/biz/ - Business & Finance

>10 year yield 1 BP off of 1.40%
well, it's been fun lads

hey /cmg/
sorry to repost this, but I value the cmg opinion 10x more, naturally
i am getting a little frightened that we are on the verge of a decent dip
i am worried that the s&p500 is going to dip more than 10% based on these factors
>liquidity issue for DTC
>liquidity issue for equity settlement
>Melvin/others underwater
>Citadel exposed to Melvin = sell other equities
>other funds exposed to Citadel/others sell equities
>domino effect like lehman 2008
>february bad month for stocks
>900,000+ each month first time unemployment filings
>new strain fud
>china slightly under expectations
meanwhile, the media has already told the story of retail traders driving stocks up with irrational mania. the crisis will be blamed on retail traders, instead of hedge funds doing shady derivative synthetic long shit to short a stock 140%
we are right now touching the 200 day ema (4hr)
if we bust through on monday, i don't see it stopping til $360 SPY minimum within days, maybe as low as $345 within a week
if we bounce on monday then i think crisis averted
i am hoping that the liquidity crisis will have been resolved
i am getting worried that the writing is on the wall. this is the black swan event
CPCE - so many equity puts bought this week
CPCI - decent amount of index puts bought this week
at the same time.. GEX did bottom out on friday
at what point will you short the market / go to cash / UVXY?
i know that many of you already have - i did myself with sqqq calls this past week, but the 10 year yield action with big bond selling on friday made me think that this dip may be short-lived. now i'm not so sure
Anthony Denier interview if you haven't seen it yet, explaining the liquidity crunch
https://youtu.be/4RS4JIEVyXM

If futures gap down in 50 minutes, and we have a red Monday, are you pulling out? Will you be going short? or will you go cash and look for dip buying opportunities?
where do you think SPY is going?

hello /smg/
i am getting a little frightened that we are on the verge of a decent dip
i am worried that the s&p500 is going to dip more than 10% based on these factors
>liquidity issue for DTC
>liquidity issue for equity settlement
>Melvin/others underwater
>Citadel exposed to Melvin = sell other equities
>other funds exposed to Citadel/others sell equities
>domino effect like lehman 2008
>february bad month for stocks
>900,000+ each month first time unemployment filings
>new strain fud
>china slightly under expectations
meanwhile, the media has already told the story of retail traders driving stocks up with irrational mania. the crisis will be blamed on retail traders, instead of hedge funds who did shady derivative synthetic long shit to short a stock 140%
we are right now touching the 200 day ema (4hr)
if we bust through on monday, i don't see it stopping til $360 SPY minimum within days, maybe as low as $345 within a week
if we bounce on monday then i think crisis averted
i am hoping that the liquidity crisis will have been resolved
i am getting worried that the writing is on the wall. this is the black swan event
CPCE - so many equity puts bought this week
CPCI - decent amount of index puts bought this week
at the same time.. GEX did bottom out on friday
at what point will you short the market / go to cash / UVXY?
i know that many of you already have - i did myself with sqqq calls this past week, but the 10 year yield action with big bond selling on friday made me think that this dip may be short-lived. now i'm not so sure
maybe some news will be trotted out before futures open to prop the markets up. positive vaccine news, stimulus news.. something.
(posted this last night before passing out, didn't get a chance to discuss)

hello /smg/
i am getting a little frightened that we are on the verge of a decent dip
i am worried that the s&p500 is going to dip more than 10% based on these factors
>liquidity issue for DTC
>liquidity issue for equity settlement
>Melvin/others underwater
>Citadel exposed to Melvin = sell other equities
>other funds exposed to Citadel/others sell equities
>domino effect like lehman 2008
>february bad month for stocks
>900,000+ each month first time unemployment filings
>new strain fud
>china slightly under expectations
meanwhile, the media has already told the story of retail traders driving stocks up with irrational mania. the crisis will be blamed on retail traders, instead of hedge funds who did shady derivative synthetic long shit to short a stock 140%
we are right now touching the 200 day ema (4hr)
if we bust through on monday, i don't see it stopping til $360 SPY minimum within days, maybe as low as $345 within a week
if we bounce on monday then i think crisis averted
i am hoping that the liquidity crisis will have been resolved
i am getting worried that the writing is on the wall. this is the black swan event
CPCE - so many equity puts bought this week
CPCI - decent amount of index puts bought this week
at the same time.. GEX did bottom out on friday
at what point will you short the market / go to cash / UVXY?
i know that many of you already have - i did myself with sqqq calls this past week, but the 10 year yield action with big bond selling on friday made me think that this dip may be short-lived. now i'm not so sure
maybe some news will be trotted out today before futures open to prop the markets up. positive vaccine news, stimulus news.. something.