/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>55824678
Eastern Europe's economy collapsed for about a decade in the 90s after mostly stagnating through the 80s, which balanced out Western Europe's growth and kept things overall stagnant on the continent for about 20 years while other regions grew. In the 2000s Europe's economy was exploding and briefly Western Europe overtook the US in GDP per capita at the end of the decade, but the financial crisis in 2008 hit the continent really hard. Now Eastern Europe is where most of the continent's growth is happening but it's from a low base, while Western Europe has been struggling to grow and is often in brief recessionary periods. So the continent overall hasn't been able to grow despite some regions growing relatively rapidly.

Meanwhile since 1980 the US has had pretty steady 2% - 4% growth per year with even the 2008 Financial Crisis wasn't able to cause the US economy to stall out. It's a combination of factors like the US having some of the biggest companies in the world, being pretty much the unparalleled pioneer of the digital age, and having relatively favorable demographics in regards to working age population. Additionally both the more and less developed parts of the US have seen consistent economic growth, rather than regional variations like in Europe, so there's no effect of say the South holding things back while the North grows, or vice versa. It's more like individual regions growing faster than others in spurts due to shifting economic priorities, but even the slower-growing regions still growing. That's how the US overtook the entire economy of Europe even including Russia and Turkey in the definition just a few years ago.

>>55666115
OK so imagine something costs $10 on year 0, 2% inflation per year is the normal in developed countries
>Year 1 it's now costs $10.20
>Year 2, $10.40
>Year 3, $10.61
OH SHIT SUDDENLY INFLATION'S 10% FOR ONE YEAR
>Year 4, $11.67
OH SHIT INFLATION'S BACK TO NORMAL AGAIN, 2% MOTHERFUCKER
>Year 5, $11.91
>Year 6, $12.14

There's still inflation happening so prices will continue to go up, unless deflation happens (which is honestly worse for a number of reasons) prices won't return to normal. Generally speaking after a sudden spike in inflation it takes 3 - 5 years for wages to catch up to the point that prices feel "normal" again, so things are likely going to feel relatively expensive until sometime around 2026 - 2028. At least assuming wage growth lagging inflation keeps to the historical norm.

>>30223121
The semiconductor shortage is very misunderstood tho.
There is a shortage in two very specific areas:
- GPUs: no need to explain this one on this shit board
- Some automotive chips. These are more interesting. The thing that happened is something liek this:
>automotive OEMs get spooked by the coofs
>they scale down production way much
>cancel preorders of a ton aof chisp
>these are very old, cheap, deprecated chips nobody wants. OEMs love these, because they are super stingy
>manufacturers tear down the assembly lines for these old and shitty chips. They are glad to do this too, because the profit margin just isn't there
>coof turns out to be not that bad
>OEMs try to resume production.
>They re-order the chips
>Noone makes them anyomre
>OMG SHORTAGE
>BIDEN, DADDY, HALP

It's more structural than broad.

Thsi is not to say that there won't be increasing demand for chips each year, but the shortage is short lived and absolute bullshit.

>>30082819
>>30082670
The OPEC won't tank the price. But if OPEC and Russia cannot agree (and this has a high chance, see last year), both will just open up the taps. And so will texas and some other high cost producers that started ramping up now that its $60 a barrel.
Also corona 2.0 is making the rounds, so consumption will not be as big.
A perfect storm for DRIP calls.

>>29753749
Okay, imagine the following scenario:
XYZ company, 1000000 outstanding shares.
Share price is $1, daily volume is 1K
Let's say you and I start trading one day:
>I sell you 300 shares at $1.1
>You sell it back at $1.2, since the price increased
>I sell it back again (profit taking) 300 shares at $1.5
>You sell it back at $1.6
>Trading day closes.
-390 + 480
You basically gave me $90
The stock ownership didn't change
The company market cap increased by $1M.
Where did the $1M come from?
Did it cause inflation?

You can also imagine the same scenario in reverse. That will answer the "where did all the money go" question. It never existed. Market caps are not real in this sense.

I've researched one of my biomemes yesterday, and I wanted to share this with you, because it's pretty based.
The symbol in question is LCTX, they make off-the-shelf stem cells, and they already have 2 therapies in Phase 1 and 2: one is for age-related retina degeneration and one is for spinal injuries. Absolutely great preliminary results, and they are coming out with more results before april.
Their main thing is that they don't need to culture your own stem cells, but they just inject you with their pre-made ones, which is way cheaper. What about immune reactions tho?
This is where jew magic comes in. They basically made kosher stem cells:
>Most of the reported hESC lines worldwide are not ideal for use in clinical trials. They were developed without adherence to Good Manufacture Practices (GMPs), using animal-derived research-grade reagents, which may infect the cells with animal pathogens. Moreover, many cell lines were derived and cultured on animal feeder cells, which may contaminate the hESCs by nonhuman sialic acid Neu5Gc molecules, which can elicit immune rejection after transplantation [3] and may render them as xenotransplantation products [4],[5]. In order to use hESC derivatives for clinical applications, the hESCs (clinical-grade hESCs) should ideally be developed under stringent ethical guidelines, from traceable and tested donors, preferably in an animal-free, GMP-grade culture system.
>...
>To avoid the use of feeders from mouse origin, we developed and compared feeders from three primary human tissues including FORESKIN, aborted fetuses and umbilical cord. [Editor: They later dropped everything but the umbilical cord cells]
>...
>we replaced porcine-skin-derived research-grade gelatin with recombinant gelatin
And so on. So they now basically have a bunch of ethically human-only kosher stem cell cultures, and inject the ones that is most compatible with your own cells.
According to preliminary results, this works very well.

>>29310232
>more of a consultancy than a software company
Yup, checks out. Salesforce for deporting brown people.
Their business model can only scale with their workforce. And their workforce cannot scale with this kind of management
>CEO is a joke
>CFO has no finance experience
>Chaotic middle management

Salesforce only got where it is because they were very organized, and quickly pivoted to outsourcing the consultancy part with certifications and shit. PLTR is doing none of that.

(More talking points for you, copypasta FUDder)

>>28439587 >>28439640 >>28439741 >>28439777
The "Natural" gains of QQQ used to be around 5-10%. We are already almost 10% on QQQ this year. Safe to say that QQQ is 9% inflated compared to average. Even though it doesn't show up in the statistics, we are already at 9% yearly inflation.

Today inflation was specifically 0.55%, and I'm not even memeing.

>>27406106
Anon, don't be irrational.

Holding stocks is the same as buying them every day. If you wouldn't buy it, don't hold it. On the flipside, if it went down, but you know it has a ton of potential and would buy the dip, just keep on holding it. This prevents the "buy high sell low" effect.

90% of the people here think that the as long as they don't go below cost basis, they are OK. This is BS. The cost basis doesn't mean anything. The avg buy price doesn't mean anything. Lost potential profits are lost profits. Opportunity cost is cost.
Looking at cost basis is only good for reevaluating past strategies.

To any non-reddit faggots here holding GME:

You do know that all shorties loaded up on calls, right? I.e. the right to buy at a specified price? So even though there is a shitton of shorts on the books, they can excercise at any time they want at a low-low price.
In fact, they will profit from the prives going up.

The short squeeze is not coming. Holding doesn't make any sense at all anymore. It was a fad, move along.

>>26426744
TA is extremely retarded. HFTs extract all value they can from TA-like methods, you have no chance.

>sentiment indicators
You mean 4chan and leddit posts.

You're kind of wrong too. If you have some nice info (like AUPH trial results, or VSTO sales), you can do huge swing sales around catalysts. It's a derivative of the classic value investing.

>>26416384
Each day you have to pretend you have as much cash as your current liquidation value. And then think about it:

Would I buy the same stocks?
If not, sell and buy different stocks.

This applies both to eternal crabs, profit taking, not selling on red days (because you would just buy it if you'd have cash, it's cheapies).

>>25885617
More and more people falling for the Hydrogen scam. Now governments and low-tier automotive OEMs too. You can be part of it!

>>25885689
Never. The manganese EV stuff is also a scam.