/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>18085894
California's jobless claims went up by 1 million
California makes up roughly 12% of the US population
Extrapolating that to the US yields about 8.3 million people
Even cutting it in half, you still exceed the highest prediction of 4 million, and are well above the mean

The 3.4% CCDR as given by the WHO is derived from observations that include Chinese numbers, and has been consistently revised upwards as this has gone on; it was originally about 1% at the outset of WHO estimates
Countries testing the population at large, and not just critical cases, seem to average out at closer to 5%
If 1/4 of China's population got it, that's 350 million people
With a 5% death rate, that's about 17.5 million
That really doesn't make the 15 million number seem so far-fetched, especially when you consider that countries are outright stating that anywhere from 50%-70% of people could get infected