/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>24276562
We're months away from the popping of the market bubble - this is when you can make the greatest gains in the shortest period. Think of right now as like November/December in 1999
Stay in the markets - you haven't seen anything yet in regards to growth. With that said, this bubble is going to pop - they all do, so keep an eye out for the closest exit or you will get killed in the stampede
Ride the bubble! The end stages of a bubble is when you make the most $$$!!
Read this (and other sources of course) to understand what we're dealing with here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble
History repeats itself - "another one of those"
>>24276882
Nothing is for certain - anything can happen, any time. You can assign probabilities to events by looking at the past, looking at current data, following Federal Reserve activity, US economic calendar, etc
It's totally possible the bubble pops sooner rather than later, IF coronavirus cases spike hard enough ~2 weeks after Thanksgiving to warrant more lockdowns. If California or New York were to lockdown, could trigger the pop (if it's a state like North Dakota or Kansas going into lockdown the market will not care)
At the end of the day, the $$$ from the Fed is not going to stop. They reaffirmed in the minutes released today that they're going to continue $120 billion a month in purchases
TINA (there is no alternative) - the market will keep buying, they can't buy bonds as they have negative real interest rates (the Fed also reaffirmed in the minutes to run inflation higher than 2% for years)
If you read this far, here's a fun bonus video painting what is going to happen:
https://youtu.be/UPn30DjN1Ns

>>24276562
We're months away from the popping of the market bubble - this is when you can make the greatest gains in the shortest period. Think of right now as like November/December in 1999
Stay in the markets - you haven't seen anything yet in regards to growth. With that said, this bubble is going to pop - they all do, so keep an eye out for the closest exit or you will get killed in the stampede
Ride the bubble! The end stages of a bubble is when you make the most $$$!!

>>24061598
It just doesn't happen anon. You don't have profits 'catch up' to the valuations. You have the valuations come down to match the profits. Like every other bubble in human history.
Show me a bubble where valuations were insane, the valuations didn't come down, but the value caught up
The insane valuations are only going to get worse due to the Fed - the market will keep going up. Eventually though, the bubble is going to pop. We are going to see the largest debt bubble pop in human history within the next 2 years with 99.99% certainty
Ride the markets and continue making money - but keep your eye on the clock

>>23825903
>>23825922
>>23825931
Go to the link: https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor/dix
Look at DIX.
If you don't understand what the DIX / GEX chart is, read this: >>23825883
Start looking at this chart everyday / track how it changes each day
Look at the previous times DIX was at these levels, especially at a all time high, triple top

>>23800735
>nothing to see here either

>>23783620
>nothing to see here
>just keep buying
>markets only go up

>>23778523
if you're in a bubble, and you have less and less new dumb money entering, eventually, it pops
it might not pop in the next two weeks.. but it's coming

new zerohedge article out making bearish case:
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/textbook-definition-late-cycle-stock-market
very good read - would recommend (even if you're bullish)
>fundamentals: The single best measure of valuations, according to Warren Buffett, currently sits just off its highest reading in history. In other words, the stock market has never been as expensive as it is today, largely the product of soaring valuations amid deteriorating fundamentals. Not only does this mean that forward returns will likely be exceptionally poor, it means that downside risk has also never been greater than it is today.
>sentiment: If the level of margin debt is indicative of the “volume of speculation” then we might infer that, just as we are witnessing unprecedented valuations, those extreme prices have been driven by extreme greed, the likes of which we haven’t seen in generations, if ever before.
>technicals: In analyzing the strength of the trend we can use a very simply metric like RSI. In the case of 18-month RSI, oversold readings have proven to be good long-term entry points; Overbought, readings, however, have merely indicated a strong uptrend that may last several more years. By this measure, the strength of the current uptrend peaked nearly 3 years ago and has only been weakening since, putting in a clear pattern of lower highs.