should have but it did not go immediately 100% how it would have been most logical to unfold. In the end it does not matter, it will still happen. You do know what a tail is do you?

>> No.22852929
File: 402 KB, 828x869, DD900ED0-AE63-4CD6-8D45-4A4F12B1B498_1_201_a.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22852929

>>22852783
Fair enough. Although the way you frame your argument appears, if you will, misleading.

It appears that you are warning us to sell, as opposed to developing the psychological strength to HODL, as we have collectively been conditioned to since the winter of 2017.

That said, sure. OK, great.

My conclusion is, thereby, HODL; however, I do doubt your quantitative analysis simply based on the time frame between your initial post, OP, and now. It's been more than a few hours and the price has remained relatively stable.

Though, thanks for some interesting reading.

As always, $1000 EOY.

>> No.22853031

imagine doing TA against fiat pairings and fucking euro nevertheless

>> No.22853051

can't wait for OP to get utterly btfo

>> No.22853064

>>22852738
I managed to accumulate 1000 LINK recently and will not be swing trading it. If we drop to $4 I will unironically buy $40k worth to increase my stack to 11k LINK. That is all. Thanks.

>> No.22853067
File: 129 KB, 500x709, 1597039044358.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22853067

Let's say I read 22852783. Let's say I wanted to invest in LINK right now. Do your statistical models show thia going down in a couple weeks? Asking for a buddy of mine

>> No.22853081

Shit, I'm late to the thread but have been waiting on Link to crash before accumulating.

>> No.22853236

>>22852510
Thanks for the reply. Unlike most of posters here I dont think holding through dumps is admirable or praise worthy, just proof that you couldnt see what was coming and secure your profits in time. Have you always traded using quant methods or were you ever a regular trader before that? Care to share some of those eureka moments you had that led you to become better at trading like when you finally "figured it out" on a concept or strategy?

>> No.22853261

>>22853067
see
>>22850192
and
>>22850192
The previous support comment has nothing to do with the model, its just a feeling (the enemy).
I frankly do not give a fuck and will not waste time calculating this for you.

>>22852929
You are correct, remember I (almost) always have gains tough, whether up or down. Try calculating how much this actually differs from your strategy...

As for my prediction you are correct yet I am already as confident as can be, see >>22852738
Just wait anon, see where the blue line meets the purple one? that is where things will most likely (this is less accurate than the reversal itself) will be most severe.

We are pas past the beginning, but not yet at the end of the start.

>> No.22853301

>>22853236
I have lost my entire savings multiple times. I have tried just about everything. What worked (and can be proven up to sigma =<5% is what I use, If you want to know exactly what I do >>22851460

>> No.22853310

>>22852929
Based and redpilled. That's my hashtag code btw in case you ever need my digits. Cya at the yacht party fren

>> No.22853338

>>22853031
see
>>22852241

>> No.22853391

>>22852876
>>22852876
No I'm not sure what the tail refers to, a specific candle I'd guess?

>> No.22853395
File: 8 KB, 225x225, laughpepe.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22853395

>>22849073
>>22849103
>>22849161
>>22849190
>>22849202
>>22849209
>>22849262
> technical analysis
you niggers realize this only works in hindsight right? read upp on hindsight before you use muh psychology to analyze assets

>> No.22853415

>>22853391
yes, it indicated a lot of volume and sell pressure at the moment the actual signal emerged.

>> No.22853436

>>22853395
partly right fren, see
>>22849262

>> No.22853457

>>22853338
see
>>22853301
>I have lost my entire savings multiple times

why would anyone listen to you retard?

>> No.22853458

>>22853301
Do you trade yourself or do you automate your trades?

>> No.22853520

>>22853458
100% automated.
I learned not to trust any decision not written down in code.

>> No.22853579

>>22853261
>see
Thank you sir.

>> No.22853584

>>22853457
Because the trend is reversing, After you notice what happened you start to question how could this have been predicted? Is it really possible to predict markets? What would determine the future of millions of people with free will making complex decisions? If OP could predict that, what else can he predict? How much money would you be able to make this way? And at that point I vanished out of your life. Nothing but a fainting memory of something which should not be possible.

>> No.22853653

>>22853584
why aren't you a literal billionaire then if you can predict these things?

instead you literally admitted you have lost it all multiple times like the degenerate gambler that you are

you are doing dogshit TA on the like 6th most popular at best link pair and you expect people to take this shit seriously.

sage because you are wasting my time

>> No.22853671

>>22853261
Also, feelings are not enemies. Feelings are good. It's what makes us human.

>> No.22853716

>>22853671
What are you 12? We are talking about being emotional and not rational when trading not acting like a robot and not hugging your kids
>>22853301
Interesting, so how did you become a quant if you were doing other types of trading before? At what age did you learn python

>> No.22853739
File: 246 KB, 500x500, 1596901185253.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22853739

Nothing happening with link also there was a anon who said indicator told btc is going down.

>> No.22853776

>>22853653

>>why aren't you a literal billionaire then if you can predict these things?
^_^

>>instead you literally admitted you have lost it all multiple times like the degenerate gambler that you are
I have been indeed, just like you are now. Lost hopeless, you do not understand what actually works.

>>you are doing dogshit TA on the like 6th most popular at best link pair and you expect people to take this shit seriously.
At least read what was posted, here is a tip >>22849262

>>sage because you are wasting my time
I will always love you fren

>> No.22853846

Doesn't look good for your shorterm prediction OP, LINK is testing €9 as we speak

>> No.22853849

Everyone get ready to point an laugh at OP, he gets BTFO in the next hour

>> No.22853857

I am a long term link holder. I can't be fucked with the taxes or the trading. Thankfully, all I have to do is not give a fuck for another 5 years.

>> No.22853867

>>22853520
Do you write code that calls the exchange APIs? If you press the “sell 1,000 link” button on your system, will that kick off some crazy algo that spends the next 30 mins selling a little here, rebuying a little there etc?
Do you have a panel with crazy buttons on it like “place sell wall” and sliders between “bear” and “bull”?
None of this is meant as a joke. I’m a coder since 30 years, started investing about a year ago, the intention was always to just invest and hold (I manage to do this on btc) but this crazy volatility has me acting closer to a day trader trying just to manage things from going to shit. I have basically stared at charts for half a year now, my trades are getting better but I constantly ponder that I should just code up a dashboard with algos instead of basically just lazily hitting “limit order for 1k at $5”.

>> No.22853876
File: 1.45 MB, 2475x3300, 1598794924548.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22853876

>>22853716
You have high IQ, but you have low EQ. Sorry buddy I know it's not your fault.

>> No.22853900

>>22853716

>>so how did you become a quant if you were doing other types of trading before?
Yes, I started out as a day trader, which really fucking sucked. Then I became a I guess value investor, more long term. It worked but was really slow to accumulate wealth. But it provided me with insight that there exists certain information which does predict markets. The efficient market hypothesis is 100% false. I did way different stuff that was profitable, think about (its legal in crypt) front running trades. Arbitrage... Then came statistical arbitrage. From there things kind of kicked off and the realization that tweets, discord messages, 4chan threads, weather, humidity and the distance of the moon are all inherently correlated in a certain way. Some correlations are useless. The hard part is finding something that not only works in backtests, but actually has predictive power. Then you start to combine these sources of alpha into a model. Then you reduce your beta on the model https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greeks_(finance).. Its kinda hard to explain here and I actually refuse to full explain it here.
If you want to know look at >>22852510

>>At what age did you learn python
Sorry nothing related to my age.
Python was something I learned after having learned C and x86/amd64. (I used to hate it with a passion).

>> No.22853916

>>22853776
>I have been indeed, just like you are now
We got in on link years ago and held. We're early adopters. Cope, gambler.

>> No.22853950

>>22853867
There are different parts to it, first there is data gathering. Then there is statistical significant alpha. Then you have strategy to buy or sell if the model thinks you should (like dollar cost averaging for example). Then you have the amount of leverage and how to actually do it.

>>Do you write code that calls the exchange APIs?
Yes, not just CEX but also DEX.

>>Do you have a panel with crazy buttons on it like “place sell wall” and sliders between “bear” and “bull”?
Nope, it runs 24/7

>>None of this is meant as a joke. I’m a coder since 30 years, started investing about a year ago, the intention was always to just invest and hold (I manage to do this on btc) but this crazy volatility has me acting closer to a day trader trying just to manage things from going to shit. I have basically stared at charts for half a year now, my trades are getting better but I constantly ponder that I should just code up a dashboard with algos instead of basically just lazily hitting “limit order for 1k at $5”.
VERY INTERESTING, please do look at here, you might be the first: 22852510

>> No.22853993

>>22849073
>>22849103
>>22849190
>>22849262
>>22849922
>>22850028
>>22850143
>>22850192
>>22850313
>>22850328
>>22850394
>>22850445
>>22850487
>>22850529
>>22850549
>>22850590
>>22850617
>>22850809
>>22850867
>>22851189
>>22851208
>>22851460
>>22851747
>>22851902
>>22852002
>>22852156
>>22852241
>>22852510
>>22852660
>>22852738
>>22852783
>>22852836
>>22852876
>>22853261
>>22853301
>>22853338
>>22853415
>>22853436
>>22853520
>>22853584
>>22853776
for those wanting a summary of this faggot's drivel
>he claimed that he delivered and is already backing out and saying that his predictions are "less accurate at this point"
>he thinks that calling his faggy Technical Astrology "quantitative analysis" makes it legitimate
>50/50 chance line goes up and he memory holes this garbage and disappears
>50/50 chance line goes down, but nothing significant / straight back to crabbing and he claims he was correct even though he has no fucking idea what he's doing, disappears anyway
in short, s and h for yet another men's astrology thread

>> No.22854017

>>22853900
Question: when I look at say the order book on coinbase pro, it flickers like a Christmas tree, orders being placed and removed all the time at dizzying speed, obviously algos moving their positions around. Now, when I place a limit order, it of course just sits there. So I wonder, does that stick out like a sore thumb to the AIs, can they detect human trades and know that they are all and always dumb money by definition, and not only steal the money but also conclude that there’s new suckers being drawn in and adapt?

>> No.22854044

>>22853993
Thank you for the summary fren.

>> No.22854058

>>22853993
This
Thanks anon
When will ta fags learn

>> No.22854087

>>22853950
>please do look at here
If I was younger I’d frankly be interested, but now I’m to vested in my real career to build a new one. But thanks, and I believe in what you do.

>> No.22854088

>>22853993
You missed that he is switching IDs to make it seem like anyone gives a shit about his genius quant magic

>> No.22854092
File: 98 KB, 605x378, funny-bears-doing-human-things-14.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854092

>>22853900
>arbitrage
Dang i got BTFO trying to arbitarily trade RLC from binance to bittrex. It would've worked, but I forgot about the taxes, trading fees and such

>> No.22854142

>>22854017

>>when I look at say the order book on coinbase pro, it flickers like a Christmas tree, orders being placed and removed all the time at dizzying speed, obviously algos moving their positions around
Correct, these high frequency algorithms place new orders at every single opportunity (possible update to the server).

>>Now, when I place a limit order, it of course just sits there. So I wonder, does that stick out like a sore thumb to the AIs,
It will stick out, these algorithms are called predatory trading algorithms. Yet they do not use AI (at least I have not found good academic papers about using order book analysis together with AI that provided more returns then non AI based).

>>, can they detect human trades and know that they are all and always dumb money by definition
Yes they can, +90% of human trades are extremely dumb in the short term (domain of HFT high frequency trading). But they being dumb to HFT does not really mean that it is dumb in the long term.

>>and not only steal the money but also conclude that there’s new suckers being drawn in and adapt?
Yes, they even constantly battle each other as well predicting what algorithms work against humans, that is what they use as alpha because they have knowledge about the future.

Have a look at this video, it is pretty interesting: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-9A0ar70pI&feature=emb_logo

>> No.22854172

>>22854087
Bless you anon, may baphomet always show you both ways!

>> No.22854208

>>22854088
Fwiw I’m not OP and I think it’s real. When you’re a coder or mathematician you see this from the opposite perspective, it’s all about to what degree it works, and pretty much anything better than random is profitable. But it’s really tricky to prove that your model is better than random, and what’s worse is that your model competes in an environment of other models that will over time learn to take your model into account and nullify its advantages, very much like a biological, evolutionary system/arms race. So ta works, qa works, fa works, they all work better than ignoring them, but if you do them right they come with confidence levels that guide how much you bet on them. TA will seem idiotic very fast if you bet the farm every time, because you will lose it all within 3 trades and conclude it doesn’t work at all.

>> No.22854230

>>22854017
Good question aboyt the algos, I'd be interested in how to do this (but not GPG super-interested)

>> No.22854241

>>22854142
Thanks a lot, a bunch of thoughts that have been rumbling around as pure speculation in my head the last six months suddenly feel way more solid. I really appreciate it.

>> No.22854271
File: 1.44 MB, 750x1334, F1152804-ABF0-41FE-A78B-D06E22EF34A5.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854271

Absolute bottom IS IN

>> No.22854281

>>22854208
you get it fren

others see
>>22852510

Here is someone more based the me: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Simons_(mathematician)
He understood that a group of motivated and intelligent people, would ultimately together create models that would change the idea of finance. He is the living proof the efficient market hypothesis is utter bullshit. Actually he and his team specifically the medallion fund.
Good interview here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0

Now this is why I made this thread, we need to combine our alpha. We will together be able to become what his fund was for stocks in the crypto world.

>> No.22854310

>>22854208
I’m not saying TA doesn’t work, I’m saying OP is full of shit. We are now 14 hours after his initial proclamation. Link is still not correcting down.

>> No.22854322

>>22854230
answered here
>>22854142

>>22854241
see
>>22854281
and
>>22852510

>>22854271
sigh...

>> No.22854367

>>22854142
Ok that video was hilarious. Imagine watching your bot being part of this but not knowing if you should turn it off because you can’t tell if it’s winning.

>> No.22854420

>>22854322
>sigh..
Lmao. Thanks bro. Hopefully your algos aren't trading your full stack. Goodnight my fren.

>> No.22854426

>>22854310
Well, I’m not complaining because I’m holding. But again, statistics aren’t about 100% predictions, and /biz/ is a forum where mixing what is really amazingly dry arguments about numbers shifting with a bit of dramatic flair is often appreciated, so you can’t really blame OP for trying.

>> No.22854441

>>22854367
That is what this person alluded to
>>22854208
I can create a model for any amount of data that will predict it, but the more I try with my models the larger the chance it will predict the data due to pure chance, we of course have formal techniques to deal with this. Its called hypothesis testing and is directly related to the
sigma mentioned
my dear fren summarized the thread for me
>>22853993
Just look how many times I refer to this sigma, ITS VERY IMPORTANT.
However thankful I am to you.
>>22853993
You are talking about very short timeframes, I know what will happen and have stated it hours ago, I do not care if it goes up a bit now. Because the chances of me being wrong are so infinitesimally small that being hit by lightning should worry me more.

>> No.22854455

>it’s starting to dump
>OP was right
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
STINKTARDS BTFO ETERNALLY

>> No.22854469

>>22854420
No, they trade WAY more then my stack. I leverage almost all my trades to the maximum, mostly based on Kelly criterion see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion

>> No.22854471

>>22854441
>You are talking about very short timeframes, I know what will happen and have stated it hours ago, I do not care if it goes up a bit now. Because the chances of me being wrong are so infinitesimally small that being hit by lightning should worry me more.

If you are that confident then commit to putting a sharpie in your butt if you are wrong

>> No.22854479
File: 61 KB, 1024x576, 1591747656126m.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854479

>>22854441
>Because the chances of me being wrong are so infinitesimally small that being hit by lightning should worry me more.

Absolutely based man. Thank you for the thread and your thoughts, honestly

>> No.22854492
File: 138 KB, 1280x1038, 1538603957157.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854492

>>22854310
>I’m not saying TA doesn’t work
Ok, I'm not a pussy so I'll say it for you.

TA doesn't work.

>> No.22854512

>>22854469
>No, they trade WAY more then my stack. I leverage almost all my trades to the maximum, mostly based on Kelly criterion see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterio

OK, sorry sir, but now I'm kinda worried about your actions
Please stay safe bro

>> No.22854538

>>22854479
see (I do not use TA)
>>22849262
I am happy I helped you out. Hopefully on time ^_^
>>22854479
Please people, I am sharing this because I can lead you to the correct path, you do not have to be a genius. You do not have to know mathematics. You do not have to know how to code. I am a dropout since age 17. If you are dedicated and willing to follow my guidance you will achieve more then you ever thought was possible. Please reach out, this information is shared not because I want to help you, we together will create the perfect model. Reach out to me at once see: >>22852510

>> No.22854551

>>22854538
If you intend to buy the dip, how low will you wait for?

>> No.22854552

How is this dumb fucking thread still alive. OP do everyone a favour and volunteer to be the first in line to trial smart contract assassinations. Your sacrifice will do more for us than your faggot threads ever will.

>> No.22854568

>>22854538
Bro you're like the new assblaster. Please please please use a tripcode going forward

>> No.22854577

>>22854281
So since this is your thread and you don’t seem averse to shooting the breeze...
Which of these in your opinion have a (good) role in price prediction: genetic algos, neural nets, ML, baysian nets?
I have thought a bunch about using genetic algos to find weightings to indicators and such, think it would do better than the other alternatives?

>> No.22854583

>>22854538
So, I see your advising to sell now but then what's the price to buy back in?

>> No.22854611
File: 102 KB, 640x512, contactme_i_am_lonely_i_like_snakes_and_hourglasses.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854611

>>22854568
Give me a name, please understand I do not bullshit, I will not post much. I am here to recruit very specific people those will be rewarded. See this is a commercial... something like a proof of concept... name me I might return if I need more of you... I might not, better yet follow the instructions in this thread and you will be rewarded in ways you do not understand.

>> No.22854630

>>22854583
You are missing the point my fren. >>22850192
You currently do not understand what I am doing, but you might one day. I am recruiting. REACH THE FUCK OUT!!!

>> No.22854639

is this thread based or gay, it's really long and I don't feel like reading, OG linkies please tell me, I'm pretty sure it's gay

>> No.22854655
File: 10 KB, 230x87, Screen Shot 2020-09-26 at 11.40.31 PM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854655

clearly gay, imagine falling for this, buy signal, in all fields

>> No.22854659

>>22854611
BasedQuant Bro

>> No.22854665

>>22854577
Abstain from AI, I have yet to read a paper which had more alpha than most other conventional methods used.

Fuck okay I will give you some info because you asked...

See:
>>22852510
>>22854142
tldr: do not use AI.

Imagine it works (great right?) Imagine it does not, WHY THE FUCK DOES IT NOT WORK?
I can answer questions like that, when I use AI I will not be able anymore.

see:
>>22854208
and my responses.

>> No.22854673

>>22854639
tl;dr ta fag highschool dropout makes a trip and shills his "knowledge" to credulous nulinkers

>> No.22854677

>>22854611
Also, to clarify, not trying to get recruited with frats.

>> No.22854689

>>22854655
Thank you for bumping I love you my fren.
May baphomet show you both ways.
>>22854639
I understand, just hold, you are not dumb by definition.... Its best for people like you, trust me I am good. I am not evil. But this thread is selfish in the sense that I am here to recruit.

>> No.22854697

>>22854665
>WHY THE FUCK DOES IT NOT WORK
Haha that’s a really good point. But don’t all models devolve into such complexity before they’re any good?

>> No.22854713

>>22854611
You should start a “I’m putting together a team” thread.

>> No.22854717

Just for the new people here, this started quite a while ago.

First Thread created
09/26/20(Sat)19:16:57

Model started to become rather certain (proof by my last comment made).
09/26/20(Sat)20:08:19 No.22841021

Second thread created,
09/27/20(Sun)03:11:08

Current time about 09/27/20(Sun)08:4X:XX

>> No.22854758

>>22854639
Op claimed link would crash based on his quant magic and 15 hours late he still hasn’t delivered

>> No.22854768

>>22854673
It’s not about ta or qa it’s about algo trading.

>> No.22854779

>>22852600
yeah op is a massive raging faggot

>> No.22854791

Not saying OP's right, but Link just started a downturn and is nosing towards the $10 line as I type this. Check your charts.

>> No.22854809

>>22849073
I have over 12 Million in Link. Guess what?
I'm not selling.

>> No.22854812
File: 27 KB, 713x270, screenshot.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854812

>>22854791
No, seriously. Something just fucking happened.

>> No.22854814

>>22854791
BTC dropped 100 bucks everything is moving downwards right now, nothing to do with LINK or OP's retarded astrology.

>> No.22854820

Appreciate you OP

>> No.22854829

>>22854814
Guess I'll keep watching, just in case. I've been waiting for a crash to buy in on.

>> No.22854860

>>22854768
Wrong, the algorithms explained in >>22854142
is NOT what I do, this would scare the living shit out of me from a risk management perspective, its purely QA algos just facilitate it, QA is the underlying logic.
>>22854758
We are pas past the beginning, but not yet at the end of the start. Do not be bothered by small fluctuations, do you really think MCAP of link moves that easily?
>>22854809
see:
>>22854689

>>22854814
Do you REALLY think my model is based of link alone?

This is answered in the first thread >>22850617
here you go.

>>22854820
Thanks please do look at this: >>22852510

>>22854829
you also look...

>> No.22854899

>>22854860
I am reading, I'm just in way over my head. I appreciate you typing all this up.

>> No.22854903

>>22854829
Ideally btc crashes into the 9k range and the market settles it once and for all it's a bull market. Fucking sucks trying to swing when the BTC god at any moment can lightning strike your stop loss.

>> No.22854933

>>22854860
>VERY accaraute indicator (
Post short positions and timeframe since it's so "accaraute" :')

>> No.22854949
File: 98 KB, 1536x722, Chainlink-LINK-1-1536x722.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854949

>>22849073
Itll go up

>> No.22854986
File: 42 KB, 849x486, link.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854986

>>22854860

Nah, LINK looks like it is taking a breather right here before another pump. See you above $12 in a couple of days.

>> No.22854989

>>22854860
Thank you anon, I trusted you and I sold just before the dump, fuck the naysayers

>> No.22854993
File: 91 KB, 500x500, BasedQuantBro.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22854993

>>22854659
>BasedQuant Bro
You have named me, I will from now be known as BasedQuantBro. My tripcode is in this post.
I have signed the following message with my public key (remove the quotes) "BasedQuantBro"

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-----END PGP MESSAGE-----

>> No.22855027

>>22854933
I am here to recruit, if you prove worthy everything will be shared (you will actually be providing these very same alpha sources after a brief introduction yourself). This is all for now, NOBODY has responded yet. Lets wait a bit more shall we?

We are pas past the beginning, but not yet at the end of the start.

>> No.22855030

>>22851460
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>> No.22855031
File: 78 KB, 1237x893, link 2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22855031

>>22854986

Weekly Chart.

Beautiful kiss off the MA. We are headed upwards. If you've traded LINK enough youd know 65% to 70% pull backs have happened about 6 to 7 times over the past 2 years. Like clockwork clearing out weak hands only to push back to ATH.

>> No.22855055

>>22854993
All hail BasedQuant Bro!

>> No.22855065

>>22855030
Thank you fren, I have decrypted your email address, the procedure is that I will wait until this thread dies out before contacting you.

>> No.22855079

>>22854860
Yes but I think the reason your qa works is that the algos also use it. It then starts to act as de facto “guard rails” for the algos’ movements.
Here’s why I think AI is needed, again it’s just speculation because I’m the one asking you stuff here, but nevertheless: we’re still early with algo trading, just as we’re early with poker bots. At first, bots play by math, which is enough to beat all humans. But when bots play each other they have no advantage. So someone clever figures out a way to write a bot that exploits the fact that they can predict all the other bots play by math. Perhaps they can afford outsize bluffing. But then other bots have to learn to not become exploited by that, and it becomes interesting. At this point, the generalized conclusion is that you need a system that identifies what strategies other systems are playing by, and apply the appropriate exploits. Basically, qa might work now, but it might stop working suddenly if the bots shift mode, and an expert bot has to be able to detect this shift, identity the new rules and adapt. I think you’ll need all the tools in the toolbox for that, the stuff I listed earlier and more.

>> No.22855086

>>22854993
You named yourself, no one is falling for your schizo posting under multiple IPs.

>> No.22855091

>>22855027
If you want anyone to take you seriously you must show you put your money where your mouth is. Until then you're just another LARPing TAfag

>> No.22855103

>>22851460
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>> No.22855110

>>22855031
The downward pressure is on check the chart

>> No.22855130

>>22854860
What does pas past mean? I've never heard that word 'pas', and google just says it's about ballet dancing.

>> No.22855136

>>22855103
Thank you fren, I have decrypted your email address, the procedure is that I will wait until this thread dies out before contacting you.

>> No.22855157

>>22855079
Send your email, we can discuss (and hopefully you can convince me that I am wrong) this in more detail. I can show you why I think it will not work. Look at >>22854577 for a brief explanation.

>> No.22855178

>>22855130
Enough for now, if you already have send your email you can ask me anything you want.

>> No.22855217
File: 46 KB, 480x960, 1590508080863.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22855217

>>22854993
Lmao! Hell yeah brah

>> No.22855241

>>22855157
Just consider this: when backtesting models, they all have different periods where they shine (even if none are better than chance in the long run). What if you could find a way to simply run them all in parallel with virtual purses but continuously detect which one would be profitable right now and switch to letting that one control the real purse. That’s essentially what a genetic algo is all about, and profitability is a hell of a clearcut fitness function. Just saying ;)

>> No.22855258

>>22855241
You sound interesting, share your email. I have my own thoughts on this, together we will produce the optimal model. We will share profits together. See >>22852510

>> No.22855266

>>22855178
No, sorry BasedQuantBro. Please explain what 'pas past' means in this thread

>> No.22855292
File: 57 KB, 528x432, dccjo0j-142d0303-126b-4f82-87ff-ad06768a764f.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22855292

>>22855136
Please stop scaring me man

>> No.22855306

so is link crashing or what? i'm both retarded and illiterate

>> No.22855312

>>22855266
I am very sorry, please contact me. I was honest in my underlying motivation to share this with you my frens

>> No.22855331

>>22855241
>>22855258
>>22855266
These fags amount for over half of the threads posts.
Sage goes in all fields.

>> No.22855334

>>22854993
you're that fucker that has predicted every link breakout aren't you

>> No.22855355

>>22855334
no

>>22855331
I love you my fren.

>> No.22855508

>>22852929
I really, really, really like this image. Mind if I save it?

>> No.22855747

>>22849073
Reminder
> >>22849073
Reminder
>We are pas past the beginning, but not yet at the end of the start.

>> No.22855772

>>22855306
It's both but your going to have to buy this guys book to find out.

>> No.22855782

>>22855772
Please, drop me an email >>22850549
>I will not DEMAND you to do what I want, do whatever you please anon I love you <3

>> No.22856209
File: 10 KB, 252x200, 1594258850933.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22856209

quantbro i am a brainlet and do not understand all this math stuff. can you tell me if i will make it with my 1k link stack ? thank u fren godspeed

>> No.22856233

>>22856209
No I can not, I can predict what a million of you would do, but just a single one is way to complex.

>> No.22856254

>>22856209
You will make it fren. Just hold on. The ride is the most fun, don't fall out

>> No.22856331
File: 22 KB, 640x480, Figure_1.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22856331

>>22855782
I haven't been on biz in months but I was searching the archives for 'quant' and you seem interesting. I recently started attempting to get
into algo trading and got a pretty good backtest in TV on 2 months of data, then scraped some more data and found it to be pretty good, 68k profit in last 3 years for constantly buying and selling 1 single btc. Too bad it's currently dependent on market orders which I'm trying to see if I can make some work around.

You talked about mentioning the distance of the moon being a factor? I find that super interesting
and wanna know if there are other such similar
connections.

Also I assume that you've developed multiple algorithms/models, so I wanna ask do you believe an extremely simple algorithm is capable of creating surprising results?

I'll send the GPG encryption message thingy, never done it but seems like I can figure it out in
a minute.

>> No.22856350

>>22856331
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>> No.22856385

>>22856350
Thank you fren, I have decrypted your email address, the procedure is that I will wait until this thread dies out before contacting you.

>> No.22856387

>>22856350
>Bouncy castle pgp
KEK

>> No.22856392

>>22854639
i love this thread purely because retarded linkies think OP saying 'link will dump for a few days' means he's slandering LINK.
I love LINK, but /biz/ is so ridiculously cultish abt it

>> No.22856394

>>22850445
Hey question since you're a quant. I'm looking for a paper about whales being the most influential factor in markets/price movements. By any chance you know it? Read it but can't find it anymore.

>> No.22856407

>>22854639
very gay, somebody using C# BCPG is either larping or a total moron

>> No.22856493

>>22856331
>I haven't been on biz in months but I was searching the archives for 'quant' and you seem interesting. I recently started attempting to get
into algo trading and got a pretty good backtest in TV on 2 months of data, then scraped some more data and found it to be pretty good, 68k profit in last 3 years for constantly buying and selling 1 single btc. Too bad it's currently dependent on market orders which I'm trying to see if I can make some work around.
That sounds interesting. Usually there is some kind of signal determining the strength (not mandatory could be binary). This kind of determines how aggressive you buy. Imagine support at 10 resistance at 12, you ideally if going long without that much certainty in the models prediction, buy in at just above 10 and immediately put a offer once it reaches below 9.95 for example. If support would be broken it would probably go down by quite a lot. Support protects you.
Now on the other side you have quite some room to go to resistance at 11. It is quite depended on the alpha factors though, some actually contradict each other short term and getting into and out of markets is way harder then it first seems.

>You talked about mentioning the distance of the moon being a factor? I find that super interesting
and wanna know if there are other such similar
connections.
The idea is everything is correlated, not necessarily a causation. The trick is not to begin searching for correlations in the first place. First comes a hypothesis. Then you test it against a null hypothesis. Finding correlations is fun, here are some weird examples that could happen if you start the wrong way around (pic related).

>Also I assume that you've developed multiple algorithms/models, so I wanna ask do you believe an extremely simple algorithm is capable of creating surprising results?
Actually, the algorithms, or alpha factors should be as simple as possible.

>> No.22856526

>>22856493
cont
Easily testable, If you depend on many independent variables you will never know which (or which combination) was causing the correlation.

After you found those "building blocks" you add them into a sort of framework which allows them to be combined, here is where magic happens. Some traders already know you alpha so the returns are basically "shared" so you get less. Now if you have multiple alpha factors. Probably all traders combined know all factors already. But no single trader has the specific combination that you have. So you have a unique signature.

>I'll send the GPG encryption message thingy, never done it but seems like I can figure it out in
a minute.
Thanks a lot anon! You will be contacted, please let me know if you have any further questions.

>> No.22856543
File: 5 KB, 358x141, correlation.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22856543

>>22856526
here is the pic.

>> No.22856561

>>22856394
Which markets?

>> No.22856574

>>22856407
I shared my pubkey in this thread search for the signature "-----BEGIN PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK-----". Its the other anons that use the site since it can be cumbersome for some to set up GPG (their identity is still protected from the rest, just like mine).

>> No.22856586

>>22856392
I guess its for the best, imagine 90% here buying in and out multiple times a day. You know how that would end for them right? ^_^

>> No.22856593

>>22856574
I saw, sorry. But as an old friend said once, I will never decrypt anything that was encrypted with BCPG. You have endangered your opsec. Good luck.

>> No.22856618

>>22856593
First of all, let me correct you. I have not encrypted anything at all. I am just sharing my public key.
I have signed a message containing "BasedQuantBro" without quotes in the first post that had my tripcode.

>You have endangered your opsec
Are you by any chance a IT security manager? They also talk with cool words not really understanding what they are saying, I find it quite cute, love you anon.

>> No.22856655

>>22856618
>IT security manager
not directly, former darknet seller.
Don't come here and whine when your metamask got emptied or your accounts "hacked"

>> No.22856685

>>22856392
LINK could pump or dump short term, I'm simply implying nobody can predict that shit.

>> No.22856701

>>22856655
Did you know people who sell on darknets do not know shit about itsec! Can you exploit heap overflows bypassing ASLR by leaking memory, the continue to carefully craft the virtual memory layout so that an object with vfunc ptrs is aligned just right for you to overflow it will shellcode based on the leaked addr, then trigger the application to execute the overwritten func ptr executing your shellcode using ROP oriented programming to bypass SEH / DEP / and stack canaries? Then actually use the socket you send your data over to establish C2 to a meterpreter? No worries, still love you anon <3

>> No.22856755

>>22856493
>he trick is not to begin searching for correlations in the first place. First comes a hypothesis. Then you test it against a null hypothesis.

Sounds like my psyc100 professor lecturing about the scientific method, I've been busy trying to git gud at math and programming and am now reminded I have a paper due today.

>> No.22856760

>>22856701
I see. You know what you do. Still wouldn't decrypt BCPG encrypted shit outside a VM.

>> No.22856763
File: 70 KB, 1262x580, dumpingrn.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22856763

Oh wow a wopping 5% drop in the last 24 hours and it's still recovering faster than the rest of the market amazing prediction OP thank you.

>> No.22856804

>>22856755
drop an email, you seem to be someone who will fit in.

>>22856760
vmware
https://nafod.net/blog/2020/02/29/zdi-19-421-uhci.html
https://www.zerodayinitiative.com/blog/2020/4/1/cve-2020-3947-use-after-free-vulnerability-in-the-vmware-workstation-dhcp-component

virtualbox
https://github.com/MorteNoir1/virtualbox_e1000_0day
https://www.exploit-db.com/exploits/43878/

qemu
http://www.phrack.org/papers/vm-escape-qemu-case-study.html
https://www.anquanke.com/post/id/83015

>>22856763
see
>>22854860 (reply to >>22854758)

>> No.22856840

>>22856755
sorry my fren, you already did ^_^
Yeah, its pretty much that, but believe me it is way more fun once you use it to take the money of clueless swingers.

>> No.22856858

>>22851460
Thankfully my experience with buying drugs on EmpireMarket has helped me here

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Great thread OP. I only have experience with TA, and nothing to do with algos/QA around crypto. I've worked with modelling through uni so this thread has been an interesting read. Cheers mate

>> No.22856864

>>22856804
I already posted it below my first post.

Also any opinion on recursive algorithms? I know that's vague and broad, but I just have that feeling that something would work well in the markets that is 'recursive'.

>> No.22856884

>>22856858
First some reason I couldn't use your key on my normal GPG software but whatever

>> No.22856923
File: 127 KB, 827x1144, 1597589589956.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22856923

But when do we get 400EUR link? its getting really tiresome over here

>> No.22856927

>>22856864
Thank you fren, I have decrypted your email address, the procedure is that I will wait until this thread dies out before contacting you.

PS do not mind current qualification that much, the most important thing is interest. We will fucking do this shit trust me! I think you will be a great addition.

>>22856864
To be honest, I have not really used this, besides in an algorithm to create binary trees and adding random operators to non leafs, and variables to leafs. The idea is that it would construct technical indicators that then later would be used to see if they made predictions. This failed horribly. Might give very interesting results though so I think we definitely should experiment various techniques.

>> No.22856932
File: 22 KB, 300x300, eti-topkek-kakaolu-35-gr-24-lu-koli-detail-1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22856932

>>22849073
LINK-EUR

>> No.22856934

>>22856923
see
>>22850192
Same goes for the opposite of bottoms.

>> No.22856943

>>22856932
see
>>22849922 (reply to >>22849791)
Love you anon.

>> No.22856946

How many of us here sold on the basis of this thread? I sold zero.

>> No.22856970

>>22856946
zero even tho it really looks like its going to drop (with the whole market as well)

>> No.22856980

>>22856946
Why does that matter? Got some free alpha, make some gains (or not because you have no clue when to buy back in). And after that...? This thread exists to make certain individuals capable of doing this consistently enough to no really give a damn about any specific coin anymore. Drop a mail if that sounds interesting.

>> No.22856994

>>22856804
see>>22856685

>> No.22857042

>>22856685 (apologies missed your question)
I agree 100%, but I am not a proponent of the efficient market hypothesis. Look, if I get enough alhpa to be right 51% of the time. And become capable of executing thousands of trades, the Kelly Criterion (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion)) will still allow me to consistently beat 99% of you swingers who are just doing random shit or listening to gurus with their "signals".

We play this game differently, methodological. We will beat you in every single trade you make until you quit this market or hold.

>> No.22857056

>>22856685 (apologies missed your question)
I agree 100%, but I am not a proponent of the efficient market hypothesis. Look, if I get enough alhpa to be right 51% of the time. And become capable of executing thousands of trades, the Kelly Criterion (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion)) will still allow me to consistently beat 99% of you swingers who are just doing random shit or listening to gurus with their "signals".

We play this game differently, methodological. We will beat you in every single trade you make until you quit this market or hold.

Join us, hodl, or get rekt.

>> No.22857062

>>22857042
did you get my email fren

>> No.22857079

What a dumb thread kek, OP uses a lot of big words to sound smart and smug to feed his own ego. But in the end the conclusion link either goes up or down. And everyone knows link will go up in the long run so whats the point.

>> No.22857086

>>22857056
Well a 51% success rate is deemed unacceptable to me. I don't ever swing, I hodl and DCA which to me is the best way to accumulate. Everything else is bullshit.
I appreciate your honesty though.

>> No.22857091

>>22857062
>>22856858

Apologies, I added it but did not inform you, thanks for pointing that out ^_^

>> No.22857102

>>22857056
>we
>us
>writing style
>syntax
>idioms
>attitude
>knowledge
Stop torturing those poor souls, they just want to become millionaires

>> No.22857106

>>22849073
what the fuck talk to me like I'm a 5 year old. What will happen with link today and in a week

>> No.22857110

Just want to say thank you OP for what you are doing here today on this board with us and please do not listen to the petty haters who are always trying to bring down anyone who is slightly different, I for one applaud your integrity and believe that you are truly one brave soul, it takes a lot of time, energy and courage to share this type of content and I really appreciate it, indeed revealing to the whole world that you are a tranny faggot is admirable. You are beautiful and a real woman. Bravo.

>> No.22857126

One of the gayest threads I’ve ever seen. Kys OP you fucking waste of oxygen.

>> No.22857132

>>22851298
Advanced? He is using basic ta indicators every retard on twitter is using lol.

>> No.22857154

>>22857106
Link go up!

>> No.22857199

>>22856980
It matters because you're not doing anyone any favours. Most of us are holding as we know that announcements will be what makes Link rocket up. Where will you and your silly little graphs be then? Well, it won't matter, will it, as you're anonymous and will just carry on posting this crap. What a load of rubbish.

>> No.22857202
File: 322 KB, 650x650, 1596868193558.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22857202

I'm never selling link. You can hold my family hostage. You will never ever get my linkies. You can dump it to zero because I know it will eventually be worth 1k easily.

>> No.22857387

>>22856561
Was about stock markets IIRC

>> No.22857514

Bump

>> No.22857700

This may be the worst thread i've ever had the displeasure of entering.

>> No.22857752
File: 24 KB, 351x351, 5155.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
22857752

>>22857700
digits confirm

>> No.22857852

>>22857700
Seconded

>> No.22857873

>>22857700
It is always the same